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Roz Wins

Roz's Sunday, September 2, 2018, Free Pick

(923) SEATTLE MARINERS (F HERNANDEZ - R) VS (924) OAKLAND ATHLETICS (E JACKSON - R)

Take : A's
 

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JACK BRAYMAN

After covering with UNLV on Saturday, my free winner for Sunday is on the Kansas City Royals over the Baltimore Orioles. Do not list pitchers in this game.

On the heels of a wild 5-4 victory last night, I like Kansas City to keep its win streak alive today and complete the sweep.

The Orioles took the lead in the top of the ninth, but Whit Merrifield's two-run shot with one out in the bottom half of the ninth sealed the victory for Kansas City.

I'm not listing pitchers in this one, as it won't matter much. Not with the way the Royals have been playing this week. Kansas City has outscored its opponents 29-10 during a four-game win streak, twice scoring nine runs in games. That won't bode well for an Orioles team that went 8-20 in August, with a pitching staff that had a 6.42 ERA.

Take the Royals in this one, as they roll to the easy win.

2* ROYALS
 

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Preview: Miami vs. LSU
Gracenote
Aug 30, 2018

It won't take long for No. 8 Miami (Fla.) and No. 24 LSU to find out whether they will be contenders for the national championship. They come right out of the gate with their first challenge in a rare primetime Sunday night matchup in Arlington, Texas.

"Until you play somebody, you really don't know," Miami third-year coach Mark Richt told reporters. "There are no warm-up games here. We will be physically and mentally tested. It will be a gut check, at the very least. … When you play LSU, Game 1, in this type of game, in this setting that we're going to be in, you can't help but think, 'I better get ready.'" The Hurricanes were surprisingly ready last year, running out to wins in their first 10 games to earn their first-ever ACC Coastal crown and putting themselves smack in the middle of the national title talk before a not-so-fabulous 0-3 finish dashed their hopes. LSU had the opposite kind of season with a 3-2 start followed by a 6-2 conclusion, but it is hoping to avoid a repeat by getting off on the right foot in a venue that is supposed to be neutral although it may be decidedly pro Tigers based on its vicinity to Louisiana. "I know our fans are going to be excited to take over that stadium and turn it into Death Valley," said coach Ed Orgeron, whose Tigers are 3-0 at AT&T Stadium, with all wins coming over ranked teams.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC. LINE: Miami -3.5

ABOUT MIAMI (2017: 10-3): The Hurricanes are set at quarterback with returning starter Malik Rosier, who emerged as a dual threat last year with 3,120 yards passing and 468 running while setting the school single-season record for total touchdowns (31), but he has something to prove after a dismal showing during the team's 0-3 finish with five interceptions and a 44.9 completion percentage. Rosier's receiving corps will be bolstered by the return to health of Ahmmon Richards, who followed up his record-setting freshman season with an injury-plagued sophomore campaign, while even bigger things are expected from running back Travis Homer (966 yards rushing in 2017). The Canes defense will be fast and aggressive as usual, with each defender hungry to wear the famed turnover chain - 11 of the 16 players who wore it in 2017 return, including preseason All-American safety Jaquan Johnson (four interceptions, two fumble recoveries) - and they may have their chances against an inexperienced LSU offense.

ABOUT LSU (2017: 9-4): The Tigers will have a different starting quarterback for the season opener for the 16th time in the last 21 seasons and they open with a new quarterback-running back combination for the third straight year. Graduate transfer Joe Burrow (Ohio State) will make his first college start behind center in new coordinator Steve Ensminger's more pass-oriented offense, winning the job over sophomore Myles Brennan, while senior Nick Brossette finally gets his chance after making just one start for the Tigers but he has big shoes to fill with the departure of star running back Derrius Guice. After surrendering just 18.9 points and 316 yards per game last year, defense is where the team will excel immediately and give Rosier his first big test, spearheaded by a pair of preseason first team All-Americans - junior linebacker Devin White and sophomore cornerback Greedy Williams.

EXTRA POINTS

1. LSU leads the all-time series with Miami 9-3 after defeating the Hurricanes 40-3 in the 2005 Peach Bowl.

2. The Hurricanes are kicking off the season with their first true neutral-site matchup since Aug. 29, 1999, when they defeated Ohio State 23-12.

