MLB
Tuesday, September 18
National League
Mets (70-80) @ Phillies (76-73)
Matz is 0-1, 2.67 in his last five starts; over is 7-2-1 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 13-14, 7-6 away
5-inning record: 10-15-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-27
Nola is 1-2, 4.74 in his last four starts; under is 9-4-1 in his last 13. Team in his starts: 20-10, 12-3 home
5-inning record: 11-9-10 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-30
Mets are 6-3 in their last nine games; five of their last six games stayed under. Philly lost 11 of its last 15 games; over is 5-1 in their last six games.
Nationals (76-75) @ Marlins (59-91)
Strasburg is 2-0, 2.92 in his last four starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 10-9, 6-2 away
5-inning record: 10-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-19
Alcantara is 2-0, 1.42 in his three starts (under 2-1). Team in his starts: 2-1, 2-0 home
5-inning record: 2-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3
Nationals won seven of their last ten games; over is 11-5 in their last 16 games. Miami lost six of its last nine games; Marlins’ last four games went over the total.
Cardinals (83-68) @ Braves (83-67)
Gomber is 1-1, 6.75 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 7-2, 5-1 road
5-inning record: 7-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-9
Sanchez is 0-1, 2.86 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 12-9, 4-5 home
5-inning record: 7-11-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-21
Cardinals lost four of their last six games; under is 7-4-1 in their last 12 road games. Atlanta won six of its last nine games; four of Braves’ last seven games stayed under.
Reds (64-87) @ Brewers (86-65)
Lorenzen is making his first ’18 start; all 21 of his MLB starts were in 2015. This year, he is 3-1, 3.21 in 42 MLB games (67.1 IP). Team in his starts: 0-0 road
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0
Anderson is 2-0, 3.24 in his last five starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 16-13, 10-5 home
5-inning record: 16-8-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-29
Reds lost six of their last eight road games; under is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Milwaukee won 10 of its last 14 games; eight of their last ten games stayed under.
Cubs (88-62) @ Diamondbacks (78-73)
Montgomery is 0-1, 5.84 in his last three starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Team in his starts: 8-8, 5-5 away
5-inning record: 6-7-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-16
Andriese is making his first Arizona start; he was 0-0, 3.18 in three “opens” for the Rays this year. He’s started 48 MLB games in all. Rays in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 3-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4
Cubs won four of their last five games; their last seven games stayed under. Arizona lost five of its last six games; four of their last five home games went over the total.
Giants (71-80) @ Padres (60-91)
Holland is 1-0, 1.57 in his last six starts (under 6-0). Team in his starts: 14-14, 7-9 away
5-inning record: 10-10-8 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-28
Lucchesi is 2-1, 3.09 in his last four starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 10-13, 6-8 home
5-inning record: 10-9-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-23
Giants lost 12 of their last 15 games; under is 19-2 in their last 21 games. San Diego lost five of its last six home games; over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.
Rockies (82-68) @ Dodgers (83-68)
Freeland is 6-0, 2.29 in his last eight starts; under is 13-5 in his last 18 starts. Team in his starts: 21-9, 9-7 road
5-inning record: 15-10-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-30
Kershaw is 3-0, 3.18 in his last five starts; over is 6-3-1 in his last ten home starts. Team in his starts: 13-10, 6-6 home
5-inning record: 15-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-23
Colorado is 10-6 in its last 16 games; under is 9-3 in their last 12 road games. Dodgers won five of their last six games; under is 5-3 in their last eight home games.
American League
Boston (103-47) @ New York (91-58)
Eovaldi is 0-3, 7.98 in his last four starts (over 4-4). Team in his starts: 4-4, 2-3 away
5-inning record: 3-4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-8
Happ is 6-0, 2.70 in eight starts for NY (over 4-2-2). Team in his starts: 7-1, 4-1 home
5-inning record: 5-1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-8
Red Sox won six of their last seven games; they’re 15-9 in road series openers- their last five games stayed under. New York lost four of its last five games; they’re 16-9 in home series openers- over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.
Blue Jays (68-82) @ Orioles (43-107)
Sanchez is 1-1, 5.71 in his last seven starts; over is 9-2 in his last 11. Team in his starts: 9-10, 4-5 away
5-inning record: 4-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-19
Bundy is 1-4, 8.80 in his last six starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 9-19, 5-10 home
5-inning record: 10-14-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-28
Blue Jays are 5-12 in their last 17 road games; over is 7-5 in their last 12 road tilts. Baltimore lost 13 of its last 16 games; six of last ten Oriole games went over.
Twins (69-81) @ Tigers (61-89)
Odorizzi is 1-3, 4.01 in his last four starts; under is 6-1 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 13-17, 4-11 away
5-inning record: 12-12-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-30
Norris is 0-3, 5.91 in his five starts (under 4-1). Team in his starts: 1-4, 1-2 home
5-inning record: 0-3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5
Twins lost eight of their last ten road games; five of their last six road games went over. Detroit lost eight of its last ten home games; over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.
White Sox (59-90) @ Indians (83-66)
Rodon is 0-2, 5.82 in his last three starts (under 3-0). Team in his starts: 9-8, 5-4 away
5-inning record: 5-7-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-17
Kluber is 2-1, 2.93 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 19-11, 11-5 home
5-inning record: 18-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-30
White Sox won three of their last four games; they’re 8-17 in road series openers- under is 6-2-1 in their last nine road games. Cleveland lost five of tis last seven games; they’re 4-6 in last ten home series openers- over is 3-1-1 in their last five home games.
