Sunday 09/06/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Sunday 09/06/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.

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NCAAF ADDITIONAL

Week 1

Trend Report

Sunday, September 6

3:30 PM
MISSISSIPPI vs. MEMPHIS
Mississippi is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Memphis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Mississippi

7:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. COLORADO
Colorado State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado State
Colorado is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado State
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros (+155, 8.5)

Playing the under continues to be the trend with the Phillies. Friday’s 7-0 loss to the Astros was the eighth time the final score has fell below the oddsmakers’ number in Philadelphia’s last 10 games.

The biggest reason behind this current under streak is the lack of pop from the Phillies lineup. Philadelphia can’t seem to get things going in the past week, hitting a major-league worst .215 and totaling just seven runs heading into Saturday’s Game 2.

In Friday’s loss, Philadelphia had seven hits and left the bases loaded in the seventh inning. The goose egg on the scoreboard was the second time in three games the Phillies were shutout.

"We have to do better," Phillies manager Charlie Manuel told reporters."We had some chances to score some runs tonight, but we didn't... we couldn't get a big hit."

It hasn’t hurt those betting the under that Philly’s pitching staff is posting an ERA just over 3.00 during this stretch. Phillies ace Cole Hamels steps to the mound Sunday. He hasn’t given up a run in his last two starts.

Pick: Under 8.5


Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves (-175, 8.5)

Tim Hudson has a three-game win streak rolling – if you count his final two starts of 2008 before the Braves right-hander underwent Tommy John elbow reconstruction surgery last August.

In his first game back with Atlanta, Hudson logged just under six innings of work and allowed two runs on six hits while striking out five batters. Hudson had a three-hour rain delay to help calm his nerves in Tuesday’s 4-3 win over Florida. He struggled a bit with his control, walking three batters.

"I'm happy with the majority of my pitches and the action on the ball," Hudson told reporters. "I think my stuff is there. But it's just locating it better at times."

Hudson has performed well against Cincinnati during his career. In five starts versus the Reds, he is 3-1 and boasts a 3.57 ERA.

Pick: Atlanta -175
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Jon Lester, Boston Red Sox

Lester’s recent gems are a big reason why bettors can never count the Red Sox out. The left-hander has led the team to wins in his last four trips to the mound.

Since the All-Star break, Lester has posted 3.02 ERA and a WHIP of 1.14. He’s also totaled 196 strikeouts on the season, which is a team record for the BoSox. Lester overtook Bruce Hurst’s 1987 franchise record for left-handers. He pitched six innings against the Rays, allowing two runs and striking out nine batters.

Jonathan Sanchez, San Francisco Giants

Sanchez was just what the Giants needed – another lights-out pitcher.

The young lefty has been stellar on the bump for San Francisco. But, like his pitching peers, has suffered at the hands of the team’s lackluster offense. In his last three starts, Sanchez has a 1-1 record despite a 2.00 ERA, 25 strikeouts and just 11 hits allowed.

In his last trip to the bump, Sanchez gave up just one run on three hits while striking out eight batters. However, the Giants could muster just two hits and were shutout 1-0 by the Phillies.


Slumping

Derek Holland, Texas Rangers

Holland can’t be happy facing another AL East foe Sunday. His last two starts, against the Blue Jays and Yankees, proved disastrous for the rookie.

He allowed 10 earned runs on seven hits in just three innings of work against Toronto this past Monday. The start before that, the southpaw was knocked around for six earned runs on seven hits in six innings versus New York.

Holland has been susceptible to the long ball in recent appearance, allowing seven home runs in his last four starts.

Bud Norris, Houston Astros

Houston is hoping some extra time off can help Bud Norris forget about his past two trips to the rubber.

Norris will start on seven-days rest Sunday after the team skipped his turn in the rotation. The rookie has surpassed his career high pitch count and could be feeling a little worn out heading into the home stretch.

In his last two appearances, Norris has allowed a combined 12 earned runs in just six innings of work. The righty has struggled with his control, walking seven batters in those games and watching his pitch counts climb into the high 90’s despite limited work.
 
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Sunday Night Baseball: Padres at Dodgers

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers (-201, 8.5)

Southern California is the scene for Sunday night baseball where the first-place Dodgers host the last-place Padres at Chavez Ravine.

San Diego sends rookie right-hander Tim Stauffer (3-6, 3.76 ERA) to the hill against Los Angeles right-hander Hiroki Kuroda (5-5, 4.08 ERA), who makes his first start off the 15-day DL since being hit in the head by a line drive at Arizona August 15.

Down the stretch

While the Dodgers remain busy trying to hold off fast-closing Colorado and San Francisco, the Padres have put on a run of their own.

Entering the weekend, San Diego owned a .318 team batting average over its previous 15 road games, averaging more than six runs and 12 hits per game. As a result the Padres were 9-6 in those games.

They opened a string of 17 games over the final three weeks of the season against the Dodgers and the two aforementioned National League West clubs that are battling for playoff berths.

