Sunday 10/21/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

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Ravens running back Alex Collins has been extremely frustrating to try and predict so far this season, though we were able to get a winning bet last week by backing the Over for his rushing yards total. The game flowed in Collins’ favor with the Ravens holding a lead throughout and Collins received 19 carries and turned them into 54 yards and two touchdowns. One important note, however: Collins has zero targets while Buck Allen had three.

In Week 7, the Ravens host the Saints as a 2.5-point favorite and a total of 49.5. The Saints come in off a bye, meaning they’ve had a lot of time to put together a game plan for Baltimore’s tough defense. They’re also on a roll offensively, averaging just under 40 points per game in their last three. As good as Baltimore’s defense has been, a good offense usually beats a good defense in today’s NFL and the Ravens are going to have to score to keep pace with the Saints. Unfortunately for Collins backers, that’ll likely script him out of the game and, for that reason, we’ll be taking the Under on his rushing total.

 

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The Bengals have had tough luck at the tight end position with serious injuries to both Tyler Eifert and Tyler Kroft. That gave C.J. Uzomah an opportunity and he took full advantage in Week 6, turning seven targets into six receptions for 54 yards. He also had 68 air yards, which was second on the Bengals to A.J. Green. It was clear from his usage that the tight end position is a big part of Cincy’s offense and anyone who gets out there is going to have the opportunity to put up decent offensive numbers.

This week, the Bengals visit Kansas City on Sunday Night Football. Everyone knows the Chiefs are going to put up a huge number and that Andy Dalton is going to need to throw a lot to keep up. Another factor is that the Chiefs have given up the most yards in the NFL to opposing tight ends at 453 on 33 receptions. Uzomah is in an amazing spot to succeed on Sunday night and we’re backing the Over for his receptions and his receiving yards totals.

 

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Indianapolis running back Marlon Mack made his presence felt in his return to the lineup in Week 6, rushing 12 times for 89 yards and adding one catch for four yards. With Mack getting the vast majority of the carries, Nyheim Hines got the ball just three times and didn’t receive his first carry until the third quarter. Mack and Hines have now been on the field together for two games in 2018 (Week 2 and Week 6) and Mack has out-carried Hines 22-7.

Mack doesn’t have a great matchup in Week 7 against a Bills defense ranked eighth in rushing yards against per game (92.5) and seventh in rush defense DVOA. But the Colts are a 7.5-point home favorite and, if they get a lead, it’ll mean lots of carries for Mack. We’re getting behind the Over on Mack’s rushing yards total against Buffalo.

 

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Jets receiver Quincy Enunwa has been diagnosed with a high-ankle sprain and will miss at least three weeks. Enunwa exited New York’s Week 6 win after just 15 snaps and Jermaine Kearse saw his usage spike, receiving a season-high 10 targets that he was able to turn into nine catches for 94 yards.

Kearse has been running nearly 80 percent of his routes out of the slot over the last three weeks and that just happens to be where Enunwa was most productive over the first four weeks of the season. You can be sure Sam Darnold is going to feel some pressure on Sunday against a tough Vikings defense, meaning he’ll be looking to get the ball out quickly and that should mean a lot of targets for Kearse in the slot. We’re going to take the Over for his receptions total.

 

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NFL's Top OVER Teams (based on Over %):

1. Buccaneers 5-0
t2. Falcons 5-1
t2. Packers 5-1
t2. Chargers 5-1
t2. 49ers 5-1
6. Lions 4-1
t7. Bengals 4-2
t7. Colts 4-2
t7. Chiefs 4-2
t7. Jets 4-2
t7. Steelers 4-2

 

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NFL's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

t1. Cardinals 4-2
t1. Ravens 4-2
t1. Bills 4-2
t1. Cowboys 4-2
t1. Broncos 4-2
t1. Texans 4-2
t1. Raiders 4-2
t1. Seahawks 4-2
t1. Titans 4-2
10. Redskins 3-2

 

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The Bills have announced Derek Anderson over Nathan "Pick Six" Peterman as their starting quarterback for Week 7 @ Colts.
Anderson was signed only eight days ago.
Pointspread; Indy -7.5
Total: 43.5

 

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Dolphins' QB Ryan Tannehill (shoulder) has been ruled out for Week 7 vs. Lions.
Brock Osweiler will make his second consecutive start.
Pointspread: DET -2.5
Total: 46.5

 

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NFL's Top ATS Teams (based on ATS %):

