Sunday 12/23/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc

[bmd1803]

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns Preview and Predictions 2018-12-23
NFL PREDICTIONS 20TH DECEMBER 2018 BY GRACENOTE

The Cleveland Browns have come a long way in short time, as they have gone from a winless 2017 campaign to a team that still has an outside chance at the playoffs entering Week 16. Cleveland hopes to have the chance to keep its slim hopes alive when it hosts the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday.


The Browns, who also are seeking their first three-game winning streak of the year and a sweep of the season series against their in-state rivals, needs Baltimore to lose to the Los Angeles Chargers on Saturday in order to entertain any thoughts of the postseason when they take the field. Regardless, they enter the matchup having won four of their last five contests, including last week's 17-16 triumph in Denver (as a +2 point underdog at intertops). Cleveland's current surge includes a 35-20 victory at Cincinnati in Week 12 that ended its seven-game losing streak in the all-time series. The Bengals halted their five-game slide last week, defeating visiting Oakland 30-16 for their first win since Week 8.


TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Browns -9.5 O/U: 44.5


ABOUT THE BENGALS (6-8): Joe Mixon hopes for a repeat performance after rushing for 129 yards and two touchdowns against the Raiders last week. It was the second career multi-TD effort by the 22-year-old, who recorded 155 scrimmage yards and a personal-best seven receptions in Cincinnati's first meeting with Cleveland this year. Defensive end Sam Hubbard registered the first multi-sack performance of his rookie season last week with a pair after notching four over his first 13 games.

ABOUT THE BROWNS (6-7-1): Baker Mayfield leads all rookies with 21 touchdown passes and needs three to pass Andrew Luck (23 in 2012) for second-most by a rookie selected first overall in the common draft era. The 23-year-old had a stellar performance in his first meeting with Cincinnati, throwing for 258 yards and a career-high four TDs without an interception as Cleveland ended its string of 25 consecutive road losses. Running back Nick Chubb is one of three rookies in the league with at least 1,000 scrimmage yards (1,010) and 10 touchdowns (10) this season.


EXTRA POINTS


1. Bengals DT Geno Atkins, who notched a career-high three sacks last week, was selected to start in his seventh Pro-Bowl appearance.


2. Cleveland DE Myles Garrett and CB Denzel Ward were named to the Pro Bowl for the first time in their careers, with the former earning the start.


3. Cincinnati placed Malik Jefferson (toe) on injured reserve and promoted fellow LB Chris Worley from the practice squad.


PREDICTION: Browns 24, Bengals 20

 

[bmd1803]

Cincinnati at Cleveland 2018-12-23 1:00 PMat Cleveland 2018-12-23 1:00 PM
Cleveland Over Under Trends	%	overs	under	push
Over is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.	80.0	4	1	0
Under is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games overall.	80.0	1	4	0
Under is 5-1 in Browns last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.	83.3	1	5	0
Under is 20-8 in Browns last 28 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.	71.4	8	20	0
Under is 11-2 in Browns last 13 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.	84.6	2	11	0
Under is 39-11-2 in Browns last 52 games in December.	78.0	11	39	2
Under is 19-7 in Browns last 26 home games.	73.1	7	19	0
Under is 14-4 in Browns last 18 games as a home underdog.	77.8	4	14	0
Under is 19-8 in Browns last 27 games on grass.	70.4	8	19	0
Over is 4-1 in Browns last 5 vs. AFC North.	80.0	4	1	0
Under is 14-3 in Browns last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.	82.4	3	14	0
Over is 6-2 in Browns last 8 games as a favorite.	75.0	6	2	0
Under is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.	80.0	1	4	0
Under is 16-6 in Browns last 22 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.	72.7	6	16	0
Under is 14-2 in Browns last 16 games in Week 16.	87.5	2	14	0
Under is 4-0 in Browns last 4 games as an underdog.	100.0	0	4	0
Under is 5-2 in Browns last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	71.4	2	5	0
Cleveland Point Spread Trends	%	wins	losses	push
Browns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.	0.0	0	4	0
Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.	16.7	1	5	0
Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.	71.4	5	2	0
Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.	80.0	4	1	0
Browns are 5-11 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.	31.2	5	11	0
Browns are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.	23.8	5	16	1
Browns are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.	31.2	5	11	0
Browns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.	0.0	0	4	0
Browns are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games as an underdog.	32.0	16	34	1
Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.	16.7	1	5	0
Browns are 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.	31.2	10	22	0
Browns are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.	31.2	5	11	0
Browns are 18-37-1 ATS in their last 56 games overall.	32.7	18	37	1
Browns are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. AFC North.	25.0	5	15	1
Cincinnati Over Under Trends	%	overs	under	push
Under is 9-3 in Bengals last 12 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.	75.0	3	9	0
Under is 15-7-1 in Bengals last 23 vs. a team with a losing record.	68.2	7	15	1
Over is 4-1-1 in Bengals last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.	80.0	4	1	1
Over is 5-2 in Bengals last 7 road games.	71.4	5	2	0
Over is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.	80.0	4	1	0
Over is 6-2 in Bengals last 8 games following a straight up win.	75.0	6	2	0
Under is 35-16-1 in Bengals last 52 games in December.	68.6	16	35	1
Under is 6-1 in Bengals last 7 games as a road favorite.	85.7	1	6	0
Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.	100.0	0	4	0
Under is 5-2-1 in Bengals last 8 vs. AFC.	71.4	2	5	1
Over is 7-1 in Bengals last 8 vs. AFC North.	87.5	7	1	0
Under is 19-9-1 in Bengals last 29 games following a ATS win.	67.9	9	19	1
Under is 6-2 in Bengals last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.	75.0	2	6	0
Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.	100.0	0	4	0
Under is 8-3 in Bengals last 11 games in Week 16.	72.7	3	8	0
Under is 12-4 in Bengals last 16 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.	75.0	4	12	0
Under is 5-2 in Bengals last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	71.4	2	5	0
Under is 9-4 in Bengals last 13 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.	69.2	4	9	0
Cincinnati Point Spread Trends	%	wins	losses	push
Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.	80.0	4	1	0
Bengals are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 16.	91.7	11	1	0
Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.	83.3	5	1	0
Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.	80.0	4	1	0
Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.	16.7	1	5	0
Bengals are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games in December.	71.4	20	8	0
Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.	71.4	5	2	0
Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.	70.0	7	3	0
Bengals are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. AFC.	73.3	11	4	0
Bengals are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite.	77.8	7	2	0
Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.	70.0	7	3	0
Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC North.	71.4	5	2	0
Bengals are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games on grass.	68.4	13	6	0
Bengals are 24-10-2 ATS in their last 36 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	70.6	24	10	2
Bengals are 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.	69.2	9	4	2
Bengals are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.	75.0	18	6	2

