Service Plays Tuesday 03/10/09

[SteveMcQueen]

Kanesline

NCAAB



Eastern Michigan Eagles at Central Michigan Chippewas

Projected Spread: Central Michigan Chippewas by 3

Projected Total: 125

Projected Score:

Eastern Michigan Eagles

Central Michigan Chippewas 64

Pick: Take 2.5 buy Central Michigan Chippewas 0

System Pick: Take Central Michigan Chippewas -2.50

Trend to Watch:


The Central Michigan Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.




NBA

New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks

Projected Spread: Milwaukee Bucks by 4

Projected Total: 208

Projected Score:

New York Knicks 102

Milwaukee Bucks 106

System Pick: Take Milwaukee Bucks -3.50

System Pick:Take Milwaukee Bucks moneyline -162



Trends to watch:

None




NCAAB

South Florida Bulls at Seton Hall Pirates



Projected Spread: Seton Hall Pirates by 3

Projected Total: 136

Projected Score:

South Florida Bulls 66

Seton Hall Pirates 70

System Pick: Take Seton Hall moneyline -240

Trend to Watch:

None


Our POD for tuesday is the 2.5 point buy Central Michigan Chippewas PK in college basketball.

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Feist Conference Tourney GOY

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589) MONTANA STATE
(590) WEBER STATE
Take " (590) WEBER STATE "
Big Sky Conference Tournament Game of the Year: Weber State.
Oddsmakers don't pay as much attention to small schools, and notice that powerful Weber State is 10-0 SU/ATS the last 10 games! They are great offensively and defensively. Montana State (14-18) is a bad team, at 6-10 in the Big Sky. These teams just met the last game, and it wasn't even close. Damian Lillard scored 27 points to help Weber State avenge its only conference loss by beating Montana State 84-64 last week. Kellen McCoy added 20 points for Weber State (21-8, 15-1 Big Sky), the conference's regular season champion....and that game was AT Montana State! Weber State fell 75-70 to MSU on Jan. 15 in a big upset (their only conference defeat), a game that was also Weber's last defeat. Monatan State will have no chance on the road. Play Weber State.

 

[chuba]

cogyle10 Washington over6
Bond12 Indiana under 215

Go

 

[pure]

Brian King

30 dimer CHARLOTTE

10 dimers

Bucks

Kings

 

[ALSportsJunkie]

[ NCAA ]

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Steve Liebman​

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[Tuesday, March 10, 2009 at 9:00 PM]
Butler (-5.5 Points) vs. Cleveland State
Butler has a distinct advantage here as this Horizon League Championship is being played on their home floor where they went 15-1 this season. Butler has enough of an offensive edge in this battle of two good defensive squads to get the home win. The rabid Bulldog fans will see their heroes win yet another Horizon League Championship tonight. Butler beat Cleveland State by 15 points in this title game last season.
Play: Butler (-5.5 Points)

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[ NBA ]

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Adam Meyer​

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[Tuesday, March 10, 2009 at 10:05 PM]
Dallas Mavericks (+7 Points) vs. Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is in danger of losing 5 games in a row for the first time in over 4 years. They went 0-4 on their recent road trip and the first game back home is usually a tough one to win. Dallas is trying to get the 4th playoff spot nailed down so they will have a first round bye in the playoffs-so they have something to play for. Both Jason Terry and Dirk Nowitski have had more touches now that Josh Howard is out with an injury and they have responded well. Phoenix has yet to show it can play any defense.
Play: Dallas Mavericks (+7 Points)

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[ NCAA ]​

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Adam H. Meyer​

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[Tuesday, March 10, 2009 at 9:20 PM.]
Akron (-12 Points) vs. Toledo
This play is information based and not analysis driven.
Play: Akron (-12 Points)

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[TheRooster]

Dave NIBULATOR Lane


100* Pennsylvania -2.5

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Lee K os t ros k i

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7* Milwaukee -3.5
7* New York Knicks/Milwaukee Bucks Under 223

 

[SteveMcQueen]