1. Chiefs 6-0 ATS
2. Lions 4-1 ATS
t3. Ravens 4-2 ATS
t3. Bengals 4-2 ATS
t3. Dolphins 4-2 ATS
t3. Browns 4-2 ATS

 

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NFL's Worst ATS Teams (based on ATS %):

32. Texans 1-5 ATS
31. Broncos 1-4-1 ATS
t24. Packers 2-4 ATS
t24. Eagles 2-4 ATS
t24. Falcons 2-4 ATS
t24. Colts 2-4 ATS
t24. Giants 2-4 ATS
t24. Raiders 2-4 ATS
t24. 49ers 2-4 ATS

 

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Preview: Titans vs. Chargers


Philip Rivers is enjoying a stellar season for the Los Angeles Chargers, and the 36-year-old quarterback attempts to carry his success over to London when his squad faces the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. Rivers has completed 68.6 percent of his passes for 1,702 yards and 15 touchdowns against three interceptions through six games.

Rivers ranks sixth in NFL history with 357 touchdown passes and eighth in yardage (52,050), but leading the Chargers to a fifth win is his main focus. "Whatever the numbers are, I really don't care anymore," Rivers told reporters. "I do, in that if you play well, you give your team a chance to win. But where you stack up all of those things, unless there's a direct correlation to winning, that's really what it's all about." Tennessee quarterback Marcus Mariota is on the other side of the equation with just two TD passes this season, and the Titans haven't scored an offensive touchdown during their two-game slide. "When it comes down to it, I think the mistakes, the lack of execution, those things are correctable," Mariota told reporters. "For us, if we can just go out there and focus on being efficient, on every little detail, that I think in itself will help us and hopefully lead to more points. When you are not scoring touchdowns, especially the last couple of weeks, there is a sense of frustration."

TV: 9:30 a.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Chargers -6.5. O/U: 45.5

ABOUT THE TITANS (3-3): Tennessee is looking to bounce back from an abysmal offensive performance in last Sunday's 21-0 loss to Baltimore as the team registered just 106 total yards and seven first downs while allowing Mariota to be sacked 11 times. “This is a humbling league, and we’ve been humbled the last few weeks,” Titans offensive coordinator Matt LaFleur told reporters. “Every game is different, and unfortunately, last week we got outcoached and we got outplayed, and that starts with me. It’s a pretty humbling experience.” Tennessee ranks 30th in scoring offense (14.5 points per game), but the defense is third in average points allowed (17.8) and will get a boost from the return of linebacker Wesley Woodyard, who missed most of the last three games with a shoulder injury.

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (4-2): While Rivers leads an attack averaging 29.2 points per game, unsung running back Melvin Gordon is on the verge of losing that label. Gordon is averaging 5.1 yards per carry, has scored nine touchdowns and leads the AFC with 745 yards from scrimmage (466 rushing, 279 receiving). The Chargers recorded five sacks in last Sunday's 38-14 win over Cleveland and Melvin Ingram (37.5 career sacks) likely is salivating at the prospect of facing a Tennessee offensive line that struggled so mightily against Baltimore.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Chargers have won nine of the last 10 meetings.

2. Los Angeles WR Tyrell Williams registered 118 receiving yards against the Browns for his sixth career 100-yard effort.

3. Tennessee RB Derrick Henry (team-best 240 rushing yards) has been held below 30 yards on three occasions and has yet to score a touchdown.

PREDICTION: Chargers 30, Titans 20

 

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ATS Trends
Tennessee

Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
Titans are 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Titans are 17-42-4 ATS in their last 63 vs. AFC.
Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.

L.A. Chargers

Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Chargers are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chargers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

OU Trends
Tennessee

Under is 4-0 in Titans last 4 vs. AFC.
Over is 5-1 in Titans last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Under is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Titans last 10 games in Week 7.

L.A. Chargers

Over is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games in October.
Over is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games on grass.
Under is 9-3-1 in Chargers last 13 games following a straight up win.
Under is 9-3 in Chargers last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Under is 11-4 in Chargers last 15 vs. AFC.
Under is 8-3-1 in Chargers last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 8-3-1 in Chargers last 12 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 13-5 in Chargers last 18 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Head to Head

Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Titans are 0-9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Titans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

 

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Preview: Bills at Colts


Despite their disappointing start to the season, the Indianapolis Colts find themselves only two games behind the other three teams in the AFC South in the standings. The Colts hope to gain ground on at least one of their division rivals when they host the Buffalo Bills on Sunday.

