Tuesday 08/04/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[goldencontender]

Tuesday run line comp GC-

On Tuesday the Bonus Play is on the Florida Marlins run line -1.5 -115.Rotation number 951 at 7:05 eastern.The Marlins have the Nationals number this year.They have won all 9 meetings between the two teams.Most impressive is that 8 of those 9 wins have been by 2 runs or more.The Marlins also fit a solid 10-2 system that plays on certain road favorites off a home favored 1 run win that scored 4 runs or less runs.This system wins by an average 6-2 score.In Floridas road wins this year they have won 21 of of 26 times by 2 runs or more.When Washington loses at home its usually not pretty.The Nationals have lost 25 of their 33 home losses by 2 or more runs.The National are 0-5 in the second half vs winning opponents,while the Marlins are 6-2 vs losing opponents in that same time frame.Tonight the Marlins have their ace on the mound.J.Johnson and the Marlins have won 7 of his 10 road starts this year,as he has a solid 3.64 era.on the road this year and 3.20 over his last 3 outings.The Marlns have won all 7 of his career starts vs the Nationals.Washington has J.D.Martin on the mound tonight and he is making just his 4th start this year.In 12 innings he has a 7.50 era.Look for another comfortable win here for Florida.Now if you think that game has potential I have a Huge NL Totals play from a killer system,that has cashed every time through the years.The play also has a ton of solid angles going in our direction and leads the Tuesday card..Dont miss out on these dominator systems in baseball..For the Bonus Play take the Marlins on the Run line bol GC

 

[CHIVO]

fazzini 15 dimers too

 

[Deathknight7]

Chris Jordan Analysis for today...

Chris Jordan Tuesday night sweep ...
200♦ MARLINS RUN LINE (LIST Johnson over the Nationals) - A complete mismatch of teams here, and though this one is taking place in Washington D.C., I’m not concerned one bit with right-hander Josh Johnson toeing the slab for me tonight. He was impressive in overcoming several mistakes in his last start to pick up his tenth win of the season. Generally a stingy hurler, the Braves got to him for three runs on eight hits. Though his last start wasn’t as good as some of his previous outings, Johnson is still dominating opposing offenses, as he’s now allowed three or fewer earned runs in 18 straight starts.

Now Johnson will face one of the worst teams in the bigs, and I’m not going to shy away from an arsenal that features two- and four-seam fastballs with plenty of life up and down the zone, while coming inside effectively with plenty of confidence. But it’s that power slider that is secondary pitch that makes a big difference for him, as he’s found a knack for changing the break of that pitch, depending on the hitter. That strategy will work well against the lowly Nationals.

The Marlins have won Johnson’s last three starts and 16 of his 21 outings this season. He’s comes in with a stifling 2.87 ERA. Add in the fact the Marlins have won 10 straight meetings, they’ve won 18 of 20 this season and last and the average margin of victory in 2009 is nearly three runs per win in nine wins this year, and I don’t see any problem in taking the road team on the run line.

200♦ RAYS (LIST Garza over Lester) - Once again I’m all over my boy Matt Garza, as he’ll rise to the occasion tonight and pitch his absolute best against American League East rival Boston in the opener of this crucial series. Though this is no cakewalk for the Red Sox, there’s no doubt in my mind they’re already thinking about the Yankees by now. The most hated MLB rivalry will go down in the Bronx this weekend, but first things first for the Crimson Hose; that being a date with the defending American League champs.

Remember, the Red Sox stumbled out of the break, losing eight of 12; and though it’s easy to believe they’ve righted the ship by scoring 36 runs to win their last four, the run came against lowly Baltimore. This is an entirely different animal, as the Red Sox are 4-6 against the Rays this season, and have lost three of four in St. Petersburg, where they have won just twice in their last 14 regular-season games.

And I’d much rather take Garza than Jon Lester, who recorded a 4.97 ERA after losing both starts against the Rays in the American League Championship Series last season. Those struggles didn’t disappear this year either, as he’s lost both of his starts against them in 2009, allowing 13 runs and 18 hits in 9-1/3 innings. Garza, meanwhile, recorded a 1.38 ERA to win both of his playoff starts against Boston, and carried that momentum over to this season, going 2-0 with a 1.66 ERA in three outings.

