Tuesday 09/01/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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they did have a bad august mlb on sides, i know that, now hitting 7 of last 9 mlb hopefully they can keep a run going.
 

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Thanks chase for the Jefferson posts....its great to have ya on board...we are not enemies....the enemies are the bookies....we are falling apart when we argue like this
 

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no arguments, i respect small units. its all good. we will kill the bookies and make money. ur right, thats what its about
 

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no arguments, i respect small units. its all good. we will kill the bookies and make money. ur right, thats what its about

So are we going to actually discuss a buy group here! or keep arguing about whether or not jefferson is any good! Chase I don't know why you keep arguing with these people! Anyone who follows jefferson knows the real deal and that's that! Like the old saying goes you can lead the horse to water but you can't make them drink!
 
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MLB WRITE-UP

Tuesday, September 1

Hot Pitchers
-- JSanchez is 1-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.
-- Morton is 1-0, 2.92 in his last couple starts.
-- Cardinals won Pineiro's last 10 starts (3-0, 2.42 last three). Looper is 1-0, 3.00 in his last two starts.
-- Rockies won 12 of last 15 de la Rosa starts.
-- Padres are 3-0 in Richard's home starts (2-0, 2.08). Martin is 3-1, 3.57 in his last four starts.
-- Petit allowed one run in 12 IP in his last couple starts.

-- Rzepzcynski is 1-0, 1.96 in his last three starts.
-- Tigers won Jackson's last eight home starts.
-- Lester is 1-0, 2.14 in his last five starts, but he's 0-2, 8.22 in his three starts against the Rays this season.
-- Danks is 3-0, 1.95 in his last four starts.
-- Davies is 2-0, 2.65 in his last three road starts.
-- Santana is 3-0, 2.67 in his last four starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Phillies lost last five Hamels starts (0-3, 5.22).
-- Hudson returns to big leagues after arm surgery; he is 146-77, 3.48 in his 303 career starts. ASanchez is 1-5, 6.55 in his last seven starts.
-- Lehr is 1-1, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Moehler is 1-4, 6.00 in his last six starts. Wells is 1-3, 5.92 in his last four starts.
-- Pelfrey is 1-3, 5.10 in his last five starts.
-- Padilla has a 6.08 RA in his last four starts.

-- McCarthy was 2-0, 3.32 in his last three starts before going on DL in early June- this is his first start back. Nippert is 1-2, 6.20 in his last four starts. Toronto lost last five Tallet starts (0-3, 8.77).
-- Carrasco pitched in AAA all season, but was 5-1, 3.16 in six starts since he was traded to Indian organization.
-- Burnett is 0-3, 5.40 in his last four starts.
-- Sonnanstine had 5.61 RA in his last four starts, before getting sent to minors two months ago; now he is starting biggest game of Rays' year.
-- Manship was 4-2, 3.22 in his eight AAA starts.
-- DHernandez is 1-4, 5.91 in his last six starts.
-- EGonzalez is 0-1, 5.40 in two starts this season.
-- Fister is 1-1, 5.12 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Giants won five of their last six games.
-- Reds won seven of their last nine games.
-- Braves won seven of their last ten road games.
-- Cardinals won nine of their last 11 games. Brewers won their last three games, scoring 19 runs.
-- Padres won five of their last seven games.
-- Arizona won its last five games, scoring 43 runs.

-- Detroit is 14-7 in its last 21 home games. Cleveland won six of its last nine games.
-- Bronx won 14 of its last 19 games.
-- Red Sox won six of their last seven games. Rays are 11-4 in their last fifteen home games.
-- Twins won ten of their last thirteen games.
-- A's won their last three home games, scoring 20 runs.
-- Mariners won six of their last nine home games. Angels won seven of their last ten road games.

Cold Teams
-- Phillies lost four of last six games (13-6 in last 19).
-- Pirates lost their last five games, giving up 29 runs.
-- Marlins lost four of their last five games.
-- Cubs are 8-16 in their last 24 games. Astros lost six of last eight.
-- Rockies lost their last five games, allowing 25 runs. Mets lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Nationals lost 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Dodgers lost 11 of their last 18 home games.

-- Blue Jays lost seven of their last nine road games. Rangers lost three of their last four games.
-- Orioles lost six of their last eight home games.
-- White Sox lost 19 of their last 26 road games.
-- Royals lost 11 of their last 16 games.

Totals
-- Last three Hamels starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Florida home games.
-- Under is 15-7-3 in last 25 Cincinnati home games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Wells' last eight starts.
-- Over is 11-4 in last fifteen Looper starts.
-- Six of last nine de la Rosa starts went over the total.
-- Four of last five Richard starts went over the total.
-- Over is 9-6 in Petit's starts this season.

