Service Plays Tuesday 8/26/14

[cracy]

StatSystemsSports
Rounding The Bases – Tuesday

#919 TAMPA BAY @ #920 BALTIMORE
TV: 7:05 PM EST, MASN2 Baltimore
Line: Orioles -1.5, +165, Total: 7.5, -110

After an uncharacteristic weekend sweep at the hands of the Chicago Cubs, the Baltimore Orioles made it clear their offense is just fine. The Orioles look to build off a five-homer explosion when they host the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday night in the second contest of their four-game series. Tampa Bay’s Alex Cobb tries to extend his career-high winning streak to eight games after Baltimore collected 14 hits in a 9-1 triumph on Monday that allowed it to maintain its six-game lead in the American League East.

The Orioles managed a total of only four runs and 13 hits in three straight losses to the Cubs, but Nick Markakis snapped an 0-for-21 slump with a two-run homer to ignite the offense Monday evening. Adam Jones has been the steadiest force for Baltimore, recording at least two hits in five of his last eight contests. Tampa Bay has lost six of its last nine games and is only 4-9 against the Orioles in 2014.

PITCHING MATCHUP
•Rays RH Alex Cobb (9-6, 3.01 ERA, WHIP: 1.141) - Cobb has been especially strong in his last six starts, allowing only four runs and 30 hits over 41 innings while not surrendering a homer. The 26-year-old is 4-1 (1-1 this season) with a 1.89 ERA in six career starts against Baltimore, with the only defeat coming on June 18 as he permitted one unearned run in seven frames. J.J. Hardy is 5-for-15 with two walks against Cobb in his career.

•Orioles LH Wei-Yin Chen (13-4, 3.76 ERA, WHIP: 1.225) - Chen has won six of seven decisions over his last eight starts while posting a 2.98 ERA in that span. The Taiwan native struggled in his last outing against the Rays on June 28, yielding five runs on seven hits in 3 1/3 innings, and is 3-4 with a 3.51 ERA in 11 lifetime starts against them. Ben Zobrist is 11-for-30 with a homer versus Chen, who has 109 strikeouts and 25 walks over 143 2/3 frames.

•PREGAME NOTES: Baltimore 1B-OF Steve Pearce has hit four of his career-high 15 homers this season against the Rays.... Tampa Bay 3B Evan Longoria, who was robbed of a three-run homer by Jones on Monday, has collected 12 RBIs in his last 11 games.... The Orioles are 16-5 in their last 21 home games and have outscored opponents 105-62 in those contests.

•KEY STATS
--BALTIMORE is 21-8 against the run line (+13.5 Units) versus an American League starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 4.6, OPPONENT 3.7.

--CHEN is 17-1 against the run line (+18.9 Units) after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons, including a perfect 7-0 mark in the second half of the season during the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHEN 4.7, OPPONENT 2.9.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: BALTIMORE is 30-19 (+5.4 Units) against the run line versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 25-24 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons.

--Games This Season: BALTIMORE is 9-3 (+5.5 Units) against the run line versus TAMPA BAY this season. BALTIMORE is 8-4 straight up against TAMPA BAY this season.

--All Games at BALTIMORE Over The Last 3 Seasons: TAMPA BAY is 11-13 (-1.2 Units) against the run line versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons. BALTIMORE is 12-12 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons.

•RECENT TRENDS
--TB is 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
--TB is 4-9 in their last 13 Tuesday games.
--TB is 2-5 in their last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

--BALT is 5-0 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
--BALT is 13-3 in their last 16 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
--BALT is 5-0 in their L5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +165) (TAMPA BAY) - poor American League hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts.
(47-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.3%, +40.1 units. Rating = 5*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (44-21 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.2, money line price: +124
The average score in these games was: Team 4.9, Opponent 3.5 (Average run differential = +1.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 30 (46.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (8-3, +6.2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-13, +30.4 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (55-32, +32.6 units).

**StatSystemsSports Prediction: Orioles 5, Rays 2
____________________________________________________

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Cardinals at Pirates

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates (-134, 7.5)

The St. Louis Cardinals are strengthening their hold on the top spot in the National League wild-card race, but it's the NL Central title that they covet. The Cardinals have won nine of their last 12 and look to continue their surge toward division-leading Milwaukee when they resume their three-game series against the host Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday. The Cardinals are 1 1/2 games behind the Brewers in the division but own a three-game lead over San Francisco atop the wild-card standings, while the Pirates trail the Giants by 1 1/2 contests for the final playoff spot.

The Cardinals notched their 23rd comeback victory of the season in Monday's series opener, scoring three runs in the seventh inning and holding on for a 3-2 triumph. St. Louis does have some concerns at the back end of the bullpen, as closer Trevor Rosenthal gave up a ninth-inning home run by Andrew McCutchen before recording his 39th save - tied with Milwaukee's Francisco Rodriguez for the NL lead. St. Louis leads the season series 8-6.

