STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SUNDAY, JULY 27th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Sunday, 7/27/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #17
•Nats Asked After Beltre With Zimmerman Absent: With Ryan Zimmerman out with a hamstring injury, two baseball sources revealed on Friday that the Nationals inquired about Rangers third baseman Adrian Beltre, but the "Nationals were rebuffed" one of the sources said. Beltre, 35, is considered a solid defensive player and would have provided power missing during Zimmerman's absence. Entering Saturday's action, Beltre is hitting .325 with 14 home runs and 54 RBIs for Texas. If the Nationals were able to acquire Beltre, Anthony Rendon would be the everyday second baseman and Danny Espinosa would be back on the bench. Currently, Rendon is the regular third baseman, while there could be a platoon at second between Espinosa and Zach Walters.
Asked Friday afternoon if the Nationals were looking for a third baseman before the non-waiver Trade Deadline, general manager Mike Rizzo said, "We have a great third baseman. His name is Anthony Rendon. We have another Gold Glove-caliber guy. His name is Ryan Zimmerman, who is going to be back soon. We feel pretty confident, especially at that position. We like our depth, and we like the way our roster has been constructed. We like the guys that will have to step up and play to their potential. I think we have the man power to do it." Rendon affirmed Rizzo's faith by making a pair of spectacular plays at the hot corner during the Nationals' 4-1 win over the Reds on Friday.
•Hall Of Famers Set For Induction: Central New York looks more like the South this weekend. Seemingly every other person walking the tree-lined streets of the quaint village of Cooperstown are wearing Atlanta Braves caps, jerseys and T-shirts. Motor coaches from Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina are everywhere. The National Baseball Hall of Fame will induct six former players and managers Sunday in the field behind the Clark Athletic Center on the outskirts of town and a crowd of 60,000 or more is expected. All but one has ties to the Braves and one who does not was born and raised in Georgia and rooted for Atlanta.
Manager Bobby Cox led the Braves to an unprecedented run of success with 14 consecutive division titles from 1991-2005 (the 1994 postseason was cancelled because of a players' strike). Left-hander Tom Glavine and right-hander Greg Maddux played a major part in the Braves' success during that period. Furthermore, Joe Torre was a star player then later managed the Braves, Tony La Russa spent one season as a utility infielder in Atlanta and slugging designated hitter/first baseman Frank Thomas is a native of Columbus, Ga.
Cox managed in the major leagues for 29 seasons with the Braves and Toronto Blue Jays and his 2,504 victories are the fourth-highest total in major league history. He led Atlanta to five National League pennants and the city's only major professional sports championship when the Braves won the 1995 World Series. Glavine won 305 games over 22 seasons with the Braves and New York Mets, the fourth-highest total ever by a lefty. He won the NL Cy Young Award in 1991 and 1998. Maddux finished with 355 wins in 23 seasons with the Cubs, Braves, San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers and won four consecutive NL Cy Youngs from 2002-05. He is the eighth-winningest picture in major league history.
Thomas made a lot of memories for his fans by hitting 521 home runs in 19 seasons with the Chicago White Sox, Oakland Athletics and Blue Jays and won back-to-back AL Most Valuable Player awards in 1993-94. He is the first player to play more than half his games at DH and make the Hall of Fame. While his boyhood dream of playing for the Braves was never fulfilled, being elected to the Hall of Fame is a nice consolation prize. Thomas will be remembered as the greatest hitter in the history of the White Sox, the team that gave La Russa his first major league manager's job. La Russa also managed the Athletics and St. Louis Cardinals and won 2,728 games in 33 seasons to rank third on the all-time list while winning six pennants and three World Series.
The White Sox hired La Russa when he was 34 years old and managing their Triple-A Iowa farm club. La Russa thought general manager Roland Hemond was calling to tell him catcher Mike Colbern was being called up to the major leagues. Instead, it was La Russa who got the call after Chicago manager Don Kessinger had resigned. While Torre is remembered by younger fans for managing the New York Yankees, he was an outstanding player as a catcher and third baseman. He played for 18 seasons, participated in nine All-Star Games and was the NL MVP in 1971 while with the Cardinals. Torre also won six pennants and four World Series during 12 years as the Yankees' manager. He managed 29 seasons, in all, as he also had stints with New York Mets, Braves and Dodgers, finishing with 2,326 wins --- fifth on the all-time list.
•Jimenez Scheduled To Begin Minor League Rehabilitation Assignment Next Week: Orioles right-hander Ubaldo Jimenez threw a two-inning, simulated game before Friday’s game against the Seattle Mariners and is scheduled to begin a minor league rehabilitation assignment next week. Since Jimenez last pitched July 5 in Boston, lasting only 3 1/3 innings, manager Buck Showalter said he likely will need at least two rehab starts before he can come off the disabled list. If healthy, Jimenez is scheduled to make a rehab start Tuesday for short-season Single-A Aberdeen. He’ll also likely make a second rehab start with a higher-level minor league affiliate.
