Jack brayman
40 Dime Winner
Line/Total: +4 as of 10:30 am eastern. And as I will always tell you with favorites laying anywhere between +2.5 and +4, I want you buying the half point down.
Analysis: The Green Bay Packers may be the most fraudulent undefeated team left in the NFL. Outside of the Buffalo Bills, I 100 percent believe this. The Packers could easily be 0-3.
Let's start with the awful offense that has been outplayed by all three opponents when you look inside the numbers. To wit:
Game 1 at Chicago: 213 yards vs. 254
Game 2 vs. Minnesota: 335 yards vs. 421
Game 3 vs. Denver: 312 yards vs. 310
TOTAL after three: 860 yards vs. 985
They outgained the Broncos by two yards, big deal. And before you tell me the story is about their defense, just slow your roll. Yes, the Packers are No. 2 in points allowed but they're also No. 9 in yards allowed. They have the league's 13th-ranked defense overall, and it should be better considering two of the three foes were the Bears and Broncos. I am telling you, they're not that good.
In my opinion, the Philadelphia Eagles have had a tougher three-game start to the season, opening the campaign. Peep their numbers:
Game 1 vs. Washington: 436 yards vs. 398
Game 2 vs. Atlanta: 286 yards vs. 367
Game 3 vs. Detroit: 373 yards vs. 287
TOTAL after three: 1,095 yards vs. 1,052
When the season began, it was conceivable the Eagles opened the season as the NFC favorites. Many people felt they would be undefeated. They're better than their record, and might be the best 1-2 team in the NFL.
I'm still convinced professional players do not play enough in the preseason. They play too many games, but the starters do not play enough of the games. It's causing a lack of continuity between quarterbacks and receivers over the first few weeks. Weeks 1 and 2 the last six years are 62 percent to the under, while Week 3 is 60 percent to the over. It clearly shows there is more continuity to the quarterback-to-receiver combination. Sure, we see the Bookmakers adjusting down to the low scoring, but the chemistry arrives.
And tonight I'm expecting Carson Wentz to be much better, especially with Alshon Jeffery returning to the lineup.
As a whole, at 1-2 and the Dallas Cowboys out to a 3-0 start, the Eagles will know what they're up against and will be an angry bunch of Green Birds looking for an outright win. They'll be well-prepared, and if I were the Packers, I would be scared to face a 1-2 team that will be this hungry and this good.
I'm not concerned with this one being on the road, as Wentz has thrown two or more touchdown passes in five of his past seven on the road. He also has thrown seven touchdowns vs. zero interceptions in his past three games against teams from the NFC North.
On defense, the Eagles will bring tackle Fletcher Cox, who has 5 1/2 sacks and a forced fumble in his last four on the road, and cornerback Rasul Douglas, who had two pass deflections last week and will be looking for his fifth straight game with a pass deflection. Cornerback Sidney Jones is another ball hawk and has also recorded at least one pass deflection in four straight.
Finally, I want you to think about the fact we give home teams an extra field goal for home field. That means these supposed, big bad Packers are just a 1-point favorite on a neutral field, and would 2-point dogs in Philly. I mean, as good as they've looked, and how bad the Eagles have apparently been, why is the line only 4 AT Lambeau Field?
Take the much-better-than-we've-seen-Eagles against the fradulent Packers tonight.
40 Dime Winner
Line/Total: +4 as of 10:30 am eastern. And as I will always tell you with favorites laying anywhere between +2.5 and +4, I want you buying the half point down.
Analysis: The Green Bay Packers may be the most fraudulent undefeated team left in the NFL. Outside of the Buffalo Bills, I 100 percent believe this. The Packers could easily be 0-3.
Let's start with the awful offense that has been outplayed by all three opponents when you look inside the numbers. To wit:
Game 1 at Chicago: 213 yards vs. 254
Game 2 vs. Minnesota: 335 yards vs. 421
Game 3 vs. Denver: 312 yards vs. 310
TOTAL after three: 860 yards vs. 985
They outgained the Broncos by two yards, big deal. And before you tell me the story is about their defense, just slow your roll. Yes, the Packers are No. 2 in points allowed but they're also No. 9 in yards allowed. They have the league's 13th-ranked defense overall, and it should be better considering two of the three foes were the Bears and Broncos. I am telling you, they're not that good.
In my opinion, the Philadelphia Eagles have had a tougher three-game start to the season, opening the campaign. Peep their numbers:
Game 1 vs. Washington: 436 yards vs. 398
Game 2 vs. Atlanta: 286 yards vs. 367
Game 3 vs. Detroit: 373 yards vs. 287
TOTAL after three: 1,095 yards vs. 1,052
When the season began, it was conceivable the Eagles opened the season as the NFC favorites. Many people felt they would be undefeated. They're better than their record, and might be the best 1-2 team in the NFL.
I'm still convinced professional players do not play enough in the preseason. They play too many games, but the starters do not play enough of the games. It's causing a lack of continuity between quarterbacks and receivers over the first few weeks. Weeks 1 and 2 the last six years are 62 percent to the under, while Week 3 is 60 percent to the over. It clearly shows there is more continuity to the quarterback-to-receiver combination. Sure, we see the Bookmakers adjusting down to the low scoring, but the chemistry arrives.
And tonight I'm expecting Carson Wentz to be much better, especially with Alshon Jeffery returning to the lineup.
As a whole, at 1-2 and the Dallas Cowboys out to a 3-0 start, the Eagles will know what they're up against and will be an angry bunch of Green Birds looking for an outright win. They'll be well-prepared, and if I were the Packers, I would be scared to face a 1-2 team that will be this hungry and this good.
I'm not concerned with this one being on the road, as Wentz has thrown two or more touchdown passes in five of his past seven on the road. He also has thrown seven touchdowns vs. zero interceptions in his past three games against teams from the NFC North.
