Kenny White
NEW ORLEANS -3.5
TAMPA BAY @ NEW ORLEANS | 9/13 | 4:25 PM EDT
11:16 AM
This is not a fade of Tampa Bay because of the Tom Brady hype, but more the talented New Orleans Saints. I have the Saints' offensive line ranked No. 1, the offense No. 2 behind Kansas City and the defense No. 5. I also like the angle that Brady has had no game snaps with his new teammates. No preseason is a big advantage for New Orleans.
N.Y. JETS +6.5
N.Y. JETS @ BUFFALO | 9/13 | 1:00 PM EDT
11:09 AM
A divisional rivalry in Week 1. Buffalo's Josh Allen is one of the least accurate quarterbacks when throwing the deep ball, and the New York Jets defense was No. 2 against the run last year. A big reason why both meetings last season were very low-scoring. Buffalo won 17-16 at New York and the Jets posted a 13-6 road triumph in the season finale as the Bills rested many starters for the playoffs. With no preseason, I would expect these two defenses to dominate, giving more value to the plus-6.5 points.
3-0 IN LAST 3 BUF ATS PICKS | +300
3-1 IN LAST 4 NYJ ATS PICKS | +187
NEW ORLEANS -3.5
TAMPA BAY @ NEW ORLEANS | 9/13 | 4:25 PM EDT
11:16 AM
This is not a fade of Tampa Bay because of the Tom Brady hype, but more the talented New Orleans Saints. I have the Saints' offensive line ranked No. 1, the offense No. 2 behind Kansas City and the defense No. 5. I also like the angle that Brady has had no game snaps with his new teammates. No preseason is a big advantage for New Orleans.
N.Y. JETS +6.5
N.Y. JETS @ BUFFALO | 9/13 | 1:00 PM EDT
11:09 AM
A divisional rivalry in Week 1. Buffalo's Josh Allen is one of the least accurate quarterbacks when throwing the deep ball, and the New York Jets defense was No. 2 against the run last year. A big reason why both meetings last season were very low-scoring. Buffalo won 17-16 at New York and the Jets posted a 13-6 road triumph in the season finale as the Bills rested many starters for the playoffs. With no preseason, I would expect these two defenses to dominate, giving more value to the plus-6.5 points.
3-0 IN LAST 3 BUF ATS PICKS | +300
3-1 IN LAST 4 NYJ ATS PICKS | +187
**TOP LJP Score of the Day achieved on Atlanta -1 over Seattle** Atlanta achieves an LJP 2U after opening as a 1. Stay tuned for updates and if this LJP Score changes, an alert is issued. I'll be deleting Saturday's alerts from TSP Live at 1pm ET to clean it up. TSP Alert - Sunday #3 ~ END OF MESSAGE
(Alert Time: 2020-09-13 16:33:03UTC)
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DR. CHUCK ALL FOOTBALL PLAYS
- Game: (459) Las Vegas Raiders at (460) Carolina Panthers
Date/Time: Sep 13 2020 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 48.0 (-110)
View Analysis
TOP PLAY on our first big Sunday of the new Covid 2020 NFL season and a spot we think is WILDLY underrated, maybe almost a hidden aspect of the slate! (PLAY THIS LIKE A 5% PLAY!!!!!!)
Let's do quick snapshots of small aspects we have here....
Raiders are a road favorite against the extremely new look Panthers playing in Charlotte, by a margin of 3 points...so sight unseen we have a position where the Raiders would be nearly a double digit favorite were this venue flipped to Vegas....if you would agree with that, stop reading...if Panthers +9.5 would probably be your play of the decade, keep rolling with me here...
Twice the Raiders under Gruden have been road favorites and in each of those contests they allowed 34 points to the home team...while scoring 3.....3 total points! Now this would not be enough to cover our total here clearly, but we have a home team here who is almost in roster disarray on the defensive side. Hall of Famer Luke Kuechly retired following 2019 at just 29 years old, Poe and McCoy are gone, Bradberry was too expensive, Irvin, Addison, and Reid were all allowed to go, leaving just Short, Boston, and Donte Jackson really from the core of the defense under Rivera from last season. Matt Rhule wasn't brought in for his defensive prowess either, as an offensive guru, so this really isn't all that crazy. However, Teddy Bridgewater and Robbie Anderson were brought in and they moved on from Olson at TE, moving Ian Thomas into the lead role.
Offense offense offense is what I see from Carolina...and against the Vegas D this should be fun to watch...Teddy Bridgewater is 16-2 ATS in his short career as a dog, and here he is at home, against a team traveling all the way across the country...and with a defense that ranked 24th overall in 2019....but they are traveling to Charlotte to play a defense that ranked 31st in overall defense....BEFORE they completely took a facelift due to FA and retirements!
I am not sure why this hasn't sky rocketed up further toward 50, but I power rank this as a floor of 27-23 and a ceiling of 38-35 and the value here is NUTS....especially for a week 1 game! - Game: (455) Cleveland Browns at (456) Baltimore Ravens
Date/Time: Sep 13 2020 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Cleveland Browns +8.0 (-110)
View Analysis
DOES THIS MAKE ME A SHEEP?
Maybe it does, but wow this line is BATSHIT craziness to the nth degree. I line this game in the 4 range, but I also think the Browns are at least as likely to the be the outright dog winner of the day.
Here's what we know....
The Browns MASSIVELY underachieved their SB expectations of 2019, and the Ravens went nuts all over everyone and by a lot of points regularly, had the MVP in Lamar Jackson, then came crashing down hard to the Titans in the playoffs where they barely were competitive in the playoff game....solved?....maybe....but this number of points as a division rival and hated rival and with the wild dichotomy of last season....this line REEKS, and the public so eager to fade the Browns and Baker and OBJ and FO "disarray" and new head coach, therefore new system....I'll gladly go the other way....with a tiny wager on the ML if we're being honest.....but who cares, because the Browns getting the most points on the slate is LOONEY TOONS!
4-2 NCAAF yesterday!
1 NBA and 13 NFL Plays risking 2 units each.
ATL/SEA Under 49
CAR/LV Under 48
IND/JAC Under 44.5
NO/TAM Under 47.5
LAC/CIN Under 41
DET/CHI Under 42.5
SF/ARI Over 47.5
New Orleans -3.5
SanFran -7
GreenBay +2
Dallas -2
Las Vegas -3
Cleveland +7.5
NBA
LA/DEN Over 214.5
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1 NBA and 13 NFL Plays risking 2 units each.
ATL/SEA Under 49
CAR/LV Under 48
IND/JAC Under 44.5
NO/TAM Under 47.5
LAC/CIN Under 41
DET/CHI Under 42.5
SF/ARI Over 47.5
New Orleans -3.5
SanFran -7
GreenBay +2
Dallas -2
Las Vegas -3
Cleveland +7.5
NBA
LA/DEN Over 214.5
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Triple Dime Bet: Rams +3