 

[bmd1803]

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions Preview and Predictions 2018-12-23
NFL PREDICTIONS 21ST DECEMBER 2018 BY GRACENOTE

The Minnesota Vikings look to move closer to obtaining an NFC wild-card berth when they visit the Detroit Lions on Sunday. Minnesota currently occupies the second wild-card spot, sitting one-half game ahead of Philadelphia and Washington.


The Vikings fired offensive coordinator John DeFilippo after a dismal 21-7 loss to the Seahawks in Week 14 and replaced him with Kevin Stefanski, who was an immediate hit as the team registered a season high for points in last Sunday's 41-17 rout of Miami (as a -8 point favorite at intertops). Minnesota dropped three of its four games prior to the impressive victory and isn't about to look past Detroit, which has been eliminated from playoff contention. "They'll fight hard," Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins told reporters regarding the Lions. "We're all in this league fighting to put good things on tape, and we're all being evaluated, and nobody's safe. I think we're going to get a battle for four quarters." The Lions dropped a 14-13 decision to Buffalo last week, their sixth setback in eight games.


TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Vikings -6 O/U: 42.5


ABOUT THE VIKINGS (7-6-1): Minnesota recorded a franchise-record 10 sacks in a 24-9 win over the Lions on Nov. 4 as defensive end Danielle Hunter registered 3.5 of them and also returned a fumble 32 yards for a touchdown. Hunter is tied for second in the NFL with 14.5 sacks and notched two in the victory over the Dolphins as the Vikings posted nine overall. Cousins is 87 yards shy of his fourth straight 4,000-yard campaign while wide receiver Adam Thielen ranks second in the league in receptions (105) and eighth in receiving yards (1,255) despite recording season lows of two and 19 against Miami.

ABOUT THE LIONS (5-9): Matthew Stafford (19 touchdowns, 11 interceptions) will start his 127th consecutive regular-season game despite a sore back as he wasn't interested in listening to suggestions that he should sit out the final two games with the Lions having nothing for which to play. "I spend all offseason and all season working hard and playing games with these teammates and for this organization," Stafford told reporters. "So, I take no games for granted and I go out there and play whenever I feel like I can." Cornerback Darius Slay (three interceptions) is returning to the Pro Bowl as he is just the third Detroit defensive back to receive that honor in back-to-back seasons, joining Lem Barney (1972-73, 1975-76) and Dre Bly (2003-04).


EXTRA POINTS


1. Minnesota DT Tom Johnson recorded 2.5 sacks in the victory over the Lions in Week 9.


2. Vikings RB Dalvin Cook rushed for a career-high 136 yards and scored two touchdowns in the win over the Dolphins.


3. Detroit RB Kerryon Johnson (knee), who is the team's leading rusher with 641 yards despite playing in just 10 games, was placed on injured reserve.


PREDICTION: Vikings 30, Lions 24

 

[bmd1803]

Minnesota at Detroit 2018-12-23 1:00 PMat Detroit 2018-12-23 1:00 PM
Detroit Over Under Trends	%	overs	under	push
Under is 5-0 in Lions last 5 games overall.	100.0	0	5	0
Over is 36-16-3 in Lions last 55 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.	69.2	36	16	3
Over is 5-2 in Lions last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.	71.4	5	2	0
Over is 5-2 in Lions last 7 games as a home favorite.	71.4	5	2	0
Over is 13-5 in Lions last 18 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.	72.2	13	5	0
Under is 6-1 in Lions last 7 games in December.	85.7	1	6	0
Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 home games.	100.0	0	4	0
Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games as a home underdog.	100.0	0	4	0
Under is 5-0 in Lions last 5 games on fieldturf.	100.0	0	5	0
Under is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a straight up loss.	80.0	1	4	0
Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 vs. NFC.	100.0	0	4	0
Over is 41-20-2 in Lions last 63 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.	67.2	41	20	2
Under is 5-2 in Lions last 7 games in Week 16.	71.4	2	5	0
Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games as an underdog.	100.0	0	4	0
Under is 5-2 in Lions last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.	71.4	2	5	0
Detroit Point Spread Trends	%	wins	losses	push
Lions are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.	32.1	9	19	0
Lions are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.	70.0	7	3	1
Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.	28.6	2	5	0
Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 16.	16.7	1	5	0
Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.	80.0	4	1	1
Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.	71.4	5	2	0
Lions are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.	68.4	13	6	1
Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.	0.0	0	4	0
Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in December.	71.4	5	2	0
Lions are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.	30.0	3	7	0
Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.	28.6	2	5	0
Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.	20.0	1	4	0
Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.	20.0	1	4	0
Lions are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.	26.7	4	11	0
Minnesota Over Under Trends	%	overs	under	push
Under is 5-2 in Vikings last 7 games overall.	71.4	2	5	0
Under is 8-3-1 in Vikings last 12 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.	72.7	3	8	1
Over is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.	100.0	4	0	0
Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.	83.3	1	5	0
Under is 6-2 in Vikings last 8 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.	75.0	2	6	0
Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 games in December.	83.3	1	5	0
Over is 7-1 in Vikings last 8 games as a road favorite.	87.5	7	1	0
Over is 6-0 in Vikings last 6 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.	100.0	6	0	0
Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 games on fieldturf.	83.3	1	5	0
Under is 10-4 in Vikings last 14 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.	71.4	4	10	0
Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 vs. NFC.	80.0	1	4	0
Under is 20-7 in Vikings last 27 vs. NFC North.	74.1	7	20	0
Under is 15-6-1 in Vikings last 22 games as a road underdog.	71.4	6	15	1
Under is 37-16 in Vikings last 53 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.	69.8	16	37	0
Under is 7-2 in Vikings last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.	77.8	2	7	0
Under is 9-1 in Vikings last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.	90.0	1	9	0
Over is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games in Week 16.	80.0	4	1	0
Under is 19-7-1 in Vikings last 27 games as an underdog.	73.1	7	19	1
Under is 6-1 in Vikings last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	85.7	1	6	0
Minnesota Point Spread Trends	%	wins	losses	push
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.	80.0	4	1	0
Vikings are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.	100.0	5	0	1
Vikings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.	28.6	2	5	0
Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.	100.0	4	0	1
Vikings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.	72.7	8	3	0
Vikings are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.	20.0	1	4	1
Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 16.	75.0	6	2	0
Vikings are 13-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.	72.2	13	5	1
Vikings are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.	0.0	0	3	1
Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.	83.3	5	1	0
Vikings are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.	100.0	6	0	0
Vikings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.	75.0	9	3	0
Vikings are 29-14 ATS in their last 43 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.	67.4	29	14	0
Vikings are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games in December.	69.0	20	9	0
Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.	0.0	0	4	0
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.	20.0	1	4	0
Vikings are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.	76.9	10	3	0
Vikings are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.	30.8	4	9	1
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.	20.0	1	4	0
Vikings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.	30.0	3	7	0
Vikings are 38-17-1 ATS in their last 56 games on fieldturf.	69.1	38	17	1
Vikings are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	73.1	19	7	0
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.	20.0	1	4	0
Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.	75.0	6	2	0

