Sucker Bets

Search

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
over the long run what percentage of 2 teamers would you have to hit to grind out a profit betting strictly two teamers for the same amount?
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
BetOnGames offers the Highest Parlay Odds
2 Team Parlay 2.7 to 1
3 Team Parlay 6½ to 1
4 Team Parlay 13 to 1
5 Team Parlay 24 to 1
6 Team Parlay 44 to 1
7 Team Parlay 80 to 1
8 Team Parlay 150 to 1
9 Team Parlay 300 to 1
10 Team Parlay 500 to 1
11 Team Parlay 1000 to 1
12 Team Parlay 2000 to 1
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
May 20, 2001
Messages
15,046
Tokens
I never said that you wouldnt be done if you only won 1 out of 4, but yes, you would be down $40.

But do keep this in mind guys, the MAXIMUM that you would be down is $400 on that example.

Obviously we hope to win at least 1/2 of our 2 team parlays, if we do that in a $100 betting scenario with 4 bets, then we would win $320.

Generally, we should assume that a 2 teamer pays 2.6 to 1
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
May 20, 2001
Messages
15,046
Tokens
One more factor to take into account. Obviously your odds go down a bit on hitting that 2 team parlay if taking favorites and they would go up a bit if taking 2 dogs. For instance, as a general rule dogs of over 7 points or so in the NBA cover at maybe 58% or so. So it is much easier to hit that 2 teamer with dogs attached
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
this is a good discussion...

is it not hard enough to hit 2 0f 4 straight bets than 2 of 4 parlays...

Just wondering over the very long haul..exactly what percentage of 2 gamers would you have to hit to break even? Obviously if you are hitting 50% you are making good money...but how many do you have to hit to break even...2 teamers @ 2.6 (percentage wise).
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,365
Tokens
10x1.91=19.10 19.10x1.91=36.481 Depending on how the book you play with does there breakage you make a additional .40 cents if you parlayed two straight bets,the only real advantage to a parlay is you lock in your second games number wich could or couldn't be a advantage
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
If dogs at 7 or more in NBA cover 58%..why doesnt everone just use that sytem to continuusly win...

From what I hear the best cappers in the world hit only about 57%...

If it were so simple woudnt more have caught on to this?
 

New member
Joined
Feb 4, 2003
Messages
3,271
Tokens
Your long term break even point on parlays is about the same as with straight bets...i.e. around 52.4% with normal juice.

Parlays just make you "win faster" or "lose faster"...they speed up the process.

But a player hitting EXACTLY the break even point with straight bets would also break even with parlays (actually would lose a little with 2-teamers, as juice is just a hair more than straight bets)
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
May 20, 2001
Messages
15,046
Tokens
By the way, in football and basketball, I ONLY TAKE underdogs or I usually dont bet at all.

ALthough I did unload on Baltimore today, but all of my other pays were dogs
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> Your long term break even point on parlays is about the same as with straight bets...i.e. around 52.4% with normal juice. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

maybe I am on craxk but if you hit 52% of two gamers you are making serious cash!!!! What am I missing?
 

Ron Mexico. #7
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
2,206
Tokens
good point Sportssavant! Why dont people just study to find one angle and just bet thosegames?


month of DEC in nba fav-dog is 50-50 same with over under.

Brad
 

Ron Mexico. #7
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
2,206
Tokens
good point Sportssavant! Why dont people just study to find one angle and just bet thosegames?


month of DEC in nba fav-dog is 50-50 same with over under.

Brad
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
May 20, 2001
Messages
15,046
Tokens
Sportsavant, I believe that the break even mark in 2 team parlays is about 28%.

But remember my "funny math" above involving whether you are taking EXCLUSIVELY underdogs are not
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,365
Tokens
No.i was a little slow there sorry,If you took a straight bet for ten dollars and won then rolled it over including the chage you gain .40 cents better than a 10 dollar two teamer
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,365
Tokens
for those in the know there is a way to make a 3 teamer a very good bet
icon_eek.gif
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
May 20, 2001
Messages
15,046
Tokens
For instance, lets take 100 two team parlays. You win 28 of them and lose the other 72.

Now 28 x $260= $7280 profit

but you lost 72bets x $100each= 7200

So at 28% you are making a profit



One last thing, remember that by taking dogs, you are increasing your odds of winning
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,109,319
Messages
13,458,907
Members
99,470
Latest member
onetreestays
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com