Indianapolis split its first two games of 2018 before losing four straight, including a 42-34 road decision against the New York Jets last week. But the other three clubs in the AFC South own 3-3 records, and with a victory over Buffalo, the Colts will climb within one game of at least one of them as Houston and Jacksonville square off in Week 7. The Bills also occupy last place in their division but, like Indianapolis, are just two games behind the co-leaders in the AFC East (New England and Miami). Buffalo looks to avoid back-to-back losses after falling 20-13 in Houston last week with a new quarterback at the helm as Derek Anderson, who was on vacation with his family less than two weeks ago, makes the start in place of injured rookie Josh Allen (elbow).

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Colts -7.5. O/U: 43

ABOUT THE BILLS (2-4): Anderson, who was signed on Oct. 9, hasn't made a start in the NFL since 2016 with Carolina and last appeared in a contest on Jan. 7 as he replaced an injured Cam Newton in the NFC wild-card game. "The legs feel good. The arm feels good," the 35-year-old Anderson told the team's website. "Mentally, we're working on putting a lot of hours in just trying to catch up with (the offense)." Buffalo is hoping to receive a strong performance by its defense, which has climbed from 18th in the league against the run to eighth over the last four weeks and leads the league with seven fumble recoveries.

ABOUT THE COLTS (1-5): Andrew Luck looks to join Steve Young (five) and Peyton Manning (four) as the only quarterbacks in NFL history to post four straight games with 300 passing yards and three touchdown tosses within a single season after recording 301 and four last week. Luck enters Week 7 first in the league with 186 completions and second with 16 scoring passes. Adam Vinatieri is moving closer to becoming the NFL's all-time leading scorer as he needs just 10 points to pass Hall-of-Famer Morten Andersen (2,544).

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Bills promoted rookie Cam Phillips from the practice squad and released fellow WR Robert Foster, who had two receptions for 30 yards.

2. Indianapolis placed Marcus Johnson (ankle) on injured reserve and signed fellow WR Dontrelle Inman.

3. Buffalo LB Tremaine Edmunds leads the team and is fourth among all NFL rookies with 47 tackles this season.

PREDICTION: Colts 33, Bills 13

 

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ATS Trends
Buffalo

Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Bills are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Bills are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Bills are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bills are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 7.
Bills are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Indianapolis

Colts are 30-13 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Colts are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games in Week 7.
Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Colts are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Colts are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.

OU Trends
Buffalo

Under is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games overall.
Over is 6-1 in Bills last 7 games in Week 7.
Under is 5-1 in Bills last 6 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 11-4 in Bills last 15 games on fieldturf.
Over is 13-5 in Bills last 18 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Indianapolis

Over is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-0 in Colts last 4 vs. AFC.
Under is 8-1 in Colts last 9 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 8-2 in Colts last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 11-4 in Colts last 15 home games.
Under is 8-3 in Colts last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 8-3 in Colts last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 10-4 in Colts last 14 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Colts last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 7-3 in Colts last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 11-5 in Colts last 16 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 35-16 in Colts last 51 games in October.

Head to Head

Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Bills are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Favorite is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Indianapolis.

 

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Preview: Vikings at Jets


Kirk Cousins will face the team he spurned in free agency last spring when he leads the Minnesota Vikings into a matchup with the host New York Jets on Sunday. The Jets offered a three-year, $90 million contract to Cousins in March, only to watch him sign with the Vikings for less money.

The 30-year-old Cousins has fit in nicely in Minnesota, averaging over 320 passing yards per game on the year and completing 76.1 percent of his passes during the team's two-game winning streak. "The thing that I love about this guy is his passion for the game, his intensity that he has," Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer told reporters of Cousins, who is averaging 382.7 yards on the road. "He's come in here and taken charge as a leader." Missing out on Cousins allowed the Jets to use the third overall pick on Sam Darnold, who has guided an offense that produced 76 points in back-to-back wins over Denver and Indianapolis. The rookie out of USC was 24 of 30 for 280 yards and two TDs against the Colts as New York held the ball for over 37 minutes in a 42-34 triumph.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Vikings -3.5. O/U: 46

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (3-2-1): Since allowing 38 points in a Week 4 loss at the Los Angeles Rams, Minnesota has given up a total of 38 during its two-game winning streak and it held Arizona to 268 total yards in last week's 27-17 win. Opponents are converting an NFL-low 25 percent of third downs, the Vikings have scooped up six fumbles -- tied for second overall -- and defensive end Danielle Hunter is tied for the NFL lead with seven sacks. Cousins continues to find wideout Adam Thielen, who leads the league with 712 receiving yards and has a touchdown in each of his last three games.

