Tuesday 08/04/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Tuesday 08/04/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.

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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians (+130)

On the heels of an embarrassing three-game home sweep at the hands of the Los Angeles Angels, the good news for the Minnesota Twins is that they are headed to face one of the few teams in Major League Baseball with a less-decorated pitching staff.

Welcome to Cleveland, where what’s left of the staff after the trade of Cliff Lee has an MLB-worst ERA of 5.19. The Twins are 25th at 4.66 after a weekend in which they were outscored 35-15 by the Angels in dropping all three games.

Minnesota has a little more mojo in its favor. The club is 4-0 in its last four against the AL Central and 8-1 in its last nine Tuesday games. The Twins also have won their last six games in which starter Scott Baker is a mild favorite.

Pick: Twins


Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays (-110)

For even money or the general neighborhood, you have to like the value that the Red Sox present in this game.

The David Ortiz steroid controversy hasn’t distracted them from the task at hand. The Sox are 4-0 since the news broke and have outscored their opponents 36-20 during this span. The addition of catcher Victor Martinez was Boston’s signature late-season move, and Boston appears to be rounding into postseason form with its latest outings.

Although the Rays aren’t out of it by any stretch, their failure to make a trade-deadline move was seen as a sing of no confidence by some fans and local media.

They are 5-5 in their last 10, but looked outclassed most of the time last week in dropping two of three at home to the AL East-leading New York Yankees.

Pick: Red Sox
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Johan Santana, New York Mets

New York’s marquee starter appears to have shrugged off some early-season struggles and reminded the Mets’ fans and management why he is deserving of his enormous contract.

Santana (12-8, 2.96 ERA) has done his part to help lead New York’s moderate resurgence by going 3-1 in his past four starts. Although he gave up five earned runs in a loss at Houston, Santana sandwiched that outing with three shutout performances in which he blanked the opposition for 21 straight innings.

The 30-year-old lefty gave up four hits over seven innings his last time out in a win over the Colorado Rockies. He has struck out 21 batters and walked seven during this streak.

John Lackey, Los Angeles Angels

Long the anchor of the Angels’ rotation, Lackey (7-4, 4.00 ERA) has returned to his reliable form just in time to help the red-hot team’s 26th-ranked pitching staff.

After battling a forearm injury for much of the early season, Lackey has won his past four starts while allowing just seven total earned runs in this span.

The 6-foot-6 right-hander has gone at least seven innings during this run, which includes a complete-game shutout of the Oakland A’s on July 19.


Slumping

Andy Pettitte, New York Yankees

New York’s rock-solid veteran lefty has lost a bit of his touch of late, going 0-3 with two no-decisions in past five trips to the hill.

Pettitte (8-6, 4.51 ERA) endured back-to-back outings against the Toronto Blue Jays and Los Angeles Angels in which he was tagged for six earned runs. The 37-year-old also has put some pressure on New York’s bullpen by failing to get past the sixth inning in four of his five previous outings.

Jose Contreras, Chicago White Sox

Contreras (4-10, 4.80 ERA) has been nearly as bad as his record indicates, but he has been just inadequate enough to come out on the losing end of close contests.

The 37-year-old right-hander has gone 2-5 in his past seven starts and has lost his past three decisions. Contreras has yielded 11 earned runs and 20 hits over 15-plus innings in this span, which includes a loss to the Minnesota Twins in his last performance.
 
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August's Best and Worst Pitchers

Keeping up the success rate for pitchers in each month is always a good game plan. Each month I try to help out by showing which pitchers are good bets and which ones should be avoided.

Below is the list of arms to watch throughout the month of August. Note that the win-loss records are those of the team in which the listed pitcher started over the previous three seasons.

Here’s the list of the best and worst pitcher performance records during the month of August over the past three years. Note: a handful of pitchers on this list are currently on the disabled list but could return to the rotation sometime this month. Keep a close eye on their status.