3. Orgeron won two national titles as a University of Miami assistant from 1988 to 1992.

PREDICTION: Miami 20, LSU 13
 

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ATS Trends
Miami

Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Hurricanes are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games on fieldturf.
Hurricanes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.
Hurricanes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Louisiana State

Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. ACC.
Tigers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Tigers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in September.

OU Trends
Miami

Under is 6-0 in Hurricanes last 6 neutral site games.
Under is 5-1 in Hurricanes last 6 vs. SEC.
Under is 9-2 in Hurricanes last 11 games overall.
Under is 45-21 in Hurricanes last 66 non-conference games.

Louisiana State

Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 neutral site games.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games on fieldturf.
Under is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 games in September.
Under is 6-2-1 in Tigers last 9 non-conference games.
Under is 20-8-2 in Tigers last 30 games overall.

Head to Head
No trends available.
 

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(217) MIAMI @ (218) LSU | 09/02/2018 - 7:30 PM
Play ON LSU using the money line in All games as a neutral field underdog of +155 to +220 vs. the money line
The record is 5 Wins and 0 Losses since 1992 (+9.20 units)
 

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Sunday, September 2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (10 - 3) vs. LSU (9 - 4) - 9/2/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
 

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Trend Report

Sunday, September 2

Miami-FL @ Louisiana State
Miami-FL
Miami-FL is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami-FL's last 11 games

Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana State's last 5 games
 

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Sunday, September 2

Miami has 14 starters back, 7 on both sides of ball; Hurricanes’ OL has 55 returning starts, their QB has 14 starts. Miami covered only one of its last seven games on a neutral field. LSU has five starters back on both sides of ball; their OL has only 35 returning starts. Tigers will also have a new QB. Since 2012, LSU is 11-17 vs spread outside the SEC. Last three years, ACC teams are 20-14-1 vs spread when playing SEC opponents. This game is in Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, TX. These teams haven’t met since 2005.
 

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Dunkel Index

Sunday, September 2

Miami-FL @ LSU

Game 217-218
September 2, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
99.869
LSU
99.916
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
Even
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 3
48
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(+3); Under
 

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Sunday, Sept. 2

Miami, FL (-3.5/48) vs. LSU, 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC: The luster off the Bayou Bengals since they’ve been denied double-digit victories for four years and counting. The chances of Ed Orgeron changing that this season don’t look great and will be virtually non-existent if they fail at Arlington’s AT&T Stadium given the schedule ahead. LSU’s defense will have to replace a number of key figures but has a chance to again be solid with coordinator Dave Aranda at the controls. The Tigers have a new quarterback too, though Orgeron won’t say who he’s chosen between Ohio State transfer Joe Burrow and lightly experienced sophomore Myles Brennan. Miami hadn’t won 10 games since their 2003 team finished in the top-5 but won its first 10 last year in Mark Richt’s second season at the helm. They were beaten in their final three games last season but return plenty of talent on both sides of the coin, including QB Malik Rosier and RB Travis Homer. Rosier has been streaky, so improved consistency will likely end up being the key to this game and the Hurricanes’ season. Keep an eye on the matchup between UM receiver Ahmonn Richards and LSU corner Greedy Williams.
 

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Preview: Tigers at Yankees
Gracenote
Sep 1, 2018

Andrew McCutchen made his New York debut and Gary Sanchez returned to the lineup for the first time in more than a month, but one thing remained unchanged for the Yankees: Youth was served. Rookie Gleyber Torres delivered the decisive hit for the second straight day to put New York in position for a series wiin in Sunday's game against the visiting Detroit Tigers.

Torres clubbed a two-run homer in Saturday's 2-1 win and knocked in the go-ahead runs with a two-RBI single Friday to improve to 6-for-11 with two homers and six RBIs in the series and extend his hitting streak to six games. The Yankees managed only two hits in Saturday's victory as newly acquired McCutchen went 0-for-3 and Sanchez was hitless in four at-bats in his first game since July 23. The Tigers have dropped seven of eight overall and fell to 20-48 away from home - the second-most road losses in the majors behind Baltimore. Victor Martinez drove in the lone run for Detroit on Saturday and is 8-for-20 with two homers and seven RBIs in six games versus New York this season.

TV: 1:05 p.m. ET, FS Detroit, YES (New York)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Tigers LH Matthew Boyd (8-12, 4.22 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Lance Lynn (8-9, 4.84)

Boyd has alternated wins and losses over his last six starts, coming out on the short end of a 6-2 decision at Kansas City on Tuesday after giving up five runs and seven hits over six innings. All three losses in that span have come away from home, where he is 2-9 with a 5.75 ERA in 14 starts. McCutchen is 2-for-3 with a homer off Boyd, who owns an ugly 9.35 ERA in losing both career starts to the Yankees.