I’m laying the low chalk with Tampa and listing both.

200♦ UNDER Yankees/Blue Jays (LIST Pettitte/Halladay) - This will make for good TV drama, and you better believe I’ll be tuned in for this pitching showdown of future Hall of Famers. Though the Yanks and Jays are both 1-2 in these two hurlers’ last three starts, Andy Pettitte has turned in a 2.70 ERA in his outings while Roy Halladay has produced a 1.80 ERA in his last three starts.

Pettitte comes in after taking another tough no-decision, this time at Chicago, where he threw six innings of one-run ball before taking an unfortunate slip on the infield that set up the White Sox to score the go-ahead run. Fact is, the southpaw’s stuff has been crisp, especially that late-biting cutter. In those past three starts, Pettitte has limited opponents to six earned runs in 20 innings, and has little to show for it. I expect his absolute best tonight. For New York, the under is on winning runs of 20-6 when Pettitte is on the road, 20-8 when he throws against AL East foes and 7-1 when he’s taking on a losing team.

With Halladay, things should be much more relaxed in this start, as the trade talks have gone way and the home crowd will likely welcome him with huge applause tonight. And because the right-hander has been taking the hill without the luxury of run support moist recently, he’s going to be looking to overpower the Bombers in his house. Halladay has just one win over his past seven outings. Yet during that span he's gone 1-3 with a 3.00 ERA for the Jays. The under has cashed in for the Jays in his last four starts and is 8-3 in his last 11 starts on five days rest.

The under is 10-4 the last 14 meetings in Toronto and 4-1 in Pettitte’s last five starts in Toronto. Play this one low.




Jordan and Fazzini along with all other handicappers went Detroit Minus 1.5 run line which was a loser...Hope for bounceback today...





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[Bollie]

Lot of these post are Bonus Plays and some are paid. How do we the difference. Bonus Plays are a waste of space and time.

 

[Deathknight7]

Hey Brewersfan...

Time to STEP IT UP!

1500♦ Step it Up AL East Game of the Year

Boston-Tampa Bay is my HIGHEST-RATED play this season!

That's it...One play, One winner, and what a winner it is!!!!

Plus, 500♦ Pay-After-You-Win Tuesday Cheap Lay

500♦ San Fran-Houston UNDER last night..

Must win, or you will NOT be charged.

In Trace we Trust!

Jordan has TB, wonder if Adams on TB also? Is he any good? Anyone pickin up Fazzini?

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Hey guys,

Boston got 23 hits last game. Fading a team on the ML next game they get over 20 hits is like 6-0 this season...tampa seems solid tonight besides the fact they fit into this system.

 

[Yanks]

Seabass

Bonus Play

Seattle Mariners

 

[torontobound]

ness 20 star anyone

thanks

 

[Danster]

Kelso has a 25 unit play today. His site doesn't work though.

 

[1968]

anyone have trushel sports?

 

[BoutMyMoney]

i have it but im not posting it.. come on 1968

 

[Larry1]

timlin has been hot with is 400 unit plays... anyone have him this week?

 

[Larry1]

thanks dynasty

 

[everycoach'sdream]

need a big win tonight....who do u guys want me to buy? since cork is such a big contributor any suggestions?

 

[SMITTYWANTSWINNERS]

WINSPORTSNOW

Tuesday MLB Site Parlay Report
Dodgers-120
Bluejays-140
Marlins-170

MP, are we suppose to use these picks as a 3 team parlay or as a round robin? @)

 

[bigjonson]

First time in a long time I disagree with WINSPORTS...

Yankees are beating Roy again....

 

[azdesi]

MP, are we suppose to use these picks as a 3 team parlay or as a round robin? @)

Round Robin

 

[1968]

i have it but im not posting it.. come on 1968

it was a simple question in case anyone 'would' have it later today.

 

[1968]

need a big win tonight....who do u guys want me to buy? since cork is such a big contributor any suggestions?

TRUSHEL SPORTS over at sportsmemo- his totals record is good.

 

[cork999]

need a big win tonight....who do u guys want me to buy? since cork is such a big contributor any suggestions?

davis