 

[bmd1803]

Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers Preview and Predictions 2018-12-23
NFL PREDICTIONS 21ST DECEMBER 2018 BY GRACENOTE

Their playoff hopes were dealt a huge blow last week, and now it appears the Carolina Panthers will be without their star quarterback for the final two games of the season. Taylor Heinicke will make his first career start in place of Cam Newton when the Panthers host the NFC South-rival Atlanta Falcons on Sunday.


The Panthers haven't officially shut down Newton for the remainder of the season, but the shoulder injury that clearly bothered him in Monday's 12-9 loss to New Orleans (as a +6 point underdog at intertops) will keep him on the sideline Sunday. That's another blow to Carolina's already flimsy playoff hopes - the team must win its final two games and get help from several teams to sneak into the postseason. Atlanta, which has been eliminated from playoff contention, saw its offense come to life in last week's 40-14 win over Arizona. The Falcons have won five of their last six meetings with the Panthers, including a 31-24 home triumph in Week 2.


TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Falcons -3 O/U: 43.5

ABOUT THE FALCONS (5-9): Atlanta has hovered near the bottom of the league in rushing all season but exploded for a season-high 215 yards last week. The Falcons are dangerous when they're able to run the ball, creating more opportunities for Matt Ryan (4,307 passing yards, 30 touchdowns, six interceptions) and Julio Jones - who leads the NFL with 1,511 receiving yards. The defense was wracked with injuries early in the season but has played better of late as it forced three turnovers while holding Arizona to 253 total yards last week.

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (6-8): Newton's absence changes the dynamic of Carolina's offense, taking away a rushing weapon to complement Christian McCaffrey (1,747 scrimmage yards) and creating a major question mark in the passing game. Heinicke hasn't started a game since his senior year at Old Dominion in 2014 and has thrown only five passes in his NFL career. The Panthers will have to hope for another outstanding performance from their defense, which limited the Saints' prolific offense to a respectable 346 total yards last week.


EXTRA POINTS


1. Ryan has averaged 331.3 passing yards with 12 touchdowns and three interceptions in his last six games against the Panthers.


2. Atlanta WR Calvin Ridley (699) and Carolina WR D.J. Moore (688) rank first and second, respectively, in receiving yards among NFL rookies.


3. Jones has topped 100 yards receiving in four straight road games.


PREDICTION: Falcons 24, Panthers 13

 

[bmd1803]

