Service Plays Friday 05/15/09

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Benjamin lee Eckstein

"Mr Chalk had Np on Thursday.

For Friday "Mr Chalk in all his chalkiest is going for the chalkiest game on the board the Royals -$220/Orioles.
 

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Ferringo 5-15-09

2-Unit Play. Take #966 San Francisco (-165) over N.Y. Mets (10 p.m., Friday, May 15)
1-Unit Play. Take #966 San Francisco (-1.5, +130) over N.Y. Mets (10 p.m., Friday, May 15)


2-Unit Play. Take #978 Kansas City (-1.5, -105) over Baltimore (8 p.m., Friday, May 15)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #974 Tampa Bay (-165) over Cleveland (7:30 p.m., Friday, May 15)
1-Unit Play. Take #974 Tampa Bay (-1.5, +115) over Cleveland (7:30 p.m., Friday, May 15)

1-Unit Play. Take #963 Cincinnati (-120) over San Diego (10 p.m., Friday, May 15)


1-Unit Play. Take #967 Minnesota (+115) over N.Y. Yankees (7 p.m., Friday, May 15)


1-Unit Play. Take #979 Boston (-155) over Seattle (10 p.m., Friday, May 15)

Today's Totals
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Minnesota at N.Y. Yankees (7 p.m., Friday, May 15)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Cleveland at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m., Friday, May 15)
 

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Larry Ness Friday

9* Situational Mismatch

Situational Mismatch on the Det Tigers


Las Vegas Insider - MLB

Las Vegas Insider on the LA Angels
 
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WUNDERDOG EARLY AFTERNOON PLAY

Game: Houston at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: Chicago Cubs -150 (moneyline)

The Chicago Cubs are beginning to get it going. Last season, they were the only National League team to win over 50 games at home, and they did it by a lot at 55. This season, they are 11-6 at home, and now 7-1 in their last eight outings at Wrigley. They have plated 49 runs in the eight games, or just over eight runs per game. Houston is a weak hitting team that found some success in the thin air and poor pitching in Colorado and in San Diego, who has dropped 19 of 23. They are a poor 5-16 as a +100 to +150 favorite, showing that they have trouble in these situations. The Cubs have been absolute murderers on teams with a losing record as they are now an awe inspiring 41-12 in their last 53 against them. That converts to 77.4% winners, enough for me to back Chicago in this one.
 

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P.1 service plays calculated consensus

TEAM ON LEFT AND # OF PICKS ON RIGHT OF =

Angels = 1

angels under = 1

ATLANTA = 1

Boston = 1

Brewers = 2

BREWERS UNDER = 1

Cardinals = 2

CINCINNATI = 4

CINCINNATI under = 1

Cubs = 2

dodgers under = 1

florida = 1

Bonus Play:
CINCINNATI = 1


METS UNDER = 1

Phillies = 2

PIRATES = 1

RANGERS = 3

Rockies = 1


TAMPA Over 9.0 = 1

TEXAS UNDER = 1

Tigers = 1

TORONTO = 1

washington = 1

White Sox = 3

yankees = 2


Ferringo 5-15-09
2-Unit Play. Take #966 San Francisco (-165) over N.Y. Mets (10 p.m., Friday, May 15)
1-Unit Play. Take #966 San Francisco (-1.5, +130) over N.Y. Mets (10 p.m., Friday, May 15)


2-Unit Play. Take #978 Kansas City (-1.5, -105) over Baltimore (8 p.m., Friday, May 15)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #974 Tampa Bay (-165) over Cleveland (7:30 p.m., Friday, May 15)
1-Unit Play. Take #974 Tampa Bay (-1.5, +115) over Cleveland (7:30 p.m., Friday, May 15)

1-Unit Play. Take #963 Cincinnati (-120) over San Diego (10 p.m., Friday, May 15)


1-Unit Play. Take #967 Minnesota (+115) over N.Y. Yankees (7 p.m., Friday, May 15)


1-Unit Play. Take #979 Boston (-155) over Seattle (10 p.m., Friday, May 15)

Today's Totals
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Minnesota at N.Y. Yankees (7 p.m., Friday, May 15)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Cleveland at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m., Friday, May 15)
 

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Al DeMarco
Al DeMarco Friday's Play 5 Dime - Los Angeles Dodgers

At first glance. the 1-4 skid Los Angeles encountered immediately following the Manny Ramirez suspension could be attributed to the slugger's absence in the lineup. But in reality, it had more to do with a mini-collapse of the team's pitching staff. The offense produced five or more runs in three of those five contests, but the pitchers allowed at least five runs in three of them as well. Now it appears the Dodgers have righted their ship again after closing out their series at Philadelphia with a 9-2 rout Wednesday and 5-3 extra-inning triumph Thursday.

