2012 MLB O/U Record: 336-311-40, -$1,641 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Yesterday started promising with a best bet victory, but then I forced two small overs from the night slate, despite not having a real grasp on most of those games, which took away most of my winnings from the Alvarez vs Pettitte under. I feel like for most of this month, I just haven’t been my usual self in terms of passionately being all over on top of every baseball over/under of every day as much as I’ve been these past five months. Is it possible I’m finally gassed and my mind has automatically been focusing on football? Could be, since, unlike last year, I *have* to be all over football while I’m writing about it and have people tailing me and my 15-10-1 record, as opposed to last year when I didn’t really concentrate on NFL in September, allowing me to have my most profitable month for baseball. Whatever it is, I’m the only one who can control it, and with these last couple of weeks winding down, I need to fix that. Let’s see how this Thursday goes…
Tom Milone vs Anibal Sanchez UNDER 8.5 - $36 for $30
Yes, I know he more-so goes by “Tommy Milone” this year (I like to live in 2011 when I was at my best, and he was simply “Tom Milone” as a member of the Nationals last year), and I know there’s a big discrepancy between his home and road splits (Being MUCH better within the cozy confines of the Oakland Coliseum, obviously), but overall, he’s just a real solid pitcher with a very bright future who will eventually figure out how to fix his road woes. It’d be awfully tough to just suddenly undo that against a tough Tigers’line-up, but he has made steps in the right direction, only allowing two runs over his past two road starts (In Seattle and Cleveland), and in addition, he does have a quality start this year against Detroit under his belt, when he held them to one run in seven innings back in mid-May. So, considering their struggles against left-handed pitching (Most notably Prince Fielder), it is doable to get another fine outing out of Milone, even on the road, which is all we’ll need with the line where it’s at. The same can be said for Anibal Sanchez, who has finally settled in comfortably in his new Tiger uniform, as after struggling in his first few starts with the club, he’s tossed five straight quality starts. Against an Oakland team that is suddenly reeling, he absolutely has the potential to extend that streak to six, but even if he doesn’t, there’s room for error. I think the worst-case scenario for this game is 7-2, and if that’s the case, the odds are definitely in our favor of securing this under, especially with that extra half-run. It’s a fine bet to get your day started.
Note: This is NOT my best bet today. My best bet will be from the 7 o’clock slate… which I’ll post a little later with a detailed write-up so make sure you check my article again for that. In the meantime, I do have other afternoon over/unders that I’m on board with:
Other 9/20 MLB Over/Under Bets I’m Taking:
Johnny Cueto vs Jason Berken OVER 8.5 -$25 for $20
The wind is blowing 13 MPH out to right field, and with a true scrub like Jason Berken involved, the Reds’ offense is capable of single-handedly winning this over. Hell, I’m still shocked that Berken has somehow found himself back into a Major League rotation, after flopping miserably for years with Baltimore not too long ago, and it showed in his first start back when the struggling Pirates pounded him. Johnny Cueto is a sure-fire NL Cy Young candidate, but hasn’t been his consistent first-half dominant self every time out since the all-star break, meaning there’spotential that even he could get tagged for a couple of runs. Reds ML and Reds RL are also very good bets - probably worthy of a bigger bet than the over - but that’s not my department. The over is worth at least a small wager.
May Take, But Still Thinking:
Bud Norris vs Jamie Garcia UNDER 8
This decision has EVERYTHING to do with my boy and my favorite pitcher in all of baseball, who I’ve probably written tens of thousands of words about this year, that being Bud Norris. Here’s the issue: He’s coming off the flu, which he had the past few days, and since he’s a very mentally-oriented pitcher (As in he lets things snowball if one thing doesn’t go his way, even if it’s out of his control), and that’s something that could easily affect him and derail his mindset, which is especially crucial for a guy like Norris. The main thing to like heading into this start, though, as I’ve written about a few times this year, is how he OWNS the Cardinals (7-4, 2.61 ERA in 13 career starts opposing them), and it’s been like that ever since he made his first Major League start back in ’09 - literally! It was against St.Louis whom he recorded a dominant starting debut, but if he’s not healthy, that could all go out the window. I’m not worried at all about Jaime Garcia, as he finally overcame his well-documented road problems in his last start to enjoy a pretty good outing against the Dodgers, which should make him feel real good mentally, but that doesn’t even really matter for this start. He’s home today, where he easily excels a lot more to the point where sometimes he’s just unhittable. It might be a mental thing, which we’ll gladly take as it pertains to this specific home start. Garcia is also a southpaw, which I love considering the Astros are absolutely dreadful against left-handed pitching… they hit .208 vs lefties, which is easily dead-last in baseball. The second-to-last team? They hit over .220. The Astros are far from the norm against southpaws, perhaps even of historical proportions.
