Sunday 10/21/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

[bmd1803]

Preview: Texans at Jaguars
Gracenote
Oct 19, 2018

Two teams looking to break out of the logjam atop the AFC South standings square off Sunday, when the Jacksonville Jaguars host the Houston Texans. The Jaguars are looking to bounce back from two consecutive losses, while the Texans are seeking a fourth straight win following an 0-3 start.


Jacksonville looked like it might be a Super Bowl contender after handily beating New England in Week 2, but the offense has been inconsistent and the defense has been lit up in back-to-back losses at Kansas City and Dallas. Now the Jaguars have to contend with a third consecutive dual-threat quarterback in Deshaun Watson. “He’s a weapon,” Jacksonville coach Doug Marrone told reporters. “There’s no mistake about it. He’s a guy that can run, he’s a guy that can extend plays, he can make throws. He’s someone that, for a long period of time, at least as long as I’m here, is going to be very difficult for us and a challenge for us.” All six of Houston’s games have been decided by seven points or fewer, including a pair of overtime wins.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Jaguars -4.5. O/U: 41.5


ABOUT THE TEXANS (3-3): Houston’s defense is rounding into form and has forced seven turnovers during the three-game winning streak after managing only three takeaways in the first three weeks. Watson and the offense have moved the ball effectively, ranking 11th in the NFL in total offense, but 11 turnovers and the struggles in the red zone have contributed to the team ranking 21st in scoring. Houston has yet to produce a 100-yard rusher this season and needs Lamar Miller and Alfred Blue to get untracked.

ABOUT THE JAGUARS (3-3): After a promising start, Jacksonville’s offense ranks 29th in scoring and has not reached double digits in points twice in the last four games. Blake Bortles has thrown five interceptions and two touchdowns in his last two contests without running back Leonard Fournette, who is expected to be out at least three more weeks with a hamstring injury. Cornerback Jalen Ramsey anchors the league’s top-ranked pass defense and will be tasked with slowing down DeAndre Hopkins, but the Jaguars were gashed for 206 rushing yards in last week’s 40-7 loss at Dallas.


EXTRA POINTS

1. Watson has been sacked a league-high 25 times this year, and the Jaguars took down Houston quarterbacks 14 times in two meetings last season.

2. Jacksonville DE Calais Campbell has registered six sacks and four tackles for loss in his last two games against the Texans.

3. Houston DE J.J. Watt has recorded seven sacks and three forced fumbles in his last four contests.


PREDICTION: Jaguars 23, Texans 20

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
Houston

Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Texans are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.
Texans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC South.
Texans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Texans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
Texans are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Texans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

Jacksonville

Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Jaguars are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Jaguars are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 7.
Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
Jaguars are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC South.
Jaguars are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 vs. AFC.
Jaguars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.

OU Trends
Houston

Under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 vs. AFC.
Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 14-4 in Texans last 18 games in October.
Over is 7-2 in Texans last 9 games in Week 7.
Under is 9-3 in Texans last 12 games overall.
Under is 6-2 in Texans last 8 road games.
Under is 14-6 in Texans last 20 games following a ATS loss.

Jacksonville

Over is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 vs. AFC South.
Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 11-4 in Jaguars last 15 vs. AFC.
Under is 5-2 in Jaguars last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Jaguars last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Jaguars last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 9-4 in Jaguars last 13 games in October.

Head to Head

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Jacksonville.
Road team is 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
Underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Jacksonville.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Lions at Dolphins


Golden Tate took issue with Albert Wilson's claim that he's the league's best receiver in terms of gaining yards after the catch, saying that six games is not a big enough sample size. The two wide receivers aim to settle it on the field on Sunday as Tate and the Detroit Lions attempt to prevent the Miami Dolphins from jumping out to their first 4-0 start at home since 2000.