Since Manny's banishment, LA is batting .314, scoring 40 runs in seven games, carrying a streak of five straight games of at least 11 hits into tonight's contest at Florida.

The Marlins have been a feast or famine team this season. They broke out of the gate by winning 11 of 12, but have since gone 6-17, a stretch in which they've collectively batted .221. And the pitching staff, thought to be the strength of the team, has contributed mightily to the free fall, compiling a 5.17 ERA during the past 23 games, which includes four straight losses overall and a 1-6 mark in their last seven at home.

Los Angeles pitcher Eric Stults is coming off a four-hit shutout of the Giants in his last outing, his second straight win as he beat the Diamondbacks in his previous start.

Florida hurler Chris Volstad has pitched well, allowing three earned runs or less in five straight starts, but he's been repeatedly victimized by a lack of offensive support as the Marlins have dropped three of his last four outings, including two in a row.

With the Dodgers hitting the ball soundly, and Florida slumping at the plate and plagued by an inconsistent bullpen all season, Los Angeles is well worth the investment as the road dog.






BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED----------------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Craig Davis
Friday's Lineup
25 Dime ---- Phillies-Nationals OVER

10 Dime ---- BLUE JAYS

PHILLY/WASHINGTON OVER --- To be honest, I was completely surprised to see this total as low as it is tonight. I truly believed it would come out around 10.5, but to see it at 9.5 is an absolute steal and I’m jumping all over it.

These two teams have already faced each other five times this season and the combined run total for both teams is 64 runs, or, over 10 per game. The Nats have already had 16 of their games finish OVER the total while the Phillies have pushed past the number 17 times in 30 games. What’s even more encouraging is what the Nationals have been doing lately. Listen to these recent final scores... 6-3, 9-7, 11-7, 10-8, 5-4, 2-1, 11-9… the list goes on and on. Something I noticed about this Nationals team early on was the fact they have a really good hitting lineup, but they just don’t have a lick of pitching. Shoot, their best pitcher might be a young prospect named Jordan Zimmerman who hasn’t really hit his stride yet.

Tonight’s pitcher, John Lannan, has already seen the Phillies once this year, allowing 9 hits and 3 ER in 5 innings of work, as the Phillies would eventually score 7 runs. What excites me most about this OVER play with Lannan on the hill is his WHIP (1.50). Every inning he pitches, you can just about guarantee at least one baserunner, and if you do that long enough to the Phillies lineup, they’re going to make you pay.

On the other side we have Joe Blanton and his inflated 6.82 WHIP and 1.60 WHIP. Blanton has seen the Nats twice already this season, and one of those games resulted in a 13-11 Phillies win. Blanton’s ERA vs. Washington in 2009 is 9.00 and his opponent’s batting average against is over .300. Bottom line: Joe Blanton isn’t very good right now and probably should account for at least 4 ER tonight.

Both of these teams have very potent offenses and there’s no reason to think this game stays under 10 runs. Play the OVER as your top play of the day.


TORONTO BLUE JAYS --- I’m not sure if you were with me on Sunday when I gave you my highest rated MLB play of the season, but it was on Toronto, and Brett Cecil was on the hill. Until he gets going a little bit more, we’re going to get GREAT prices when we back this guy. Oh sure, eventually he’ll be giving -150 and -160 when he pitches at home, but tonight the money line is basically even. That, my friend, is a steal.

Cecil has pitched just twice this year, and his team has won both games despite the fact that he’s only 1-0 himself. In his two starts, Cecil has been brilliant, going 14 total innings, allowing just one ER, 11 hits and two walks for a WHIP under 1.00. Not bad for a rookie, eh? And If his 0.64 ERA isn’t enough for you, what about the fact that he’s struck out six batters in each game and his pitch count per inning dropped from 16 to 13 from game 1 to game 2? So far so good for this 23-year-old.

Cecil will face John Danks tonight, and although he’s been very good so far this year, he hasn’t been as good as Cecil and is more than capable of imploding. Danks hasn’t seen the Blue Jays yet this season (but Toronto did still win two of three earlier this year), but in one appearance vs. the Blue Jays in 2008, Danks suffered a 5-2 loss. In 2007, Danks faced the Blue Jays just once (again) and was on the short end of a 4-3 score.