**Will Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Yesterday started promising with a best bet victory, but then I forced two small overs from the night slate, despite not having a real grasp on most of those games, which took away most of my winnings from the Alvarez vs Pettitte under. I feel like for most of this month, I just haven’t been my usual self in terms of passionately being all over on top of every baseball over/under of every day as much as I’ve been these past five months. Is it possible I’m finally gassed and my mind has automatically been focusing on football? Could be, since, unlike last year, I *have* to be all over football while I’m writing about it and have people tailing me and my 15-10-1 record, as opposed to last year when I didn’t really concentrate on NFL in September, allowing me to have my most profitable month for baseball. Whatever it is, I’m the only one who can control it, and with these last couple of weeks winding down, I need to fix that. Let’s see how this Thursday goes…
Tom Milone vs Anibal Sanchez UNDER 8.5 - $36 for $30
Yes, I know he more-so goes by “Tommy Milone” this year (I like to live in 2011 when I was at my best, and he was simply “Tom Milone” as a member of the Nationals last year), and I know there’s a big discrepancy between his home and road splits (Being MUCH better within the cozy confines of the Oakland Coliseum, obviously), but overall, he’s just a real solid pitcher with a very bright future who will eventually figure out how to fix his road woes. It’d be awfully tough to just suddenly undo that against a tough Tigers’line-up, but he has made steps in the right direction, only allowing two runs over his past two road starts (In Seattle and Cleveland), and in addition, he does have a quality start this year against Detroit under his belt, when he held them to one run in seven innings back in mid-May. So, considering their struggles against left-handed pitching (Most notably Prince Fielder), it is doable to get another fine outing out of Milone, even on the road, which is all we’ll need with the line where it’s at. The same can be said for Anibal Sanchez, who has finally settled in comfortably in his new Tiger uniform, as after struggling in his first few starts with the club, he’s tossed five straight quality starts. Against an Oakland team that is suddenly reeling, he absolutely has the potential to extend that streak to six, but even if he doesn’t, there’s room for error. I think the worst-case scenario for this game is 7-2, and if that’s the case, the odds are definitely in our favor of securing this under, especially with that extra half-run. It’s a fine bet to get your day started.
Note: This is NOT my best bet today. My best bet will be from the 7 o’clock slate… which I’ll post a little later with a detailed write-up so make sure you check my article again for that. In the meantime, I do have other afternoon over/unders that I’m on board with:
Other 9/20 MLB Over/Under Bets I’m Taking:
Johnny Cueto vs Jason Berken OVER 8.5 -$25 for $20
The wind is blowing 13 MPH out to right field, and with a true scrub like Jason Berken involved, the Reds’ offense is capable of single-handedly winning this over. Hell, I’m still shocked that Berken has somehow found himself back into a Major League rotation, after flopping miserably for years with Baltimore not too long ago, and it showed in his first start back when the struggling Pirates pounded him. Johnny Cueto is a sure-fire NL Cy Young candidate, but hasn’t been his consistent first-half dominant self every time out since the all-star break, meaning there’spotential that even he could get tagged for a couple of runs. Reds ML and Reds RL are also very good bets - probably worthy of a bigger bet than the over - but that’s not my department. The over is worth at least a small wager.
May Take, But Still Thinking:
Bud Norris vs Jamie Garcia UNDER 8
This decision has EVERYTHING to do with my boy and my favorite pitcher in all of baseball, who I’ve probably written tens of thousands of words about this year, that being Bud Norris. Here’s the issue: He’s coming off the flu, which he had the past few days, and since he’s a very mentally-oriented pitcher (As in he lets things snowball if one thing doesn’t go his way, even if it’s out of his control), and that’s something that could easily affect him and derail his mindset, which is especially crucial for a guy like Norris. The main thing to like heading into this start, though, as I’ve written about a few times this year, is how he OWNS the Cardinals (7-4, 2.61 ERA in 13 career starts opposing them), and it’s been like that ever since he made his first Major League start back in ’09 - literally! It was against St.Louis whom he recorded a dominant starting debut, but if he’s not healthy, that could all go out the window. I’m not worried at all about Jaime Garcia, as he finally overcame his well-documented road problems in his last start to enjoy a pretty good outing against the Dodgers, which should make him feel real good mentally, but that doesn’t even really matter for this start. He’s home today, where he easily excels a lot more to the point where sometimes he’s just unhittable. It might be a mental thing, which we’ll gladly take as it pertains to this specific home start. Garcia is also a southpaw, which I love considering the Astros are absolutely dreadful against left-handed pitching… they hit .208 vs lefties, which is easily dead-last in baseball. The second-to-last team? They hit over .220. The Astros are far from the norm against southpaws, perhaps even of historical proportions.
**Will Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**