-- Nine of eleven McCarthy starts went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-2 in last eleven DHernandez starts.
-- Six of last nine Sonnanstine starts went over the total.
-- 10 of last 13 White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in Royals' last ten games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Santana's last eight starts.
 
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Trend Report

5:05 PM
TORONTO vs. TEXAS
Toronto is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Texas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing Cleveland

7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Baltimore is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. PHILADELPHIA
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing at home against San Francisco

7:08 PM
BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Boston

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. FLORIDA
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Florida's last 14 games at home

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 6-2-1 SU in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 5-15-1 SU in its last 21 games at home

8:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Houston is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 7-14 SU in their last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Houston

8:05 PM
TORONTO vs. TEXAS
Toronto is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Texas is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. MINNESOTA
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox

8:15 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
St. Louis is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Milwaukee

8:40 PM
NY METS vs. COLORADO
NY Mets are 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
NY Mets are 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home

10:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. OAKLAND
Kansas City is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Kansas City is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Kansas City

10:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. SAN DIEGO
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
San Diego is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
San Diego is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. LA DODGERS
Arizona is 2-9 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games when playing Arizona
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

10:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
LA Angels are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Seattle is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Angels
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline
Push last night on Arizona-Los Angeles UNDER the total. Now 27-11-3 comp play run the last 41 days.

Atlanta struck late last night, as they won the series opener against Florida 5-2.

We feel if you can beat the Marlins ace in Josh Johnson, you can certainly beat Anibal Sanchez whom they have had success against in the past. Sanchez is 2-2 his last 5 starts against Atlanta, but the Braves have gotten to him for 17 runs in his last 25 innings of work against them.

Atlanta counters with Tim Hudson who is making his first start of the season. While we don't expect Hudson to go the route tonight, it is good to know that Atlanta is 9-3 the last 12 times Hudson has started against the Marlins.

The Braves have now won 3 of their last 5, while the Marlins have dropped 4 of their last 5. Atlanta is also 4-2 this year at Florida, and a decent 13-11 since 2007 at Miami.

At a near pick price, we prefer to side with the visitor to come through once again.
2♦ ATLANTA
 
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Dominic Fazzini

The Angels cruised to a 10-0 victory Monday for my second straight complimentary-play win, pushing my current run to 19-12. Now I'm turning my attention to the National League to keep this roll going.

Atlanta right-hander Tim Hudson is making his first start since July 23, 2008, after an elbow injury disabled him. After having Tommy John surgery less than a week after his injury, the two-time All-Star is ready to return to the mound.

Hudson was 11-7 with a 3.17 ERA in 23 games (22 starts) last year. He has had good success in his career against Florida, going 7-2 with a 2.63 ERA in 13 starts, including 5-1 with a 2.59 ERA in eight games in Miami.

Marlins starter Anibal Sanchez (2-5, 4.96) has struggled this season. The right-hander has been on the disabled list twice this year with shoulder problems, and he allowed four runs and eight hits in 3 2/3 innings Thursday in a 10-3 loss to the lowly Mets.

Sanchez beat the Braves on Aug. 21, allowing one run and two hits in six innings. However, he is just 3-3 with a 4.54 ERA in seven career starts against Atlanta.

The Braves managed to beat Florida ace Josh Johnson on Monday, and the Marlins have lost four of their last five games. Atlanta seems like a team ready to make a run at the playoffs, while Florida might be ready to collapse in its quest for the postseason.

The Braves are 9-4 in their last 13 road games, and 8-1 in their last nine in the second game of a series. The visiting team in the season series between the division rivals also has gone 8-4. I expect Hudson to have a solid return and the Braves to grab the victory today.
3♦ ATLANTA
 
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Bobby Maxwell

FREE winner on the gridiron Monday as the Vikings not only covered but won just like I said they would against the Texans. Today I'm on the diamond with a comp winner on the Braves as they battle the Marlins in Florida.

The Braves weren't supposed to be a factor, but here they are right in the thick of the N.L. Wildcard race and I love them tonight against the Marlins as they will be bolstered by the return of right-hander Tim Hudson, who makes his first start in more than a year after elbow issues and eventual surgery sidelined him.

This guy dominated the Marlins when he was healthy and there's no reason to believe they can hit him now. Atlanta was 9-4 in his 13 starts against Florida, inlcuding 5-2 in Miami. For his career, Hudson is 7-2 with a 2.63 ERA against the Marlins, inlcuding a 9-4 win on July 23, 2008 - his final start before elbow problems.

Atlanta beat the Marlins 5-2 in Monday's series opener, beating Florida All-Star hurler Josh Johnson. The Braves are 16-9 in their last 25, 9-4 on the road and 8-1 in the second game of a series.

