MLB
Tuesday, September 11
National League
Dodgers (78-66) @ Reds (62-83)
Ryu is 2-2, 4.76 in his last four starts; his last three went over. Team in his starts: 7-4, 2-2 away
5-inning record: 6-3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-11
Castillo is 1-2, 6.00 in his last three starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 14-14, 8-4 home
5-inning record: 12-15-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28
Dodgers won six of their last nine road games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Cincinnati lost five of its last eight games; they’re 18-19 vs lefty starters- over is 6-2-1 in their last nine home games.
Nationals (71-72) @ Phllies (74-68)
Roark is 0-3, 5.82 in his last three starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 11-17, 6-7 road
5-inning record: 10-15-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28
Fedde is 1-3, 6.00 in his six starts (under 3-2-1). Team in his starts: 2-5, 2-0 road
5-inning record: 1-2-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-7
Pivetta is 0-2, 5.33 in his last five starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 14-14, 8-6 home
5-inning record: 10-14-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-28
Arrieta is 1-3, 5.93 in his last five starts; under is 4-3 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 14-13, 8-5 home
5-inning record: 14-9-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-27
Washington won three of its last four road games; they’re 4-9 in last 13 road series openers- over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Phillies lost six of their last eight games; they’re 13-9 in home series openers. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.
Marlins (56-86) @ Mets (65-77)
Urena is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 8-19, 3-8 away
5-inning record: 10-14-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-26
deGrom is 3-1, 1.73 in his last six starts; his last four stayed under. Team in his starts: 12-16, 5-9 home
5-inning record: 13-6-9 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-28
Marlins are 2-16 in their last 18 road games; they’re 1-8 in last nine road series openers- over is 9-4 in their last 13 road games. Mets won six of their last eight games; they’re 4-10 in last 14 home series openers. Over is 4-0-1 in their last five games.
Brewers (83-62) @ Cubs (83-60)
Chacin is 1-2, 4.67 in his last three starts; over is 10-4 in his last 14. Team in his starts: 20-10, 12-6 away
5-inning record: 16-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-30
Quintana is 2-0, 2.38 in his last four starts; under is 6-4-1 in his last 11. Team in his starts: 16-11, 8-3 home
5-inning record: 12-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-27
Milwaukee won seven of its last eight games; they’re 19-16 vs lefty starters- over is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Cubs lost five of their last seven games; five of their last six games went over the total.
Pirates (71-72) @ Cardinals (80-64)
Musgrove is 2-2, 4.91 in his last five starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 7-10, 2-5 road
5-inning record: 7-9-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-17
Mikolas is 1-1, 6.06 in his last three starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 20-8, 9-5 home
5-inning record: 15-10-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-28
Pirates won five of their last six games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven road games. St Louis is 4-5 in its last nine games; under is 5-3 in their last eight home games.
Diamondbacks (76-68) @ Rockies (79-64)
Greinke is 1-1, 4.21 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 16-13, 8-6 away
5-inning record: 17-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-29
Senzatela is 0-2, 4.79 in his last five starts (under 7-2). Team in his starts: 4-5, 3-1 home
5-inning record: 2-6-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-9
Arizona lost eight of its last ten games; their last five games went over. Colorado won seven of its last nine games; under is 11-5 in their last 16 home games.
Braves (80-64) @ Giants (68-77)
Foltynewicz is 0-2, 2.52 in his last four starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 12-15, 6-7 away
5-inning record: 13-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-27
Suarez is 2-1, 1.80 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 11-14, 5-8 home
5-inning record: 7-9-9 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-25
Braves won five of their last six road games; they’re 19-22 vs lefty starters- five of their last six games went over. Giants lost their last nine games; their last nine home games stayed under.
American League
Astros (90-54) @ Tigers (59-85)
Valdez is 2-1, 1.76 in his three starts (under 2-1). Team in his starts: 2-1, 1-0 away
5-inning record: 2-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3
Zimmerman is 2-2, 5.14 in his last five starts (over 4-1). Team in his starts: 11-10, 5-5 home
5-inning record: 12-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-20
Astros won eight of their last nine games; over is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Detroit won four of its last six games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games.
A’s (87-57) @ Orioles (41-102)
Fiers is 4-0, 2.94 in six starts for Oakland; over is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 6-0, 1-0 away
5-inning record: 6-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6
Cobb is 2-0, 3.37 in his last four starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 7-19, 2-8 home
5-inning record: 7-15-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-26
A’s won six of their last seven games; they’re 2-6 in last eight road series openers. Over is 8-1 in their last nine games. Baltimore lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 3-12 in last 15 home series openers. Last three Oriole games went over.
Indians (81-63) @ Rays (79-64)
Bieber is 3-1, 4.72 in his last six starts; over is 2-0-1 in his last three. Team in his starts: 11-5, 4-3 away
5-inning record: 10-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-16
Glasnow is 0-3, 7.45 in his last four starts (under 4-2-1). Team in his starts: 3-4, 3-0 home
5-inning record: 2-4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-7
Indians won four of their last seven games; over is 10-6 in their last 16 road games. Tampa Bay won eight of its last nine games; over is 7-1-1 in their last nine home tilts.
Toronto (65-78) @ Boston (98-46)
Borucki is 1-1, 4.76 in his last three starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 6-7, 4-3 away
5-inning record: 4-5-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-13
Sale has allowed one run in his last 44 IP, but this is his first start since August 12. Under is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 15-8, 6-3 home
5-inning record: 15-4-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-23
Blue Jays are 5-9 in their last 14 games, 7-10 in last 17 road series openers, 14-32 vs lefty starters. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 road games. Boston won five of its last seven games; they’re 16-6 in home series openers, 18-16 vs lefty starters. Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.