ABOUT THE JETS (3-3): Darnold made his first appearance on an injury report due to an elbow issue he deemed minor, but the team is banged up. Wide receiver Quincy Enunwa (ankle) and defensive back Marcus Maye (thumb) are out and two of Darnold's other targets -- Robby Anderson (hamstring) and Terrelle Pryor (groin) -- have missed practice time this week. Wideout Jermaine Kearse took advantage of increased opportunity against the Colts by snagging nine of his 10 targets for 94 yards.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Jets LB Darron Lee had a team-high eight tackles against the Colts and recorded his third interception, tied for the NFL lead.

2. Minnesota's Latavius Murray ran for 155 yards last week in the absence of fellow RB Dalvin Cook (hamstring), who is expected to return this week.

3. New York won seven straight meetings before a 30-24 loss at Minnesota in the previous matchup in 2014.

PREDICTION: Vikings 27, Jets 20

 

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ATS Trends
Minnesota

Vikings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Vikings are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Vikings are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 games on fieldturf.
Vikings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Vikings are 37-17 ATS in their last 54 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Vikings are 45-21-1 ATS in their last 67 games overall.
Vikings are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.

N.Y. Jets

Jets are 6-0-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 7.
Jets are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
Jets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Jets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games.
Jets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games on fieldturf.
Jets are 6-17-3 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

OU Trends
Minnesota

Over is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 12-5 in Vikings last 17 games in October.
Over is 7-3 in Vikings last 10 road games.
Under is 7-3 in Vikings last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

N.Y. Jets

Over is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games in October.
Over is 10-1-1 in Jets last 12 games in Week 7.
Under is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games following a straight up win.
Under is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games following a ATS win.
Over is 6-2 in Jets last 8 home games.
Under is 8-3 in Jets last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 8-3 in Jets last 11 games on fieldturf.
Over is 5-2 in Jets last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Jets last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Head to Head

Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

 

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Preview: Panthers at Eagles


The Philadelphia Eagles and Carolina Panthers envision themselves as contenders in the NFC this season, and Sunday's game between the teams at Lincoln Financial Field should provide a good litmus test to see where each stands. Carson Wentz tossed three touchdown passes in last week's 34-13 win over the New York Giants and had the same total in a 28-23 victory over the Panthers last season.

Philadelphia coach Doug Pederson has no designs on looking past Carolina, a team that has qualified for the playoffs in four of the last five seasons and posted a quality win over Cincinnati in Week 3. "That was kind of the message last year," Pederson said. "It's going to have to be a complete game if we expect to win. Yeah, it's going to be a really good test for us to see where we are in Week 7." While the Eagles evened their record with a convincing road victory last week, the Panthers are looking for a statement win on Sunday after falling to 0-2 away from the Tar Heel State with a 23-17 setback against Washington last week. "That old saying -- 'If you want to be the champs, you've got to be able to beat the champs' -- that's the truth," Carolina coach Ron Rivera said. "They're a good football team. They're very well coached. ... This is a game that can tell you a lot about yourself."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Eagles -4.5. O/U: 45.5

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (3-2): Cam Newton, who threw for 275 yards and two touchdowns versus the Redskins, tossed three interceptions in his last encounter with Philadelphia. Christian McCaffrey has proven to be Newton's safety blanket out of the backfield, as the shifty back leads the team with 34 receptions this season and had 10 catches and a touchdown in last year's contest versus the Eagles. Wideout Devin Funchess found the end zone last week and has scored twice in his past three road games while former Eagle Torrey Smith also notched a touchdown against the Redskins.

ABOUT THE EAGLES (3-3): Tight end Zack Ertz has found the end zone in back-to-back contests overall and erupted for two touchdowns in his last meeting with Carolina. Nelson Agholor also scored in that contest and had a team-high 91 receiving yards against the Giants while fellow wideout Alshon Jeffery had eight catches for 74 yards and two scores last week. The ground game produced modest results in its first contest without Jay Ajayi, although Corey Clement found the end zone versus the Giants. Wendell Smallwood will vie for a touchdown in his third straight home game on Sunday.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Carolina DE Julius Peppers recorded a sack and forced fumble both last week and in the previous meeting with Philadelphia.

