Bob Balfe
College Football
Tennessee +3 over Vandy
Vandy started off the year 5-0, but most of it was due to a poor schedule and gift turnovers. Tennessee was just the opposite. The Vols would fumble at the worst times and seemed to be doomed in the turnover department. This is coach Fulmers last season and this team has looked horrible on offense, but Vandy's offense has not been much better. Tennessee still has more talent up and down the lineup. Vandy has not played too well at home and this looks like a huge trap game for the public. Take Tennessee.
Oklahoma -7 over Texas Tech
Texas Tech has one of the best offenses we could ever see, but today on the road they will get a first hand look at a quick defense. Oklahoma just has too much talent. This is a game where the thoughts of National Title will start to get in the heads of the #2 Red Raiders. If the game starts to get out of hand Tech will start to turn the ball over. Look for true talent to show its face today. Oklahoma has a lot more of it especially on defense. Take the Sooners.
Nevada +7 over Boise State
Boise is the best team in the WAC, but they are not the dominant force they used to be. Nevada has a great QB and they run the ball very well. Look for Nevada to control the clock limiting Boise States possessions. This should be a great game. Look for Nevada to pull a possible upset.
NBA Basketball
Clippers +3.5 over Nets
NCAA Basketball
St. Louis +2.5 over Boston College
<!-- / message -->
College Football
Tennessee +3 over Vandy
Vandy started off the year 5-0, but most of it was due to a poor schedule and gift turnovers. Tennessee was just the opposite. The Vols would fumble at the worst times and seemed to be doomed in the turnover department. This is coach Fulmers last season and this team has looked horrible on offense, but Vandy's offense has not been much better. Tennessee still has more talent up and down the lineup. Vandy has not played too well at home and this looks like a huge trap game for the public. Take Tennessee.
Oklahoma -7 over Texas Tech
Texas Tech has one of the best offenses we could ever see, but today on the road they will get a first hand look at a quick defense. Oklahoma just has too much talent. This is a game where the thoughts of National Title will start to get in the heads of the #2 Red Raiders. If the game starts to get out of hand Tech will start to turn the ball over. Look for true talent to show its face today. Oklahoma has a lot more of it especially on defense. Take the Sooners.
Nevada +7 over Boise State
Boise is the best team in the WAC, but they are not the dominant force they used to be. Nevada has a great QB and they run the ball very well. Look for Nevada to control the clock limiting Boise States possessions. This should be a great game. Look for Nevada to pull a possible upset.
NBA Basketball
Clippers +3.5 over Nets
NCAA Basketball
St. Louis +2.5 over Boston College
<!-- / message -->
ROCK BOX
FOUR STARS: MISSISSIPPI +4
Rebels are improving fast under coach Houston Nutt. They are 6-4 and could easily be 8-2 after throwing away two games early against lesser teams. LSU looked uninterested last week against Troy. While the Tigers have to be disappointed with where their season is heading, Ole Miss is ecstatic to be bowl eligible and smelling a shot at a trip to Dallas for the Cotton Bowl with a win here. Nutt's bunch has already won in The Swamp this season so they won't be fearing a trip to Baton Rouge. They're primed for another breakthrough with an outright win against an LSU team that is talented but seriously lacking at QB.
FOUR STARS: FLORIDA ATLANTIC+4
Howard Schnellenberger's Owls were written off after a 1-5 start, but those early struggles came against a brutal schedule (Texas, Michigan State, Minnesota, all on the road). All of a sudden, that Sun Belt schedule seems like a piece of cake. FAU is riding a four game winning streak and getting better every week. They're the best team in the conference and will prove it with an outright win here.
THREE STARS: WAKE FOREST -2.5
BC feeds off of turnovers, but a disciplined Wake Forest squad won't oblige them this week. BC comes in off a big win at FSU on national TV. Wake comes in off of a bad loss at NC State. We think the Deacs turn the tables and spring a trap here.
THREE STARS: ARIZONA -2.5
Wildcats have been rolling on offense and they're much tougher at home. We respect Oregon State but don't think they're Rose Bowl material. Aside from the USC ambush in Corvallis, who have they really beaten? They lost at Stanford, lost at Utah and have piled up wins against UCLA, Washington, Washington State, ASU (barely) and Cal at home. Maybe they are the best in the Pac-10, but we're not sold just yet. Arizona gets the win here.
THREE STARS: STANFORD/CAL UNDER 51
Both teams want to run the ball and have limited QB's who struggle to stretch the field. Cal's struggling offensive line will have to deal with Stanford's aggressive defense while Cal's outstanding linebackers have what it takes to keep the Cardinal from running wild on the ground.