Atlanta at Carolina 2018-12-23 1:00 PM at Carolina 2018-12-23 1:00 PM
Carolina Over Under Trends	%	overs	under	push
Over is 3-1-1 in Panthers last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.	75.0	3	1	1
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games overall.	80.0	1	4	0
Over is 7-3-1 in Panthers last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.	70.0	7	3	1
Over is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as a home favorite.	100.0	4	0	0
Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.	80.0	4	1	0
Under is 6-2-1 in Panthers last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.	75.0	2	6	1
Under is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 games in December.	100.0	0	5	0
Over is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 home games.	83.3	5	1	0
Under is 7-3-1 in Panthers last 11 games as a home underdog.	70.0	3	7	1
Over is 8-3 in Panthers last 11 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.	72.7	8	3	0
Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games following a straight up loss.	83.3	1	5	0
Under is 5-2 in Panthers last 7 vs. NFC.	71.4	2	5	0
Over is 19-7-1 in Panthers last 27 games following a ATS win.	73.1	19	7	1
Over is 3-1-1 in Panthers last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.	75.0	3	1	1
Over is 25-9-1 in Panthers last 35 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.	73.5	25	9	1
Over is 19-7-1 in Panthers last 27 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.	73.1	19	7	1
Under is 5-0-1 in Panthers last 6 games in Week 16.	100.0	0	5	1
Under is 39-19-1 in Panthers last 59 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.	67.2	19	39	1
Carolina Point Spread Trends	%	wins	losses	push
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.	20.0	1	4	0
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.	20.0	1	4	0
Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.	0.0	0	4	0
Panthers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.	75.0	9	3	0
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.	100.0	4	0	0
Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 16.	0.0	0	4	0
Panthers are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.	14.3	1	6	0
Panthers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.	76.9	10	3	0
Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.	71.4	5	2	0
Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.	83.3	5	1	0
Panthers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.	22.2	2	7	0
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.	20.0	1	4	0
Panthers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.	71.4	10	4	0
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.	20.0	1	4	0
Panthers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.	27.3	3	8	1
Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.	16.7	1	5	0
Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.	80.0	4	1	0
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.	20.0	1	4	0
Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	100.0	6	0	0
Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.	0.0	0	4	0
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.	20.0	1	4	0
Atlanta Over Under Trends	%	overs	under	push
Over is 6-1 in Falcons last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.	85.7	6	1	0
Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.	100.0	0	4	0
Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.	71.4	2	5	0
Over is 13-4-1 in Falcons last 18 vs. a team with a losing record.	76.5	13	4	1
Under is 60-26-4 in Falcons last 90 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.	69.8	26	60	4
Under is 7-3 in Falcons last 10 road games.	70.0	3	7	0
Under is 35-15-1 in Falcons last 51 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.	70.0	15	35	1
Under is 7-2 in Falcons last 9 games following a straight up win.	77.8	2	7	0
Over is 6-1-1 in Falcons last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.	85.7	6	1	1
Under is 6-2-1 in Falcons last 9 games in December.	75.0	2	6	1
Over is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.	100.0	4	0	0
Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games as a road favorite.	80.0	1	4	0
Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.	83.3	5	1	0
Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games as a favorite.	80.0	1	4	0
Under is 6-1 in Falcons last 7 games following a ATS win.	85.7	1	6	0
Over is 11-3-1 in Falcons last 15 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.	78.6	11	3	1
Under is 36-16-1 in Falcons last 53 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.	69.2	16	36	1
Over is 3-1-1 in Falcons last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.	75.0	3	1	1
Under is 3-0-1 in Falcons last 4 games in Week 16.	100.0	0	3	1
Atlanta Point Spread Trends	%	wins	losses	push
Falcons are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.	0.0	0	6	0
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.	20.0	1	4	0
Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.	0.0	0	4	0
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.	20.0	1	4	0
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.	20.0	1	4	0
Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 16.	83.3	5	1	0
Falcons are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.	14.3	1	6	0
Falcons are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.	28.0	7	18	1
Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.	0.0	0	4	0
Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.	0.0	0	4	0
Falcons are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.	30.8	4	9	0
Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.	0.0	0	5	0
Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.	14.3	1	6	0
Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.	20.0	2	8	0
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.	80.0	4	1	0
Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.	16.7	1	5	0
Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.	16.7	1	5	0
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.	80.0	4	1	0
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.	80.0	4	1	0
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.	20.0	1	4	0
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.	20.0	1	4	0
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.	20.0	1	4	0
Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.	71.4	5	2	0

 

[bmd1803]

NFL LONG SHEET

Sunday, December 23

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TAMPA BAY (5 - 9) at DALLAS (8 - 6) - 12/23/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 40-62 ATS (-28.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (5 - 9) at NEW ENGLAND (9 - 5) - 12/23/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 36-16 ATS (+18.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 36-16 ATS (+18.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (5 - 9) at CAROLINA (6 - 7) - 12/23/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
CAROLINA is 84-54 ATS (+24.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (4 - 10) at MIAMI (7 - 7) - 12/23/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
MIAMI is 58-83 ATS (-33.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY GIANTS (5 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (8 - 6) - 12/23/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (10 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (7 - 7) - 12/23/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (7 - 6 - 1) at DETROIT (5 - 9) - 12/23/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (5 - 8 - 1) at NY JETS (4 - 10) - 12/23/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 68-43 ATS (+20.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (6 - 8) at CLEVELAND (6 - 7 - 1) - 12/23/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA RAMS (11 - 3) at ARIZONA (3 - 11) - 12/23/2018, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 4-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 4-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (10 - 4) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 10) - 12/23/2018, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 53-79 ATS (-33.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (8 - 5 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (11 - 2) - 12/23/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 79-54 ATS (+19.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (11 - 3) at SEATTLE (8 - 6) - 12/23/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 70-41 ATS (+24.9 Units) in December games since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, December 24

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DENVER (6 - 8) at OAKLAND (3 - 11) - 12/24/2018, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 62-87 ATS (-33.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 51-85 ATS (-42.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
OAKLAND is 79-108 ATS (-39.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 79-108 ATS (-39.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 145-182 ATS (-55.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 36-62 ATS (-32.2 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 39-82 ATS (-51.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 34-59 ATS (-30.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[bmd1803]

NFL TRENDS

Sunday, December 23

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Tampa Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 5-9-2 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Tampa Bay is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Dallas's last 23 games
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Dallas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

New York Giants
NY Giants is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Giants is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
NY Giants is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Giants is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games on the road
NY Giants is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
NY Giants is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games at home
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing NY Giants

Houston Texans
Houston is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games
Houston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Houston is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 1-7-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Jacksonville is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Jacksonville is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Jacksonville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games at home
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Green Bay's last 8 games
Green Bay is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Green Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Green Bay's last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Green Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Jets
Green Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
NY Jets is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
NY Jets is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games at home
NY Jets is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Green Bay
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay

Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 6-18-1 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games at home
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 5-18-1 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Cleveland's last 20 games at home
Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Minnesota Vikings
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
Detroit is 6-11-2 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Buffalo is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 12 games
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New England
Buffalo is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing New England
Buffalo is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing on the road against New England
New England Patriots
New England is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 7 games
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games at home
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
New England is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing Carolina
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Carolina is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Carolina's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Chicago Bears
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Chicago is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing San Francisco
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Chicago is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Chicago is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
San Francisco is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games at home
San Francisco is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
San Francisco is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games at home
San Francisco is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Chicago
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
San Francisco is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
San Francisco is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago

Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Rams is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
LA Rams is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Rams is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing Arizona
LA Rams is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games at home
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing LA Rams
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Rams

Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 10-2-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games
Kansas City is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Kansas City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games on the road
Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Kansas City is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Seattle is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
Seattle is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Seattle is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Seattle is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

 

[bmd1803]

Sunday
Buccaneers (5-9) @ Cowboys (8-6)— Dallas leads NFC East by game; they had 5-game win streak ended by 23-0 loss in Indy LW. Cowboys are 6-1 SU at home this year, 3-2 vs spread as home favorites; they’re 9-7 in last 16 games as HF, but haven’t scored a TD in first half of their last two games. Tampa Bay lost six of its last eight games; they lost last six road games after winning opener in Superdome. Bucs are 3-7-2 in last dozen games as road underdogs- they’re +8 in turnovers in last four games, after being -25 in nine games before that. Dallas is 14-4 in series games, 11-1 in games played here, with only loss in ’01. Five of last six Dallas home games went over total; Tampa Bay’s last four games stayed under.