MTi Sports

Charlotte at San Antonio
Play: San Antonio -5

The Bobcats have won and covered six straight, but they played a lot of weak teams. Their only win as a dog among the six games is their most recent, when they beat the Knicks 114-105 getting 3’ in New York. Compared to the teams they beat, this is a huge step up in class. The Spurs are 42-20 and in a battle for playoff position. They have been terrific recently. They are 7-3 their last ten, with their only losses as a dog vs the Cavs, Mavs and Blazers. The Bobcats at home shouldn’t be a problem.In their first meeting this season, the Spurs won 86-84 laying 4 in Charlotte. Okafor played well going 6-of-9 from the field, while Duncan led the Spurs well-balanced attack with 17 points. San Antonio was playing their third game of a four-games-in-five days stretch and both Finley and Parker shot poorly. Finley was 1-of-9 including 0-7 from three-point range and Parker was 3-of-11. The fact that the Bobcats came close to the upset in the first meeting will only have the Spurs more focused here. San Antonio is 9-0-1 ATS at home after winning the previous matchup on the road in which Tony Parker was NOT the Spurs' high scorer and the Bobcats are 0-4 ATS (-14.0 ppg) on the road when seeking revenge for a road loss in which Emeka Okafor shot better than 66% from the field.San Antonio is off a win over the Suns in which they got to the foul line 14 times more than the Suns, had 20 assists and only ten turnovers. Looking at trends from THIS season only, the Spurs are 5-0 ATS (+10.7 ppg) after a win in which they made fewer baskets than their opponent and 4-0 ATS (+9.8 ppg) as a home favorite after a game in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least twver the last couple of games, Michael Finley has played a more balanced game, focusing on rebounds, picks, assists as well as taking advantage of a scoring opportunity when it arises. This is to the Spurs benefit. San Antonio is 7-0 SU winning by an average of 17.1 ppg and 7-0 ATS covering by an average of 8.9 ppg when they are at home off two home wins in which Michael Finley played more than 20 minutes and took fewer than ten shots in each.In their four visits to San Antonio, the Bobcats have been given 16, 14’, 11 and 11’ points. Here they are getting only six. The reason is not that the Bobcats have gotten a lot better, the reason is that the Bobcats have faced; the Kings, Warriors, Clippers, Bulls, Hawks and Knicks in their last six games. We’re getting loads of line value here. Lay the points.

MTi’s FORECAST: SAN ANTONIO 102 Charlotte 83

 

[SteveMcQueen]

BRIAN EDWARDS

Seton Hall vs South Florida
Pick: Seton Hall -4

Seton Hall has been a lucrative team to wager on all year long, especially lately. The Pirates are in the midst of a 12-4 against-the-spread run. They closed the regular season by winning at Cincy in overtime. Bobby Gonzalez's team has won all six head-to-head meetings since USF joined the Big East, with the Hall going 5-1 ATS in the process. This number should be higher. Give me the 'chalk.'

 

[SteveMcQueen]

John Ryan

Money Line: 125 Calgary Flames

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Calgary as they face New jersey slated to start at 7:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 337-375 for just 46% winners since 1996, but has made a whopping 78.1 units exploiting false favorites. I absolutely love system like this one. Play against home favorites of -200 or less against the money line that are good teams outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game and after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored. Here is a 2nd system that has gone 61-44 making 35.8 units since 1996. Play on road dogs of +100 to +150 against the money line after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game facing an opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games. Here is a third system that has gone 63-41 making 26 units since 2003. Play against home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after playing a road game facing an opponent after playing 3 consecutive road games. Calgary a very strong 16-4 against the money line (+12.1 Units) against good starting goalies saving >= 91.5% of shots against this season. Take Calgary.

 

[crestor65]

Basketball Jesus

Clippers+11

 

[DancesWSheep]

RAS

#584 W. Ky under 134
#592 Oakland under 151.5
#590 Weber under 132.5

 

[mike_putti]

Al McMordie - 03/10/2009
The Jazz are playing well now after getting Carlos Boozer back into the lineup, but Utah's 11-game streak will end Tuesday night on the road against the Indiana Pacers.
Our Tuesday night NBA selection is on the Indiana Pacers at home on Conseco Fieldhouse plus the points over the Utah Jazz.

The Jazz have started to gel after getting Carlos Boozer back into the lineup. Utah's on an 11-game win streak, and look to be the second best team out West behind the Lakers – maybe even the best team until Andrew Bynum returns. But this will be a tough game for the Jazz to win.

The Pacers are also playing solid ball, as they've covered four of five and seven of nine. And Indy has won six straight home games, including tilts with Orlando, Cleveland and Denver.

Look for the Pacers to win their seventh straight game here at home on Tuesday night. Take the points.