Lynn quickly endeared himself to New York fans following his acquisition from Minnesota, yielding one run in 16 2/3 innings over his first three outings, but he has tailed off in his last three starts. He has allowed 13 runs and 22 hits over 15 innings in his last three starts, going 0-1 in that stretch. Lynn has been solid in splitting a pair of decisions versus the Tigers this year, posting a 2.03 ERA and 0.90 WHIP.

WALK-OFFS

1. Yankees RHP Dellin Betances became the first relief pitcher in history with at least 100 strikeouts in five straight seasons.

2. Tigers LHP Daniel Stumpf has made six consecutive scoreless appearances.

3. Yankees SS Adeiny Hechavarria, acquired late Friday night from Pittsburgh, was a defensive replacement in the ninth inning Saturday.

PREDICTION: Yankees 7, Tigers 4
 

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W/L Trends
Detroit

Tigers are 17-35 in their last 52 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 20-43 in their last 63 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 16-35 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Tigers are 16-35 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 18-45 in their last 63 overall.
Tigers are 8-20 in their last 28 Sunday games.
Tigers are 16-40 in their last 56 games on grass.
Tigers are 17-48 in their last 65 road games.
Tigers are 18-53 in their last 71 vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 14-44 in their last 58 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Tigers are 6-20 in their last 26 during game 4 of a series.
Tigers are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. American League East.
Tigers are 4-14 in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a loss.
Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Tigers are 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 4-9 in Boyds last 13 starts.
Tigers are 3-7 in Boyds last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 6-15 in Boyds last 21 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 2-5 in Boyds last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 2-5 in Boyds last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 3-8 in Boyds last 11 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 3-15 in Boyds last 18 road starts.
Tigers are 1-5 in Boyds last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.

NY Yankees

Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games.
Yankees are 25-8 in their last 33 vs. American League Central.
Yankees are 23-8 in their last 31 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Yankees are 11-4 in their last 15 overall.
Yankees are 67-26 in their last 93 home games.
Yankees are 53-21 in their last 74 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Yankees are 12-5 in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Yankees are 28-12 in their last 40 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series.
Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games following a win.
Yankees are 72-35 in their last 107 games on grass.
Yankees are 39-19 in their last 58 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Yankees are 5-11 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Yankees are 4-11 in their last 15 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Yankees are 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Yankees are 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts.
Yankees are 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts on grass.

OU Trends
Detroit

Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 during game 4 of a series.
Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.
Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 6-2-1 in Tigers last 9 road games.
Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 games following a loss.
Over is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 12-5 in Tigers last 17 vs. American League East.
Under is 4-0 in Boyds last 4 starts vs. American League East.
Under is 8-1 in Boyds last 9 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Boyds last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 9-3-1 in Boyds last 13 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Boyds last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 12-5-1 in Boyds last 18 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

NY Yankees

Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games following a win.
Under is 3-0-4 in Yankees last 7 during game 4 of a series.
Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 6-1-1 in Yankees last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 overall.
Under is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 on grass.
Under is 3-1-3 in Yankees last 7 Sunday games.
Over is 23-8-1 in Yankees last 32 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 19-7 in Yankees last 26 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 7-3-1 in Yankees last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 7-3-1 in Yankees last 11 vs. American League Central.
Over is 9-4-2 in Yankees last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Head to Head

Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
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Preview: Blue Jays at Marlins
Gracenote
Sep 2, 2018

J.T. Realmuto has already set career highs for homers and RBIs this season with a month left in the season as his Miami Marlins host the Toronto Blue Jays in the rubber match of a three-game interleague series Sunday afternoon. Realmuto launched his career-best 18th homer in Saturday’s 6-3 victory and pushed his RBI total to 68 - seven coming during his current five-game hitting streak.

Realmuto’s effort was supported by veteran infielder Martin Prado, who registered a three-run double in his first game in almost three weeks after being activated from the disabled list before Saturday’s contest. The Marlins will try to even their interleague record at 10-10 on Sunday when they send Jeff Brigham to the mound for his major-league debut, while Toronto (12-7 interleague) counters with fellow rookie Sean Reid-Foley in the series finale. The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six, but first baseman Justin Smoak is red-hot with homers in four straight games and nine RBIs in that span. Toronto managed just five hits Saturday and two came from Devon Travis, who is batting .344 with 55 hits (nine homers) and 32 RBIs in 44 career interleague contests.