Wilson's initial claim came on the heels of a six-catch, career-high 155-yard, two-touchdown performance as Miami snapped a two-game skid with a 31-28 overtime win over the Chicago Bears on Sunday. The 26-year-old captured AFC Offensive Player of the Week honors for his efforts and even received some praise from Tate, who then countered that Wilson has 147 career catches while he has recorded at least 90 in each of the last four seasons with Detroit. Matthew Stafford has been on the other end of those throws, and the former top overall pick has thrown for nine touchdowns against one interception in his last four games leading into the team's bye. Stafford might find the going a bit tough versus an opportunistic Dolphins defense that has an NFL-best 11 interceptions, led by Xavien Howard (three).

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Lions -3. O/U: 46.5

ABOUT THE LIONS (2-3): Tate, Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones Jr. comprise one of the most productive receiving corps in the league, as Detroit boasts two wideouts in the top 10 in yards (Golladay, Tate), the top 20 in yards per catch (Golladay, Jones) and the top 15 in yards after catch (Tate, Golladay). "I think talent, depth, look at the stats that we're putting up," Tate said. "We're a good group. Honestly, I think it starts with our run game. Our run game has been better and it's opening up for us." Kerryon Johnson could take credit for that with 251 scrimmage yards and a rushing touchdown in his last three games, and the rookie could be in for a bigger role against Miami with fellow running back Theo Riddick sitting out practice on Thursday due to a knee injury.

ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (4-2): After being named the surprise starter 90 minutes before game time last week, Brock Osweiler officially got the nod to face the Lions on Wednesday after he stepped up and threw for a career-high 380 pass yards with three touchdowns against the Bears. "It's something that I've been wanting for a lot of years," the 27-year-old Osweiler told the Sun-Sentinel said. "I believe in coach Gase, his system, and who he is as a person and a coach. And I saw that firsthand for a lot of years in Denver, and I saw what it's like to be able to play for a coach like that." Osweiler would be wise to lean on his running game, with the ageless Frank Gore rolling up 101 yards last week and averaging 4.9 yards per carry this season heading into a meeting with Detroit's 30th-ranked rush defense that is hemorrhaging 145.8 yards per contest.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Miami LB Kiko Alonso ranks second in the NFL with 61 tackles, with 11 coming last week to go along with a forced fumble and fumble recovery.

2. Detroit G T.J. Lang is trending toward returning on Sunday after being sidelined since last month with a concussion.

3. Dolphins RB Kenyan Drake rushed 13 times for 57 yards last week after carrying the ball 14 times for 52 yards in the previous three games combined.

PREDICTION: Lions 24, Dolphins 19

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
Detroit

Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Lions are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.
Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Lions are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Lions are 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Miami

Dolphins are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 7.
Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Dolphins are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Dolphins are 17-36 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Dolphins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Dolphins are 2-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Dolphins are 17-45-3 ATS in their last 65 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

OU Trends
Detroit

Under is 5-0 in Lions last 5 games following a bye week.
Over is 5-1 in Lions last 6 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 10-3 in Lions last 13 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Lions last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Lions last 8 road games.
Over is 6-2 in Lions last 8 games following a straight up win.
Under is 13-5 in Lions last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-2 in Lions last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Miami

Over is 11-2 in Dolphins last 13 games in Week 7.
Over is 5-1 in Dolphins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Dolphins last 9 home games.
Over is 18-6 in Dolphins last 24 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 8-3 in Dolphins last 11 games on grass.
Over is 7-3 in Dolphins last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Saints at Ravens


The New Orleans Saints are on the short list of Super Bowl contenders a third of the way through the season and own the top scoring offense in the NFL at an average of 36 points. Drew Brees and company will test that offense against the league's top defense when the Saints visit the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday.

