UFC 206 - Breakdowns / Predictions / Info

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John Makdessi vs. Lando Vannata


Mookie Alexander: Makdessi is looking less and less impressive in his wins and as Phil notes, he’s taken some punishment in his recent losses. I think Makdessi is the better technical striker, he’s got solid fundamentals, but he’s not powerful and Vannata is a better athlete who obviously has some good skills in his own right.

Lando Vannata by TKO, round 2.


Phil Mackenzie: Lando's success against Tony Ferguson may have been slightly overplayed, in that Ferguson has always struggled a bit with punching down at smaller "footspeed and angles" fighters (robbing Yves Edwards, losing to Johnson etc). Makdessi is a much more fundamentally put together fighter, less reliant on gimmicky sequences like oblique kick-spinning backfist. That being said, he's a deeply average athlete who's taken a ton of damage over the years.

Should be fireworks but Lando Vannata by TKO, round 2.




Staff picking Makdessi: Ram, Anton, Fraser, Bissell, Eddie

Staff picking Vannata: Nick, Stephie, Phil, Mookie, Tim
 

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Jason Saggo vs. Rustam Khabilov


Phil Mackenzie: Saggo's really a lot better than I thought he was, and one of the better incarnations of the often-underwhelming kick-grappler archetype. That said, he's not a great defensive wrestler and Khabilov is exceptionally powerful and good at neutralizing opponents without doing a whole lot. Likely a close, control-based win that does little to dig Khabilov out of the fringe-top-15, televised prelim rut he finds himself in.

Rustam Khabilov by unanimous decision.




Staff picking Saggo:

Staff picking Khabilov: Nick, Ram, Stephie, Anton, Phil, Mookie, Fraser, Bissell, Tim, Eddie
 

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Zach Makovsky vs. Dustin Ortiz


Victor Rodriguez: Full disclosure, Makovsky used to train where I do. Under normal circumstances I’d recuse myself. Not today, though!! GO ZACH!!

Zach Makovsky by decision.


Phil Mackenzie: Dustin Ortiz has stagnated a bit in recent years, which is a shame. When he upset Scoggins and Borg he looked like he might be able to pull ahead of some of the other FLW prospects on sheer aggression and moxie. However, he still seems much the same fighter, while the others have been on varying upward trajectories. Volume boxing and lots of takedowns and not much else. Makovsky has a similar issue in that he just doesn't have much in the way of dynamic offense, but he's a cleaner striker and wrestler. Should be very close, full of really awesome scrambles,

but Zach Makovsky by unanimous decision.




Staff picking Makovsky: Nick, Victor, Ram, Stephie , Anton, Phil, Mookie, Fraser, Bissell, Eddie

Staff picking Ortiz: Tim
 

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UFC 206 pre-fight facts:




Main event


Holloway competes in his 15th UFC featherweight bout, the most appearances in divisional history.

Holloway, 25, becomes the youngest fighter to make 16 UFC appearances.

Holloway enters the event on a career-high nine-fight winning streak. He hasn’t suffered a defeat since August 2013.

Holloway’s nine-fight winning streak in UFC competition is tied with Tony Ferguson for the third longest streak among active fighters in the company behind Jon Jones (13) and Demetrious Johnson (11).

Holloway’s eight-fight UFC winning streak in featherweight competition is the longest active streak in the division.

Holloway’s 11 victories in UFC featherweight competition are the most in divisional history.

Holloway, at 23, became the youngest fighter in UFC history to earn 10 victories with the organization at UFC Fight Night 74 in August.

Holloway’s six stoppage victories in UFC featherweight competition are tied for the most in divisional history.

Holloway’s six knockdowns landed in UFC featherweight competition are tied for the most in divisional history.

Holloway is one of two fighters in UFC/WEC featherweight history to land 100 or more significant strikes in three fights. Nam Phan accomplished the feat three times during his UFC tenure.

Holloway’s submission of Cub Swanson at the 3:58 mark of Round 3 at UFC on FOX 15 is the second latest submission ever in a three-round UFC featherweight bout behind Charles Rosa’s submission of Sean Soriano at UFC Fight Night 59.



Pettis was successful in his UFC featherweight debut when he defeated Charles Oliveira at UFC on FOX 21.

