Service Plays Saturday 11/29/14

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THE REAL SWOOP (CFB)

Michigan +21 (1*)
Indiana -3 (2*)
Vanderbilt +17 (2*)
Kansas State -27.5 (1*)
Alabama -9 (3*)
 
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Pointwise Phones

4* Florida, Texas State
3* Northwestern, Baylor, Miss. St., UTEP, Boston College, Kansas St.
2* Ohio St., North Carolina St., Georgia Southern
 
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Scott Spreitzer | CFB Side Sat, 11/29/14 - 2:00 PM
Triple-dime bet Appalachian St -17.0 vs Idaho
Analysis: I'm laying the points with Appalachian State on Saturday. We cashed a big play with the Mountaineers a week ago when they beat UL-L outright, 35-16 as an 8-point underdog. ASU has now won five straight games (4-1 ATS), including three as outright underdog winners. If you're worried about the fact they're laying a decent-sized number, don't. ASU won 66-0 as a 33-point favorite early this season and whipped Georgia State 44-0 as an 11-point favorite earlier this month. They're playing a terrific brand of football on both signs of the line of scrimmage and will host an Idaho Vandals' program that qualifies as one of my "dead teams." The Vandals are 1-9 SU on the season and lost their home finale last week in blowout fashion to Troy. The Vandals were out-gained 524-386 by a Trojans' team that ranks 106th in the nation in total yards per game and 108th in scoring. The bottom line thus far - the team is either not buying into what HC Paul Petri no is selling, or these groups of players are just not grasping it. Either way, they're likely to take one more beat down before calling it a season. Idaho ranks 122nd in yards rushing allowed per game, 112th in total yards allowed per game, and they give up a whopping, 36.5 ppg. The Vandals have covered just 22 of their last 70 games off a loss and they're 0-8 ATS with Petrino as HC in eight games against teams with a winning record, losing by an average score of 54-19! I'm laying the points with Appalachian State, my Tapout. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Pick Made: Nov 26 2014 9:57PM PST
 
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Teddy Covers | CFB Side Sat, 11/29/14 - 12:30 PM
Dime bet Boston College -11.5 vs Syracuse
Analysis: 1* Take Boston College
I’ll let Syracuse head Coach Scott Shafer makes the case for Boston College here. Shafer’s quotes speak volumes about the hapless Orange as they hit the highway for their meaningless (for them) season finale:
Shafer: “We’ve been through a rash of injuries that I’ve never been around in my 24 years of coaching….Just looking at the depth chart, seeing who we’re playing, who we’re moving around, it’s been difficult that way,. Preseason depth chart, we’re starting a quarterback that was third or fourth. Middle linebacker, third or fourth guys, frankly, wide receiver, the whole line really, it’s just been crazy. One of those crazy years.
Shafer’s ‘trying to keep it upbeat’ quote doesn’t inspire much confidence either: “I don’t look at it as we’re staggering into the last game. I look at it as we’re fighting with a lot of youth and inexperience into the last game. What a great way to introduce a lot of young guys that are playing a little bit earlier than we thought they were going to in a great rivalry in this conference.”
Syracuse has been playing non-competitive football for the last month, losing each of their last four games while failing to score more than 17 points in any of them. Meanwhile, Boston College, at home on senior day, is playing with real confidence after taking mighty Florida State to the wire last Saturday. With 124 combined career starts on their offensive line, the Eagles are ranked #11 in the country at running the football, more than capable of wearing down Syracuse’s tired defense as this game progresses. Look for Tyler Murphy’s dual threat capabilities to lead the home favorite to a comfortable double digit victory here against a foe without much gas left in the tank. Take Boston College.
Pick Made: Nov 28 2014 8:58AM PST

