Tracking "Number of Innings in which a Run is Scored In" SYSTEM

[JerseyShop101]

thanks for the system......................do u have any records for the sides and totals prior to posting here?I will attempt to backtest if u havent just to see if this has held up over time.

No, I actually started and posted at the same time, maybe for more discipline @). But seriously, I am working on figuring which amount of games could best give us a more accurate indication on how well each team is scoring. But if this run continues, I'd almost be afraid to change anything- the old saying- if it ain't broke, don't fix it. Really testing new waters as we go.

:toast:

 

[ZJP6050]

didn't read through really, but here to give you well wishes. looks like your system is doing great, keep it up!

 

[geeze]

Jersey,

Looking at your figures 9% and over is 13-2.

Subtracting that from 14-4 leaves
the 6% to 8.99% at 1-2.

It might behoove you to consider focusing on the 9% and up. (Of course this is still a small sample.)

You have come up with an original and creative approach. Thank you for sharing it with us.

Regarding the sweep or no sweep, I think that is an irrelevant factor that would dilute the purity of your concept, and blur the analysis.

Looking forward to your posts.

Best of luck.

 

[CarolinaJ.E.D]

I Love it Jersey you saved my ass on sat i was at a wedding sat and i need a good Capper to tail ! Keep it UP my man ! I with you already on the Angels i hope we hit !!!

 

[JerseyShop101]

Thanks a lot guys. I wish the LAA was the early game, have to wait, but will be worth it.

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[RDC-3]

so the over on the LAA game is 10%?am i reading it right?thanks

 

[JerseyShop101]

so the over on the LAA game is 10%?am i reading it right?thanks

No, 10% is the difference between LAA .35 and SF .25 percentages.

The Over is a play because LAA .35, is more than .29 and SF is more than .21.

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[Michelangelo]

The only thing that bothers me is that teams are generally more productive at home than they are on the road and vice versa. The Angels, for instance, fattened their stats at home vs Seattle. I'm expecting a dropoff tonight on the road.

I do believe that most of the teams you used in the first week were also at home for the duration of your uptodate study. Now most will be on the road.

I am sure hoping you succeed but thought I'd mention what I see as a potential issue.

 

[ivan722]

Hi Jersey. I think I understand the system, figures, etc.
However can you briefly tell me why there was no play on the early game?
Thank you.

:howdy:

 

[ivan722]

Ah well...........

 

[abc]

Nice. Looking at a 2-0 night. You were right about the wait being worth it!!! Can't wait to see the picks for tomorrow. If you need help keeping this up to date then pm me. I would love to help!!!

 

[abc]

Nice! 2-0 night. Looking good. The over won with ease. The angels had the whole game but I sweated a little in the 9th. 2 run win though. Shoulda RL it. I'll take the wins. Keep it up!!

 

[JerseyShop101]

The only thing that bothers me is that teams are generally more productive at home than they are on the road and vice versa. The Angels, for instance, fattened their stats at home vs Seattle. I'm expecting a dropoff tonight on the road.

I do believe that most of the teams you used in the first week were also at home for the duration of your uptodate study. Now most will be on the road.

I am sure hoping you succeed but thought I'd mention what I see as a potential issue.

Thanks -good info, the books might also adjust their line reflecting this also, and I am only playing Overs when the line is 9 or less and therefore "hopefully" reducing our risk (and hopefully without reducing our potential profits).

 

[STACKSONDECK]

hey just wondering what is your ml record?

 

[JerseyShop101]

Hi Jersey. I think I understand the system, figures, etc.
However can you briefly tell me why there was no play on the early game?
Thank you.

:howdy:

Cleveland has scored in 28% of their batting innings since 1 June, MILW 25%, a difference of only 3%, therefore making it a NOPLAY. I'm only making it a PLAY when the difference is at least 6%, and really might make it 9%.

I didn't touch the Total either because neither team is 21% or lower, nor 29% or higher. So the total was a NOPLAY also.

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[JerseyShop101]

Nice! 2-0 night. Looking good. The over won with ease. The angels had the whole game but I sweated a little in the 9th. 2 run win though. Shoulda RL it. I'll take the wins. Keep it up!!

I almost pulled the trigger on the runline, just didn't want to jinx myself. But I did do a 2 team parlay, so no complaints. I figured it be 5-4, 6-5 type of game if I did the runline @)

16 runs 31 hits = batting practice

Same as the early game 26 runs 26 hits = tee ball

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[JerseyShop101]

hey just wondering what is your ml record?

Since using this System for the past 6 days I am
42-18-2 70% +22.52

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[STACKSONDECK]

Since using this System for the past 6 days I am
42-18-2 70% +22.52

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holy shit is that just ml or that includes totals right?

 

[JerseyShop101]

DAY 6 RESULTS
PLAYS for 6/15:

LA ANGELS/SF OVER 8.5 EV WINNER

LA ANGELS 10% -122 WINNER

YTD (6 DAYS)
UNDERS 16-4-1 80% +11.80
OVERS where line is 9 or less 9-2 82% +6.80
OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 2-8-1 20% -6.55
All OVERS 11-10-1 52% +.25
9% and Up Plays 14-2 88% +12.94
6% and Up Plays 15-4 79% +10.47
Overall 42-18-2 70% +22.52


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[JerseyShop101]

holy shit is that just ml or that includes totals right?

Yes this includes totals.

Sides only I am
6% and Up Plays 15-4 79% +10.47
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