The Ravens are surrendering an average of 12.8 points and are coming off a 21-0 shutout of the Tennessee Titans in which they sacked Marcus Mariota 11 times. "The overall feeling is, in order for us to be the great defense we’ve talked about, games like this – offenses with a lot of power, All-Pro, Hall of Fame quarterback, leading the league in different categories – we’ll see what we’re made of, man," Baltimore cornerback Brandon Carr told reporters of this week's matchup. "That's the exciting part, to see how good we can truly get." The Saints are coming off a bye week after Brees set the NFL record for all-time passing yardage in a 43-19 thrashing of the Washington Redskins on Oct. 8, and the veteran quarterback is well aware of the defense he's facing. "They have a lot of good pass rushers," Brees told reporters of the Ravens. "So, a lot of good matchups for them. It is obviously something they've done well for a very long time. They do it well with their D-Line, their front four so to speak and then, obviously, from the linebacker position as well."

TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Ravens -2.5. O/U: 50

ABOUT THE SAINTS (4-1): Brees is one TD pass away from reaching 500 for his career and is completing 77.9 percent of his passes with 11 TDs and no interceptions this season. "It's a lot of touchdowns and a lot of games and a lot of passes, but you take them one at a time and you just focus on winning the game and scoring points, regardless of if I am handing it off to one of these guys are throwing to one of our guys," Brees told reporters. "We focus on winning games and the rest of that stuff kind of takes care of itself. Numbers add up." New Orleans added another key weapon to the offense in the win over the Redskins, with running back Mark Ingram making his season debut following a four-game suspension and rushing for a pair of touchdowns.

ABOUT THE RAVENS (4-2): Za'Darius Smith (5.5) and Terrell Suggs (4.5) lead Baltimore in sacks, and Suggs is excited about the prospect of going up against a great offense. “We like this game. It’s going to be fun," Suggs told reporters. "They're an explosive offense and we get a chance to compete against as good a team as there is. I think it’s going to be a good NFL game." Baltimore's offense is doing just enough to support the defense as quarterback Joe Flacco averages 298 passing yards with a total of nine TD passes and four INTs.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Ravens are the only team Brees has never beaten, owning an 0-4 record.

2. New Orleans CB Marshon Lattimore (concussion) was a full participant in practice this week and is questionable for Sunday.

3. Baltimore G Alex Lewis, who was carted off the field with a neck injury last week, returned to practice and could play Sunday.

PREDICTION: Saints 24, Ravens 16

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
New Orleans

Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 7.
Saints are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
Saints are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
Saints are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games in October.
Saints are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games.
Saints are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.
Saints are 44-20-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Baltimore

Ravens are 6-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Ravens are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Ravens are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Ravens are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games in October.
Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 7.
Ravens are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Ravens are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

OU Trends
New Orleans

Over is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Over is 5-1 in Saints last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Saints last 6 games following a straight up win.
Over is 14-3 in Saints last 17 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 13-3 in Saints last 16 games following a bye week.
Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
Over is 6-2 in Saints last 8 games overall.
Over is 6-2 in Saints last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games in October.
Over is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 12-5 in Saints last 17 games on fieldturf.
Over is 9-4 in Saints last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

Baltimore

Under is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games overall.
Over is 6-1 in Ravens last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Ravens last 5 games in Week 7.
Over is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Ravens last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Ravens last 10 games on fieldturf.
Over is 9-4 in Ravens last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

Head to Head

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Rams at 49ers

The undefeated Los Angeles Rams have run roughshod over the league in 2018 while the San Francisco 49ers have endured plenty of significant injuries starting as early as the preseason. The 49ers, however, have one positive to take into Sunday's matchup at Levi's Stadium: They have won four of the last five meetings between the NFC West rivals.

