Service Plays Saturday 7/5/08

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

Players of America

Today's Selections

NYM vs. PHI
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
The Play: New York Mets +110.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: N/A

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SD vs. AZ
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
The Play: Under 9.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: N/A

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CLE vs. MIN
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins
The Play: Cleveland Indians +125.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: N/A

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

*** EZWINNERS MLB ***

3 STAR: (902) ST. LOUIS (-$109) over Chicago
(Listing Lohse only)
(Risking $327 to win $300)
2:55PM Central Time

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

kelso

high rollers club
10 unit tampa
10 unit angels
10 unit parlay

best bets baseball club
10 unit cubs
4 unit tigers

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

Frank Rosenthal

SATURDAY, JULY 05, 2008
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MLB
902 CARDS-110
906 BREWERS-145 SB
907 ASTROS+145 SB
OVER 9 SB+
912 ROCKIES-135 SB
913 PADRES-115 SB
915 DODGERS-125 SB
922 CWS-135 SB
926 TWINS-125 SB+
928 ANGELS-120 SB
OVER 6.5 SB+
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO.

RDSmith48 · Jul 5, 2008

Second thoughts can be a bitch

Originally I had Col. ov 10.5 penciled in as a 3* pod yesterday, I asked myself why did the line go from 10.5 down to 10. Wasn't it the perfect setting? Teams hitting @ an 11.9 clip in a 10.5 ballpark? So I dug into the pitching stats. Hmm Reynolds @ 4.9, Olsen @ 3.2, boy that must be the reason; so I notched down my 3* pod to a 2.5 co-pod w 2.5 Cinci under 9. Geez, they only went over by 25 fricking runs! Unlike Kelso or Stu I will not claim a 2-0 record on pods yesterday, they were co-plays 1/2 each, so I won my 1 pod, making 5-0 this week. Think I'll stay out of SF for a while, have lost on those buggers 3 days in a row. But winning those 2 gms. @ 2.5 netted us a whole .5* yesterday as the lower picks didn't fare as well. Am now 20-11 +17.5 units for the week. I try to have a measuring stick which thanks to Randy I can compare to VR whom I respect, don't know, but heard of a similar life to mine, a child sports success, except he charges now! He has lost 3 days in a row -5.0* yesterday. So all you guys who talk him up, guess I'm not doing too badly. Have to do my homework. Be back later. RDS

$kipper · Jul 5, 2008

Dwayne Bryant 9-3 L12
Saturday, July 5, 2008

<table align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" width="600"><tbody><tr> <td bgcolor="#cccccc">7:10 PM ET
MLB
Cleveland Indians (Laffey) at Minnesota Twins (Slowey)</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ebebeb"> The Pick: Minnesota Twins (listed pitchers) -130
</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ebebeb">

Talk about two teams heading in opposite directions. Cleveland has lost six straight and nine of their last 11. Minnesota has won three straight and 14 of their last 16. Since starting pitchers rarely go past the seventh inning any more, it has become increasingly important to take each team's bullpen into consideration. Cleveland's pen owns a 5.57 ERA and 1.57 WHIP on the road, where they've converted only 58% of their save chances. Minnesota's pen owns an impressive 2.00 ERA and 1.19 WHIP at home, where they've converted 16 of 18 save chances.
Aaron Laffey gets the call for the Indians. Laffey has decent overall numbers, but he has struggled on the road (5.47 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, team is 1-3). Laffey got a win and pitched well against the Twins on June 12th, but that was in Cleveland. Laffey's only other two starts against the Twins came last season at Minnesota. The results? Eight runs allowed on 12 hits in 9 1/3 innings (7.71 ERA, 1.50 WHIP).
Kevin Slowey takes the mound tonight for the Twins. Slowey is riding a scoreless streak of 17 innings. Since starting the season 0-4 with a 5.49 ERA, Slowey has rebounded nicely over his last eight starts, going 5-2 with a 2.72 ERA. He has been especially amazing in his last three starts, sporting a 0.43 ERA and 0.76 WHIP. Slowey's only career start against Cleveland came last season in the dome. He allowed one earned run on five hits in five innings of work (1.80 ERA, 1.00 WHIP).
The Twins have the better offense, the better bullpen, the better starter and much
more momentum. I almost made this a Best Bet, but chose not to only because I just had a Best Bet last night and I didn't give out a freebie yesterday.
Take Minnesota and Slowey over Cleveland and Laffey.
</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#cccccc">8:10 PM ET
MLB
San Diego Padres (Peavy) at Arizona Diamondbacks (Davis)</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ebebeb"> The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (listed pitchers) +108
</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ebebeb">