TV: 1:10 p.m. ET, Sportsnet, OMNI, TVA (Toronto), FS Florida (Miami)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Blue Jays RH Sean Reid-Foley (0-2, 8.68 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Jeff Brigham (NR)

Reid-Foley returns to the majors for the first time since his first two big-league starts in mid-August, both ending with losses. The 23-year-old born in Guam gave up three runs over five innings in his debut on Aug. 13 before yielding eight runs (six earned) across 4 1/3 frames five days later. Reid-Foley is 12-5 with a 3.26 ERA in 24 starts at Triple-A and Double-A combined this year, striking out 150 over 129 2/3 innings.

Brigham gets the call after scheduled starter Pablo Lopez was placed on the 60-day disabled list Saturday due to a shoulder strain. The 26-year-old Washington native, who was acquired in a trade from the Los Angeles Dodgers in July of 2015, is 10-3 with a 2.36 ERA across 17 starts at three levels in the minors in 2018 - including 5-2 with a 3.44 mark at Triple-A New Orleans. Brigham has struck out 94 in 95 1/3 innings this year.

WALK-OFFS

1. Toronto OF Billy McKinney, who was rested Saturday, is 16-for-42 with 10 RBIs in 14 games since being acquired from the New York Yankees.

2. Miami CF Lewis Brinson (hip) was also activated from the DL on Saturday and went 1-for-4.

3. Blue Jays RHP Marcus Stroman (blister) threw a bullpen session Saturday and could start Monday’s game against Tampa Bay.

PREDICTION: Marlins 7, Blue Jays 5
 

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W/L Trends
Toronto

Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Blue Jays are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Blue Jays are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Blue Jays are 17-35 in their last 52 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Blue Jays are 17-35 in their last 52 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Blue Jays are 2-6 in their last 8 games following a loss.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Blue Jays are 1-8 in their last 9 road games.
Blue Jays are 1-8 in their last 9 games on grass.

Miami

Marlins are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Marlins are 13-5 in their last 18 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Marlins are 9-19 in their last 28 during game 3 of a series.
Marlins are 5-11 in their last 16 Sunday games.
Marlins are 7-17 in their last 24 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Marlins are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
Marlins are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games.
Marlins are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Marlins are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Marlins are 8-21 in their last 29 overall.
Marlins are 8-21 in their last 29 games on grass.
Marlins are 2-6 in their last 8 games following a win.
Marlins are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Marlins are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

OU Trends
Toronto

Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games.
Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.
Over is 21-5 in Blue Jays last 26 vs. National League East.
Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 7-2 in Blue Jays last 9 games following a loss.
Over is 21-6 in Blue Jays last 27 interleague road games.
Over is 16-5 in Blue Jays last 21 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 18-6 in Blue Jays last 24 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 11-4-1 in Blue Jays last 16 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 19-7 in Blue Jays last 26 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 37-14 in Blue Jays last 51 on grass.
Over is 26-10-1 in Blue Jays last 37 Sunday games.
Over is 36-16-2 in Blue Jays last 54 road games.
Over is 34-16-2 in Blue Jays last 52 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Miami

Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games following a win.
Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 interleague games.
Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 vs. American League East.
Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 7-2-2 in Marlins last 11 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 18-7-2 in Marlins last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 10-4-2 in Marlins last 16 home games.
Over is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.

Head to Head

Blue Jays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings.
Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

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Preview: Cubs at Phillies
Gracenote
Sep 2, 2018

The Chicago Cubs’ lineup is more menacing than ever, but the team will have to face one of the league’s best pitchers in the finale of its three-game road series against the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday. Cy Young Award contender Aaron Nola will try to shut down Chicago’s potent offense when he squares off against Jon Lester in a matchup of All-Stars.


Kris Bryant returned to the lineup after being sidelined since July 23 and recorded two hits to help the Cubs to a 7-1 triumph on Saturday, evening the series at one win apiece. The Cubs have captured nine of their last 11 contests as they own the best record in the National League. Chicago also owns a 4 1/2-game lead over both St. Louis and Milwaukee in the NL Central. The Phillies have gone 8-14 since Aug. 8 and slipped three games behind first-place Atlanta in the NL East.