Todd Gurley hasn't been shy about gouging the 49ers -- and the rest of the league, for that matter -- as he collected three touchdowns (two rushing, one receiving) in last year's series and is coming off a career-high 208 yards and two scores in Sunday's 23-20 win over Denver to earn NFC Offensive Player of the Week honors. "He's been running wild ever since I got to this team," Rams wideout Robert Woods said. "It's just a credit to this line, this game plan, and his work ethic. And he's a beast. ... He's pretty much unstoppable right now." San Francisco went to great lengths to stop itself en route to losing its fourth straight game on Monday. C.J. Beathard, who has stepped in for the injured Jimmy Garoppolo, showed flashes of promise but a late interception led to his undoing in a 33-30 setback versus Green Bay.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Rams -9.5. O/U: 52

ABOUT THE RAMS (6-0): Gurley's 208 rushing yards trumped the passing total of quarterback Jared Goff (201), who was hindered by the loss of one of his prized targets. Cooper Kupp is expected to be sidelined several weeks with a sprained knee, although fellow wideouts Brandin Cooks and Woods are more than capable of carrying the load. Cooks has 23 receptions, 418 yards and a touchdown in a four-game stretch while Woods has 406 yards and three scores in that span. On the other side of the ball, Aaron Donald has four sacks in his last three games and fellow defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh has three in his last four.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (1-5): With running back Jerick McKinnon and Garoppolo sidelined by season-ending injuries, the 49ers received a jolt with the return of Marquise Goodwin to the lineup on Monday. The 27-year-old Goodwin showed no signs of the quadriceps injury that shelved him early in the season opener at Minnesota by recording career highs in receiving yards (126) and touchdowns (two). "Guys are respecting (Goodwin's) speed," Beathard said. "You've got to respect his speed. He can take the tops off of coverages, so it definitely helps having him out there." Running back Matt Breida stands to benefit from that as he bids for his third straight game with a touchdown and fourth in a row at home.

EXTRA POINTS

1. San Francisco TE George Kittle recorded 100 receiving yards in his last encounter with Los Angeles.

2. The Rams lead the NFL in total yards (2,786), yards per game (464.3) and rushing yards per contest (154.3).

3. 49ers WR Pierre Garcon, who had a team-best 142 yards receiving in his last meeting with Los Angeles, has surpassed 50 yards just twice in six games this season.

PREDICTION: Rams 38, 49ers 17

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
L.A. Rams

Rams are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Rams are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.

San Francisco

49ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC West.
49ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
49ers are 6-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
49ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
49ers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in October.
49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
49ers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 7.
49ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

OU Trends
L.A. Rams

Over is 9-1 in Rams last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Rams last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Rams last 5 vs. NFC West.
Over is 7-2 in Rams last 9 games following a straight up win.
Over is 9-3 in Rams last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-2 in Rams last 8 vs. NFC.
Under is 9-3 in Rams last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 8-3 in Rams last 11 road games.
Over is 9-4 in Rams last 13 games following a ATS loss.

San Francisco

Over is 5-0 in 49ers last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 home games.
Over is 8-0 in 49ers last 8 games on grass.
Over is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1 in 49ers last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in 49ers last 6 games in October.
Under is 10-2 in 49ers last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 5-1 in 49ers last 6 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
Over is 4-1 in 49ers last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in 49ers last 5 vs. NFC.
Over is 4-1 in 49ers last 5 games in Week 7.
Over is 5-2 in 49ers last 7 games following a ATS win.
Over is 7-3 in 49ers last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in San Francisco.
Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Cowboys at Redskins


The Dallas Cowboys attempt to break their cycle of alternating wins and losses this season and continue their recent dominance in the all-time series when they visit the NFC East-rival Washington Redskins on Sunday. Dallas is looking to post consecutive victories for the first time in 2018 after trouncing Jacksonville 40-7 last week.

The Cowboys, who have won four straight meetings with the Redskins and eight of the last 10, are winless on the road this season but have been victorious in each of their last five visits to the nation's capital. Washington is in the same position as its bitter rival, looking to snap an identical trend and record back-to-back triumphs for the first time this year after defeating Carolina 23-17 in Week 6. The Redskins sit atop the NFC East, one-half game ahead of both Dallas and Philadelphia, but will be playing their first divisional contest of the season. Washington has not been two games over .500 since owning an 8-6-1 record in 2016 and has gone 1-7 in its last eight contests following a victory.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Redskins -1.5. O/U: 41.5

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (3-3): Dak Prescott is tied with Jack Kemp for the fourth-most games with at least one passing and one rushing touchdown in his first three seasons with nine after throwing two and running for another against Jacksonville. The 25-year-old, who rushed for a career-high 82 yards last week, is one away from tying Mark Sanchez and two shy of matching Steve Grogan for second. Ezekiel Elliott, who leads the NFL with 3,200 rushing yards since 2016, ranks second in the league this year with 586 and is third in scrimmage yards with 752.