Bills (5-9) @ Patriots (9-5)— New England lost its last two games, is game behind Houston for #2 seed and first round bye in AFC playoffs; this is most games Patriots have lost since ’09. NE is 6-0 at home this year, 5-1 vs spread; since ’15, they’re 19-7-3 as home favorites, 7-1-2 vs AFC East opponents. Bills are 3-2 in last five games; they’re 4-3 vs spread on road this year- since 17-12-1 in last 30 games as a road underdog. Patriots (-14) strolled past Buffalo 25-6 in first meeting, but Peterman played QB for Bills that night; NE is 32-4 in last 36 series games, winning last four, all by 16+ points. Buffalo actually split its last four visits to Foxboro. Six of last seven Patriot games stayed under total; over is 4-2 in last six Buffalo games. Patriots’ WR Gordon is out for season.

Falcons (5-9) @ Panthers (6-8)— Carolina lost its last six games (1-5 vs spread); Heinicke gets first NFL start at QB here, in place of injured Newton. Panthers are 5-2 at home this year, losing last two home tilts, to Seattle/Saints. Carolina is 8-10 in its last 18 games as home favorite, 3-2 this year. Atlanta snapped 5-game skid by beating Cardinals LW; they’re 1-5 on road this year, 1-3 vs spread as road underdogs- their only road win this year was in Week 9 at Washington. Carolina (+6) lost 31-24 in Atlanta in Week 2, Falcons won five of last six series games, splitting last four visits here. Atlanta stayed under their team total in five of last six games; four of last five Carolina games stayed under the total.

Jaguars (4-10) @ Dolphins (7-7)— Jacksonville lost nine of last 10 games, blowing LW’s game to Washington against 32-year old QB who hadn’t started a game in seven years. In their last three games, Jaguars scored one TD on 29 drives- they stayed under their team total in eight of last 10 games. Jags are 1-6 on road this year, 0-3-1 as road underdogs. Miami is still alive for playoff spot; they’re 2-3 in last five games, and converted only 5 of last 28 3rd down plays. Dolphins are 6-1 SU at home this year, 2-1 as home favorite; over last 11 years, Miami is 14-30-2 vs spread as a HF. Teams split eight meetings, with last one in ’15; Jaguars split two visits here, with last one six years ago. Over is 5-2 in Miami home games this year, 4-0 in Jaguars’ last four road games.

Giants (5-9) @ Colts (8-6)— Indy won seven of last eight games after a 1-5 start; they’re in a 3-way tie for #6 seed in AFC, need help to get in. Colts won their last five home games, are 3-3-1 as home favorites this year- since ’14, Indy is 15-12-2 as HF. Colts didn’t allow an offensive TD in two of last three games. Eli Manning visits stadium where his brother became a Hall of Famer. Giants are 4-2 in last six games; they’re 3-4 SU on road this year, but 5-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Indy won last three series games, winning last two 38-14/40-24; Big Blue won two of last three visits to Indy, with last one in 2010. Under is 4-0-1 in Colts’ last five games; five of last six Giant games went over the total.

Texans (10-4) @ Eagles (7-7)— Houston won 10 of its last 11 games after an 0-3 start; they won last five road games, are in Northeast for second week in row. Texans hold #2 seed in AFC; they play lowly Jaguars next week, so win here would be huge for securing first-round bye. Eagles won three of last four games since 48-7 loss in Superdome, are half-game out of #6-seed in NFC. Iggles are 4-3 at home, got efficient job from Foles LW, in his first start since Week 2. Philly has six takeaways (+5) in their last two games. Philly won last four series games, all by 10+ points; Texans lost their two visits here, 35-17/34-24. Six of last nine Houston games stayed under total; three of last four Philly games went over.

Vikings (7-6-1) @ Lions (5-9)— Minnesota is clinging to #6-seed in NFC; they’re 2-3 in last five games, and lost last three road games, scoring two TD’s on 21 drives in last two. Under Zimmer, Vikings are 9-6 as road favorites, 1-1 this year. Lions lost six of last eight games; they scored 17 or fewer points in last four games- they stayed under team total in 7 of last 8. Detroit is 3-4 at home this year, 2-2 as home underdogs- since ’15, Lions are 4-10-1 as home dogs. Detroit (+5) lost 24-9 in Minnesota in Week 9, kicking FG’s on all three red zone drives; TY in game was 283-209, Vikings. Home side lost four of last six series games; teams split last six meetings played here. Under is 5-2 in last seven Minnesota games, 7-1 in Lions’ last eight games.

Packers (5-8-1) @ Jets (4-10)— Not lot to choose from here. Green Bay is road favorite despite being 0-7 on road and firing its coach two weeks ago; Packers lost six of their last eight games- they played arch-rival Bears LW, have only three takeaways in last five games. Packers are 3-5 in last eight games as road favorite, 0-1 this year. Jets lost seven of last eight games, 2-5 SU at home, 0-3 as HU. Gang Green is 15-30 on third down last two games; they’re obviously better with rookie Darnold playing QB. Green Bay won last two meetings, 9-0/31-24, but they’ve lost four of last five series games played here, with last visit in ’10, a 9-0 win. Four of last five Jet games went over total; six of last eight Green Bay games stayed under.