Jake Peavy is one of those pitchers who people want to bet on as soon as they hear he is starting. He has that kind of reputation. But Peavy pitches for a poor offensive team and his dominance is usually reserved for Petco Park. The Padres are just 5-8 in Peavy's starts this season and he owns a 5.61 ERA and 1.71 WHIP on the road. San Diego won the series opener last night, 5-1. The Padres are 2-11 this season after a win by 4 runs or more. That win last night was just the second in 12 games for the Padres.
Doug Davis gets the call for Arizona and he's been steady since returning from his bout with cancer. The D'backs have won four of Davis' five home starts, where he owns a solid 3.64 ERA. Davis faced the Padres three times last season and allowed just six runs in 19 2/3 innings (2.75 ERA). San Diego is just 9-20 vs. lefty starters this season. Davis is 14-3 (Team's Record) at home over the last 2 seasons when the money line is +125 to -125. Davis is also 8-0 (Team's Record) in home games over the last 2 seasons vs. NL teams batting .255 or worse.
In today's MLB, even the best starting pitchers usually only make into the seventh
inning. So we must always consider the bullpens. San Diego's pen is 3-9 with a 4.60
ERA, 1.49 WHIP and only 45.5% save conversions on the road. That's huge considering Peavy is only averaging 5+ innings in his road starts. Arizona's pen is 5-4 with a 3.92 ERA and 78.6% save conversions at home.
Take the home dog, Arizona with Davis, over San Diego and Peavy.
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Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

From a good friend of the forum:

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Steve Zukiel</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Saturday, July 05, 2008
$45.00 Guaranteed: Guaranteed 60 Unit MLB Line Value Game Of The Month! Win Or You Pay Nothing! Backed By Another Unbelievable Report! 34-16 L50 Overall! First Pitch Goes After 7:00 PM EST!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>7/4/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>Major League Baseball
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay
Saturday, July 5th, 2008
7:05 pm est 4:05 pm pacific
Line: Tampa Bay(-130)
Rating: Guaranteed 60 Unit MLB Line Value Game Of The Month In this contest, my money is on the Tampa Bay Rays
This report was done before last night's games were finalized.
How ridiculous is this line?? The Tampa Bay Rays own the BEST RECORD IN BASEBALL, they are playing at home, and are playing a struggling Kansas City team, yet they are only -130 favorites. Now imagine if this was the Boston Red Sox at home, what do you think the line would be??? Exactly. The Rays also have a solid pitcher in Andy Sonnanstine, who is gunning for his 10th win of the year. He has pitched very well as of late, going 2-0 in his last three starts, sporting a 3.18 EREA, and in his last six starts, he is 3-0 and the team has won all six. Kansas City has struggled against AL East opponents all year long and I don't forsee much changing this time around. Take the Rays and watch them continue their amazing play.
STEVE ZUKIEL TAKES THE TAMPA BAY RAYS OVER THE KANSAS CITY ROYALS AS MY GUARANTEED 60 UNIT MLB LINE VALUE GAME OF THE MONTH
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Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

The Hitman Guaranteed Selections

5000 LARGE BASEBALL BLOWOUT WINNER
Tampa Bay w/Sonnanstine -135 7:10 EST

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">VERNON CROY

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (MLB)

Pick: New York Yankees

Play Title: 20 Unit MLB AL GAME OF THE MONTH

20 Units, Take the NY Yankees ML, This pick falls into one of my elite MLB systems and I look for Mike Mussina (10-6, 3.87) to have a solid outing at home today after 2 bad starts. Justin Masterson (4-2, 3.75 ERA) has struggled with his control over his last 3 outings walking 11 batters with an ERA of 5.29 and the Red Sox are just 21-25 on the road this season. The Yankees are 15-9 this season at home when the posted total is 9 to 9.5 and Boston is just 2-4 in their last 6 games played. Take the NY Yankees as my MLB AL Game of the Month.