ABOUT THE REDSKINS (3-2): Adrian Peterson has gained 217 of his 339 rushing yards this season in his last two home games. The former league MVP hasn't faced the Cowboys since Nov. 3, 2013 while with Minnesota but has rushed for a touchdown in each of his last three meetings against the club. Alex Smith, who has been sacked three times in four of his five games - fumbling in each of those contests - has thrown four of his six scoring passes this season at home.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Elliott has registered 361 yards from scrimmage and five rushing touchdowns in three career meetings versus the Redskins.

2. Washington released DL Ziggy Hood and promoted WR Jehu Chesson from the practice squad.

3. Dallas WR Terrance Williams (foot), who is on injured reserve, was handed a three-game suspension by the NFL on Thursday for violating the league's substance abuse policy.

PREDICTION: Cowboys 31, Redskins 24

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
Dallas

Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC East.
Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 7.
Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
Cowboys are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS win.
Cowboys are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Washington

Redskins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Redskins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC East.
Redskins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 7.
Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

OU Trends
Dallas

Under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 7-0 in Cowboys last 7 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games on grass.
Over is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 games in October.
Under is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 vs. NFC.
Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games following a ATS win.
Under is 12-3 in Cowboys last 15 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 vs. NFC East.
Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 22-6 in Cowboys last 28 road games.
Under is 9-3 in Cowboys last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Cowboys last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 26-10-3 in Cowboys last 39 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

Washington

Over is 9-1 in Redskins last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Redskins last 8 games on grass.
Over is 6-1 in Redskins last 7 games in October.
Under is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 home games.
Under is 7-2 in Redskins last 9 games overall.
Over is 15-5 in Redskins last 20 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Redskins last 14 vs. NFC East.
Over is 22-10 in Redskins last 32 vs. NFC.

Head to Head

Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Washington.
Road team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Underdog is 30-10 ATS in their last 40 meetings.
Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Bengals at Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs will face a third consecutive AFC contender when they host the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday night. The Chiefs put the best record in the conference on the line against the Bengals, who are tied atop the AFC North standings.


Both teams are looking to bounce back from crushing losses a week ago. The Bengals took the lead with 1:18 left, only to see Pittsburgh drive for a score with 10 seconds remaining and claim a 28-21 victory. Kansas City phenom Patrick Mahomes led a spirited comeback in the second half at New England, which kicked a field goal in the final seconds for a 43-40 triumph. “We knew it was going to be a tough game,” Mahomes told reporters. “We wanted to win and we ended up coming up a little short, but I feel like that fight that we had in the second half of that game will carry over into this next week.”

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Chiefs -6. O/U: 58


ABOUT THE BENGALS (4-2): Cincinnati ranks just 23rd in total offense but sixth in scoring thanks to a league-best 75 percent touchdown rate in the red zone. Andy Dalton has thrown seven interceptions but also has 14 touchdown passes - including three to veteran star A.J. Green and four to Tyler Boyd, who has emerged as a dangerous secondary target. With the exception of a Week 3 loss at Carolina, the Bengals have been solid against the run, but the secondary has struggled - in large part because of an inconsistent pass rush.