Bengals (6-8) @ Browns (6-7-1)— Cleveland won four of last five games, is still alive for playoff slot; Browns are 4-2-1 at home this year, 1-0 as HF. This is most points Browns have been favored by in this series since Browns came back to NFL; they’re 1-4 vs spread last five times they were favored over the Bengals. Bengals snapped 5-game skid by beating Oakland LW; they’re 2-4 SU on road, 4-2 as road underdogs this year- since 2011, they’re 19-13-2 as road dogs. Browns (+3) won 35-30 in Cincy four weeks ago, averaging 9.9 ypa; it was their first win in last eight series games. Bengals won last four visits to Cleveland, by average score of 30-5. Four of Browns’ last five games stayed under total; over is 5-2 in Cincinnati’s last seven games.

Rams (11-3) @ Cardinals (3-11)— Rams lost last two games, need 2-0 finish to clinch #2 seed in NFC and first-round bye in playoffs. LA turned ball over 11 times in its last four games (even) after having only 7 turnovers (+7) in first 10 games. Rams are 5-2 on road; under McVay, they’re 6-6 vs spread as road favorites, 3-4 this year. Arizona lost five of its last six games; they’re 1-6 at home, 3-2 vs spread as home underdogs— since ’09, they’re 19-12-1 as home dogs. Cardinals were outrushed 337-121 in their last two games; they’re -13 in turnovers in last 8 games. Rams (-13) crushed Arizona 34-0 in Week 2; Bradford played for Arizona that day- lot has changed since then. LA won five of last seven series games, winning last three visits here (32-16 LY).

Bears (10-4) @ 49ers (4-10)— Chicago clinched its first division title since 2010 LW; they can still get #2 seed in NFC with two wins and an LA loss. Bears won/covered seven of last eight games, are 3-3 SU on road, 2-3 as road favorite. 49ers are 3-3 with Mullens at QB, pulling small upsets at home last two weeks; SF is 4-3 at home this year- under Shanahan, they’re 5-5 as home underdogs, 2-1 this year. 49ers have zero takeaways in their last six games, only five for season (-23 in turnovers). Niners won four of last six series games; Bears lost eight of last nine visits here, with last win in Santa Clara in 2014. Three of Chicago’s last four games stayed under the total; under is 5-3 in 49ers’ last eight games.

Steelers (8-5-1) @ Saints (12-2)— Pittsburgh is half-game ahead of Ravens in AFC North; could be all or nothing for their playoff hopes. Steelers snapped 3-game skid with home win over New England LW; Pitt is 4-2-1 SU on road this year, 2-0 as road underdogs- they’re 13-7-1 in last 21 games as road dogs. New Orleans can clinch #1 seed in NFC with win here; Saints are 12-1 in their last 13 games (10-3 vs spread); they’re 7-5 in last dozen games as a home favorite, 3-2 this year. Saints won three of last four series games, winning last meeting 35-32 at Heinz Field in ’14. Steelers lost 32-29/20-10 in last two visits here- their last series win in Superdome was in 1990. Saints’ last five games, four of last five Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.

Chiefs (11-3) @ Seahawks (8-6)— KC has tiebreakers over Chargers, needs two wins for division title, and home field/bye in playoffs. Chiefs are 5-2 on road this year, 2-1 as road favorites- they’re 10-4 in last 14 games as road favorites. Under Reid, they’re 13-11 vs spread coming off a loss. Chiefs are 0-3 this year in games decided by 3 or fewer points. Seahawks had 4-game win streak snapped in SF Sunday; Seattle is 4-2 at home this year- under Carroll, they’re 12-5 as a home underdog. Five of their last seven opponents went over their team total. KC won last three series games, by 7-18-4 points; teams split last ten series games played here, last of which was in ‘10. Five of last six games for both teams went over the total.

 

[bmd1803]

NFL DUNKEL

Sunday, December 23

Tampa Bay @ Dallas

Game 101-102
December 23, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
134.571
Dallas
133.250
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 7 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+7 1/2); Under

Buffalo @ New England

Game 103-104
December 23, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
125.128
New England
136.120
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 11
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 13 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+13 1/2); Under

Atlanta @ Carolina

Game 105-106
December 23, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
123.63
Carolina
130.532
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 7
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 3 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+3 1/2); Over

Jacksonville @ Miami

Game 109-110
December 23, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
123.471
Miami
128.741
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 5 1/2
31
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 4
39
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-4); Under

NY Giants @ Indianapolis

Game 111-112
December 23, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
128.072
Indianapolis
134.477
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 6 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 9 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(+9 1/2); Under

Houston @ Philadelphia

Game 113-114
December 23, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
135.471
Philadelphia
132.641
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+1 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 115-116
December 23, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
133.533
Detroit
125.356
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 8
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 6
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-6); Over

Green Bay @ NY Jets

Game 117-118
December 23, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
133.597
NY Jets
120.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 13
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 3
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-3); Over

Cincinnati @ Cleveland

Game 119-120
December 23, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
124.210
Cleveland
129.014
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 5
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 9
44
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+9); Over

LA Rams @ Arizona

Game 121-122
December 23, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
139.087
Arizona
126.920
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 12
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 14 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+14 1/2); Under

Chicago @ San Francisco

Game 125-126
December 23, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
136.600
San Francisco
133,.915
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 4 1/2
43
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+4 1/2); Over

Pittsburgh @ New Orleans

Game 127-128
December 23, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
131,943
New Orleans
140.046
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 8
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 5 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-5 1/2); Under

Kansas City @ Seattle

Game 129-130
December 23, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
141.506
Seattle
136.362
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 5
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 2 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-2 1/2); Over

 

[bmd1803]

Sunday, Dec. 23

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys (-7, 46.5)

The Cowboys were blanked on the road in Indy last week, but Vegas is still a firm believer in the 'Boys. At Caesars/Harrah's, the line opened at -7, went up to -8 in the matter of a few hours, before tumbling back to -7 1/2. If you really feel strongly about a Dallas revival this week, Jerry's Nugget has Dallas at -6 1/2, while they opened the total at 46 and it dropped to 45 1/2. There is a one-point variance across the board, so shop around.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-13, 45)

There is a little faith in the Bills early in the week, or doubt about the Patriots. You pick. Well, except at Westgate SuperBook which opened New England at -10 1/2, but the line quickly rose to -12 1/2 within 24 hours. Mirage-MGM and Wynn have the Pats at -13 and that line has help steady there, while Coasts saw some early money on Buffalo, pulling the line down from -13 to -12 1/2. Expect plenty of movement this week, if the first 24-36 hours is any indication.

