Service Plays 9/22/07

[patriots12]

Drew Gordon Comp

Army (+27) at BOSTON COLLEGE

203-170-4 over my L377 Bonus Play releases! Ready for Saturday afternoon's best Freebie pup? Here it is...

Several factors come into play in this match up, but none bigger than the fact oddsmakers are grossly underestimating this Army squad, which was able to outgain and out-first down Wake Forest last week despite losing 21-10. How did they do it? Defense, plain and simple.

While I won't go as far to say they Black Knights are on par with Tenuta's Georgia Tech defense, I will say this is the best Army D we've seen in recent memory, including 9 senior starters! They've allowed a total of 3 offensive touchdowns this season, and while Matt Ryan will surely add to that total, I don't believe the Knights are simply going to roll over.

Also, consider this is a huge letdown situation if I've ever seen one. In a schedualing quirk, Boston College is coming off 3 straight ACC wins, sitting high on the hog with their 3-0 record, I wouldn't be surprised in the least if the Eagles came out flat in this one.

Bottom line, while we all expect Boston College to win this game SU, covering the hefty number is an entirely different story. The Eagles are a great offensive squad led by a guy we'll see on Sundays, but underestimate Army at your own risk, as they showed us last week they can grab the cash against the bigger names.

Take Army plus the points over Boston College in this afternoon college football match up.



2? ARMY

 

[patriots12]

Chuck Franklin Comp

Philadelphia (-140) at Washington
The Phillies are only 1 1/2 games behind the NY Mets and they are confident they will overtake first place soon. Philadelphia has won eight of the last nine games played while tonight's opponent has lost three in a row.

Kyle Kendrick will get his 10th win tonight, which will be the most wins by a rookie in the National League this season. He faces Tim Redding. Redding is 3-5 on the year and hasn't made it past the fourth inning in three of his last four starts.

Philadelphia is a very profitable 8-2 in Kendrick's last 10 starts when favored by -150 or better, while the Nationals are on a 1-7 run as an underdog at home when in this price range. Washington is a pathetic 4-13 when playing at home against a team with a winning record.

Take the Phillies with Kendrick over the Nats with Redding. Always specify the pitchers as listed.



3♦ PHILADELPHIA

 

[patriots12]

good morning Pats12..Ats Lock CLub advertized a parlay special college and pro this weekend. Do you know what it might be.Thank you:toast:

7 units Kent (-2)
7 units Buffalo (+3)
6 units Connecticut (+9)
6 units Wake Forest (-3 1/2)
5 units BYU (-11 1/2)
5 units Notre Dame (+10 1/2)

 

[METFAN]

THANK YOU PATS12.. ALOT OF THEM SEEM TO BE ON BYU AND NOTRE DAME. APPRECIATE YOUR HARD WORK:toast:

 

[patriots12]

Psychic Sports


2 units Indiana +2
2 units North Texas +7
2 units Washington +6
3 units West Virginia -24
3 units Michigan +2.5
3 units Kentucky +7
3 units Georgia +3.5

 

[patriots12]

ATS Lock Club

MLB
4 units Cleveland Indians (-135) over the Oakland A's, 7:00
4 units Colorado Rockies (+125) over the San Diego Padres, 10:00

 

[patriots12]

Spylock

5* Indiana
1* GTech -3.5
1* Wyoming -3.5

 

[jlwmd2004]

Does anyone have Mike Jacobs? He has a 75* today and he is really good with these.

 

[Digeze]

Dr Vegas

UCLA -6 over Washington

 

[mj23mg]

the real dr vegas mr 100%

 

[patriots12]

Pointwise Phones

4* Wisconsin
4* Nebraska
3* Navy
3* Toledo
3* BYU
3* Cinn

 

[patriots12]

LT Profits

Northwestern @ Ohio State u47.0 (-110)
Sat Sep 22 '07 3:30p

Both the Ohio State Buckeyes and Northwestern Wildcats have had strong Under tendencies lately, and we expect that to continue this week.
The Under is now 8-3 in the last 11 Northwestern road games, as well as 20-8-1 in their last Big Ten Conference games overall. More importantly, if the Wildcats could only manage 14 points vs. a dreadful Duke team last week, how are they going to generate any offense vs. this stout Ohio State defensive unit? Northwestern has only scored 10 and 7 points respectively in their last two meetings with the Buckeyes, and that was with a better offense than they have this year.
The Under is also 10-2 in the last 12 Ohio State home games, and the Buckeyes have allowed a total of 22 points in three games this season. Granted, shutting down Akron and Youngstown State does not mean a thing, but holding Washington to 14 points in their own stadium is a valid indicator of just how good the Ohio State defense is.
Now sure, the Buckeyes will get their share of points here, but considering that they may be the only team scoring, we do not expect them to push this game Over by themselves.