Pacers +3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

indiancowboy


4 Unit Play. #562. Take the Los Angeles Clippers +11 over the Cleveland Cavaliers (Tuesday @ 10:30pm est). Glad we were able to cash with Portland +2 Outright over the Lakers in an easy cash. Let's focus and cash today's winner with the Clippers +11 today. There is a specific reason why I waited to release this play as the line opened up at +9 and has moved to +11 which is beautiful. Who is to say that it doesn't move up to +11.5, so just wait around until game time. For starters, I think the public gets buried today as 73% are on the Cavs. But why? "Oh, the Cavs are so great, they are awesome, unbeileveable, fabulous, blah, blah, blah". This is the same nonsense that got the Lakers backers buried last night as they took it up the backside on the road at Portland. Now, I'm not saying the Cavs lose SU here. But, I am saying we have a great shot at a cover here. Remember, this is the same Clippers team that defeated the Celtics at home. This is the same Clippers team that beat the Warriors at home and was leading by 13 against the Pacers at home in their last game to lose by a point. On top of that, this is the same Clippers team that was tied on the road at Cleveland at the half 54-54. That's right, tied 54-54 as 15 Point Underdogs. Now, having said that, Cleveland came back in the second half and beat this team 17 as they hit the cover late. Now, some key differences. Zach Randolph did not play that game for the Clippers and Baron Davis only played 23 Minutes - plus that game was in the Cleveland where the Cavs get every call. This game is in L.A, Randolph is back, Baron specifically rested for this game which is why he sat out the Pacer game and Eric Gordon will once again play in this contest. Oh, and I almost forgot, Al Thornton will be playing this game as well! How big is Thornton? How about the fact he played 43 minutes in the last contest agains the Pacers and dropped 22 points and grabbed 9 boards. In short, we have Thornton back, Zach back, we are in L.A., the Clippers know they can play with this team as they were tied at the half last time and a rested Baron Davis - let's Roll baby! The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings beteween these two teams of late.




4 Unit Play. #592. Take the North Dakota State Bisons -4 over Oakland (Tuesday @ 8pm est). Before I forget, do note, that I will be making more than 1 selection per day during the Madness as I step out more during this time as we lead up to the Dance and during the Dance. This is when you just let it ride given what you know and what you've followed. When you make Selections for the Madness, in the early goings, favorites rule. This is what i have traked over the past few years and for a dog play like myself usually, it's a bit irritating. Granted, although we had Portland +2 in the NBA which was an Outright winner essentially early on, I was still upset at Charleston given that every other favorite covered that night it seemd with VCU, Western Kentuck, Gonzaga and Siena - although South Alabama did cover. So, favorites won yesterday to a tune of 4-2. This is usually the case in conference tournaments. Such is the case today as we take North Dakota State -4 on the relative cheap today. The Bisons are a strong team. This team is 25-6 and they do play on the court of South Dakota State today which is essentially a semi-home game as Oakland will not have as much of a fan base there. This team has relative comfort in playing in South Dakota as they defeated even South Dakota State by 10 in overtime this year. Why can they not beat Oakland in a semi-home game this year? In many ways, this game reminds me of the VCU vs. George Mason game yesterday. The public does like VCU, that was basically a semi-home game for them, they were laying similar small chalk, were the better team during the regular season and was the much better free throw shooting team. North Dakota State shoot 74.1% from the charity stripe, are a well disciplined team that lost to Oakland by 1 on the road this year to then beat them by 10 at home this year. Oakland is a good looking team and they have played a tough non-conference schedule. In fact, Oakland has looked very strong in the early goings of the Summitt Tournament defeating IUPUI Fort Wayne and South Dakota State. Having said that, I will lay it on the line with North Dakota State as our play given their strength from the line, the fact that it is a semi-home game and the Bison are 6-1 ATS over their last 7 games overall. Let's take the more disciplined team as we look to step out later this week with more college hoops selections per day.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The real animal

Pick title: 3* Cleveland -11
Pick Date: 03/10/2009

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

scott rickenback top play

clev. st.
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[butkus51]

Rocco Vincintore-Fresno St Andrew Powers-Akron-12

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Johnnie's Picks

3/10/09

Cleveland St. == +5.5
Weber St. == -11.5

Charlotte == +5.5

Washington/Nashville == O/6

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dr Bob

WEBER STATE (-11 ½) over Montana State
Rotation #590 – 6:30 pm Pacific
Weber State was upset at home by Montana State on January 15th, but the Wildcats have won 12 consecutive games since then and they’ve covered the spread in their last 10 outings, including a 20 point revenge win at Montana State last Tuesday. Montana State applies to a negative 34-79-6 ATS situation tonight and my ratings favor Weber State by 12 ½ points on their home floor using all games for the entire season. However, I’d favor the Wildcats by 16 points using only their conference games. Montana State has covered 7 straight as a dog of 7 points or more, which will keep me from making this game a Best Bet, but I’ll lean with Weber State at -12 points or less.<!-- / message -->

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JB Sports

SACRAMENTO KINGS