CFB Side Sat, 11/29/14 - 3:30 PM
Double-dime bet Minnesota 15.0 vs Wisconsin
Analysis: 2* Take Minnesota
Here’s what I wrote last week supporting Minnesota as a double digit underdog at Nebraska; a game they won in outright fashion. While the quality of opposition gets stronger this week, the point spread is higher and the Gophers can still lose this game by two touchdowns and still cash our winning bet.
“The betting markets have been lagging behind Minnesota all year, and they haven't recognized that it's Minnesota, not Nebraska that controls their own destiny in the conference -- the Gophers will get a rematch against Ohio State in the Big 10 title game if they win their last two regular season games. Head coach Jerry Kill, talking about the steady improvement of the program. "Our kids are a different team than what we've been. We've gotten much better. Winning on the road in the Big Ten or anywhere is not easy to do. That's what we have to do to put ourselves in position to win our (division)....We're in a situation where we're playing for something in November." Kill said he laid out Minnesota's path to the division title right after last week's spread covering loss to Ohio State. "It's better to be in control of your own destiny than to have to see somebody else win or lose and so forth. We're excited about the opportunity of being in the situation we're in. At the same time you have to go take advantage of it."
The betting markets are very concerned with the status of Minnesota’s star running back David Cobb, knocked out of last week’s game with a hamstring injury. I like the Gopher’s chances to cover regardless of whether Cobb plays or not. It’s not like Minnesota doesn’t have other solid backs, with Berkley Edwards, Donnell Kirkwood and Roderick Williams all capable of moving the chains. And the Gophers defense contained Ameer Abdullah last week, so I’m not expecting Melvin Gordon to run wild on them here. Minnesota held Wisconsin to 20 points on 324 total yards last year. A similar performance on Saturday would be no surprise to this bettor in a game that has all the makings of a ‘down to the wire’ type contest. Take Minnesota.
Pick Made: Nov 28 2014 9:00AM PST

CFB Side Sat, 11/29/14 - 1:00 PM
Dime bet Colorado 9.5 vs Utah
Analysis: 1* Take Colorado
This is Colorado’s role. The Buffaloes have covered the spread in all three recent meetings with Utah, pulling off one outright upset and losing by only a TD in the other two meetings, cashing by a combined 49 points in those three games. The Buffs have already covered as home dogs this year against the likes of Arizona State and UCLA, continuing their solid ATS record at home in the Mike McIntyre era.
Colorado is winless in PAC-12 play and McIntyre isn’t very happy about it, focusing on this matchup with the Utes as their chance to finally break through: “Week-in-week-out, we’ve played better in the Pac-12 this year than we did last year, and we got one Pac-12 win last year. This year, I definitely think we should have had four or five (conference wins), and we didn’t. So, I think it will eventually come, there’s no doubt about it. We want to win every game we play, but we definitely want to win this one.”
And frankly, Colorado might have the better offense here, not typical of home underdogs in this point spread range. After being benched for a half last week, starting QB Sefo Liufau is good to go this Saturday. MacIntyre: “Sefo is getting to practice this whole week. The week before, he didn't get to practice the whole time. He looks back to his old self." Liufau: “Their front seven, especially, they're up there with some of the best in the league. That's totally fine. I expect us to put some points up. We need to be consistent for four quarters and get the win."
Utah’s offense hasn’t been able to put up points all year, a team that’s been carried by their defense and special teams. The Utes haven’t won a game by more than three points since September, and they haven’t scored 30 in any of their last six contests, a team devoid of skill position talent. And, after a surprising start to the season, Utah’s ‘competing for a PAC-12 title’ dreams have been shredded in recent weeks with three losses in their last four games. If the Utes manage to win this one at all, don’t expect it to come by margin! Take Colorado.
Pick Made: Nov 28 2014 9:01AM PST
 
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Jeff Clement

BYU vs. California

CFB West Coast 8 Unit Play! California -3.5

BYU(7-4) at California(5-6): BYU has QB Christian Stewart who has passed for 1,829 yards with 17 Td’s leading his team to 3 wins in a row and will face off with Jared Goff who has put up big numbers this season with 3,580 yards passing with 31 TD’s and only 6 INT’s. BYU will be without tailback Jamaal Williams due to injury so this looks to be a shootout in the passing game which Goff will have the edge. California is 5-2 ATS last 7 games against teams with winning records and will need this win to become bowl eligible. BYU is 0-4 ATS last 4 games vs. PAC 12 teams.Prediction: CAL 40 BYU 31. California is a 8 Unit Play!
 
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NORTH COAST SPORTS LATE PHONES
3.5* OVER 57.5 UAB/Southern Miss (#379/380) 3:30 pm
3* OVER 59 UL Lafayette/Troy (#423/424) 12:30 pm
3* OVER 61.5 Notre Dame/USC (#427/428) 3:30 pm
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Brandon Lang

75 Dimes - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +12 1/2 visiting the Georgia Bulldogs, 12:00 PM EST

Bonus Play - 2 team 7 point teaser on Old Miss and Alabama

Video
 
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NHL

Hot teams
-- Rangers won three of their last four games.
-- Islanders won ten of their last twelve games.
-- Penguins are 12-4 in last 16 games, 2-3 in last five.
-- Toronto won five of its last seven home games.
-- Sabres won four of their last five games.
-- Lightning won last two games, allowing four goals.
-- Nashville won eight of its last ten games.
-- Minnesota won six of its last eight games. Blues won three of last four.
-- Avalanche won four of their last six games. Dallas Stars won three of last four.
-- Blackhawks won seven of their last nine games. LA won four of its last five home games.
-- Calgary won five of its last seven games.
-- Ducks won three of last four games.