RBI guys

In hopes of adding some additional clout to the lineup, the Dodgers acquired future Hall of Famer Jim Thome from the White Sox just prior to the waiver wire.

Thome’s 74 RBI’s this season ranks him No. 3 behind Andre Ethier (88) and James Loney (75) on the Los Angeles roster.

The likeable left-handed slugger, currently 36 dingers short of 600 home runs, will be utilized primarily as a pinch-hitter, thus curtailing his run at 600.

"Getting 600 would be great. Right now I'm focused and really excited about being here,” Thome told the media. “It was something out of the blue. I never expected to go back to the National League. To be here is just a thrill, it really is."

San Diego 3B Kevin Kouzmanoff’s 79 RBIs on the season ties him with All-Star 1B Adrian Gonzalez for the Padres’ team lead.

Pick me up

In hopes of bolstering a pitching staff that is on the mend, the Dodgers also picked up RHP Jon Garland from the Diamondbacks.

Garland became the 12th starting pitcher the Dodgers have used in 2009. The most starters the Dodgers have used since moving to Los Angeles is 13 back in 1964.

Armed forces

Stauffer has performed much better that his 3-6 record would indicate. He has won consecutive starts despite receiving four or less runs in nine of his last 11 starting efforts.

The rookie owns a respectable 4.35 ERA in his last six road outings.

Kuroda gave up one unearned run in five innings in his minor league rehab start Tuesday. Manager Joe Torre reported his first pitch was a line drive through the box and he also faced a broken bat hit, leaving the Dodgers bench boss convinced that Kuroda isn't scared about being hit again.

Los Angeles is 10-4 in Kuroda’s last 14 team starts. Kuroda brings a 5-1 career team start mark against San Diego into the contest.

Check the calendar

While Kuroda is 4-1 with a 2.97 ERA in his MLB career team starts in September, he is just 2-6 on Sundays.

The Dodgers have come up winners in eight of their last 12 games on Sundays while the Padres have dropped seven straight on the day of rest.
 

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Free college football pick from Doc's Sports - #206 Take Memphis +16 ½ over Mississippi (Sunday 3:30 pm ESPN)
The Rebels are getting a lot of pub this season and many experts have them winning the SEC West. They have a top notch quarterback in Jevan Snead, but I wonder if they are good enough to lay this much wood on the road against a team that is only 85 miles away from there campus. Ole Miss was just 9-4 last year and four of their five road games were decided by four points or less. Memphis is bad, but they lost by just 17 points last season in Oxford and I suspect this will be a much closer game then what the experts believe.
 

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Marc Lawrence
Bonus Play
Game: Florida Marlins at Washington Nationals Sep 6 2009 1:35PM
Prediction: Florida Marlins

Reason: Play On: Florida Marlins w/Sanchez vs Martin
Note: The Marlins conclude their three game visit against the Nationals when they send Anibel Sanchez to the mound against J.D. Martin in the nation's capitol this afternoon. Sanchez checks in with a nice 3.67 ERA In his three starts since being recalled from New Orleans a month ago. He's also 5-2 in his career team starts in this series. Meanwhile, Martin has dropped two of his last three team starts with a 4.64 ERA along the way. Look for Florida to continue its mastery over Washington in this series (15-5 last 20 games) here today.
 

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VERNON CROY
Bonus Play
1* Take the Florida Marlins on the Moneyline, The Marlins are the superior overall team here Sunday afternoon and they are 5-1 in Anibal Sanchez's (2-6, 5.01 ERA) last 6 starts against the Nationals. Sanchez pitched well in his last three starts off of the disabled list and I look for him to have another good start against this Nationals line-up. The Marlins were 11-4 in their last 15 games played in Washington before Saturday's outcome and the Nationals are just 0-7 in their last 7 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take the Florida Marlins
 

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STEVE MERRILL
Bonus Play

TEXAS RANGERS

Texas missed a crucial shot to gain another game on the Red Sox last night and will look for the series win over Baltimore in Camden Yards on Sunday. Derek Holland goes for Texas and he's 5-8 with a 5.66 ERA on the season. He's struggled facing a pair of potent offenses in his last two outings in Toronto and the Yankees. Holland has never faced the Orioles who are 20-30 against left handed starters averaging 3.8 runs and a .257 batting average. They are 13-24 in the daytime and 33-37 at home where they are supposed to be better. Jeremy Guthrie's numbers aren’t too pretty as he's 9-13 with a 5.17 ERA on the season. At home he's 4-7 with a 5.14 ERA while his team is 4-10 in his 14 home starts overall. Guthrie gave up three runs and six hits in five innings when the Orioles took on Texas in Arlington in April. Michael Young (4-12), Pudge Rodriguez (3-9), Marlon Byrd (3-7), David Murphy (2-6), Jarrod Saltalamacchia (2-3) and Taylor Teagarden (1-2) hit the righthander well. Texas had won four straight before Saturday's loss. Texas is 20-15 in the daytime averaging 4.7 runs per game.
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<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>The Millionaires Club</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Sunday, September 06, 2009
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How did he do yesterday?
 