New York (90-54) @ Minnesota (65-78)
Gray is 4-1, 3.55 in his last five starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 11-11, 6-5 away
5-inning record: 10-9-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-22
Duffey has made 36 MLB starts; last one was in 2016. He’s allowed 21 runs in 19 IP in 14 relief stints this year, and was 4-4, 2.90 in 31 minor league games this year (59 IP). Team in his starts: 0-0 home
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0
New York is 8-3 in its last 11 road games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Minnesota lost seven of its last nine games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games.
White Sox (56-88) @ Royals (48-95)
Covey is 0-5, 9.51 in his last five starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 5-12, 2-6 away
5-inning record: 4-10-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-17
Keller is 3-1, 2.53 in his last five starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Team in his starts: 8-9, 6-3 home
5-inning record: 7-6-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-17
White Sox lost their last six games; under is 5-1 in their last six road games. Kansas City lost four of its last six games; over is 4-3 in their last seven home games.
Rangers (62-82) @ Angels (71-73)
Sampson started one game for Seattle in 2016; he allowed three runs on 0.1 IP in his Texas debut LW. He is 8-4, 3.77 in 33 AAA games this year (19 starts). Team in his starts: 0-0 away
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0
Bullpen game for the Angels, too. Jim Johnson will be the “opener”. Team in his starts: 0-0 home
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0
Texas lost nine of its last 12 road games; four of their last five games went over. Angels won five of their last seven games; under is 9-3 in their last 12 games.
Interleague
Padres (57-88) @ Mariners (79-64)
Mitchell is 1-1, 6.17 in his last five starts (over 4-1). Team in his starts: 3-5, 2-1 away
5-inning record: 1-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-8
Gonzales is 0-4, 10.35 in his last four starts; his last six starts went over. Team in his starts: 15-10, 9-3 home
5-inning record: 14-10-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-25
Padres are 7-5 in their last 12 games, 7-2 in last nine road series openers, 13-30 vs left starters- over is 2-0-1 in their last three games. Seattle split its last ten games; they’re 15-8 in home series openers— their last six games stayed under.
Umpires
LA-Cin: Over is 7-3 in last ten Visconti games.
Mil-Chi: Under is 5-2 in last seven Cooper games.
Pitt-StL: Underdogs are 11-3 in last 14 Nelson games.
Az-Colo: Over is 7-3 in last ten Culbreth games.
Atl-SF: Under is 16-2 in last 18 Reynolds games.
Hst-Det: Six of last seven Ortiz games went over.
Clev-TB: Over is 5-0-1 in last six Carlson games.
NY-Min: Over is 10-4 in last fourteen Hoye games.
Chi-KC: Five of last six Randazzo games stayed under.
Tex-LAA: Three of last four Gorman games went over.
______________________________
Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/10
Ariz 37-25-10……35-24-12……..72-49
Atl 31-29-13…..34-27-10………65-56
Cubs 30-31-13……32-28-10…….62-59
Reds 22-44-5……28-33-11….…50-77
Colo 34-26-14……36-25-10……69-51
LA 36-26-8…….33-29-15……70-55
Miami 23-35-9…..31-30-15…….54-65
Milw 30-33-10…..37-27-8…….67-60
Mets 33-30-8……28-27-16…..61-55
Philly 27-30-16…..34-24-10……61-54
Pitt 31-29-9……34-27-13……..65-56
StL 36-26-13……30-31-8………66-57
SD 22-42-11……25-35-9…….47-77
SF 30-32-15…..27-25-16……57-57
Wash 29-28-13..…31-31-11……60-59
Orioles 19-45-12……21-37-11……40-82
Boston 36-28-14……43-19-6……..79-47
W Sox 24-40-6…..…24-40-11……48-80
Clev 29-29-14……44-19-10……..73-48
Det 25-37-10…..…32-31-14.……57-68
Astros 39-20-15……37-21-14…….76-41
KC 22-41-9…….29-34-10…..51-75
Angels 32-29-15……28-33-8……60-61
Twins 22-40-11……33-32-10…..55-72
NYY 34-24-14……42-23-8………76-46
A’s 26-32-11……34-27-14…..60-59
Sea 34-30-10……32-25-16…….66-53
TB 33-28-13……35-25-9……67-52
Texas 23-37-9…..28-39-8…….51-76
Toronto 19-39-11…24-34-16……43-73
%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/10)
Ariz 30-71…….28-72…..…58
Atl 23-72……30-72………53
Cubs 14-73……..23-67……..37
Reds 18-73……..17-74……..35
Colo 23-73…….27-71.…….50
LA 24-69……..27-76..…..51
Miami 14-67……..21-75…….35
Milw 26-72…..…28-74…….54
Mets 27-71……..22-71……49
Philly 18-73……..22-69…..40
Pitt 16-69……..21-76…….37
StL 25-75……..20-69…….45
SD 20-76……..19-69…….39
SF 16-75………21-71..…..37
Wash 25-70……..22-73…….47
Orioles 21-76……..20-68……..41
Boston 19-75……28-69………47
White Sox 19-69……21-74…….40
Clev 20-71…….29-72……..49
Detroit 24-72……..21-74….…45
Astros 20-73…..…17-72………37
KC 16-72..…….23-71…….39
Angels 20-74…..….18-69…….38
Twins 16-71………15-72…….31
NYY 18-72……..29-72………47
A’s 18-71…..…..23-75…….41
Seattle 28-72………23-73…….51
TB 22-74..……22-68…….44
Texas 11-69……20-74…….…31
Toronto 18-69………16-74….….34
Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 72-69 NL, favorites -$113
AL @ NL– 69-61 NL, favorites +$218
Total: 141-130 NL, favorites +$105