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext id=modified_215419 vAlign=bottom></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

LT's LOCKS

Dodgers

IAM4UK · Jul 5, 2008

jumpingmaster said:
here is hitman, need hammer

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>The Hitman</TD> <TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR> <TD vAlign=top>Date: Saturday, July 05, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Today in baseball the Hitman has just what you are looking for! A PERFECT way for you to WHACK your man with his 5000 LARGE BASEBALL BLOWOUT WINNER get it now for just $25 and as always you must win this game or you will not be charged! The Hitman was 79-32 in baseball last season so WHACK your man with this RED HOT BASEBALL WINNER! We are currently 56-24 in Baseball this season!
</TD> <TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>7/4/2008</TD></TR><TR> <TD colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR> <TD colSpan=2>5000 LARGE BASEBALL BLOWOUT WINNER
Tampa Bay w/Sonnanstine -135 7:10 EST
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>The Hammer</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Saturday, July 05, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: The Hammer had an OUTSTANDING year in baseball last year as I was 81-38 for the season +$5210 playing just $100 per game! My DIME PLAYERS made over $50,000 last year with my baseball selections! Today we are featuring our PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB BASEBALL WINNER! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $25 and you will pay only after you win! 45-26 BASEBALL RUN +$1765!!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>7/4/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB BASEBALL WINNER
LA Angels w/Lackey -125 9:05 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Betsmart · Jul 5, 2008

Winning Points

Dodgers(Park) -125

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

Dave Malinsky

GAME: New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies Jul 5, 2008 7:05PM
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks

PICK: Philadelphia Phillies

Offered at: -113

REASON FOR PICK:
4* PHILADELPHIA over NY METS

We really like what we see from Jamie Moyer right now. But his work has been rather subtle, and that helps to explain why we get the superior team here at less than the home field advantage.

Three weeks ago we backed Moyer in consecutive road starts, and got rewarded with 4* wins at Atlanta (at an underdog return) and Florida. The matchups and lines have forced us to back off in his last three outings, and they could not have played out better for us - he took an 0-3 collar in that span, falling at home to the Red Sox and on the road at Oakland and Texas, despite continuing his form. If anything, he even ramped his game up a bit - in those three defeats he struck out 19 batters, while only allowing 16 hits. That is most unusual for a guy that pitches to contact, but it shows how good his stuff has been. While getting tagged with three straight L?s he only allowed eight runs across the three starts combined, but he was only given three runs of offense support. That sets us up with tonight?s outstanding value, as Moyer brings the savvy to keep the Mets in check for a couple of passes through the lineup, and then turns things over to a bullpen that rivals any in the Major?s at this time. And with the Phillie lineup coming back to life, Moyer finally gets that run support again that has been lacking.

The Mets continue to get priced more on reputation than performance. They have a losing record overall, which indeed is the sum of the current parts, and are 20-26 on the road. They are 9-8 in John Maine?s starts despite the fact that 15 of those 17 games came against teams that currently sport losing records, and Maine?s inability to eat innings continues to be a growing concern - a guy that they were counting on to step up in that regard is averaging less than six frames per start, and it has been nearly two full months (May 7th at Los Angeles), since he was able to finish the 7th inning. That will fully bring the erratic New York bullpen into play, and against this lineup, in front of another sell-out crowd at Citizens Bank Park, it is a recipe for disaster.

We believe that Moyer can out-pitch Maine on current form and the matchups against the particular hitters, but all we need is a standoff between the starters and the end game belongs to the host. That is a bargain at this low line.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

Kingmaker

2 Units- Pitt/ Milw Over

1 Unit- Cubs Team Total Over 4 Runs

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

Steven Budin-CEO

SATURDAY'S PICK
25 DIME PLAY
NEW YORK YANKEES

STRIKEKING · Jul 5, 2008

Guys, this is a service from down my way that has been hot lately..Thought I would post for you all to track...

PRIME TIME SPORTS...

POD..YANKEES -130

REG..FLORIDA +120

Good luck to all!!!

SK

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

VEGAS EXPERTS

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins
Saturday, July 5th, 7:10 PM ET

Minnesota over Cleveland looks like the easiest play on the board, at least to us, and that's simply based on how these two division rivals have been playing recently. Cleveland has dropped six straight while the Twins have won 14 of 16 and are showing no signs of slowing down following their dominant run in interleague play. Saturday starter Kevin Slowey has won each of his last three decisions with a miniscule 0.43 ERA over that same time frame.

Play on: Minnesota

mattjones · Jul 5, 2008

hey guys .. does anybody have ferringo's plays .. he has a game of the week going today?

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

From a good friend of the forum:

SEABASS

comp - Nats

20 Cleveland
20 Mets
20 Texas
20 LAD
20 NYY

50* Philadelphia (AFL Playoffs)

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jul 5, 2008

WUNDERDOG COMP

Game: Boston at New York Yankees (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 10 -120

Where has the offense gone for this Yankees' team? The bullpen has been solid, but the offense has led this team to a startling 32-52-2 mark to the UNDER. This offense has been held to three runs or less 37 times this season. They have plated two or less in four of their last six games. The Red Sox offense has not been as potent on the road, where they have failed to top the three run mark 19 times this season. Today we ride the UNDER in this one.