Jimenez threw 44 pitches in Friday’s simulated game, with roughly 20 in each inning. He simulated game-like conditions by coming back to the dugout and resting for five to 10 minutes between innings as he pitched to outfielder David Lough and coach Einar Diaz. “I was able to throw all of my pitches, most of them for strikes,” Jimenez said. “I felt good out there.... Definitely facing hitters for the first time in a long time feels good. I’m going down the right path. It went fine today.” Jimenez said Friday was a significant step toward rejoining the Orioles’ rotation. “I didn’t have any problems with my ankle,” Jimenez said. “I didn’t have to think about it. Facing hitters isn’t the same as throwing a side. You don’t have anybody at home plate.... I think on a day like today, you’re going to get a good feeling, whether everything is OK or not.”
Saturday's MLB Roundup
-- The San Francisco Giants acquired right-handed starting pitcher Jake Peavy on Saturday, sending pitching prospects Edwin Escobar and Heath Hembree to the Boston Red Sox. Peavy, 33, is 1-9 with a 4.72 ERA in 20 starts this season. Boston acquired Peavy last July 30 from the Chicago White Sox in a three-team deal that also involved the Detroit Tigers. The Giants need a starting pitcher with right-hander Matt Cain on the disabled list with an elbow injury. Escobar and Hembree were pitching with the Giants' Triple A affiliate in Fresno. Escobar, 22, is a left-handed starter. He is 3-8 with a 5.11 ERA. Hembree, 25, is a right-handed reliever who was once considered the Giants' closer of the future. He is 1-3 with a 3.89 ERA this season.
-- The St. Louis Cardinals signed free agent veteran catcher A.J. Pierzynski to a contract on Saturday. Pierzynski was in the Cardinals' lineup against the Chicago Cubs batting sixth and starting behind the dish. Pierzynski, 37, is with his sixth team in 17 seasons. He was released by the Boston Red Sox 10 days ago. He batted .254 with four home runs in 72 games with the Red Sox. The Cardinals are in need of a catcher with All-Star Yadier Molina expected to miss eight to 12 weeks with a torn ligament in his right thumb. He was injured July 9 and had surgery two days later. The Cardinals designated catcher George Kottaras for assignment to make room for Pierzynski.
-- The National Baseball Hall of Fame announced Saturday that it is cutting the number of years that a player can remain eligible for induction from 15 years to 10 years. That means players including Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa will have less time to remain on Hall of Fame ballots. The Hall of Fame is also installing a new balloting and registration process for Baseball Writers' Association of America voting members. The changes are effective immediately and will reflected voting in 2015. It is the first time since 1991 and second since 1985 that the Hall is implementing new voting rules.
-- The Cleveland Indians recalled right-handed pitcher Zach McAllister from Triple-A Columbus and optioned right-hander Josh Tomlin to Columbus. McAllister, 26, is 3-5 with a 5.28 ERA in 12 starts with Cleveland. He was scheduled to start Saturday night's game against the Kansas City Royals. Tomlin, 29, is 5-7 with a 4.47 ERA in 15 appearances (14 starts) with Cleveland since being recalled from Columbus on May 6. He went 4-2 with a 3.12 ERA in his first seven outings (six starts), but has taken losses in five of his last six decisions covering eight starts since June 12.
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Betting Notes - Sunday
National League
•Nationals-Reds - 1:10 PM
--Fister is 3-0, 3.20 in his last three starts.
--Latos is 1-2, 4.00 in his last four starts.
--Washington won seven of its last ten games.
--Reds lost seven of their last eight games.
--Six of last eight Washington road games went over the total.
•Diamondbacks-Phillies - 1:35 PM
--Diamondbacks lost all three Nuno starts (0-1, 3.78).
--Hernandez is 1-3, 4.18 in his last five starts.
--Arizona lost eight of its last twelve road games.
--Phillies lost eight of their last eleven games.
--Seven of last ten Hernandez starts went over the total.
•Mets-Brewers - 2:10 PM
--DeGrom is 3-0, 0.86 in his last three starts.
--Nelson is 1-1, 6.19 in three starts this season.
--Mets lost 11 of their last 16 road games.
--Milwaukee won six of its last seven home games.
--Six of Mets' last seven road games stayed under.
•Cardinals-Cubs - 2:20 PM
--Wainwright is 4-2, 2.19 in his last eight starts.
--Cubs won both Hendricks starts (1-0, 2.77).
--St Louis lost four of its last five games.
--Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.
--Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve games at Wrigley Field.
•Dodgers-Giants - 4:05 PM
--Ryu is 4-2, 3.48 in his last seven starts.
--Peavy is making first start for Giants; he was 0-7, 5.30 in his last nine starts for the Red Sox.
--Dodgers outscored Giants 13-1 in winning first two games of series.
--Giants lost 18 of their last 24 home games.
--Six of last nine Dodger games stayed under total.
•Pirates-Rockies - 4:10 PM
--Volquez is 4-1, 2.02 in his last five starts.
--Morales is 1-2, 6.07 in his last five starts.
--Pittsburgh lost eight of its last ten road games.
--Rockies won their last three games.
--Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve games at Coors Field.
•Padres-Braves - 5:05 PM
--Stults is 1-7, 5.48 in his last nine starts.
--Minor is 1-2, 7.86 in his last five starts.
--San Diego won five of its last seven games.
--Braves lost four of their last six games.
--Under is 13-5-1 in last nineteen San Diego road games.
American League
•Blue Jays-Yankees - 1:05 PM
--Happ is 2-1, 3.24 in his last four starts.
--Greene is 2-1, 2.84 in three starts this season.
--Blue Jays won six of last eight games, but are 4-14 in last 18 road games.
--New York won eight of its last eleven games.
--Under is 11-4-2 in last seventeen Yankees home games.
•Red Sox-Rays - 1:40 PM
--Webster is making first '14 start; he was 1-2, 8.60 in seven starts LY, is 4-4, 3.10 in 20 AAA starts this season.
--Archer is 2-0, 4.05 in his last four starts.
--Red Sox lost their last five games.
--Tampa Bay won its last nine games.
--Seven of last ten Boston road games went over total.
•White Sox-Twins - 2:10 PM
--Carroll is 2-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
--Pino is 1-3, 5.19 in his last five starts.
--White Sox won four of their last five road games.
--Minnesota lost seven of its last nine games.
--13 of last 18 White Sox games stayed under.
•Indians-Royals - 2:10 PM
--Salazar is 3-4, 5.72 in nine starts this season.
--Chen is 1-0, 2.61 in his last couple starts.
--Cleveland lost six of its last seven games.
--Kansas City won its last five games.
--Five of last seven Indian games stayed under total.
•Orioles-Mariners - 4:10 PM
--Gonzalez is 1-0, 2.28 in his last three starts.
--Elias is 1-3, 8.24 in his last four starts.
--Orioles won 12 of their last 18 road games.
--Seattle lost four of its last five games.
--14 of last 16 Seattle home games stayed under.
•Athletics-Rangers - 7:05 PM
--Kazmir is 2-0, 1.37 in his last four starts.
--Mikolas is 1-2, 7.89 in four starts this season.
--Oakland lost seven of its last ten road games.
--Rangers lost 29 of their last 36 games overall.
--Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Kazmir starts.
•Tigers-Angels - 8:05 PM
--Porcello is 4-1, 2.27 in his last six starts.
--Santiago is 1-1, 3.73 in his last six starts.
--Detroit lost seven of its last eleven games.
--Angels won ten of their last fifteen games.
--Nine of last twelve Angel games stayed under total.
Interleague
•Marlins-Astros - 2:10 PM
--Turner is 2-2, 7.92 in his last four starts.
--McHugh is 0-5, 5.46 in his last five starts.
--Miami won five of its last six games.
--Astros lost six of last seven home games.
--Over is 14-7 in last 21 Houston games.
•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Fister 10-3; Latos 3-4
-- Nuno 6-8/0-3; Hernandez 6-11
-- DeGrom 5-8; Nelson 2-1
-- Wainwright 15-5; Hendricks 2-0
-- Ryu 11-8; Peavy 5-15/0-0
-- Volquez 10-9; Morales 6-8
-- Stults 7-13; Minor 7-8
-- Happ 9-5; Greene 2-1
-- Webster 0-0; Archer 10-10
-- Carroll 4-6; Pino 3-3
-- Salazar 4-5; Chen 4-2
-- Gonzalez 8-8; Elias 10-10
-- Kazmir 15-5; Mikolas 1-3
-- Porcello 13-6; Santiago 4-9
-- Turner 5-5; McHugh 5-9
•Umpires Trends
-- StL-Chi-- Five of last seven Winters games stayed under.
-- Wsh-Cin-- Nine of last eleven Basner games went over.
-- Az-Phil-- Under is 8-4 in last dozen Scott games.
-- SD-Atl-- Over is 7-1-3 in last eleven Morales games.
-- NY-Mil-- Underdogs won six of last eight Bellino games.
-- Pitt-Col-- Underdogs won last five Hallion games.
-- LA-SF-- Seven of ten Marquez games stayed under.
-- Tor-NY-- Seven of last ten West games went over total.
-- Blt-Sea-- Four of last five Gonzalez games went over.
-- Bos-TB-- Six of last eight Carapazza games stayed under.
-- Cle-KC-- Underdogs are 8-7 in last fifteen Emmel games.
-- Chi-Minn-- Favorites won nine of last eleven Kellogg games.
-- A's-Tex-- Underdogs won nine of last twelve Wolf games.
-- Det-LAA-- Four of last six Joyce games went over total.
-- Mia-Hst-- Five of last six Tichenor games went over.
•Incredible Stat of the Day
Expect a strong effort Sunday from St. Louis Cardinals ace Adam Wainwright as he faces the host Cubs. Wainwright is coming off a (7-2) loss to Tampa Bay last time out; the Cardinals have followed all four of their previous losses in Wainwright starts with victories in his next outing. The right-hander is also 12-1 against the money line (92.3%) in road games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last two seasons.
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