TWO STARS: NEVADA +7
Wolf Pack has been stewing for a year over last year's 69-67 4OT loss to Boise. Now they've got their shot in front of a home crowd that will likely treat this one as the closest thing to a Super Bowl in Reno, Nevada. The Pack won't be intimidated by the Broncos, having faced the likes of Texas Tech and Missouri early on this season. Meanwhile, Boise's only impressive win came at Oregon. Nevada keeps this one close and takes a shot at ruining Boise's BCS bid.
TWO STARS: WYOMING +2
Cowboys should give an emotional performance in support of coach Joe Glenn who very likely won't be returning next season.
TWO STARS: PURDUE/INDIANA OVER 53.5
Both teams are getting healthy on offense just in time for the rivalry game. Indiana has the talent to put up points offensively. Their defense is much more questionable. With Purdue QB Curtis Painter primed for a big game, this one has the makings of a shootout.
ONE STAR PLAYS: OHIO STATE -20.5; INDIANA +11; PENN STATE -15.5; UTAH -7; TEXAS TECH +7
FOUR STARS: MISSISSIPPI +4
Rebels are improving fast under coach Houston Nutt. They are 6-4 and could easily be 8-2 after throwing away two games early against lesser teams. LSU looked uninterested last week against Troy. While the Tigers have to be disappointed with where their season is heading, Ole Miss is ecstatic to be bowl eligible and smelling a shot at a trip to Dallas for the Cotton Bowl with a win here. Nutt's bunch has already won in The Swamp this season so they won't be fearing a trip to Baton Rouge. They're primed for another breakthrough with an outright win against an LSU team that is talented but seriously lacking at QB.
FOUR STARS: FLORIDA ATLANTIC+4
Howard Schnellenberger's Owls were written off after a 1-5 start, but those early struggles came against a brutal schedule (Texas, Michigan State, Minnesota, all on the road). All of a sudden, that Sun Belt schedule seems like a piece of cake. FAU is riding a four game winning streak and getting better every week. They're the best team in the conference and will prove it with an outright win here.
THREE STARS: WAKE FOREST -2.5
BC feeds off of turnovers, but a disciplined Wake Forest squad won't oblige them this week. BC comes in off a big win at FSU on national TV. Wake comes in off of a bad loss at NC State. We think the Deacs turn the tables and spring a trap here.
THREE STARS: ARIZONA -2.5
Wildcats have been rolling on offense and they're much tougher at home. We respect Oregon State but don't think they're Rose Bowl material. Aside from the USC ambush in Corvallis, who have they really beaten? They lost at Stanford, lost at Utah and have piled up wins against UCLA, Washington, Washington State, ASU (barely) and Cal at home. Maybe they are the best in the Pac-10, but we're not sold just yet. Arizona gets the win here.
THREE STARS: STANFORD/CAL UNDER 51
Both teams want to run the ball and have limited QB's who struggle to stretch the field. Cal's struggling offensive line will have to deal with Stanford's aggressive defense while Cal's outstanding linebackers have what it takes to keep the Cardinal from running wild on the ground.
TWO STARS: NEVADA +7
Wolf Pack has been stewing for a year over last year's 69-67 4OT loss to Boise. Now they've got their shot in front of a home crowd that will likely treat this one as the closest thing to a Super Bowl in Reno, Nevada. The Pack won't be intimidated by the Broncos, having faced the likes of Texas Tech and Missouri early on this season. Meanwhile, Boise's only impressive win came at Oregon. Nevada keeps this one close and takes a shot at ruining Boise's BCS bid.
TWO STARS: WYOMING +2
Cowboys should give an emotional performance in support of coach Joe Glenn who very likely won't be returning next season.
TWO STARS: PURDUE/INDIANA OVER 53.5
Both teams are getting healthy on offense just in time for the rivalry game. Indiana has the talent to put up points offensively. Their defense is much more questionable. With Purdue QB Curtis Painter primed for a big game, this one has the makings of a shootout.
ONE STAR PLAYS: OHIO STATE -20.5; INDIANA +11; PENN STATE -15.5; UTAH -7; TEXAS TECH +7
VictoriousPlay
NCAAF Victorious Plays:
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma
This game will be more than a simple game. Texas Tech has a perfect and record and today has a major task to maintain it when they travel to face Oklahoma. Everyone is expecting a high scoring game since both teams have probably the best offensive lines in the league. Oklahoma is a rushing machine while Texas Tech relies pretty much on the passing skills of Harrell. In today’s game both teams will play to their best but according to our system, the edge should be on the home team and we should grab it. Normally in a game like this the defenses are tighter and the rushing is a better and safer tactic and in that sort of game, Oklahoma has a huge advantage.
Recommendation: 2* Oklahoma -7 @ -110
Brigham Young @ Utah
Great rivalry at stake in this game with Utah desperate to get the win to reach the BCS bowl but it won’t be easy because Utah is doing also a great season so far. Today is the type of game where the coaches don’t need to give motivational speeches. The intensity is already there and we do expect both teams to fight hard to get those points. None of the teams is a defensive one but both of them are more than capable of scoring points and we do expect them to score at least 55 points which is enough for us to get the Over.