ABOUT THE CHIEFS (5-1): Kansas City’s offense is producing at a record-setting clip, with Mahomes passing for 1,865 yards with 18 touchdowns and four interceptions through six games. The second-year quarterback is surrounded with talent - including running back Kareem Hunt and versatile speedster Tyreek Hill, who have combined for 13 touchdowns. The defense has been another story, ranking last in the NFL in total defense and 27th in scoring, as it has struggled mightily against the pass and still is without safety Eric Berry (Achilles) while linebacker Justin Houston (hamstring) could miss his second consecutive game.


EXTRA POINTS

1. Mahomes is the first quarterback in franchise history to pass for 300 yards in five consecutive games and second in the league to do so (Aaron Rodgers) since 2016.

2. The Bengals have recorded 12 sacks in their four wins and only one in their two losses.

3. Hill has averaged 47.4 yards on his 27 career touchdowns.


PREDICTION: Chiefs 37, Bengals 30

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
Cincinnati

Bengals are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bengals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.
Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Bengals are 15-6-2 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Bengals are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games on grass.

Kansas City

Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Chiefs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Chiefs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Chiefs are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chiefs are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a ATS win.
Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

OU Trends
Cincinnati

Over is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 road games.
Over is 7-2 in Bengals last 9 games in Week 7.
Under is 15-5 in Bengals last 20 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Bengals last 7 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in Bengals last 7 vs. AFC.
Under is 14-6 in Bengals last 20 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 14-6-1 in Bengals last 21 games in October.

Kansas City

Over is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Chiefs last 6 games in Week 7.
Under is 23-6 in Chiefs last 29 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 15-6 in Chiefs last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 46-20 in Chiefs last 66 home games.
Under is 18-8 in Chiefs last 26 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 23-11-2 in Chiefs last 36 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Head to Head

Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

 

[bmd1803]

(451) TENNESSEE @ (452) LA CHARGERS | 10/21/2018 - 9:30 AM
Play ON LA CHARGERS using the money line in All games against AFC South division opponents
The record is 26 Wins and 8 Losses since 1992 (+23.60 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(465) MINNESOTA @ (466) NY JETS | 10/21/2018 - 1:00 PM
Play ON MINNESOTA using the money line in All games in games played on turf
The record is 12 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.90 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(453) NEW ENGLAND @ (454) CHICAGO | 10/21/2018 - 1:00 PM
Play ON NEW ENGLAND against the spread in All games when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 21 Wins and 5 Losses for the last three seasons (+15.50 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(457) DETROIT @ (458) MIAMI | 10/21/2018 - 1:00 PM
Play ON MIAMI using the money line in Home games when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 10 Wins and 2 Losses for the last three seasons (+10.95 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(475) NY GIANTS @ (476) ATLANTA | 10/22/2018 - 8:15 PM
Play OVER ATLANTA on the total in All games in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5
The record is 11 Overs and 1 Unders for the last three seasons (+9.90 units)

 

[bmd1803]

TEDDY COVERS

Event: (465) Minnesota Vikings at (466) New York Jets
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: October 21, 2018 1PM EDT
Play: Total Over 46.5 (-108)

3% Take Minnesota – New York OVER (#465-466)

The Jets have been fully prepared and facing a ‘less than elite’ defense three times this year. Sam Darnold excelled in all three of those ballgames; 48-17, 34-16 and 42-34 Jets victories, all three flying Over the total with room to spare.

Think about New York’s season. In Week 1, they dominated Detroit on Monday Night, earning a blowout victory. In Week 2, they faced a divisional foe on a short week and lost. In Week 3, they had an even shorter week, with travel. Baker Mayfield came off the bench & the Jets defense had no film on him. It showed. Then the Jets had to face an angry Jags team with a truly elite defense coming off a poorly played home loss. They were overwhelmed.

Two weeks ago the Jets had normal rest AND faced a less than elite defense. They ran the ball for 323 yards at 8.5 yards per carry. Darnold averaged 8.2 yards per pass ATTEMPT in that ballgame. Last week against Indy, it was more of the same: 8.3 yards per pass from Darnold while Bilal Powell and Isaiah Crowell ripped off chunks of yardage on the ground.

