Sunday Service Play Thread 10/20/2019

[RapidRacing]

[FONT=arial, helvetica][SIZE=-1][h=2]BIG AL's 37-12 ATS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH -- Sunday[/h][/SIZE][FONT=arial, helvetica][SIZE=-1]At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears minus the points over the New Orleans Saints. When we last saw Matt Nagy's Bears, they were across the pond, in London, England, two weeks ago. We played against Chicago in that game, and were rewarded with an upset win by Oakland. Chicago had last week off to recover from the long plane trip. And rested NFL teams have now gone 12-3-2 ATS off a straight-up loss in their London game, including a perfect 4-0 ATS as a favorite. That bodes well for Chicago here against a Saints team playing its 2nd road game in as many weeks. It's true that New Orleans is red-hot, with 4 SU/ATS wins in a row. And given that New Orleans was my choice to win the Super Bowl (at 10-1 odds), I certainly am excited about its prospects. Unfortunately, unrested road teams off 4 SU/ATS wins are a poor 52-79 ATS vs. winning opponents, including 9-25 ATS their last 34 when priced from +2.5 to +4.5 points. This will be a rout. Lay the points with the Bears. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. [/SIZE][/FONT]
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[RapidRacing]

[FONT=arial, helvetica][SIZE=-1][h=2]BIG AL's ONE AND ONLY NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK -- Sunday[/h][/SIZE][/FONT][FONT=arial, helvetica][SIZE=-1]At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Tennessee Titans/Los Angeles Chargers game. On the surface, this looks like it will be a very low-scoring game. The Chargers' last five games have averaged 36.8 ppg, while the Titans' last five games have averaged 10 points less, at 26.8 ppg. And each of those 10 games have gone 'under' the total. So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another 'under' here. But such knee-jerk reactions are often wrong. Indeed, over the last 40 years, NFL teams have gone 'over' 65% of the time if one team played its last 5 (or more) games 'under' the total, and its opponent played its last 3 (or more) games 'under' the total, and the Over/Under line was 42 or less points. And the Titans have gone 57-30 'over' the total after scoring less than 14 points in their previous game, if the Over/Under line in their current game was 42 or less points. Take the Chargers and Titans 'over' the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.[/SIZE][/FONT]

 

[RapidRacing]

[FONT=arial, helvetica][SIZE=-1][h=2]BIG AL's ONE AND ONLY NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK -- Sunday[/h][/SIZE][FONT=arial, helvetica][SIZE=-1]At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Tennessee Titans/Los Angeles Chargers game. On the surface, this looks like it will be a very low-scoring game. The Chargers' last five games have averaged 36.8 ppg, while the Titans' last five games have averaged 10 points less, at 26.8 ppg. And each of those 10 games have gone 'under' the total. So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another 'under' here. But such knee-jerk reactions are often wrong. Indeed, over the last 40 years, NFL teams have gone 'over' 65% of the time if one team played its last 5 (or more) games 'under' the total, and its opponent played its last 3 (or more) games 'under' the total, and the Over/Under line was 42 or less points. And the Titans have gone 57-30 'over' the total after scoring less than 14 points in their previous game, if the Over/Under line in their current game was 42 or less points. Take the Chargers and Titans 'over' the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. [/SIZE][/FONT]
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[RapidRacing]

Oops, sorry. Double post. GOOD LUCK, guys.

 

[TheRooster]

Mike Lombardi GM Podcast

15-10 YTD ATS

Jaguars
Bears (least fav)
Raiders
Ravens only +3.5 or better
bonus
49ers (best)

 

[BuzzKill]

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest leader is Tuco. He is 27-3 against the spread. He went 4-1 last Sunday. His selections for this Sunday are:

Buffalo
Jacksonville
San Francisco
Chicago
New York Jets

 

[BuzzKill]

Essler 3* GOM

Colts -1

 

[BuzzKill]

+EV: NFL 4u: 464 Atlanta Falcons +3 -106 (Sunday, October 20th)

+EV: NFL 4u: 462 Cincinnati Bengals +4 -104 (Sunday, October 20th)

 

[DVSone12]

Anyone has Lenier 3000* play?

 

[SD3]

My apologies guys got Bezo's next 3 yesterday late..didn't get it in myself and of course won all 3 but for anyone keeping records.
3u Kansas St. +3.5
2u Tulsu +16
2u Michigan +8

 

[SD3]

BEZOBETS
3u LA Rams -3
3u Minnesota ML
3u LA Chargers +2
3u Baltimore +3
2u Oakland +4.5
Monday
3u NY Jets +10

 

[doctork]

Sterling
25 over NYG, over Vikes, LAC, da Bears

 

[SkipReap]

[h=2]NFAC

468) TENNESSEE ML (-140)...($1,000) - BIG MOVE via Pinnacle[/h][h=2]451) OVER 50.5 ARI-NYG...($750) via Pinnacle[/h][h=2]471) OVER 48.5 BAL-SEA...($750) via Bookmaker[/h][h=2]454) INDIANAPOLIS PK...($750) via Bookmaker[/h][h=2]471) NEW ORLEANS +4...($600) via 5Dimes[/h][h=2]472) UNDER 37.5 NOS-CHI...($600) via Bovada at 38[/h][h=2]457) MINNESOTA ML(-135)...($600) Pinnacle at -133[/h][h=2]457) UNDER 44 MIN-DET...($500) via Cantor & William Hill[/h][h=2]453) UNDER 47.5 HOU-IND...($500) via Bookmaker[/h][h=2]455) OVER 40.5 MIA-BUFF...($500) via Westgate[/h][h=2]459) OAKLAND +4.5...($750) via Pinnacle[/h]

 

[SkipReap]

Bmc 1000?

 

[Crown]

Cal Sports
5* MN Under
4* Bears

 

[SkipReap]

PGF 3%
colts pk

LV Wolf
indy ML
Titans u40
eagles +3

 

[bmd1803]

Warren Sharp

Eagles +3
Raiders +6

 

[bmd1803]

ATS

5 san fran
5 saints
5 baltimore over

 

[bmd1803]

Top Rank Sports

Marquee Picks For 10/20/19

5★ N.Y. Giants -3 over Arizona (NFL)

3★ New Orleans +4 over Chicago (NFL)

 

[bmd1803]

Prediction Computer

NFL PREDICTIONS

ATS STRAIGHT PLAYS

OAKLAND -5* 81%

BUFFALO -3* 64%

HOUSTON -4* 74%

ARIZONA -3* 61%

SAINTS -2* 57%

SEATTLE -4* 77%

OVER/UNDERS

UNDER ARIZONA/NEW YORK -5* 82%
UNDER CHARGERS/TITANS -4* 72%
UNDER DETROIT/VIKINGS -2* 57%
OVER PATRIOTS/JETS -5* 87%
UNDER SKINS/49ERS -3* 66%

MONEYLINES

SEATTLE -5* 87%