August’s best pitchers:

A.J. Burnett 11-5 (New York Yankees), David Bush 11-5 (Milwaukee Brewers), Josh Johnson 7-3 (Florida Marlins), Brett Myers 9-3 (Philadelphia Phillies), Roy Oswalt 14-2 (Houston Astros), Brad Penny 10-4 (Boston Red Sox), Ervin Santana 10-4 (Los Angeles Angels), Johan Santana 14-4 (New York Mets), Jake Westbrook 9-2 (Cleveland Indians), Randy Wolf 10-2 (Los Angeles Dodgers).

August’s worst pitchers:

John Danks 2-9 (Chicago White Sox), Kyle Davies 3-8 (Kansas City Royals), Zach Duke 2-8 (Pittsburgh Pirates), Jeremy Guthrie 4-9 (Baltimore Orioles), Gil Meche 4-12 (KC), Scott Olsen 5-12 (Washington Nationals), Nate Robertson 4-12 (Detroit Tigers), Jarrod Washburn 5-13 (Detroit), Chris Young 3-8 (San Diego Padres).
 
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WNBA LONG SHEET

Tuesday, August 4

SAN ANTONIO (8 - 10) at LOS ANGELES (6 - 10) - 8/4/2009, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-3 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (6 - 12) at DETROIT (6 - 10) - 8/4/2009, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 10-5 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 9-6 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (15 - 6) at SEATTLE (12 - 7) - 8/4/2009, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 7-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 6-5 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Phoenix Mercury at Seattle Storm (-2.5, 171.5)

By filling up the basket at a record-setting pace and giving little thought to defense, the Phoenix Mercury are starting to look like another fast-break team from their hometown … the NBA’s Phoenix Suns.

The major difference is that the Mercury appear to be able to pull off this style over the long haul. Their 92 points per game is the best in the league and their 88.6 points per game on defense is the WNBA’s worst. However, Phoenix’s blissful ignorance of defense doesn’t seem to matter.

Diana Taurasi and friends have won and covered in five of their past six road games, and have won eight of 10 overall. They face a Seattle Storm (12-7) team that boasts the league’s best defense at 71.3 ppg, but history is on the Mercury’s side.

Last week, Connecticut (15-6) had the WNBA’s top defensive squad before Phoenix came in and delivered a 95-80 beat down. Given that road venues and vaunted defenses don’t bother the Mercury a bit, it’s hard to go against them here.

Pick: Phoenix


New York Liberty at Detroit Shock (-5, 147)

This game involves a tale of two teams struggling to find their way under new leadership amid a season of unfulfilled promise.

The defending-champion Shock have struggled to regain their form under Rick Mahorn, who took over when Bill Laimbeer resigned. Some Shock players have publicly admitted having difficulty in adjusting to Mahorn’s lower-key temperament.

Detroit (6-10) picked up some momentum with a 91-83 home win over the Minnesota Lynx, but was then routed by the Connecticut Sun 83-65 in Detroit.

The underachieving New York Liberty (6-12) fired coach Pat Coyle last week after the latest in a series of uninspired efforts. Coyle was replaced by Anne Donovan.

“I just felt with a full half of a season left perhaps a new voice would jump-start us to get us game by game out of the hole,” Liberty president and general manager Carol Blazejowski said.

Although both clubs continue to struggle, the Liberty have kept four of their past five losses to six points or fewer. They have also covered in two of their past three road games, despite losing and leaving bettors empty-handed in four straight overall.

One of these teams will come away with a renewed outlook on its season, while the other likely will start looking toward next year.

Pick: New York
 
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Craig Trapp

MLB | Aug 04
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox Total
9 ov-120 at BOOKM > 13h.

