Jack brayman
40 Dime Winner
Line/Total: +4 as of 10:30 am eastern. And as I will always tell you with favorites laying anywhere between +2.5 and +4, I want you buying the half point down.
Analysis: The Green Bay Packers may be the most fraudulent undefeated team left in the NFL. Outside of the Buffalo Bills, I 100 percent believe this. The Packers could easily be 0-3.
Let's start with the awful offense that has been outplayed by all three opponents when you look inside the numbers. To wit:
Game 1 at Chicago: 213 yards vs. 254
Game 2 vs. Minnesota: 335 yards vs. 421
Game 3 vs. Denver: 312 yards vs. 310
TOTAL after three: 860 yards vs. 985
They outgained the Broncos by two yards, big deal. And before you tell me the story is about their defense, just slow your roll. Yes, the Packers are No. 2 in points allowed but they're also No. 9 in yards allowed. They have the league's 13th-ranked defense overall, and it should be better considering two of the three foes were the Bears and Broncos. I am telling you, they're not that good.
In my opinion, the Philadelphia Eagles have had a tougher three-game start to the season, opening the campaign. Peep their numbers:
Game 1 vs. Washington: 436 yards vs. 398
Game 2 vs. Atlanta: 286 yards vs. 367
Game 3 vs. Detroit: 373 yards vs. 287
TOTAL after three: 1,095 yards vs. 1,052
When the season began, it was conceivable the Eagles opened the season as the NFC favorites. Many people felt they would be undefeated. They're better than their record, and might be the best 1-2 team in the NFL.
I'm still convinced professional players do not play enough in the preseason. They play too many games, but the starters do not play enough of the games. It's causing a lack of continuity between quarterbacks and receivers over the first few weeks. Weeks 1 and 2 the last six years are 62 percent to the under, while Week 3 is 60 percent to the over. It clearly shows there is more continuity to the quarterback-to-receiver combination. Sure, we see the
Bookmakers adjusting down to the low scoring, but the chemistry arrives.
And tonight I'm expecting Carson Wentz to be much better, especially with Alshon Jeffery returning to the lineup.
As a whole, at 1-2 and the Dallas Cowboys out to a 3-0 start, the Eagles will know what they're up against and will be an angry bunch of Green Birds looking for an outright win. They'll be well-prepared, and if I were the Packers, I would be scared to face a 1-2 team that will be this hungry and this good.
I'm not concerned with this one being on the road, as Wentz has thrown two or more touchdown passes in five of his past seven on the road. He also has thrown seven touchdowns vs. zero interceptions in his past three games against teams from the NFC North.
On defense, the Eagles will bring tackle Fletcher Cox, who has 5 1/2 sacks and a forced fumble in his last four on the road, and cornerback Rasul Douglas, who had two pass deflections last week and will be looking for his fifth straight game with a pass deflection. Cornerback Sidney Jones is another ball hawk and has also recorded at least one pass deflection in four straight.
Finally, I want you to think about the fact we give home teams an extra field goal for home field. That means these supposed, big bad Packers are just a 1-point favorite on a neutral field, and would 2-point dogs in Philly. I mean, as good as they've looked, and how bad the Eagles have apparently been, why is the line only 4 AT Lambeau Field?
Take the much-better-than-we've-seen-Eagles against the fradulent Packers tonight.