Service Plays Friday 05/15/09

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Vernon Croy Bonus Play

-=TOP PLAY=- MLB | May 15
Cleveland Indians vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays -165

Take the Tampa Bay Rays ML, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Rays have the superior pitcher on the mound tonight although Kazmir has struggled early this season. The Rays are 15-1 in their last 16 games when Kazmir has started as a favorite of -151 to -200 and the Rays are 36-5 in their last 41 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games after a loss and they are hitting .309 as a team over their last 7 games while averaging 6.4 rpg. I look for the Rays to give Kazmir plenty of run support tonight against Reyes who has an ERA of 10.38 over his last 7 games while allowing 22 hits over just 13 innings. The Indians are just 1-11 in their last 12 games in game 2 of a series and they are also just 3-14 in their last 17 games wining their previous game. Take the Tampa Bay Rays as my MLB Bonus Play for Friday night since this play is just over my personal -150 limit to make it a premium play.
 
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GOLDEN CONTENDER

TEXAS with Milwood -120

On Friday night the 17-3 Mlb system play stat dominator side is on the Texas Rangers.Game 976 at 8:05 eastern.The Rangers qualify in a solid technical system tonight that plays on certain homers off a home dog win if they scored 4 or less and runs and there opponent scored 5 or more runs and played excellent defense with no more than 1 error in there last game.The Rangers are coming off a dramatic walk off win vs Seattle on Thursday.LA. is also coming off a wild 5-4 extra inning win vs Boston.Tonight the Angels send lefty J.Saunders to the mound in a place where he has struggled in his career.Saunders is 0-3 with a 9.76 era in Texas and the Angels are 0-3 this year as a road dog from +100 to +125.Texas on the other hand has won 8 of 11 at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this year.When facing leftys they have won 8 of 12 scoring 6.5 runs while hitting .306.For the Rangers its veteran righty K.Millwood who has pitched very well this year.Look for Texas to take Game 1 of the series tonight backed by the aforementioned 17-3 system that wins by an average 3 runs per game.The Angels are Texas toast tonight.
 

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ROOT

CC----------------------Philly
Mill---------------------NY Yankees
N-L---------------------LA Dodgers
 

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RON RAYMOND’S 5* MLB O/U GAME OF THE NIGHT!
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres (May 15 10:05 PM)
Under 8.0 (100.0)
When ANY MLB Team played as a Home team - Last 3 years - Vs Non Division Opponent - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog - Scored 3 or less runs FOR in their last game - Coming off a 6 Game Road Trip; The UNDER is 21-12-4 for the Home Team (SD) in this spot L3Y.



When SAN DIEGO team played as a 100 to 120 Home Underdog - 1st game of a series - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a day game - Scored 3 or less runs FOR in their last game; The UNDER is 9-3-0 for the Padres in this role since ’97.
 

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Vic Monte

500* Boston Red Sox

Have hit last 2 500* the last 2 days

GLTA
 

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Kevin RogersMets at GiantsPick: Mets +161The Mets had a huge ninth inning in last night's 7-4 victory over the Giants, scoring three times in their last at-bat to upend San Francisco. The Giants send out their ace Tim Lincecum tonight, but the Mets have had success against the reigning Cy Young Award winner, beating him twice in two outings. Lincecum has rebounded following a slow start to the season, picking up four consecutive wins, all quality starts. Livan Hernandez has found a spot in the Mets rotation, winning three starts despite an ERA of 4.81. However, Hernandez has one terrible start on his ledger, allowed 7 ER in 4.1 IP at St. Louis last month. Besides that, Hernandez is coming off back-to-back quality starts in wins over the Pirates and Braves. The Mets are a perfect 7-0 this season with the total between 8 and 8.5, and 7-1 L8 against right-handed starters. I'm a huge Lincecum fan, but facing this type of offense as a substantial favorite is not right. I'll back the Mets as a road dog to pick up their second straight win.
 

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Marc Lawrence

Fan Appreciation Game Of The Week

Play On: Cincinnati w/Harang

When the Reds send Aaron Harang to the mound in San Diego this evening they will do so knowing he's been in commanding KW form with 7 walks and 35 strikeouts in his last six starts and 7 walks and 33 strikeouts in his last six road starts as well. He's also 4-1 with 3.25 ERA in the park at San Diego. Behind the steady serves of Harang, look for the Reds to improve to 8-3 on Fridays and for the Padres to dip to 4-11 on Fridays here tonight.
 

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cogyle 12* o/u texas under

gl

waiting for the others
 

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961 MIL (-115) SportBet vs 962 STL
Analysis: Ò
** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **

GALLARDO over Lohse

958 FLA (-140) SportBet vs 957 LOS
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSO?NAL PLAY **

VOLSTAD over Stults

955 COL (-105) Bodog vs 956 PIT
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **


DE LA ROSA over Maholm

976 TEX (-125) SportBet vs 975 ANA
Analysis:
*** MLB 3* AL GAME of the WEEK ***

MILLWOOD over Saunders

978 KAN -1.5 (+105) Bookmaker.com vs 977 BAL
Analysis: ?
** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **

GREINKE -1.5 (RL) +105 over Eaton
 

nic

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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant | MLB Money Line
free pick961 MIL (-108) Bookmaker.com vs 962 STL
Analysis:

Gallardo vs. Lohse listed



Milwaukee (21-14) has won nine of its last 11, compiling a .283 batting average with 18 home runs and outscoring opponents 75-45. The Brewers have also won seven of nine on the road. Milwaukee went 10-5 against St. Louis last season, winning six of nine at Busch Stadium.



Yovani Gallardo (4-1, 3.09 ERA) has won three consecutive decisions while posting a 1.80 ERA with 38 strikeouts in 35 innings over five starts as Milwaukee has gone 4-1.



Kyle Lohse (3-2, 4.25) is 0-2 with an 11.32 ERA and has served up three homers in his last two games. That came after going 3-0 with a 1.97 ERA and one homer allowed in five April starts. Lohse is 3-3 with a 5.22 ERA in 11 games - 10 starts - against the Brewers. He had no record and a 4.26 ERA in three starts against Milwaukee last year, all St. Louis losses.



The Brewers are playing much better baseball right now and Gallardo is in much better current form than Lohse. The Cardinals are also missing two key components in their lineup -- Ryan Ludwick and Rick Ankiel.



I'll take Milwaukee and Gallardo over St. Louis and Lohse for a half-unit.
 

nic

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Football Jesus

These are his picks from Twitter...

Rays over 9.5
Rangers
Mariners RL +1.5
 

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Sportgamblingpicks.com

Cincinatti (Harang) 25 dimes

3-1 this week +40 dimes
 

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ted servansky

4 units rangers
3 units nationals over
3 units indians over

gl
 

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