LAA/CHW over 9: The best over team in the league lately has been LAA as they have gone over the total in 10 straight games. In fact they have gone over total in 22 of last 28 games! Lackey usually goes 7 inning and gives up 2-3 runs. But the bullpen is where many of the runs have been given up by LAA. Contreras on the other hand gives up almost 1 run per inning and against the hottest hitting team in the league he might even give up more. LAA get at least 7 runs today and CHW score at least 4 runs. This one has the makings of a really high scoring game as both teams bats have been super HOT and the over trend for LAA is hard to ignore. TAKE THE OVER 9
 
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Jim Feist

(957) CHICAGO CUBS
(958) CINCINNATI REDS
Take "Over"

The Reds have been in a terrible slump because of pitching, giving up 5 runs or more in 5 straight games. Young Reds' hurler Johnny Cueto has been part of the problem, at 0-2 with a 6.88 ERA his last three starts. For the Cubs, Ted Lilly and Carlos Zambrano are hurting, so Tom Gorzelanny (5.19 ERA) starts here. He catches a break in that the Chicago offense has been crushing the ball the last three weeks. Look for plenty of offense in this one, play the Cubs/Reds over the total.
 
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Dave Cokin

(975) SEATTLE MARINERS
(976) KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Take "(975) SEATTLE MARINERS"

Luke Hochevar has pitched pretty well lately for the Royals. But KC is an absolutely awful team right now, and they're and they have a lineup that doesn't match up well against lefties. The Mariners got a big effort last time out from Ryan Rowland-Smith and he can shut down this opponent as well. I'll lean Seattle's way tonight.
 

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Deathknight7;6866902 Bad day yesterday with both Fazzini and Jordan on Detroit...Hoping to start the week off right...d1g1t GL All... <input id="gwProxy" type="hidden"><!--Session data--><input onclick="jsCall();" id="jsProxy" type="hidden">[/quote said:
Detroit won.
 

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MLB WRITE-UP

Tuesday, August 4

Hot Pitchers
-- Johnson is 3-0, 2.91 in his last four starts.
-- Duke is 1-0, 2.03 in his last couple starts.
-- Moyer is 6-1, 3.73 in his last seven starts.
-- Santana is 3-2, 1.82 in his last five starts. Pineiro is 3-0, 0.90 in his last four starts.
-- Sanchez is 2-1, 3.51 in his last four starts.
-- Vazquez is 3-0, 2.94 in his last five starts. Stauffer has 2.57 RA in his four starts this season.
-- Gallardo is 2-0, 2.66 in his last three starts.
-- Washburn was 4-0, 0.74 in his last five starts for Seattle.
-- Baker is 1-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.
-- Halladay has a 2.16 RA in his last three starts.
-- Red Sox are 9-2 in last 11 Lester starts, but he is 0-2, 12.54 against the Rays this season.
-- Lackey is 3-0, 1.47 in his last four starts.
-- GGonzalez is 1-0, 2.92 in his last two starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Martin is 0-2, 7.43 in three starts this season.
-- Hammel is 0-3, 5.76 in his last six starts.
-- Gorzelanny is 4-3, 2.48 in 15 AAA starts this year; he is 25-26, 4.78 in 65 major league starts (with Pirates). Cueto is 0-4, 10.32 in his last five starts.
-- Paulino is 1-5, 6.52 in ten starts this season.
-- Petit is 0-1, 5.79 in three road starts.
-- Kuroda is 1-2, 5.45 in his last six starts.
-- Highly-touted Oriole prospect Matusz was 7-0, 1.55 in eight starts at AA Bowie.
-- Huff is 1-2, 7.43 in his last four starts.
-- Pettitte is 0-3, 5.52 in his last five starts.
-- Garza is 1-3, 4.45 in his last five starts.
-- Hochever has a 6.03 RA in his last five starts. Rowland-Smith has a 4.15 RA in three starts this season.
-- Contreras is 2-4, 4.66 in his last six starts.
-- Holland is 0-2, 4.91 in five road starts.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Pirates are 6-4 in their last ten home games. Arizona is 16-10 in its last 26 games.
-- Cardinals won five of their last seven games.
-- Colorado won its last four games, allowing total of 11 runs.
-- Cubs won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Giants won six of their last eight games.
-- Padres won six of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers won six of their last nine home games.
-- Tigers are 17-5 in their last 22 home games.
-- Red Sox won their last four games, scoring 36 runs. Rays won three of their last four games.
-- Angels won their last five games, scoring 51 runs. White Sox won 12 of their last 16 home games.
-- Rangers won 11 of their last 15 games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost 15 of their last 21 road games.
-- Phillies lost four of their last five games.
-- Reds lost 16 of their last 19 games.
-- Mets lost four of their last five games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Braves are 4-7 in their last eleven games.
-- Brewers lost 12 of their last 18 road games, but won last two.
-- Indians lost 13 of their last 19 home games. Twins lost six of their last eight road contests.
-- Bronx Bombers lost three of their last four games. Toronto is 5-9 in its last fourteen home games.
-- Orioles lost their last four games, allowing 34 runs.
-- Royals lost five of their last six games. Mariners lost seven of ten.
-- A's are 5-8 in second game of series if they won the opener.