Rays (83-66) @ Rangers (64-86)
Snell is 7-0, 1.54 in his last seven starts; under is 12-4-1 in his last 17. Team in his starts: 19-9, 9-6 road
5-inning record: 18-6-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-28
Gallardo is 1-3, 8.83 in his last four starts (over 10-3-2). Team in his starts: 10-5, 7-1 home
5-inning record: 8-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-15
Tampa Bay won 12 of their last 15 games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Rangers lost eight of their last 11 games; over is 6-4-1 in their last 11 games.
Mariners (83-67) @ Astros (94-56)
Leake is 2-0, 2.08 in his last two starts; under is 7-3 in his last 10. Team in his starts: 19-10, 9-5 away
5-inning record: 12-9-8 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-29
James allowed three runs in five IP (91 PT) in his first MLB start (over 1-0). Team in his starts: 1-0, 1-0 home
5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1
Seattle won four of its last five games; nine of their last 12 games stayed under. Astros won 12 of their last 15 games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 games.
Angels (74-76) @ A’s (90-60)
Skaggs is making his first start since August 11; he is 1-3, 10.61 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 11-10, 7-4 away
5-inning record: 10-9-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-21
Hendriks is 0-1, 3.18 in five “opens” (over 4-1). Team in his starts: 2-3, 1-2 home
5-inning record: 3-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-5
Angels lost three of their last four games; they’re 12-13 in road series openers- under is 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Oakland lost three of its last four games; they’re 14-10 in home series openers- over is 8-1 in their last nine home games.
Interleague
Royals (52-98) @ Pirates (75-74)
Skoglund is 0-3, 6.55 in his last four starts (over 6-4). Team in his starts: 3-7, 1-3 away
5-inning record: 2-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-10
Taillon is 4-0, 2.16 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 18-11, 8-3 home
5-inning record: 16-10-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-29
Royals won five of their last eight games; their last five games went over. Pittsburgh won nine of its last 12 games; under is 11-3 in their last 14 home games.
Umpires
NY-Phil- Under is 7-3-1 in last 11 Diaz games.
Wsh-Mia- Over is 17-9 in Knight games this year.
StL-Atl- Three of last four Carapazza games went over.
Cin-Mil- Under is 12-5-3 in Rehak games this year.
Chi-Az- Under is 16-2 in last 18 Reynolds games.
SF-SD- Underdogs won four of last six Eddings games.
Colo-LA- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Welke games.
Tor-Balt- Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Rackley games.
Min-Det- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Segal games.
TB-Tex- Over is 10-6 in last 16 Cederstrom games.
Sea-Hst- Last five Lentz games went over the total.
KC-Pitt- Over is 9-6 in last fifteen Barry games.
______________________________
Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/15
Ariz 38-27-12……35-24-12……..73-51
Atl 32-30-13…..35-28-10………67-58
Cubs 30-31-14……33-30-11…….63-61
Reds 23-44-6……29-34-11….…52-78
Colo 34-28-14……37-26-11……70-54
LA 40-27-8…….33-29-15……74-56
Mia 24-38-10…..31-30-15…….55-68
Milw 31-34-10…..38-28-8…….69-62
Mets 35-32-9……28-28-16…..63-57
Philly 27-30-16…..37-26-10……64-56
Pitt 33-31-9……34-27-13……..67-58
StL 36-26-13……31-35-8………67-61
SD 23-42-12……26-36-9…….49-78
SF 30-32-15…..30-26-16……60-58
Wash 32-30-13..…32-31-11……64-61
Orioles 19-45-12……22-40-12……41-85
Boston 36-28-14……46-20-7……..82-48
W Sox 25-41-8…..…24-40-11……49-81
Clev 30-30-14……45-20-10……..75-50
Det 26-38-10…..…32-33-14.……58-71
Astros 41-20-15……38-21-15…….79-41
KC 22-41-9…….31-36-11…..53-77
Angels 32-29-15……31-35-8……63-63
Twins 24-42-11……34-32-11…..58-74
NYY 34-24-15……43-24-8………77-47
A’s 27-33-12……35-28-14…..62-61
Sea 36-31-10……32-26-17…….68-55
TB 33-28-13……37-26-10……69-53
Texas 24-40-9…..28-39-8…….52-79
Toronto 20-42-12…24-34-16……44-76
%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/15)
Ariz 32-76…….28-72…..…60
Atl 23-74……31-74………54
Cubs 14-74……..23-71……..37
Reds 18-75……..18-76……..36
Colo 23-75…….29-74.…….52
LA 26-74……..27-76..…..53
Miami 14-72……..21-75…….35
Milw 27-74…..…30-76…….57
Mets 28-73……..22-75……50
Philly 18-73……..22-74…..40
Pitt 16-73……..21-76…….37
StL 25-75……..23-74…….48
SD 20-78……..19-71…….39
SF 16-75………21-75..…..37
Wash 27-75……..22-74…….49
Orioles 21-76……..21-73……..42
Boston 19-75……29-73………47
White Sox 20-72……21-75…….41
Clev 20-73…….30-74…….50
Detroit 25-74……..21-76….…46
Astros 21-75…..…17-73………38
KC 16-72..…….25-76…….41
Angels 20-74…..….19-74…….39
Twins 16-74………15-74…….31
NYY 18-74……..30-74………48
A’s 18-76…..…..23-75…….41
Seattle 29-75………23-75…….52
TB 22-74..……23-72…….45
Texas 11-72……20-74…….…31
Toronto 18-74………16-74….….34
Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 76-71 NL, favorites -$631
AL @ NL– 71-62 NL, favorites +$74
Total: 147-133 NL, favorites -$557