The betting markets seem convinced that the Vikings defense is still elite this season, betting this total down from the opener. The numbers, however, show a very different story. Minnesota has allowed 6.0 yards per play on defense this year, below the 5.7 ypp league average. Opposing quarterbacks have a QB rating of 103.1 against this Vikings secondary – only Oakland, Tampa Bay, New Orleans and Detroit are worse. Even limited offensive teams like the Bills and Cardinals have had success putting points on the board against the Vikings over-rated stop unit.

The Jets secondary is riddled with key injuries this week, with Trumaine Johnson, Buster Skrine, Marcus Maye and Leonard Williams all nursing wounds. Minnesota’s offense is putting up points in bunches right now, with Kirk Cousins enjoying tremendous chemistry with Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs. Latavius Murray is coming off his career best rushing game, gaining 155 on the ground last week. Expect points, not punts. Take the Over

 

[bmd1803]

JACK JONES

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Washington Redskins -1.5

I usually like going against teams who are coming off a blowout win the previous week. They are almost always overvalued the next week, and I think that’s the case here with the Dallas Cowboys. This line should be Washington -3, and instead it’s Washington -1.5. We’re getting some value here with the Redskins.

The Cowboys are coming off a 40-7 blowout victory over the Jaguars at home. They improved to 3-0 at home this season. Big deal. The Cowboys are 0-3 on the road this season, and they have been dominated for the most part, especially statistically.

The Cowboys are scoring just 12.3 points per game on the road this season. They are getting outscored by 7.4 points per game and outgained by 74 yards per game. And their three losses have come to the Panthers, Seahawks and Texans, so it’s not like they are playing world beaters away from home.

The Redskins are one of the most underrated teams in the NFL this season. They are 3-2 right now and sit atop the NFC East. They already head their bye week so they are fresher than most teams. And they have played very well at home this season.

Indeed, the Redskins are 2-1 at home this year. They have wins over the Packers 31-17 and the Panthers 23-17 who I believe are both better than the Cowboys. And their only loss came 9-21 to the Colts and it was very fluky. The Redskins outgained the Colts by 53 yards in that contest. They are outgaining opponents by 18 yards per game this season, so there is nothing fluky about their 3-2 start.

I think a big key here is that Washington’s defense is better than it gets credit for, and it is certainly good at stopping the run. The Redskins give up just 90 rushing yards per game this season. And the Cowboys only average 172 passing yards per game. The Cowboys are a one-dimensional offense with their running game, and the Redskins have the players to stop it. The Cowboys will have their passing game hampered even more this week with two key receivers in Tavon Austin and Terrance Williams expected to sit out.

Dallas is 7-23 ATS in its last 30 road games after allowing 9 points or less in its previous game. The Cowboys are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. The Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Bet the Redskins Sunday.

 

[bmd1803]

JOHN MARTIN

1 Unit Bonus Play on Jacksonville Jaguars -4.5

The Jaguars have lost back-to-back road games in blowout fashion to the Chiefs (14-30) and Cowboys (7-40). It’s safe to say they will be looking to take out their frustration this week at home against the Houston Texans. Their defense should get back to being the dominant unit it has been over the past two seasons with the exception of the last two weeks. The Jaguars have given up just 13.7 points and 238 yards per game at home this season. They have beaten the Patriots by 11 and the Jets by 19 at home this year. They did lose 6-9 to the Titans, but that was a letdown spot off the big win over the Patriots. The Texans are starting to get some respect off three straight wins following an 0-3 start to the season. But they could have lost all three of those games. They needed OT to beat the Colts and Cowboys, and they needed a pick-6 late out of Nathan Peterman to beat the Bills at home last week. I don’t expect this one-dimensional Houston offense to have much success against the Jaguars this week. Deshaun Watson will be running for his life without a running game. Doug Marrone is 7-0 ATS in his last seven games as a head coach after being outgained by 100 or more total yards in his previous game. Give me the Jaguars.