Service Plays Sunday 10/12/08

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Jimmy Boyd NFC Game of the Year

Handicapper: Jimmy Boyd
Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons (NFL) - 1:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -3/110 Chicago Bears Play Title: NFC Game of the Year
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
5* NFC Game of the Year on Bears -3 The Bears have been in every single game this season and have really put things together the past two weeks with a big Sunday Night Football win over the Eagles and a blowout road win over the Lions last week. The Falcons are in a letdown spot after a big upset win at Green Bay. This young team has not shown that it can play week in consecutive weeks and that's why each of Atlanta's wins have been followed by a double digit loss. All Atlanta has been able to do is run the football and the Bears defense will make sure that doesn't happen this week. Chicago is 23-8 ATS since 1992 versus good rushing teams averaging more than 130 rushing yards per game, including 6-0 ATS under Lovie Smith in this spot. The Bears are also on a 3-0-1 ATS run on the road. Chicago is 5-1 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games against the Falcons. The Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 6 and 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Bears are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Take Chicago.
 

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Two Minute Warning

Best Bets
Investor

Oakland +7
Baltimore +4 1/2
Detroit +13 1/2
St. Louis +13 1/2
Denver -3 1/2
San Francisco +5
Arizona +5

TMW 20-11-2 YTD
 
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Erin Rynning

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Reg. Plays
Baltimore
under sf/ philly

Playmaker
under seatt/gb
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HONDO

October 12, 2008
Hondo's stick-to-it-ive-ness with the Rays paid off last night when the plucky little upstarts upended the Sawx to increase the bankroll to 515 caulfields.

Tonight, he expects the Phillies to keep their feet on the Dodgers' throats - 10 units on Moyer.
 
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WILD BILL

Week 6

Bengals-Jets over 45 (5 units)
Saints -7 1/2 (5 units)
Colts -4 1/2 (5 units)
Carolina +1 (5 units)
Miami +3 (5 units)
Eagles -5 1/2 (5 units)
Arizona +5 (5 units)
Patriots +6 (5 units)
Over 43 Browns-Giants (5 units)
 

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Sun, 10/12/08 - 4:05 PMTommy Rider | NFL Total
double-dime bet220 DEN / 219 JAC Over 48.0 BetUS
Analysis: The Broncos defense played well against the Bucs but it won't happen two weeks in a row. One thing to look at when taking an over is pass rush. It's hard to hit an over when the quarterbacks are always under pressure. That won't be a problem in this game as Denver and Jacksonville both rank near the bottom of the NFL in sacks. The Jags defense ranks 22nd in the NFL, allowing 344 yards and 22 points per game. They are beat up in the secondary and can't stop anyone from throwing the football on them, so expect Jay Cutler to have a huge day. On the other side, the Jags struggling running game should get on track against the Broncos generous defense. Denver ranks 29th in total defense, allowing close to 400 yards and 26 points per game. Last week was a fluke for Denver's defense and it will show on Sunday in what should be a wild shootout at Invesco Field. **2 UNIT PLAY**


Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMTommy Rider | NFL Side
double-dime bet216 HOU -3.0 (+100) BetUS vs 215 MIA
Analysis: I'm a big fan of this Miami team as I took them last week against the Chargers. However, I like them more at home than I do on the road and I think this is a bad spot for them. Miami is coming off two huge upsets of the Patriots and Chargers and this looks like a big letdown spot for the Fish taking on a desperate Houston team with its backs to the wall. The Texans gave one away last week against the Colts but overall I they have played well in their last two games against the Jaguars and Colts. I heard that the Texans players had a close door meeting to talk about how big this game is with Detroit and Cincy on deck. With three straight home games, the players still believe they can make a playoff run starting with a win today. I think Matt Schaub has a big day against a suspect Miami secondary and Houston gets the win at home. **2 UNIT PLAY**
 

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Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMNick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NFL Total
double-dime bet204 NOS / 203 OAK Under 47.5 Bodog
The big total here is simply not justified! UNDER!
 