Pettis has earned 16 of his 19 career victories by stoppage. That includes five of his six UFC wins.

Pettis is the only fighter in UFC history to win consecutive UFC lightweight title fights by submission.

Pettis’ three knockout victories in UFC/WEC competition stemming from a kick to the head or body are tied for fourth most in combined promotional history behind Donald Cerrone (five), Vitor Belfort (four) and Edson Barboza (four).




Co-main event


Donald Cerrone (31-7 MMA, 18-4 UFC) makes his 33rd UFC/WEC appearance, the most in the combined history of the two organizations.

Cerrone’s 33 appearances in UFC/WEC/PRIDE/Strikeforce competition are fourth most in the combined organizational history behind Wanderlei Silva (40), Dan Henderson (40) and Mirko Filipovic (35).

Cerrone is 3-0 since he moved up to the UFC welterweight division in February.

Cerrone’s 18 victories in UFC competition are tied with Matt Hughes and Demian Maia for third most in company history behind Michael Bisping (20) and Georges St-Pierre (19).

Cerrone’s 24 victories in UFC/WEC/PRIDE/Strikeforce competition are the third most in the combined history of the four organizations behind W. Silva (27) and Henderson (25).

Cerrone’s 16 stoppage victories in UFC/WEC competition are the most in the combined history of the two organizations.

Cerrone’s 16 stoppage victories in UFC/WEC/PRIDE/Strikeforce competition are tied for third most in the combined history of the four organizations behind Filipovic (21) and W. Silva (20).

Cerrone has earned all three of his UFC welterweight victories by stoppage.

Cerrone’s 12 knockdowns landed in UFC competition are tied for sixth most in company history.

Cerrone’s 18 UFC/WEC fight-night bonuses are the most in the combined history of the two organizations.

Cerrone’s 13 UFC fight-night bonuses are tied with Anderson Silva for third most in company history behind Nate Diaz (15) and Joe Lauzon (15).



Matt Brown (20-15 MMA, 13-10 UFC) competes in his 23rd UFC welterweight bout, tied with Hughes for the second most appearances in divisional history behind Josh Koscheck (24).

Brown is 1-4 in his past five bouts after going on a seven-fight UFC winning streak from 2012-2014.

Brown has earned 18 of his 20 career victories by stoppage. That includes 11 of his 13 wins under the UFC banner.

Brown’s 13 victories in UFC welterweight competition are tied for fourth most in divisional history behind St-Pierre (19), Hughes (16) and Koscheck (14).

Brown’s 11 stoppage victories in UFC welterweight competition are tied with Hughes for most in divisional history.

Brown’ 11 stoppage victories in UFC competition are tied for fifth most in company history behind A. Silva (14), Belfort (14), Hughes (13) and Frank Mir (13).

Brown’s nine knockout victories in UFC welterweight competition are the most in divisional history.

Brown lands 53.9 percent of his significant strike attempts in UFC welterweight competition, the second highest rate in divisional history behind Ben Saunders (58.1 percent).

Brown’s 23 submission attempts in UFC welterweight competition are tied for second most in divisional history behind Chris Lytle (31).



Remaining main card

Cub Swanson (23-7 MMA, 8-3 UFC) competes in his 20th UFC/WEC featherweight bout, the most appearances in combined divisional history.

Swanson’s 13 victories in UFC/WEC featherweight competition are second most in combined divisional history behind Jose Aldo (16).

Swanson’s six stoppage victories in UFC/WEC featherweight competition are tied for third most in the combined divisional history behind Aldo (nine) and Urijah Faber (seven).

Swanson’s six knockdowns landed in UFC featherweight competition are tied for most in divisional history.

Swanson’s eight fight-night bonuses for UFC/WEC featherweight bouts are the most in combined divisional history.



Doo Ho Choi (14-1 MMA, 3-0 UFC) enters the event on a career-high 12-fight winning streak. He hasn’t suffered a defeat since June 2010.

Choi has earned all three of his UFC victories by first-round knockout in a total fight time of 4:33.

Choi’s 18-second knockout of Juan Manuel Puig at UFC Fight Night 57 stands as the second fastest debut in UFC featherweight history behind Makwan Amirkhani’s eight-second win at UFC on FOX 14.