2. Eagles LT Jason Peters is expected to play on Sunday despite sustaining a biceps injury last week.

3. Carolina's fourth-ranked ground attack (139.4) will square off against Philadelphia's second-ranked rush defense (79.8).

PREDICTION: Panthers 27, Eagles 23

 

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ATS Trends
Carolina

Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Panthers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.
Panthers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Philadelphia

Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Eagles are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Eagles are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 vs. NFC.
Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Eagles are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 7.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.

OU Trends
Carolina

Over is 6-1-1 in Panthers last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 13-5 in Panthers last 18 games in Week 7.
Over is 9-4 in Panthers last 13 games overall.
Over is 15-7 in Panthers last 22 games in October.

Philadelphia

Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-1 in Eagles last 8 home games.
Under is 7-1 in Eagles last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 9-3 in Eagles last 12 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 45-21 in Eagles last 66 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Head to Head

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

 

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Preview: Patriots at Bears


The New England Patriots appear to have found their mojo after a rocky start to the season and will take a three-game winning streak into Sunday afternoon's matchup at the Chicago Bears. The Patriots are coming off a thrilling victory over the previously unbeaten Kansas City Chiefs but they have lost both road games by double-digit margins this season.

New England scored a combined 30 points in road losses at Jacksonville and Detroit but has averaged 39.7 points during its three-game run following the 43-40 win over the Chiefs. "No matter how they start, they always finish strong and they get better every single week throughout the year," Bears quarterback Mitchell Trubisky said of the Patriots. "So it will be a great challenge for this team this week and we'll kind of have a good measurement of where we're at as a team and how we've grown from last year and the first bunch of games this year." Chicago failed to hold an 11-point third-quarter lead and had a three-game winning streak snapped on a last-second overtime loss at Miami last weekend. "This really looks like a 5-0 team to me," New England coach Bill Belichick said of the Bears, whose two losses have come by a combined four points.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Patriots -2.5. O/U: 49

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (4-2): The return of Julian Edelman from suspension and the addition of fellow wide receiver Josh Gordon via trade has provided a boost for quarterback Tom Brady, who has thrown for 681 yards over the past two games. "As a football player, you always want to play against the best players at a position," Bears linebacker Leonard Floyd said. "It definitely adds fuel to the fire going against Tom Brady." Rookie running back Sony Michel has added balance to the offense by rushing for 316 yards and three touchdowns during the three-game winning streak. New England's defense was gashed by the Chiefs and ranks 21st against the pass (268.7 yards per game).

ABOUT THE BEARS (4-2): After three pedestrian efforts to open the season, Trubisky has put together two stellar back-to-back performances by passing for 670 yards with nine touchdowns and one interception while completing over 71 percent of his passes in each. Running back Jordan Howard has received 25 carries over the past two weeks but third-down back Tarik Cohen has emerged as a weapon with 14 receptions for 211 yards and two touchdowns in that span. Wide receiver Allen Robinson (groin) and star pass rusher Khalil Mack (ankle) each sat out practice again Thursday. Mack's absence would be a huge blow for a defense that has 18 sacks, 10 interceptions and nine forced fumbles.

OVERTIME

1. Brady has won all four meetings against Chicago, throwing for 1,318 yards with 11 TDs versus three interceptions.

2. Mack, who has never missed a regular-season game, has five sacks and four forced fumbles in five games this season.

3. Patriots RB James White has 37 catches and four receiving touchdowns this season.

PREDICTION: Patriots 27, Bears 23

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
New England

Patriots are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Patriots are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Patriots are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games.
Patriots are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 7.
Patriots are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Patriots are 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 games in October.
Patriots are 31-13 ATS in their last 44 games overall.
Patriots are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up win.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Chicago

Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Bears are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Bears are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 home games.
Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Bears are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Bears are 18-40-1 ATS in their last 59 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Bears are 13-39-1 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7.

OU Trends
New England

Under is 7-1 in Patriots last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 12-3 in Patriots last 15 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 8-3 in Patriots last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 50-23 in Patriots last 73 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Chicago

Under is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 13-3 in Bears last 16 games in Week 7.
Over is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 10-3 in Bears last 13 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Bears last 8 games in October.
Under is 6-2 in Bears last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 8-3 in Bears last 11 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Bears last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 7-3 in Bears last 10 home games.
Under is 11-5 in Bears last 16 games following a ATS loss.

Head to Head

Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.