On the hill for Florida is Anibal Sanchez (2-5, 4.96 ERA) who is 0-2 at home. He's seen the Braves three times this season and in his lone start against them in Florida, he allowed four runs in 4.2 innings of a 4-2 loss. The Marlins have dropped four of his last six starts against Atlanta dating back to 2006.

Florida is just 5-15 as a home 'dog and 4-10 when Sanchez faces N.L. East foes. Look for Atlanta to get to Sanchez early and often and give Hudson some nice run support tonight. Play the Braves.
2♦ ATLANTA
 

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Hey guys: (<)<

I asked this question the other day, but got no response.

What ever happened to Steve McQueen. I used to follow his posts a while back (soccer), but have not seen any lately.

d1g1t
 
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Karl Garrett

Monday comp play winner on underdog Toronto.

Call me crazy, but why is Jon Lester laying this kind of wood at Tampa Bay this Tuesday night?!?!?!

Tampa Bay has "owned" Boston recently, and this is one of those games that is just screaming for a play on the home dog!

Boston comes into town having won their last 3, and 6 of their last 7, but this series is on the road, and the BoSox and the highway have been a losing mix this season at 31-33.

Tampa is back home where they are 42-21 for the season. Included is a 5-1 mark against the Red Sox.

The Rays are now 13-2 at home during the regular season against the Red Sox, and Tampa Bay starter Andy Sonnanstine is a perfect 5-0 at home this year. Sonnanstine is making his first start since the end of June, but does own a 6 inning, 2 run win over Boston from back in early may.

Jon Lester did work 6 innings of 1 run ball against the Rays in a road no-decision less than a month ago, but his previous 2 starts against Tampa saw 13 runs allowed in 9 innings of work for an 0-2 ledger.

Based on those numbers, and at this price, the value rests with the Rays in this one.

Take Tampa.
4♦ TAMPA BAY
 
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JR O'Donnell

MLB | Sep 01
Kansas City Royals vs. Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
-135 at BETUS > 12h.
Yet Another 400* MLB SIDE ROCK GOING TONIGHT TUESDAY... 6-1 86% & ON FIRE THE LAST 7...

MLB= $$$$$$$$$ CASH TONIGHT

oakland a's catching fire!!!!
play the a's again tonight & catch the best mlb rock for Sept 1...up now
 
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Tom Freese

MLB | Sep 01
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St Louis Cardinals Total
8½ un-101 at 5DIMES > 10h.
St. Louis is 7-1 UNDER off a win in their last game and they are 12-4-1 UNDER their last 17 home games vs. righty starters. The Cardinals are 13-3 at home if the Total is 7.0 to 8.5 and they are 15-7-1 UNDER in the last 23 starts made by Joel Pineiro. Milwaukee starter Braden Looper has allowed 4 or less runs in 6 of his last 8 starts. Milwaukee is 17-5 UNDER their last 22 games as road underdogs of +151 to +200. The Brewers are 8-3-1 UNDER their last 12 road games when the Total is 7.0 to 8.5. The Brewers are 4-0 UNDER their last 4 meetings with the Cardinals. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Pineiro vs. Looper)
 

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4 - 0 last two weeks fading ATS Lock / Larry Ness favorites

Another winner on ATS Lock / Larry Ness FADE
<HR style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82; COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Quote:
<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="BORDER-BOTTOM: 1px inset; BORDER-LEFT: 1px inset; BORDER-TOP: 1px inset; BORDER-RIGHT: 1px inset" class=alt2>Originally Posted by gw6816
ATS LOCK MLB

3 Marlins

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


Ness 20* club 80 Marlins




Here's another time when ATS lock and Larry Ness agree, FADE the pick.
Both had the Florida Marlins last night as a - 165 favorite and lost 5 - 2.

Worked to the tune of 80-85% as I posted earlier in the year.

When Larry had his top rated legend play on Arizona Cardinals two weeks ago, ATS also had Arizona. Favored Arizona lost 17-6.

They also agreed on a two other picks last week and both were on the Seattle Mariners. On a Thursday as a - 165 favorite and lost 8-4 and also on the previous Sunday as a - 150 favorite and lost 6-1.

Fading their agreed picks are 4-0 the past two weeks and has been a consistent winner since I've been tracking back to November of last year.

Be aware and look for it. Not 100% but I've seen about 80-85% on the fade.

The beauty of it is they both take large favorites to inflate their SU record and still can't hit. So we can fade the pick with some nice dogs in baseball and get the added juice or in football when they take the favorite, get the money line also for added plus juice.

These two spend more time on marketing and not enough time on capping leaving the door wide open for the FADE.

Good luck. <!-- / message -->
<!-- / message -->
 

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