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big bookie is 40 games under .500 and making money.
apparently, his guys know how to pick winners (whoops, there goes that argument for ya)
unfortunately, being able to pick winners is only a small part of the battle.
you are almost arguing against your own point with this one.
you just dont realize it.
books win because they have players who can go 5-2 ... and still pay them money at the end of the week.
do you even have any idea what my 'argument' is?
really, do you? all kidding aside, im not sure that you do.
because youre really not reading anything written.
big favorites are the way to go? thats my argument? really? thats what youve gathered? wow. i thought i was going back and forth with someone who knew the game.
:think2:
I said that BB wins because his players play big favorites. When you're always laying 150 plus juice you will win more but you're return is lower. You have to win at a much higher percentage to turn a profit betting big favorites. That's why BB is ahead this year even though his won/loss record is actually losing. He has said that baseball is the hardest sport for him to profit but said he averages around 200 units. If baseball is his worst and he still profits around 200 units a season then gee I wonder how he does in football and basketball. You are one slow thinker. I never said that you said big favorites are the way to go, I said that BB is winning because HIS customers play big favorites. Geez, I feel like I'm talking to a retard. Hell, maybe I am.
this is all well and good (and, incidentally, the first 7 lines are true)
... but im still not sure youre grasping what my 'argument' is.
you are somehow off on the tangent about how books win money at the end of the year ... but that doesnt explain the whole public sides thing. btw - books love your preseason action. because they know that for every 1 person that has a clue, they are booking games for 10 people who dont.
... unfortunately, most preseason bettors are quick to convince themselves that 'im the sharp one ... the rest are the idiots'. when in reality, they are often just betting 50/50 coinflips at -110 and sometimes -120 odds.
I have bet five pre-season sides and my record is 3-1-1. I didn't have to convince myself which side to bet, I knew which side to bet when I knew who everyone was betting heavy. The biggest one was the bet on San Diego (led by 21 in the first half). I liked it before I saw everyone on Dallas and that just made it that much easier to bet. In fact, I got San Diego at +105 -3 over Dallas. There wasnt any coin flip about that game unless the spread had been about two touchdowns larger.
rest assured, the books are LOVING your action. in fact, im pretty sure BB would take you as a client without thinking twice (if you were local with a solid rep, etc)
anyone willing to bet preseason games blindly at -110 odds is a client a book would love to have. in fact, he would be more than happy if you went 10-0 and paid you out a few times just to keep you aboard long term.
isolated, meaningless samples vs. larger, relevant samples.
So I'm betting them blindly? LMFAO. You're a fucking idiot dude. I doubt BB would gladly take my action since I am usually on the side he needs. Because I am winning I am betting them blindly? I knew Dallas was going to yank their starters after one series and that their second team is not as good as San Diego's. I also knew that Atlanta was going to be trying much harder with a new coach to win than Jacksonville. Just because I am winning games at pre-season hardly means I am betting games blindly. Go fuck yourself and get the fuck out of my thread. I know bookies where I live and I see BBs plays and other plays I look for public plays and they are all the same. They almost always end up on the same plays.
I didn't ask you to come in here. I never see you do shit except get into other people's business and act like a fucking know it all. You must be the biggest fucking loser on the board. I will keep winning and you can keep doing whatever the fuck it is you do. You fucking idiot.
I didn't ask you to come in here. I never see you do shit except get into other people's business and act like a fucking know it all. You must be the biggest fucking loser on the board. I will keep winning and you can keep doing whatever the fuck it is you do. You fucking idiot.
wally:
any particular reason you think i flip coins? any particular reason you think im clueless? please respond without swearing. you arent any tougher or more intelligent when you drop f-bombs like a teenager. based on what youve read, what makes you think im clueless? im open to hearing what you have. unlike yourself, i can discuss things like a grown man without getting offended ... even if the other person comes at it differently.
any particular reason you think i flip coins? any particular reason you think im clueless? please respond without swearing. you arent any tougher or more intelligent when you drop f-bombs like a teenager. based on what youve read, what makes you think im clueless? im open to hearing what you have. unlike yourself, i can discuss things like a grown man without getting offended ... even if the other person comes at it differently.
By the way, Underdogs are 11-3 so far in pre-season. How do you think the public is doing with those favorites almost all not covering?
As for me saying you flip coins, why would you say that I bet games blindly? Just do me a favor and get the hell out of my threads and I will stay out of yours.
As for me saying you flip coins, why would you say that I bet games blindly? Just do me a favor and get the hell out of my threads and I will stay out of yours.
lmfao. here we go again.
i have to say. i dont know how he did it, but it looks like bigbookie singlehandedly alters/affects the capping/games bet on by a large percentage on this board. seems like so many ppl on here are living with the mantra, 'if big bookie posts it, it must be needed by bookies worldwide and surely it will win'. bigbookie -- gotta give you props man, i've watched over time people just looking silly, and abandoning they're capping strictly off what your handle is posting. dude is like a hypnotist in this bitch and God knows if he's even a real local
i have to say. i dont know how he did it, but it looks like bigbookie singlehandedly alters/affects the capping/games bet on by a large percentage on this board. seems like so many ppl on here are living with the mantra, 'if big bookie posts it, it must be needed by bookies worldwide and surely it will win'. bigbookie -- gotta give you props man, i've watched over time people just looking silly, and abandoning they're capping strictly off what your handle is posting. dude is like a hypnotist in this bitch and God knows if he's even a real local
Nope, not at all. I didn't get the info on some of the pre-season plays from Big Bookie. And, that wasn't my sole reason for betting them. If I like a play and then see that people are pounding those plays then it makes them easier for me to bet. I don't bet many of BB's plays but I have bet some of them over the summer. Same way with him as with the others, if there is a play I like and I see BB needs it then again, it makes it easier to bet for me. It's pretty simple actually. Too bad so many simpletons can't understand it. But people all over tend to bet the same games thanks to ESPN, ESPN Radio and the rest of the talking heads that don't have a clue. Public perception or misconception is nationwide - not restricted to any part of the country. As for him being a real local, I don't think he is lying about it and the plays he needs are generally the biggest public plays everywhere. He has won so if you followed him all year you would have won.
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