LINE HISTORY: The LV Superbook opened the Pirates as -134 home faves with a total of 7.5.

INJURY REPORT: Cardinals - RF Shane Robinson (Doubtful, shoulder), 2B Mark Ellis (15-day DL, oblique).

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Cardinals (-178), Pirates -152)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Everything would seem to be in place for the visitors to steal another victory tonight after taking yesterday's opener 3-2. The Cardinals will send Lance Lynn (14-8, 2.78 ERA) to the hill. Lynn has quietly been dominating of late, he's 6-2 with a very respectable 1.73 ERA over his last nine starts, which includes having won three straight, most recently holding the Reds to just four scattered hits over seven scoreless frames in his team's 7-3 victory on Wednesday. The Pirates offense has been living off the long ball of late, which doesn't bode well for Pittsburgh today as Lynn has given up just three dingers in 128 2/3's innings spanning his last 21 starts. Pittsburgh counters with Gerrit Cole (7-4, 3.69 ERA) who went seven scoreless in his team's 3-2 win over the Braves on Wednesday. While Cole has had success against the Cardinals this year, I'll still give the nod to Lynn in this matchup." Covers Expert AAA Sports.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (14-8, 2.78 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Gerrit Cole (7-4, 3.69)

Lynn has been one of the majors' best pitchers since the All-Star break, going 4-2 with a 1.84 ERA in seven starts. He has won three straight outings and was dominant last time out, holding Cincinnati to four hits over seven scoreless innings. The 27-year-old is 5-3 with a 4.88 ERA in 13 career games (11 starts) against Pittsburgh.

Cole was solid in his return from the disabled list Wednesday, holding Atlanta to two runs and five hits over seven innings, but he didn't get a decision. It was the 23-year-old's first major-league start since July 4. Cole is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA in two outings against St. Louis, including a victory on April 4 in which he gave up two runs over seven frames.

TRENDS:

* Cardinals are 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Under is 4-0 in umpire Sean Barber's last four games behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 4-0 in Lynn's last four starts.
* Over is 6-2 in Pirates' last eight vs. National League Central.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 51 percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are behind the visiting Cardinals.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee had Np on Monday.

For Tuesday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Padres -$122/Brewers.

Ben lee is 195-224-5 -$2897 through Forty Three Weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 67-50 -$430 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

 

[urwinner]

Arthur Ralph
Super Pick Royals w/ Dufffy
Blue Ribbon Seattle w/ Paxton

 

[sportsman0005]

EAGLE EYE SPORTS---RANDY ROSE
Your Pick: Baltimore Orioles (-107)
-----------------------------------------

 

[goldencontender]

GC: MLB Play

Ruby Tuesday card has a 5* Totals system that has won 15 of 16 times and averages 12 runs and a rare totals system that is 9-0 since 2004 and a dominator play with an Undefeated angle. MLB Power Angle Play below​

On Tuesday the MLB Power Angle Play is on the LA. Dodgers. Game 909 at 9:40 eastern. The Dodgers have some nice numbers going their way tonight. LA is 7-0 as a road favorite off a home loss and has won 9 of 13 with a day off. They are also 3-0 on the road off a home loss by 5 or more runs. Arizona has struggled losing 15 of 22 as a home dog and 7 of the last 9 here in the series to LA. The Diamondbacks have Trevor Cahill on the mound making his 3rd start here vs the Dodgers. If this one is anything like the last two it will be another long night in the desert. Cahill allowed 12 runs in 8 innings here already vs the Dodgers. Hernandez goes for LA and he has 2 decent starts vs Arizona this season. Look for LA To bounce back here tonight. On Tuesday there is a 15-1 totals system that averages over 12 runs per game. There is also a secondary totals system that is 9-0 since since 2004. There is also an Undefeated Power Angle dominator side. Jump on now and cash out with the most Powerful data in the Industry. For the Bonus Play take the LA. Dodgers. GC

 

[docholiday555]

Burns 8-26

Ben Burns

sd. philly cincy

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Advanced sports investments

perry’s soccer club (+1.65)

uefa champions league
145pm- nk maribor piv lasko @ celtic glasgow – over 2.5 -114

england league cup
245pm- sheffield utd @ west ham utd – under 2.5 +115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vegas Winning Crew

MLB

50 Dime Plays:

Detroit -120
Cincinnati RL
Toronto -121

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Macaukingtips
League: EUROPE: Champions League
Match : Bate Borisov vs Slovan Bratislava
Tips : Slovan Bratislava +0.5

Getmybet
League: SCOTLAND: Insurance League Cup
Match: Hamilton vs Alloa
Tips: Over 2.5

BET4WINS
League : ENGLAND: Capital One Cup
Match : West Ham vs Sheffield Utd
Tips : Over 2.5