Toronto is the hottest hitting team in Major League Baseball and is thankful to see the Yankees leave the building. They welcome fresh blood this evening and I see no chance for the White Sox to pull off the win.







BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Jack Jones 05-15-09 Early MLB
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15 on Cubs ML
 

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KBHoops

5* 2 Teamer Kansas City/Atlanta +135 **POD**
5* Kansas City -1.5 +105
5* Boston -155
5* Boston OVER 9 -105
5* Florida -135
 

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Lance's Lock


Overall record: 782-676-29

Current streak: 2 wins

Todays play: Texas -120
 

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Teddy Covers
954 Washington Over 9.5
974 Tampa Bay Over 9.5
976 Texas -120 (big ticket)
 

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SportsOddsAndPicks.com for Friday:


Major League Baseball

FLORIDA -130 (with Volstad) over L.A. Dodgers 7:10 p.m. ET

ST. LOUIS -110 (with Lohse) over Milwaukee 8:15 p.m. ET

OVER 10 RUNS Minnesota at Yankees 7:05 p.m. ET
 

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75,000* ULTRA-RARE RUN-LINE GAME OF THE YEAR Plus Bonus Locks
Your winners here are on:



1. 75,000♦ Royals minus 1 1/2 runs

2. 50,000♦ Mets

3. 50,000♦ Twins





1. Zach Greinke did just pick up his first loss on the season last time out but shoot, don't blame him. The Kansas City righthander threw a complete game (eight innings) in the 1-0 loss at Anaheim as he was outduled by Joe Saunders. The only run came on a sac fly in the third inning and I do not at all take anything negative away from Greinke in that loss as his dominance is still very much alive and well.



After starting the season now 6-1 and having an ERA at an unreal .51 I just do not see the mediocre at the very best Orioles being able to do all that much at all. Don't get me wrong, I don't necessarily mind the O's when a big dog at times because there is potential there with Roberts, Jones, Markakis and a few others but nobody has really been able to get to Greinke and when up against a pretty bad Adam Eaton I just do not see Baltimore doing nearly enough to compete today.



The Royals are a spunky team that can hit the ball and against Eaton should hit the ball. The O's right has been fairly awful this season. Yes he has had some success in the bigs in the past with the Phillies and Padres but right now the righty is bad and is light years behind his mound opponent.



Can you say 8-1? I can!







2. Tim Lincecum is the reigning Cy Young award winner and a guy with absolute lights out stuff. There is no doubt that he can completely shut down anybody, including these Mets, if he is on. Lincecum is clearly far superior when compared with Livan Hernandez but the Mets are still one of the better teams in all of baseball and are just a no-brainer at this price.



Delgado is banged up but with studs in Reyes, Wright and Beltran I wouldn't be too shocked if the New Yorkers were able to do some damage against Lincecum and it's not exactly like this poor Giant offense is all that scary. Plus Hernandez has actually been very good at times this season and also is a former Giant who should therefore be properly motivated tonight.



This is an old school baseball play. When you are getting such a great takeback when you have the better everything except for one variable, granted that is the most important variable as it is the starting pitcher, then it is no-brainer!



This is the kind of play that if I lose I just do not care because you have no choice but to play it. If Lincecum is not on then this is the steal of all steals!







3. I do admit that the Twins are not a "great value" here on the road in the Bronx as they're not getting all that much back in terms of price but to not have to lay money with the upside of Francisco Liraino against Phil Hughes is good enough for me.



I do realize that Liriano has struggled mightily at times this season (including the seven run debacle at Fenway) but take out that first start for Hughes and the young righty has been a total and complete mess. Hughes is supposed to be a young star but he truly has been anything but so far in his short Major League Career.



The Twins bats collectively are not great at all but Mauer and Morneau are scary as heck and there are others like Cuddyer and Kubel who are good. No they are not Arod or Teixeira good but Liriano can be an absolute stud and I'll therefore take my chances here for sure against what has been a pretty bad Yankee club.



Let's be honest here Joe Girardi's squad is well overrated and even with Rodriguez back have a lot of suspect pieces playing on a daily basis.



Look for Morneau to have a big game as usual and for Liriano to hold his own in a win





THIS IS MATT RIVERS FROM DELANEY SITE.
BOUGHT AND PAID BY ME GOOD LUCK!!!
 

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omalleyandgoldstein

*** They recommend all plays to be 1 unit ***


MLB:

Blue Jays -128
Cardinals -103
LA Dodgers +110
Reds -123
Red Sox -155

Bonus Play: (24-16) (60%):

Detroit Tigers -143
 

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