TV: 1:35 p.m. ET, TBS, WGN (Chicago), NBCS Philadelphia


PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs LH Jon Lester (14-5, 3.67 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Aaron Nola (15-3, 2.10)

Lester had a few bumpy outings coming out of the All-Star break, but he has returned to form recently, posting a 2.04 ERA over his last three starts. The 34-year-old allowed three runs over six innings in a no-decision against the New York Mets last time out. Lester is 7-0 with a 1.64 ERA in nine career starts versus the Phillies.

Nola’s start was moved up a day so he could pitch at home, where he is 9-0 with a 1.94 ERA in 13 outings this season. The 25-year-old ace hasn’t lost since July 14 and has allowed fewer than three runs in six straight outings. Nola is 1-0 with a 4.61 ERA in two career starts against the Cubs.


WALK-OFFS

1. Bryant went 2-for-4 with a double and scored a run in his return from a stint on the disabled list due to left shoulder inflammation.

2. Phillies C Wilson Ramos went 1-for-3 on Saturday and is 16-for-40 with eight extra-base hits in 11 games since being acquired from Tampa Bay.

3. Chicago INF Javier Baez needs one home run and one RBI to becomes the fifth Cubs player with 30 blasts and 100 RBIs in a season by the campaign during which they reach the age of 25, joining Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, Ernie Banks and Ron Santo.


PREDICTION: Phillies 3, Cubs 2
 

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W/L Trends
Chi. Cubs

Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cubs are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 overall.
Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 games on grass.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 Sunday games.
Cubs are 12-4 in their last 16 vs. National League East.
Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a win.
Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.
Cubs are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Cubs are 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Cubs are 8-1 in Lesters last 9 road starts.
Cubs are 6-1 in Lesters last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cubs are 8-2 in Lesters last 10 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 4-1 in Lesters last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 4-1 in Lesters last 5 Sunday starts.
Cubs are 26-7 in Lesters last 33 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 11-3 in Lesters last 14 starts vs. National League East.
Cubs are 7-2 in Lesters last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
Cubs are 27-8 in Lesters last 35 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 8-3 in Lesters last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 55-24 in Lesters last 79 starts on grass.
Cubs are 55-25 in Lesters last 80 starts.

Philadelphia

Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 21-7 in their last 28 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 4-9 in their last 13 overall.
Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 games on grass.
Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 6-0 in Nolas last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 5-0 in Nolas last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Phillies are 5-1 in Nolas last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 5-1 in Nolas last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 5-1 in Nolas last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 9-2 in Nolas last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Phillies are 4-1 in Nolas last 5 Sunday starts.
Phillies are 21-6 in Nolas last 27 home starts.
Phillies are 7-2 in Nolas last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
Phillies are 16-5 in Nolas last 21 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Phillies are 6-2 in Nolas last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 6-2 in Nolas last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 19-7 in Nolas last 26 starts.
Phillies are 19-7 in Nolas last 26 starts on grass.

OU Trends
Chi. Cubs

Under is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 10-2 in Cubs last 12 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 9-2 in Cubs last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 13-3 in Cubs last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 Sunday games.
Under is 9-3 in Cubs last 12 games following a win.
Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 21-8 in Cubs last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 17-7 in Cubs last 24 overall.
Under is 17-7 in Cubs last 24 on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Lesters last 4 Sunday starts.
Over is 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Lesters last 8 starts vs. National League East.
Over is 7-1 in Lesters last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Lesters last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 10-2 in Lesters last 12 starts on grass.
Over is 5-1 in Lesters last 6 road starts.
Over is 10-2 in Lesters last 12 starts overall.
Over is 4-1 in Lesters last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 4-1 in Lesters last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 10-4 in Lesters last 14 starts during game 3 of a series.
Over is 20-8 in Lesters last 28 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Philadelphia

Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 Sunday games.
Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games following a loss.
Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 vs. National League Central.
Under is 9-2 in Phillies last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 34-14-3 in Phillies last 51 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 36-16-2 in Phillies last 54 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 in Nolas last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 10-0-1 in Nolas last 11 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 8-2 in Nolas last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Nolas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-2-1 in Nolas last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 7-2-1 in Nolas last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 3-1-1 in Nolas last 5 Sunday starts.
Under is 18-6-2 in Nolas last 26 starts on grass.
Under is 3-1-1 in Nolas last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Under is 18-6-2 in Nolas last 26 starts overall.
Under is 6-2-1 in Nolas last 9 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 8-3-1 in Nolas last 12 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Nolas last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head to Head

Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.
 

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