Goforwinners
League : EUROPE: Champions League
Match : Celtic vs Maribor
Tips : Both Teams to Score

MyPerfectBets
League : EUROPE: Champions League
Match : FC Porto vs Lille
Tips : Under 2.5

BUYFOOTBALLTIPS
League : GERMANY: 3. Liga
Match : Dortmund II vs Mainz II
Tips : Over 2.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SOCCER BETTING MASTERS

Europe » Champions League » FC Porto (Por) – Lille (Fra)

Opinion; FC Porto to win

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EZWINNERS

MLB

1* (921) Twins +$140
1* (929) Marlins +$161
1* (927) Rangers +$161
1* (913) Rockies +$170

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Dodgers(-120)

Dodgers have won 10 of 14 meetings with Arizona this season, and the D’backs have lost 7 of 9.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PAUL LEINER

100* White Sox -125
50* Orioles -110

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

J.R Stevens/SMOOTH44

(907) Chi Cubs +190

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Advanced sports investments

pj’ tennis corner (+6.40)

atp us open
y nishioka -115 p lorenzi (230pm)
a ramos vinolas -110 s groth (330pm)
j melzer -110 m granollers (11am)
p andujar +350 j sock (1230pm)

wta us open
p parmentier +166 k kanepi (11am)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Clement

8* Rays -105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Five to Follow MLB Betting: Tuesday August 26, 2014 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

The Boston Red Sox clearly have given up at this point as they were just swept at home by the Seattle Mariners and have now lost eight straight games. And you know what? Management probably hopes the team continues to lose. It means a better draft pick and more slot money to sign those draft picks. Plus, if you finish with one of the 10 worst records in the league you don’t have to cough up your first-round pick if you sign a top-tier free agent. Keep an eye on that moving forward with those teams around that bubble number. It behooves them to lose. Here’s a look at five interesting games on Tuesday.

Red Sox at Blue Jays (-135, 8.5)

Boston won’t have shortstop Xander Bogaerts at least the rest of this week as he was put on the seven-day concussion list Sunday. He was hit in the noggin by a Felix Hernandez pitch on Friday and hadn’t played since. Yeah, I’m guessing I’d be concussed if King Felix drilled me in the head as well. David Ortiz (.265, 30 HRs, 93 RBIs) might take a game or two off as well. He left Sunday’s game with a bruised left foot and was plunked on the elbow with a pitch Saturday. This is one of those series that the Blue Jays need to sweep if they are legitimate AL East or wild-card contenders. They are going the wrong direction, however, entering this week losing 14 of 20. R.A. Dickey gets the call for Toronto. Dickey (10-12, 4.08) is 3-0 with a 2.79 ERA against Boston this season. Ortiz will want to be in there if he can be as he hits .333 with two homers and six RBIs in 18 at-bats off the knuckleballer. It’s Rubby De La Rosa (4-5, 3.69) for Boston. He’s 0-2 with a 8.10 ERA vs. Toronto.

Key trends: Boston is 1-5 in De La Rosa’s past six road starts vs. teams with a winning record. It is 1-7 in its past eight Tuesday games. Toronto has won five straight Dickey starts on Tuesday. The “over” is 5-1 in Dickey’s past six.

Early lean: Take the Jays at +155 on the runline.



A’s at Astros (+110, 8)

The A’s had quite the busy weekend. They lost star closer Sean Doolittle to the disabled list with an intercostal strain, and he might miss three weeks. Eric O’Flaherty (1.35 ERA) will serve as the temporary closer. Catcher John Jaso (.264, nine HRs, 40 RBIs) went on seven-day concussion list, and the club acquired catcher Geovany Soto from Texas. Finally, Oakland claimed Rays shortstop Yunel Escobar off waivers, but it’s not expected that the two teams will agree to a trade before Tuesday’s deadline. The Rays aren’t just going to let him go. Current A’s shortstop Jed Lowrie is in the DL with a fractured right finger. Jason Hammel (9-10, 3.84) takes the mound Tuesday for Oakland. He hasn’t been very good since coming over from the Cubs. His last start was skipped following a three-inning outing in a loss at Atlanta. The Astros pummeled him for eight runs over 4.1 innings on July 30. Houston starts lefty Dallas Keuchel (10-9, 3.12). He is 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA in two starts against Oakland.

Key trends: The A’s have lost five straight against left-handers. Houston is 2-8 in Keuchel’s past 10 Game 2 starts of a series. The under is 4-0 in his past four overall.

Early lean: I trust Keuchel way more than Hammel right now. Astros are good home dog value.