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers (-4, 50)

The Panthers lost their sixth consecutive game on Monday night, and they're eliminated from the postseason chase for all intents and purposes. After Monday's loss there were reports QB Cam Newton (shoulder) is not 100 percent, and it wouldn't be surprising to see the team tab QB Taylor Heinicke as the starter in the final two games, perhaps seeing what he can do. Watch that closely.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins (-4.5, 39.5)
The Dolphins are still alive in the AFC playoff hunt, but they need to keep winning. They're 6-1 SU at home this season, but bettors like the Jags early on. Atlantis opened the Fish at -5, but it moved to -4 within 12 hours. Westgate has seen the line yo-yo from an open of -3 1/2 to -4 1/2, back down to -4.

New York Giants at Indianapolis Colts (-9, 46.5)

The Giants were blanked last weekend at home, while it was the Colts doing the blanking against the NFC East contending Cowboys. That's likely why this line is so high. There hasn't been a ton of early interest, but the money which has come in appears to be on Indy. At the Stratosphere the line moved from -9 to -9 1/2 rather quickly. If you like the Colts, check into Treasure Island, who still had the game at -8 1/2 as of Tuesday early AM.

Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles (-1, 45)

The first-place Texans roll into the City of Brotherly Love, and they're facing a suddenly alive Eagles team. We saw this movie before when QB Nick Foles surprised the Rams last season before kicking off an eventual Super Bowl run. Is 2018 going to be Nick Foles II: The Return of St. Nick?

Most shops opened this game at a pick 'em or with Houston laying the point. It quickly turned. Mirage-MGM opened at Texans -1 and it was flipped to Eagles -1 within seven hours. At Caesars/Harrah's, the line went from pick 'em to Philly -1 1/2. This game might see some of the biggest movement of the week.

Minnesota Vikings (-5.5, 43.5) at Detroit Lions

The early money is on the Vikings, as they fight for their playoff lives against the lowly Lions, who have long since been eliminated.

Westgate opened the Vikes at -4, and it quickly moved to -4 1/2 within a few minutes of open. It is now sitting at -5 1/2, getting in line with most other shops. Caesars and Mirage are still sitting at -5 for now, if you love the Vikings. But act fast.

Green Bay Packers at New York Jets (PK, 44)

The Packers were mathematically eliminated from the NFC playoff picture last week, and the Jets are extremely banged up and limping to the finish line. It will be interesting to see who is actually starting on both sides of the football this weekend.

Atlantis opened the Jets at -2, but the early money flowed in on the Packers, going to -1 within an hour and a half, and to a pick 'em within two hours. William Hill has been seeing a lot of action on this game, opening with the Pack -3, going down to -1 by Monday morning, and then up to Jets -2 by midday before settling back at -1. The total saw a lot of movement, too, opening at 45 before tumbling to 43 1/2.

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (-7, 45)

This Batte of Ohio features the Browns still mathematically alive less than a week until Christmas. It's been a while since the fans on the shores of Lake Erie could say that.

Cleveland won 35-20 in the first meeting in Cincinnati, and they'll be facing a Bengals team which is pretty much dead in the AFC race. Vegas has them installed as a touchdown favorite nearly everywhere, although Caesars/Harrah's and TI still have Cleveland at -6 1/2 for now.

Los Angeles Rams (-14, 47.5) at Arizona Cardinals

The Rams have stumbled on offense the past two weekends, losing at Chicago and home against Philly, and suddenly there are some doubts about their championship chances.

Most shops have the Rams as a healthy two-touchdown favorite, although Jerry's Nugget is offering them up at just -13. The Wynn opened this line higher than most, sitting at 48 with little movement so far.

Chicago Bears (-4, 42.5) at San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers have been a fly in the ointment in Santa Clara, just ask the Broncos and Seahawks who left with damaging L's. The early money has been on the Bears, opening at the Strat at -3 1/2 and moving to -4. Westgate has seen a lot of movement, opening at -5, before slipping to -3 1/2, back up to -4 and then back to -3 1/2 again. It looks like there is a lot of belief in the Niners after their 3-1 ATS run in the past four home outings.

Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints (-6, 57)

The Steelers won a huge game at home against the Patriots last week, while the Saints grinded out an ugly 12-9 win in Carolina on Monday night. Will the short week favor the visitors? Well, the early money offshore at BetOnline.ag is on the Steelers, as the game opened at -7 and slipped to -6.

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5, 53) at Seattle Seahawks

Both of these teams are coming off losses, and the Chiefs can ill-afford another if they want to stay on the perch in the AFC. A loss might mean an extra playoff game and no bye week to rest. Surprisingly there has been very little movement on this line, sitting at -2 1/2 at most shops. TI is offering up the Chiefs at -2 if you really love them.

The total varies from shop to shop, as high as 54 at Wynn, and 53 at Caesars, Golden Nugget, the Strat and Westgate, among others.

 

[bmd1803]

JIMMY BOYD
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bengals vs. Browns

1* Free NFL Pick on Cleveland Bengals +10

There's no denying the Browns have played better football since they fired Hue Jackson and named Gregg Williams the interim head coach. However, I think the fact that Cleveland has won and covered 4 of their last 5 and are playing an injury-ravaged Bengals team at home, has this line way too high.

Cincinnati has been playing hard despite not having a lot to play for. I think a lot of that is young guys are getting a chance to showcase what they can do. Last week the Bengals rolled over the raiders 30-16 and the week before they lost by just 5-points at the Chargers.