Totals
-- Five of last six Johnson starts went over the total.
-- Under is 14-5 in Arizona's last nineteen road games.
-- Eight of last ten Hammel starts stayed under the total; under is 10-3 in Moyer's last thirteen starts.
-- Three of last four Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Santana starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Sanchez road starts.
-- Eight of last ten Vazquez starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 14-7-1 in Milwaukee's last 22 road games, but under is 9-2-1 in Kuroda starts this season.
-- 10 of last 12 Washburn starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 3-0-2 in last five Huff starts.
-- Under is 10-3 in Pettitte's last thirteen starts.
-- Under is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Tampa Bay games.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Hochevar's last five starts.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Contreras starts.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Holland starts.
 

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Trace Adams

Time to STEP IT UP!

1500♦ Step it Up AL East Game of the Year

Boston-Tampa Bay is my HIGHEST-RATED play this season!

That's it...One play, One winner, and what a winner it is!!!!

Plus, 500♦ Pay-After-You-Win Tuesday Cheap Lay

500♦ San Fran-Houston UNDER last night..

Must win, or you will NOT be charged.

In Trace we Trust!
 

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Dominic Fazzini

SECOND-BIGGEST PLAY OF THE YEAR!
15 DIME
NL Run Line Bookie Basher
:toast:​
 

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Trend Report


7:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Pittsburgh is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games


7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. DETROIT
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Detroit's last 25 games


7:05 PM
COLORADO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Colorado


7:05 PM
FLORIDA vs. WASHINGTON
Florida is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida


7:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota


7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TORONTO
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 14 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees


7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Boston


7:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. CINCINNATI
Chi Cubs are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games
Chi Cubs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs


7:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. NY METS
The total has gone OVER in 9 of St. Louis's last 13 games when playing NY Mets
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
NY Mets are 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games at home


8:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. HOUSTON
San Francisco is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Houston
San Francisco is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Houston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games


8:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. KANSAS CITY
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games


8:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Angels's last 11 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
Chi White Sox are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 12 games when playing LA Angels


10:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. SAN DIEGO
Atlanta is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Atlanta's last 25 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing Atlanta


10:05 PM
TEXAS vs. OAKLAND
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing at home against Texas


10:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. LA DODGERS
Milwaukee is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games at home
 

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Gamehunter

CUBS +108 (2 UNITS)

ST. LOUIS +105 (1.75 UNITS)

SAN DIEGO +148 (1.5 UNITS)

UNDER BALT/DET 9 RUNS (-122) (1 UNIT)*

UNDER BALT/DET 1ST 5 INNS 4.5 RUNS (-103) (1.25 UNITS)

BALTIMORE +200 (1 UNIT)

YANKEES +138 (1.75 UNITS)

TAMPA BAY -112 (2 UNITS)

KANSAS CITY +104 (1.75 UNITS)

MINNESOTA -130 (1.5 UNITS)

OAKLAND +118 (1.5 UNITS)
 

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Someone should get Trace Adams He has a 1500♦ Step it Up AL East Game of the Year On Boston vs Tampa Bay
 

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