Sports Advisors
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
(21) West Virginia (1-1, 0-1 ATS) at Colorado (2-0, 1-0 ATS)
West Virginia, which took last weekend off after a stunning upset loss at East Carolina, travels to Folsom Field in Boulder, Colo., for a nationally televised non-conference matchup against the Buffaloes.
West Virginia, then ranked No. 8 and considered a possible national title contender, got steamrolled 24-3 at East Carolina as a 7½-point road chalk on Sept. 6. Star QB Patrick White rushed for 97 yards to pace a ground attack that totaled 179 yards, but he threw for just 72 yards and led just one scoring drive – on a second-quarter field goal. The Mountaineers lost the turnover battle 2-0, were outgained 386-251 and were on the short end of a 36-24 difference in time of possession.
Colorado, which also had last weekend off, barely held off Division I-AA Eastern Washington 31-24 in a non-lined home game on Sept. 6. The Buffs trailed 21-7 at halftime and needed 17 fourth-quarter points to avoid the upset, capped by an interception return for a TD in the final two minutes. QB Cody Hawkins (28 of 38, 261 yards, 3 TDs, 1 INT) was steady, though his lone pick was returned for a TD in the second quarter. Colorado allowed just 47 rushing yards but yielded 303 through the air.
This is the first-ever meeting between these schools.
The loss at East Carolina aside, the Mountaineers have still won 14 of their last 17 games on the highway (11-5-1 ATS) and are on positive pointspread streaks of 9-4-1 as a road favorite, 5-1 after a loss of more than 20 points and 5-1 following a non-cover. The Buffaloes, conversely, are on ATS slides of 3-7 as a home pup and 2-7 after a SU win.
The over for West Virginia is on runs of 4-0 after a SU loss, 5-1 after a bye week and 5-1 in Thursday contests. Also, the total has also gone high in four of Colorado’s last five lined games and is on a 4-0 run following a SU win, though the under is 10-2 in the Buffs’ last 12 non-conference tilts and 4-0 in its last four in September.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Milwaukee (84-68) at Chicago Cubs (91-59)
The Brewers, desperately trying to win the N.L. wild-card after having fired manager Ned Yost on Monday, send Dave Bush (9-10, 4.24 ERA) to the hill at Wrigley Field against the first-place Cubs and red-hot Rich Harden (10-2, 2.04 ERA) to close out a three-game set.
Milwaukee snapped a five-game losing skid with Wednesday’s 6-2 win at Wrigley Field, prevailing despite losing No. 2 pitcher Ben Sheets to an injury after two innings. The Brewers, who trail the Mets by one-half game in the wild-card race, still remain in a major freefall, losing 12 of their last 16 contests overall, and they’re also 1-8 in their last nine against winning teams and 4-12 in Bush’s last 16 road starts.
Despite having their five-game winning streak halted last night, the Cubs remain eight games up on the Brewers in the N.L. Central race. Chicago is 51-22 in its last 73 home games and has won five of six against Milwaukee.
The Brewers have lost three straight games started by Bush, after winning five in a row behind the right-hander. On Sunday at Philadelphia, Bush allowed three runs on five hits in six innings of a 7-3 loss.
Bush is 3-6 with a 5.25 ERA in 13 appearances (12 starts) on the road this year, and he’s 1-7 with a 5.16 ERA in 10 career starts against Chicago, including 0-2 with an 8.53 ERA in two outings against the Cubs this year.
Harden has been money for weeks, winning five straight decisions while the Cubs are 7-0 in his last seven starts, with the right-hander yielding two earned runs or less in six of those outings. On Thursday at St. Louis, he allowed two runs on five hits in six innings of a 3-2 victory.
Harden, acquired in a trade with Oakland earlier this year, is 5-0 with a 1.79 ERA in 14 combined home starts this year (2-0, 1.80 ERA in six outings at Wrigley Field). Also, in his lone career start against Milwaukee back in July, he allowed just a run on six hits with nine strikeouts in seven innings in an 11-4 road win.
The over is 21-8-4 run in the last 33 clashes between these rivals In addition, the over is on runs of 5-0-4 for Milwaukee overall and 6-2-3 for the Brewers on the road. On the flip side, for Chicago, the under is on streaks of 4-1-1 overall and 5-2-1 at Wrigley.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CHICAGO CUBS
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Chicago White Sox (84-67) at N.Y. Yankees (81-71)
The White Sox, looking to pad their lead in the A.L. Central, hand the ball to Javier Vazquez (12-13, 4.13 ERA) to wrap up a four-game road series against the Yankees, who will counter with fellow right-hander Mike Mussina (17-9, 3.63).
The teams have alternated wins and losses in the first three games of this series, with New York rallying late for a 5-1 victory on Wednesday. The Yankees sport several positive streaks, including 5-1 against the A.L. Central, 18-8 at home versus winning teams, 8-1 with Mussina facing a club above .500 and 7-1 with Mussina going against A.L. Central squads.
Chicago has been treading water lately with a 4-6 record in its last 10 games. The White Sox also carry a bevy of negative streaks, including 1-8 against right-handers on the road, 6-16 on the highway against winning teams and 3-8 against the A.L. East. In addition, with Vazquez throwing, Chicago is 0-6 in its last six against winning teams and 0-7 in the last seven against the A.L. East.
The Yankees are on a 9-3 tear in the last 12 meetings with the White Sox, 7-2 in the last nine clashes in the Bronx and of 5-0 in Mussina’s last five home starts versus the Pale Hose.
Chicago has won two of Vazquez’s last three starts, including Sunday’s 4-2 home victory over Detroit. In that outing, the 32-year-old threw 7 2/3 innings of three-hit shutout ball, and he’s given up a combined four earned runs over 19 2/3 innings in his last three starts (1.83 ERA).
New York had won seven straight behind Mussina before losing his last two outings. On Saturday against Tampa, he allowed five runs on eight hits in five innings of a 7-1 home defeat, his shortest outing since July 28.
Vazquez is 5-7 with a 4.47 ERA in 15 road starts this year, and he’s 1-4 with an inflated 6.14 ERA in five career starts against New York. Mussina is 10-7 with a 3.70 ERA in 19 starts at the Stadium in 2008, but he’s a mediocre 17-16 with a 4.57 ERA in 38 career starts against the Sox.
The under for Chicago is on runs of 7-1-1 on the highway and 21-6-2 against the A.L. East, and each of Vazquez’s last five starts have stayed low and the under is also 6-2-1 in Vazquez’s last nine road efforts. Meanwhile, for New York, the under has cashed in nine of Mussina’s last 12 home starts and is 8-3 in Moose’s last 11 outings against winning teams.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and UNDER
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