Cold teams
-- Philly lost seven of last eight games.
-- New Jersey lost five of its last six games.
-- Hurricanes lost six of their last eight games.
-- Washington is 6-9 in its last fifteen games.
-- Montreal lost its last two games, outscored 7-1.
-- Senators lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Columbus lost last five games, outscored 22-7.
-- Coyotes lost four of their last five games.
-- San Jose lost last four games, scoring six goals.

Series records
-- Rangers won four of last five games with Philly.
-- Islanders won five of last seven games with New Jersey.
-- Carolina won last two games with Pittsburgh, after losing seven of previous eight.
-- Maple Leafs lost three of last four games with Washington.
-- Canadiens won six of last seven games with Buffalo.
-- Lightning lost three of last four games with Ottawa.
-- Blue Jackets won five of last seven games with Nashville.
-- Wild lost nine of last ten games with St Louis.
-- Avalanche won three of last four games with Dallas.
-- Kings beat Chicago in OT in Game 7 in playoffs LY.
-- Home side won last ten Calgary-Arizona games.
-- Sharks won six of last eight games with Anaheim.

Totals
-- Four of last six Philly games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight New Jersey games stayed under.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Carolina games.
-- Eight of last ten Toronto games went over total. Under is 6-1 in last seven Washington games.
-- Lasr three Buffalo games stayed under total.
-- Over is 12-2-1 in last fifteen Tampa Bay games.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Columbus games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Minnesota games.
-- Seven of last ten Colorado games went over total.
-- Last three Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Arizona games stayed under. Over is 10-3 in last 13 Calgary games.
-- Under is 15-4-1 in last 20 Anaheim games.

Back-to-back
-- Rangers are 0-2 if they played the night before. Flyers are 1-3.
-- Devils are 2-3 if they played night before. Islanders are 3-1.
-- Carolina is 1-4 if it played night before. Penguins are 1-2.
-- Washington is 1-3 if it played the night before.
-- Sabres are 2-3 if they played night before.
-- Senators are 1-2 if they played night before.
-- Blue Jackets are 1-5 if they played night before.
-- Minnesota is 2-0 if it played the night before. Blues are 2-1.
-- Dallas Stars are 0-3 if they played night before.
-- Chicago is 1-2 if it played night before.
-- Anaheim is 2-1 if it played night before.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NHL | MONTREAL at BUFFALO
Play On - Home teams against the money line (BUFFALO) after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games against opponent after a huge blowout loss by 5 goals or more in their previous game
25-5 over the last 5 seasons. ( 83.3% | 19.8 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 3.0 units )
 
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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Mavericks won eight of last ten games (3-1 AF).
-- Cavaliers won last two games by 32-26 points.
-- Indiana is 8-3-1 vs spread in last twelve games (6-3 in last nine SU). Hawks won three of their last four games (3-3-1 HF).
-- Bucks won/covered six of their last eight games. Houston won three of last four games, covered two of last eight.
-- Clippers are 5-1 on this long road trip (7th game in 11 nites tonite).

Cold Teams
-- Wizards lost three of last five games, covered two of last seven. New Orleans lost three of last four games (2-4 AU).
-- 0-15 76ers covered three of last nine games (4-4 HU).
-- Hornets lost their last eight games (1-4-3 vs spread).
-- Utah lost its last four games (3-3 HU).

Series Records
-- Pelicans lost their last five games with Washington.
-- 76ers lost 123-70 in Dallas Nov 13; they lost seven of last 8 vs Mavs.
-- Pacers won 14 of last 16 games with Cleveland.
-- Hornets won last two games with Atlanta, after losing previous 11.
-- Rockets won three of last four games with Milwaukee.
-- Clippers won their last ten games with Utah.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Washington games went over.
-- Five of last six Dallas road games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Cleveland games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Atlanta games went over.
-- 14 of 16 Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Utah games stayed under the total. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Clipper games.

Back-to-Backs
-- Pelicans are 3-0 if they played night before.
-- Hawks are 0-2-1 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Clippers are 4-0 (2-2 vs spread) if they played night before.
 

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