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Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMJeff Bonds | NFL Total
triple-dime bet204 NOS / 203 OAK Under 47.5 Bodog
Analysis:
I'm just not expecting both teams to come out and dominate the game offensively, as the Raiders are in transition off a bye week (firing of a head coach) and the New Orleans Saints are playing on a short week after a disappointing loss to the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football.



The total in this game should be 44 tops - so I'm imagining that we're getting more than three points of betting value here. New Orleans is on an 8-0-1 over run - but injuries and this particular matchup will end that run here.



Both teams will try to establish a running game, as the Saints will not find it easy to throw the ball against the Raiders - plus Oakland is use to defending a Reggie Bush-like back (Sproles/Tomlinson of the Chargers). Another thing that will play defense against Bush is the punting of Shane Lechler - he's simply the best in the league and I imagine he'll sacrifice 5-10 yards in punting distance to help his coverage team agaist Reggie.



The Raiders will welcome back RB Justin Fargas and will undoubtedly try to pound the ball at the Saints. New Orleans has done surprisingly well against the run of late, which should be enough to allow QB Jamarcus Russell to make mistakes in Saints territory.



The Oakland Raiders defense is rested and had the San Diego Chargers on the ropes two weeks ago, as a meaningless Tomlinson TD caused the game to go over 44. I don't expect this to happen on Sunday.
 

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Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMNick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NFL Total
double-dime bet204 NOS / 203 OAK Under 47.5 Bodog
The big total here is simply not justified! UNDER!




<DL><DT class=dtPgTop>Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMNick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NFL Total <DT>double-dime bet214 ATL / 213 CHI Under 44.0 Bodog <DD>Analysis: UNDER falcons ? and this turns into a grinding, low-scoring battle on Sunday!</DD></DL>
 
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Just got VictoriousPlay NFL plays:

Yesterday this guys went 2-0 on NCAAF!!! So far in October they are 100%!!!


NFL Victorious Plays:


Detroit @ Minnesota
Recommendation: 2* Over 44.5


Carolina @ Tampa Bay
Recommendation: 1* Tampa Bay -1


New England @ San Diego
Recommendation: 2* Over 44

Lets hope they can keep the pace!!!!

BOL to you all!!!

:toast:
 
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Ben Burns
49'ERS
Game: Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers Game Time: 10/12/2008 4:15:00 PM Prediction: San Francisco 49ers This is their first game in that role this season and I expect them to earn at least another cover.



CHARGERS
Game: New England Patriots vs. San Diego Chargers Game Time: 10/12/2008 8:15:00 PM Prediction: San Diego Chargers I expect them to be extremely fired up and for them to win this one convincingly. *Annihilator



RAMS
Game: St. Louis Rams vs. Washington Redskins Game Time: 10/12/2008 1:00:00 PM Prediction: St. Louis Rams Look for them to have their hands full once again. *NFC GOW


UNDER raiders/saints
Game: Oakland Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints Game Time: 10/12/2008 1:00:00 PM Prediction: under *total of the week


HOUSTON
Game: Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans Game Time: 10/12/2008 1:00:00 PM Prediction: Houston Texans Look for history to repeat itself as the Texans play a full 60 minute game and come away with the win and cover. *Oct. GOM
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GT Bookie Battle YTD (7-4-2) LY (22-12-2)

GT Bookie Battle YTD (7-4-2) LY (22-12-2) <HR style="COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message --><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->
<META content=Word.Document name=ProgId><META content="Microsoft Word 11" name=Generator><META content="Microsoft Word 11" name=Originator><LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5COwner%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtml1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml" rel=File-List><STYLE> <!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:Verdana; panose-1:2 11 6 4 3 5 4 4 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:536871559 0 0 0 415 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-parent:""; margin:0in; margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.25in 1.0in 1.25in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </STYLE>Over the years I have followed the Bookies Battle in GamingToday. The angle is to fade those teams that clearly have over 70% of the casino contestants picking one side.

Let’s see how this angle has worked so far this year.

Week #1 thru #5: 7-4-2 <?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O:p></O:p>

<O:p></O:p>
Over the last couple of years, it seemed to hit around 60%.The only problem: Not a lot of action.

Week #6 Pick: TB
 

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