Recommendation: 3* Over 53.5 @ -110
North Carolina State @ North Carolina
Our first game of the day is a game where we expect NC State to make it hard for NC to score. It’s going to be a tough contest and a type of game where normally the clock will run faster than the players. If you look at the stats of both teams, the difference is not as high as the line is showing but in a game like this you should be careful. We expect a close game with plenty of 3rd and 4th downs. Go with our system. Play the Under.
Recommendation: 3* Under 47.5 @ -110
Enjoy and BOL!!!
:toast:
NCAAF Victorious Plays:
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma
This game will be more than a simple game. Texas Tech has a perfect and record and today has a major task to maintain it when they travel to face Oklahoma. Everyone is expecting a high scoring game since both teams have probably the best offensive lines in the league. Oklahoma is a rushing machine while Texas Tech relies pretty much on the passing skills of Harrell. In today’s game both teams will play to their best but according to our system, the edge should be on the home team and we should grab it. Normally in a game like this the defenses are tighter and the rushing is a better and safer tactic and in that sort of game, Oklahoma has a huge advantage.
Recommendation: 2* Oklahoma -7 @ -110
Brigham Young @ Utah
Great rivalry at stake in this game with Utah desperate to get the win to reach the BCS bowl but it won’t be easy because Utah is doing also a great season so far. Today is the type of game where the coaches don’t need to give motivational speeches. The intensity is already there and we do expect both teams to fight hard to get those points. None of the teams is a defensive one but both of them are more than capable of scoring points and we do expect them to score at least 55 points which is enough for us to get the Over.
Recommendation: 3* Over 53.5 @ -110
North Carolina State @ North Carolina
Our first game of the day is a game where we expect NC State to make it hard for NC to score. It’s going to be a tough contest and a type of game where normally the clock will run faster than the players. If you look at the stats of both teams, the difference is not as high as the line is showing but in a game like this you should be careful. We expect a close game with plenty of 3rd and 4th downs. Go with our system. Play the Under.
Recommendation: 3* Under 47.5 @ -110
Enjoy and BOL!!!
:toast:
King Creole Sports!
8:00pm ET / #154 / Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Oklahoma Sooners
Play on: OKLAHOMA SOONERS minus the points
An UNDEFEATED Team getting a ton of points on the road? And we're going AGAINST 'em? You better believe it.
Undefeated teams who still come in as underdogs do not do very well this late in the season.
1-5 ATS since 1999 for all GAME NINE or greater UNDEFEATED conference road underdogs (Texas Tech).
If you believe that REVENGE plays a greater role this late in the season, there's only one way top go. Oklahoma still remembers last year's road loss to these Red Raiders 34-27.
16-5 ATS since 2003 for all Conference home favorites of < 10 points off 4 or more SU wins in a row playing with REVENGE (Oklahoma)... versus any opponent off 2 or more SU wins in a row (Texas Tech). If these home favs are playing GAME NINE or greater, they are a PERFECT 10-0 ATS in the same time span.
There's also a lot of value for teams playing with REST this late in the year.
25-9 ATS since 2002 for all GAME 10 > home teams with REST off a SUATS win (Oklahoma). Bring in an opponent also off a SU win (like Texas Tech), and the results improve to 16-5 ATS. If the opp is off 2 or more SU wins in a row (like Texas Tech), the results are 13-3 ATS... and 7-1 ATS if our rested home team is a FAVORITE (like Oklahoma).
<!-- / message -->
8:00pm ET / #154 / Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Oklahoma Sooners
Play on: OKLAHOMA SOONERS minus the points
An UNDEFEATED Team getting a ton of points on the road? And we're going AGAINST 'em? You better believe it.
Undefeated teams who still come in as underdogs do not do very well this late in the season.
1-5 ATS since 1999 for all GAME NINE or greater UNDEFEATED conference road underdogs (Texas Tech).
If you believe that REVENGE plays a greater role this late in the season, there's only one way top go. Oklahoma still remembers last year's road loss to these Red Raiders 34-27.
16-5 ATS since 2003 for all Conference home favorites of < 10 points off 4 or more SU wins in a row playing with REVENGE (Oklahoma)... versus any opponent off 2 or more SU wins in a row (Texas Tech). If these home favs are playing GAME NINE or greater, they are a PERFECT 10-0 ATS in the same time span.
There's also a lot of value for teams playing with REST this late in the year.
25-9 ATS since 2002 for all GAME 10 > home teams with REST off a SUATS win (Oklahoma). Bring in an opponent also off a SU win (like Texas Tech), and the results improve to 16-5 ATS. If the opp is off 2 or more SU wins in a row (like Texas Tech), the results are 13-3 ATS... and 7-1 ATS if our rested home team is a FAVORITE (like Oklahoma).
<!-- / message -->
