WinningSystems
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HOU @ NYM under 7.5
According to my st. pitcher/ game umpire power ratings, this game looks a lot like the Wednesday game between these two squads. And on Wednesday, only 5 runs were scored, on 14/65 hitting (.215). Pettitte and Glavine already faced each other this season and that game flied over the total (12 runs), and I can hardly see this matchup going over the total two straight times in a pitcher friendly ballpark like the Shea Stadium. Both Pettitte and Glavine were solid in that game, allowing a combined total of 4 er in 11.1 ip, but the bullpens screwed the 'under' in that game, allowing 8 runs in 5.2 ip. Since then, both Pettitte and Glavine have been very solid, especially lately, as Pettitte allowed only 1 er in last two starts (13 ip), while Glavine allowed only 2 er in his last two starts (13.2 ip). Both bullpens improved since april, and both are on fire right now. The NYM bullpen allowed only 1 er in last 13.1 ip (6+ games) and the Astro bullpen has been just as good recently, allowing just 3 er in last 21 ip, since that ugly home loss to the Reds (0-9) in which the pen allowed 7 runs in the top of the ninght. Pettite is 3-0 under the total on the road, when facing another lefty starter, since his matchup vs Glavine.
This will be my only play today.
Good luck all,
WS
According to my st. pitcher/ game umpire power ratings, this game looks a lot like the Wednesday game between these two squads. And on Wednesday, only 5 runs were scored, on 14/65 hitting (.215). Pettitte and Glavine already faced each other this season and that game flied over the total (12 runs), and I can hardly see this matchup going over the total two straight times in a pitcher friendly ballpark like the Shea Stadium. Both Pettitte and Glavine were solid in that game, allowing a combined total of 4 er in 11.1 ip, but the bullpens screwed the 'under' in that game, allowing 8 runs in 5.2 ip. Since then, both Pettitte and Glavine have been very solid, especially lately, as Pettitte allowed only 1 er in last two starts (13 ip), while Glavine allowed only 2 er in his last two starts (13.2 ip). Both bullpens improved since april, and both are on fire right now. The NYM bullpen allowed only 1 er in last 13.1 ip (6+ games) and the Astro bullpen has been just as good recently, allowing just 3 er in last 21 ip, since that ugly home loss to the Reds (0-9) in which the pen allowed 7 runs in the top of the ninght. Pettite is 3-0 under the total on the road, when facing another lefty starter, since his matchup vs Glavine.
This will be my only play today.
Good luck all,
WS