Tim Kennedy (18-5 MMA, 3-1 UFC), 37, is the oldest of the 24 fighters scheduled to compete at the event.

Kennedy returns to competition for the first time since Sept. 27, 2014. The 805-day layoff is his longest since 2003.

Kennedy has earned 14 of his 18 career victories by stoppage.



Kelvin Gastelum (12-2 MMA, 7-2 UFC) returns to the UFC middleweight division after being forced to move up following three failed weigh-ins for welterweight fights.

Gastelum has suffered both of his career losses by split decision.



Jordan Mein (29-10 MMA, 3-2 UFC) returns to competition for the first time since Jan. 31, 2015. The 679-day layoff is the longest of his more than 10-year career.



Preliminary card

Nikita Krylov’s (21-4 MMA, 6-2 UFC) is 5-1 since he dropped to the UFC light heavyweight division in March 2014.

Krylov’s five-fight UFC winning streak in light-heavyweight competition is the second longest active streak in the division behind Jones (13).

Krylov’s five-fight stoppage streak in UFC competition is the longest among active fighters in the company.

Krylov has earned all of his career victories by stoppage. That includes all five of his UFC wins.

Krylov lands 8.07 significant strikes per minute in UFC light-heavyweight competition, the highest rate in divisional history.

Krylov lands 6.94 significant strikes per minute in UFC competition, the highest rate in company history.

Krylov outlands his opponents by a +4.80 significant strike per minute margin in UFC light-heavyweight competition, the best rate in divisional history.

Krylov’s average fight time of 4:02 in UFC light-heavyweight competition is shortest among active fighters in the weight class.

Krylov has never fought to a decision in his 25-fight career. His longest bout to date is 11 minutes and 34 seconds.



Misha Cirkunov (12-2 MMA, 3-0 UFC) has earned 10 of his 12 career victories by stoppage. That includes all three of his UFC wins.



Olivier Aubin-Mercier (8-2 MMA, 4-2 UFC) has earned three of his four UFC victories by stoppage.

Aubin-Mercier has completed at least one takedown against all six of his UFC opponents.

Aubin-Mercier landed just three significant strikes in his decision victory at UFC Fight Night 74, a record low for a winner of any three-round UFC fight to go the distance.



Valerie Letourneau (8-5 MMA, 3-2 UFC) is 2-1 since she dropped to the women’s strawweight division in April 2015.

Letourneau is one of three female fighters in UFC history to earn victories in two weight classes. She’s won fights at bantamweight and strawweight. Jessica Andrade and Joanne Calderwood also accomplished the feat.

Letourneau is the only female fighter in UFC history to compete in three weight classes.



Viviane Pereira (11-0 MMA, 0-0 UFC), 23, is the youngest of the 24 fighters scheduled to compete at the event.



Mitch Gagnon (12-3 MMA, 4-2 UFC) returns to competition for the first time since Dec. 20, 2014. The 721-day layoff is the longest of his more than eight-year career.



John Makdessi (14-5 MMA, 7-5 UFC) is one of four fighters in UFC history to earn a knockout stemming from a spinning back fist. He accomplished the feat at UFC 129.

Makdessi lands 51.1 percent of his significant strike attempts in UFC lightweight competition, the second highest rate among active fighters in the weight class behind Rashid Magomedov (51.9 percent).

Makdessi defends 72.4 percent of opponent significant strike attempts in UFC lightweight competition, the highest rate in divisional history.

Makdessi defends 86.7 percent of opponent takedown attempts in UFC lightweight competition, the third highest rate in divisional history behind Gleison Tibau (92 percent).




Rustam Khabilov (20-3 MMA, 6-2 UFC) absorbs 1.57 significant strikes per minute in UFC lightweight competition, the best rate among active fighters in the weight class.

Khabilov lands 4.37 takedowns per 15 minutes of fighting in UFC lightweight competition, the third highest rate among active fighters in the division.

Khabilov is one of eight fighters in UFC history to earn a knockout victory stemming from a slam. He accomplished the feat at The Ultimate Fighter 16 Finale.



Dustin Ortiz (15-6 MMA, 4-4 UFC) has completed at least one takedown against seven of his eight UFC opponents.
 

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Judges for UFC 206 main event ... Doug Crosby / Derek Cleary and Eric Colon.



Yves Lavigne is referee.
 

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