I expect another strong effort here from Cincinnati, who certainly hasn't forgot about a 35-20 home loss to Cleveland back on 11/25, which is the game where starting quarterback Andy Dalton suffered his season-ending injury.

It's also worth noting that the Browns have been a dog in every game since Williams took over and it's a different mentality going into a game as an underdog compared to a double-digit favorite. I'm not convinced Cleveland will handle it well. Look for Bengals to hang around and cover the big number. Take Cincinnati!

 

[bmd1803]

TIM MICHAEL
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bills vs. Patriots

T.M. Selection: New England Patriots (Bonus Play)

The Pats haven’t lost back-to-back games in December since 2002, but they enter this one off two straight setbacks, including a tough one in Pittsburgh last weekend. New England though is 6-0 at home this year. Buffalo rookie QB Josh Allen has completed 52.2 percent of his passes for 1,633 yards, six TD’s and and nine INT’s. Pats’ veteran QB Tom Brady has completed 65.9 percent of his passes and has 3,979 passing yards and a 24/9 TD:INT. The favorite is 4-0 ATS the last four in this series and the circumstances that each teams finds itself in coming into this one points to this strong trend continuing. Consider New England in this one.

T.M. Prediction: 31-13 Pats

 

[bmd1803]

RAY MONOHAN
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bills vs. Patriots

New England -13.5

The Pats are worth a flyer here. New England comes in off a loss to the Steelers last week and now have suffered back to back losses. They haven't dropped back to back losses in December since 2002!

They take on a lowly Bills team here that simply isn't good. New England is in full bounce back mode here and we should see Brady come out firing.

Some trends to note. Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December. Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East, and are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Lay the big spread. Back New England.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

 

[bmd1803]

PRO COMPUTER GAMBLER
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Vikings vs. Lions
Lions+7 -140

Since 1992, road favorites in the last month of the year are just 40-72-3 ATS (64.3% to fade) off of a home win now facing a team off of a road loss. Fade the Vikings

 

[bmd1803]

DENNIS MACKLIN
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bills vs. Patriots
Bills+14 -135

DMack's Bonus Play for Sunday, December 23, 2018 is on the Buffalo Bills

Full disclosure is that I doubt very seriously that you will be able to find this number on the weekend but who knows. The Pats have lost two games or the first time in recorded history (just kidding) but need to be serious here as they have lost the most games they have lost since 2009 and trail the Texans for the two seed and will not get a bye if the Texans win out. That said, a one-point win will accomplish the same as a blowout and the Bills have far from quit. They've already played the Pats tough once and will by no means be a lay down here. The Bills have no offensive weapons whatsoever but their defense is pretty good. Take a flyer with two touchdowns.

 

[bmd1803]

STEVE JANUS
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bengals vs. Browns

1* Free Sharp Play on Browns -9 -105

My money is on the Browns to continue playing great football to close out the season and easily cover the big number here at home against a depleted and unmotivated Bengals squad. With Cleveland's win over the Broncos last Saturday (extra day of prep), they are now 4-2 under interim head coach Gregg Williams. That's more wins than Hue Jackson had in 40 games with the team. Speaking of Jackson, he joined the Bengals staff after getting fired and I don't think that sat well at all with a lot of Cleveland players and staff, as the Browns still had two games to play against Cincinnati. They definitely played with a chip on their shoulder in a 35-20 win at Cincinnati in Week 12 and I expect that same fire for this one. The Browns are also still hanging on by a thread for a playoff spot, which is more than enough motivation for a team that didn't win a game a season ago. Bengals simply don't have enough healthy bodies to be competitive. Bet the Browns -9!

 

[bmd1803]

MARC LAWRENCE
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Packers vs. Jets
Jets+3 -114

Play - NY Jets (Game 118).

Edges - Jets: 9-1 ATS as home dogs when coming off a home loss … Packers: 1-3-1 ATS in this series; and 2-5 SUATS before facing the Lions … With that we recommend a 1* play on the NY Jets. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[bmd1803]

MIKE LUNDIN
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Packers vs. Jets
Packers-2½ -115

The Green Bay Packers look like great value at NY Jets Sunday afternoon.

They took a 24-27 loss at Chicago last week but looked rather comfortable on the defensive side of the ball, holding the Bears to 332 yards of offense. Here they'll face a Jets' team which is averaging just 297.9 yards per game and I don't think NYJ rookie QB Sam Darnold will have much success moving the sticks in this one.

On the offensive side of the ball, Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers is expected to start despite suffering a groin injury last week. "I think it's a lot about leadership," Rodgers said of his desire to play the Jets. "If I want to be listened to and followed and looked up to, how could I stand here and say that these games that don't matter for playoffs, I'm going to cash it in? That's just not the way I lead, and I'm super competitive, and I want to be out there with the guys, and I look forward to being out there."

Rodgers' will be without some of his most trusted targets but must still feel pretty confident as the Jets are fielding one of the worst defenses in the NFL, including No. 22 in total defense and No. 26 in scoring defense.

The Jets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and 0-3-1 ATS in their last four home games. Green Bay has been atrocious on the road going 0-7 SU and 1-5-1 ATS, but I think the visitors will get the job done here.

 

[bmd1803]

BRANDON LEE
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bears vs. 49ers

10* FREE NFL PICK (Bears -4.5)

I'll take my chances here with Chicago on the road agains the 49ers. I think there is a ton of incentive here for the Bears to play well in this game. While Chicago has the NFC North locked up, they need one more win to ensure they get the No. 3 seed, which could be the difference between having to go to New Orleans for the Divisional Round and the NFC Championship Game. It also would give them the option of resting their starters in Week 17. They also got a shot at first round bye. While they are one game back of LA, they beat the Rams head-to-head and there's a chance LA could be without Todd Gurley this week. I also think this is a tough spot for the 49ers. San Francisco has won 2 straight, but they are playing for pride and off a big time win over division rival Seattle and might have a hard time not looking ahead to playing spoiler to another division rival in the Rams in Week 17. Chicago is also simply the much better football team and I just don't think it's asking much for them to win by at least 5 with the way they play defense. Give me the Bears -4.5!