Indians at White Sox (-119, 8.5)

If I asked you to list the five best offensive catchers in baseball would you even consider Cleveland’s Yan Gomes? You should. Gomes is batting .284 with 17 homers and 53 RBIs. Alas, the Tribe won’t have him for a bit as he was placed on the seven-day concussion list on Saturday. The Indians are hanging around the fringes of the AL Central and wild-card races, so they need Gomes back ASAP. That’s one less worry for White Sox lefty Jose Quintana (6-10, 3.25) on Tuesday as he looks to end Chicago’s six-game skid. He is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two starts this season vs. Cleveland. Michael Brantley is a career .467 hitter off Quintana with a homer and four knocked in. Fellow southpaw T.J. House (2-3, 3.80) goes for the Indians. He has faced the Sox once, allowing a run over 6.1 innings back in late May.

Key trends: Cleveland is 5-1 in House’s past six against teams with a losing record. Chicago is 0-6 in Quintana’s past six home starts against teams with a winning record. The under is 7-1 in the past eight meetings.

Early lean: Sox end their skid.



Rays at Orioles (-105, 8)

Baltimore probably has enough of a cushion in the AL East that it won’t matter in that regard, but I don’t like the O’s to win any playoff series now that Manny Machado (.278, 12 HRs, 32 RBIs) is done for the season. He is without peer defensively. It’s the second straight season he has had his season end because of a torn ligament in his knee. Last year the left, this year the right. Now you have to question whether this guy can stay healthy. He should be good for spring training. The O’s might try out Chris Davis at third if they don’t make a waiver trade. Wei-Yin Chen (13-4, 3.76) starts this one for the Birds. He was hit hard on June 28 by the Rays, allowing five runs and three homers over 3.1 innings. Ben Zobrist is 11-for-30 with a homer off him. Alex Cobb (9-6) outdueled David Price in his last start for the Rays, blanking the Tigers over seven innings. He allowed three earned over five innings on June 29 vs. the Orioles.

Key trends: The Rays are 5-2 in Cobb’s past seven on the road. The Orioles are 5-1 in Chen’s past six at home. The under is 6-0 in Cobb’s past six and 5-0 in Chen’s past five.

Early lean: Favorite total pick of the day: under at -115.



Cubs at Reds (-210, 7)

Chicago, coming off a sweep of Baltimore, will get back All-Star shortstop Starlin Castro from the bereavement list Tuesday. He’s hitting .284 with 13 dingers and 64 RBIs on the year. Castro is 7-for-33 with two extra-base hits in his career off Reds starter Johnny Cueto (15-7, 2.20). He beat the Cubs on July 8, allowing two runs over 6.1 innings. Cueto had won five straight starts before losing in St. Louis last time out, allowing five runs over five innings, one of his worst starts of the year. Cubs left-hander Travis Wood (7-11, 4.91) hasn’t won since June 15. He pitched in Cincinnati on July 8 and took the loss, allowing four runs over 5.1 innings. Todd Frazier is a .300 hitter off him with two homers and six RBIs.

Key trends: The Cubs have won five straight Tuesday games. They are 6-1 in their past seven against right-handed starters. The Reds are a puzzling 1-10 in their past 11 series openers. The under is 5-0 in Wood’s past five vs. Cincinnati. The Reds are 6-1 in Cueto’s past seven vs. the Cubs.

Early lean: Cueto won’t have back-to-back bad starts. Reds at -110 on the runline.

 

[cowboyup]

Cappers Finest:

Prez: Rockies F5 +180, 2 units
Prez: Rockies +180, 3 units
Prez: Pirates -140, 2 units
Prez: Rays, +100, 2 units
Prez: Rockies, RL +1.5, -140, 2 units

 

[pascal5757]

Jimmy Boyd

2014-08-30 (4 days)

RENEW

[h=3]MLB Premium Picks[/h]

League	Date	Time (ET)	Matchup	Pick
MLB	Aug 26 ,2014	7:05p	[903] Washington Nationals [904] Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies -102 at Bovada
4* MLB Vegas Insider on Phillies - The Phillies are showing great value at basically a pick'em at home with their ace Cole Hamels on the mount. Hamels has a 2.53 ERA and 1.151 WHIP over 23 starts in 2014. Hamels always seems to bring his A game against division opponents. He's got a 2.45 ERA and 1.140 WHIP versus NL East opponents this year and career 2.54 ERA and 1.062 WHIP over 30 starts against the Nationals (21-9 team record). Washington will counter with lefy Gio Gonzalez, who is just 3-6 with 3.54 ERA over 10 road starts and 2-6 with an ugly 5.06 ERA and 1.500 WHIP over 8 starts against division opponents. Washington has dropped each of his last 6 starts against the NL East and are just 1-5 in his last 6 road starts when listed as an underdog. Philadelphia is 5-1 in their last 6 home games against a left-handed starter, 4-1 in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning record and 4-1 in Hamels' last 6 home starts when listed as a favorite. These trends combine to form a Dynamite 82% (18-4) system in favor of the Phillies. Take Philadelphia!