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The Prodigy

MLB Free Pick of the Day

St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Play: Money Line: St Louis Cardinals -172

Joel Piniero is having a great year and it will seem to continue against a struggling Pirates team. St. Louis is on a mission to finish strong and their bats have been red hot. Even with Angel Hernandez behind home plate having a history that does not favor the Cardinals, the pirates bullpen has been awful and will have a long night against a Cardinal's hot bats
 
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Vegas Experts

Florida Marlins at Washington Nationals

Sunday, September 6th, 1:35 ET

Might as well back the Fish as they go for the sweep in the Nation's Capital and at a relatively affordable price no less! The Nationals have just been horrible in division play this year, losing 36 of 49 NL East games overall and they are a miserable 3-11 vs. Florida. The Marlins, meanwhile, are 17-9 on the division road this year and have scored nine runs in each of the first two games of this series. Let's just "throw in the fact" that Washington has lost its last eight games.

Play on: Florida
 
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Alex Smart

Seattle Mariners (-110)

Sun Sep 6 '09 4:05p

Seattle enters this tilt against the Oakland As having won 9 of their L/13 games, and have been playing fairly well of late behind super star Ichiro Suzuki who is hitting .442 in his last 9 contests. Despite of losing yesterday the Mariners have for the most part had the Athletics number this season , winning 11 of 15 meetings, and I expect them to garner more positive results this afternoon behind under rated hurler Dough Fister (2-1,2.94 ERA). The right hander performed admirably vs the AL West-leading Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday. The product of Fresno State limited one of the majors most explosive offenses to one run and five hits in a career-high 7 1/3 innings for a 2-1 win. Meanwhile, the As return fire with the very hittable , rookie Gio Gonzalez who is 0-3 along with a 7.29 ERA in 21 innings over his past four starts. He's faced Seattle twice this year, and was roughed up , as is evident by allowing seven runs on 12 hits over 10 innings. Gonzalez has been particularly unstable at home where he has garnered a ugly 8.20 ERA (31 Ers in 34 innings). Final notes & Key Trends: Athletics are 9-25 in their last 34 games following a win. .......Play on the Seattle Mariners
 
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Bobby Maxwell

I'm on a 5-2 run with Bonus Plays, and handed out an easy winner on Saturday on the college gridiron as Texas A&M pounded New Mexico. Today I'm back on the diamond for a comp play on the Giants as they take on the Brewers in Milwaukee.

When the Giants make the playoffs - and they are going to make the playoffs - people are going to give all the credit to their pitching staff. It has been dominant this season and especially here lately. Today they have their most inconsistent starter on the hill in Jonathan Sanchez (6-11, 4.15 ERA) and his ERA is still very respectable and he's the only one on staff with a no-hitter.

San Francisco has taken the first two games of this series, winning 3-2 on Friday and by the same 3-2 score Saturday night. Nobody is able to score off the Giants' pitching staff as they have given up more than three runs just twice in their last 10 games. Funny that one of their losses this last week was when Sanchez allowed one run to the Phillies and lost 1-0 to Cole Hamels.

Sanchez has an ERA of 2.00 in his last three starts and in his last three road outings he's allowed three runs in 18 innings at the Mets, Rockies and Phillies - three solid offensive clubs. This guy has been dealing lately, allowing three runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts.

On the bump for Milwaukee is Braden Looper (11-6, 4.92) who got knocked around in St. Louis on Tuesday, allowing four runs on eight hits in six innings of a 7-6 loss. The Brewers have dropped six of his last eight starts and he's allowed four runs or more in five of those eight outings. Last time he saw the Giants was last season when he started for the Cardinals and allowed seven runs on 10 hits in three innings of an 8-2 loss.

San Francisco is on runs of 11-4 against the N.L. Central, 5-1 against right-handers and 7-2 against teams wtih a losing record. Meanwhile, Milwaukee is on slides of 0-5 with Looper on the hill at home, 2-11 on Sundays and 1-5 at home against teams with winning records.

This game and this series belongs to the Giants.
4? SAN FRANCISCO
 
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Trend Report

1:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 12 games at home

1:07 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TORONTO
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Toronto is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

1:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games on the road
NY Mets are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets's last 10 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

1:35 PM
CINCINNATI vs. ATLANTA
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:35 PM
FLORIDA vs. WASHINGTON
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Washington
Washington is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Florida
Washington is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Florida

1:35 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. PITTSBURGH
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:35 PM
TEXAS vs. BALTIMORE
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home

1:38 PM
DETROIT vs. TAMPA BAY
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

2:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. HOUSTON
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

2:05 PM
BOSTON vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Chi White Sox are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games when playing Boston
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

2:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. MILWAUKEE
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Milwaukee's last 19 games at home

2:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. KANSAS CITY
LA Angels are 17-8 SU in their last 25 games on the road
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels

3:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. COLORADO
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

4:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. OAKLAND
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Seattle
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle

8:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. LA DODGERS
San Diego is 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Diego is 3-11 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing San Diego
LA Dodgers are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against San Diego
 

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