On defense, the Eagles will bring tackle Fletcher Cox, who has 5 1/2 sacks and a forced fumble in his last four on the road, and cornerback Rasul Douglas, who had two pass deflections last week and will be looking for his fifth straight game with a pass deflection. Cornerback Sidney Jones is another ball hawk and has also recorded at least one pass deflection in four straight.
Finally, I want you to think about the fact we give home teams an extra field goal for home field. That means these supposed, big bad Packers are just a 1-point favorite on a neutral field, and would 2-point dogs in Philly. I mean, as good as they've looked, and how bad the Eagles have apparently been, why is the line only 4 AT Lambeau Field?
Take the much-better-than-we've-seen-Eagles against the fradulent Packers tonight.
Miller locks
7:05 pm est mlb
chicago cubs vs. Pittsburgh pirates
pick: Pittsburgh pirates (+108)
risk: 11 units
8:00 pm est ncaaf
navy vs. Memphis
pick: Navy +11 (-112)
risk: 11 units
8:20 pm est nfl
philadelphia eagles vs. Green bay packers
pick: Green bay packers -4 (+100)
risk: 11 units
7:05 pm est mlb
chicago cubs vs. Pittsburgh pirates
pick: Pittsburgh pirates (+108)
risk: 11 units
8:00 pm est ncaaf
navy vs. Memphis
pick: Navy +11 (-112)
risk: 11 units
8:20 pm est nfl
philadelphia eagles vs. Green bay packers
pick: Green bay packers -4 (+100)
risk: 11 units
Rob Veno
Game: (907) Philadelphia Phillies at (908) Washington Nationals
Date/Time: Sep 26 2019 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (-138)
View Analysis
Game: (919) Houston Astros at (920) Los Angeles Angels
Date/Time: Sep 26 2019 10:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 9.5 (-120)
Game: (907) Philadelphia Phillies at (908) Washington Nationals
Date/Time: Sep 26 2019 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (-138)
View Analysis
Game: (919) Houston Astros at (920) Los Angeles Angels
Date/Time: Sep 26 2019 10:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 9.5 (-120)
DR. CHUCK
Game: (103) NAVY at (104) MEMPHIS
Date/Time: Sep 26 2019 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H MEMPHIS -7.0 (-103)
View Analysis
Memphis was a team we backed last year in this matchup when Navy was on the downside and Memphis putting together a nice season still working toward excelling as they had in the Fuentes days. The game moved to the 4th quarter looking like a comfortable road chalk cover of the small -3/-4 line...and ended with nasty turnover-laden football and an outright loss! Navy defeated the Tigers 22-21 and outscored them with 2 late TDs and Memphis not able to do much at all in the final frame.
The Tigers coaching staff do NOT forget how this went...and how Navy turned out to be last season as a whole with only 2 other wins on the season...against Lehigh and Tulsa. I imagine this game starting out the same way...Memphis is solid against the run, Navy won't be likely to call but a couple pass plays in the first half...and considering I don't HATE the full game line at -10 if you can get it...the first half at reduced juice and a mere TD is bargain basement....at home...revenge...and the better team on both sides of the ball.
Memphis can get into the backfield...and has a great YPP differential on the short season...I really don't know if Navy sticks around where this might finish....but 20-7 or 10 for the first half sure feels like it won't be all that difficult for the Tiger offense!
Game: (907) Philadelphia Phillies at (908) Washington Nationals
Date/Time: Sep 26 2019 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Washington Nationals -0.5 (-150)
View Analysis
Vargas v. Strasburg
Bryce has hurt feelings and the Nats want to host the Wild card game and SS is on the mound backed by a solid LHP hitting lineup...at home...and facing the worst lineup against RHP in the entire league over the past 2 weeks .
In nearly 300 PAs
23 wRC
-13.3 wRAA
.265 wOBA
65 wRC+
Ridiculously terrible and not aided by a Cy Young caliber starter who knows he can come up huge!
Game: (103) NAVY at (104) MEMPHIS
Date/Time: Sep 26 2019 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H MEMPHIS -7.0 (-103)
View Analysis
Memphis was a team we backed last year in this matchup when Navy was on the downside and Memphis putting together a nice season still working toward excelling as they had in the Fuentes days. The game moved to the 4th quarter looking like a comfortable road chalk cover of the small -3/-4 line...and ended with nasty turnover-laden football and an outright loss! Navy defeated the Tigers 22-21 and outscored them with 2 late TDs and Memphis not able to do much at all in the final frame.
The Tigers coaching staff do NOT forget how this went...and how Navy turned out to be last season as a whole with only 2 other wins on the season...against Lehigh and Tulsa. I imagine this game starting out the same way...Memphis is solid against the run, Navy won't be likely to call but a couple pass plays in the first half...and considering I don't HATE the full game line at -10 if you can get it...the first half at reduced juice and a mere TD is bargain basement....at home...revenge...and the better team on both sides of the ball.
Memphis can get into the backfield...and has a great YPP differential on the short season...I really don't know if Navy sticks around where this might finish....but 20-7 or 10 for the first half sure feels like it won't be all that difficult for the Tiger offense!
Game: (907) Philadelphia Phillies at (908) Washington Nationals
Date/Time: Sep 26 2019 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Washington Nationals -0.5 (-150)
View Analysis
Vargas v. Strasburg
Bryce has hurt feelings and the Nats want to host the Wild card game and SS is on the mound backed by a solid LHP hitting lineup...at home...and facing the worst lineup against RHP in the entire league over the past 2 weeks .
In nearly 300 PAs
23 wRC
-13.3 wRAA
.265 wOBA
65 wRC+
Ridiculously terrible and not aided by a Cy Young caliber starter who knows he can come up huge!