Northwestern/Ohio State Under 47




U Connecticut +9.5 (-110)
Sat Sep 22 '07 7:00p

This line between the Pittsburgh Panthers and Connecticut Huskies seems inflated to us, due to the combination of the facts that Connecticut almost lost to Temple last week while Pittsburgh almost upset Michigan State on the road.
The way we see things though, Connecticut got caught looking ahead to this game, knowing that they could sleepwalk their way to a win over the Owls. On the flip side, we feel that the Big Ten is grossly overrated, so we do not put much stock in Pittsburgh’s effort last week.
The bottom line is that Connecticut is 3-0, and we feel they will be able to control the clock with their running game here. Remember that the Huskies were in the top 20 in the country in rushing last season at 182.9 rushing yards per game, and based on the breakout game by sophomore Andre Dixon last week (129 yards on 21 carries), we look for them to have success on the ground here vs. an overrated Pittsburgh defense.
Yes, the Panthers are currently ninth in the nation in scoring defense (10 points per game) and 11th in total defense (237 yards per game), but keep in mind that before their encounter with Michigan State, their firs two games were vs. Grambling and Eastern Michigan! This assignment is significantly tougher.
When these teams hooked up in Connecticut last season, the Huskies came away with a wild 46-45 overtime victory. While we do not anticipate another shootout here, we do expect another tight contest that will not be decided until the closing minutes.

Connecticut +9

<table style="table-layout: fixed;" border="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr> <td colspan="2" class="smalltext" width="100%">
</td> </tr><tr> <td class="smalltext" id="modified_133519" valign="bottom">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[mtx]

seabastian?

 

[sportsfan12]

Anybody have Del Genio picks? 20* or 25*?

 

[patriots12]

Ben Burns

**BLOWOUT ALERT**American League ROMP!
It's a HUGE day of football but Ben Burns has also uncovered a single BEAUTY on the diamond. After reading Ben's analysis, you'll be ready to unload with confidence as this "mismatch" has all the makings of a MAJOR ROUT

Texas Rangers ML

 

[patriots12]

Lenny Stevens


TV GOM
20 Arkansas

20 Oregon
10 UNLV
10 Michigan
10 Auburn

 

[patriots12]

Marc Lawrence

False Favorite of the Month

Michigan Wolverines

 

[patriots12]

PPOD

LSU Tigers -17.5

 

[patriots12]

C-Stars Sports


1000 Units CFB Steam Roller Game Of The Year!
Navy Minus the points Over Duke

Navy is 9-4-1 ATS in games after a loss since coach Paul Johnson’s second season (2003), including 7-1 ATS against losing teams, so the Middies have a habit of taking out their frustrations on bad teams. Navy is actually 20-5 ATS in all games against losing teams the last few years while Duke is just 1-5 ATS after a victory and only 4-13 ATS under coach Roof when not an underdog of more than 14 points, including 0-9 ATS in non-conference games. Duke also applies to a negative 17-41 ATS game 4 situation that plays against teams coming off their first win of the season. Navy has won and covered the last 3 in this series including LY when they out rushed Duke 435-113. When was the last time you saw a 7 point favorite rush for 521 yards and lose the game? NEVER!!! Navy will rack up the yards again this week and will not lose. NAVY against ACC opponents 4-0 ATS past 3 years. Navy after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses 2-0 ATS in this spot past 3 years. Navy when playing against a team with a losing record 41-17 ATS since 1992.



1000 Units CFB Lock Of The Month
Tennessee Minus the points Over Arkansas State

Tennessee against Sun Belt conference opponents 1-0 ATS since 1992. When Arkansas State team played as a Road team - Playing on Saturday - Coming off a Home win 1-13 ATS in this spot. When Tennessee team played as Home team as a Favorite - During Week 1 to 4 - Playing on grass surface - Coming off a Loss over Southeastern loss opponent 13-0 SU in this spot. When Arkansas State team played as a Road team - Playing on Saturday - With 6 day off 12-30 ATS in this spot. When Tennessee team played as a Home team - Playing on grass surface - During Week 1 to 4 14-6 ATS in this spot. When Tennessee team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite - With 6 day off - Playing on Saturday 50-5 SU in this spot.



1000 Units CFB NON Conference Game Of The Month
Nebraska Minus the points Over Ball State

After suffering through a long night of being humiliated by No. 1 USC, Nebraska will be looking for a whipping boy on whom to take out some frustration. Nebraska (4-1 as a double digit home favorite last 1+Ys) to rebound strongly after being out-rushed in Lincoln 313-31 by No. 1 USC in prime time last week. Ball State is stepping way up in class (faced Mia.-O, E. Mich.& Navy), and the Falcons will be running into a focused Nebraska team that has had success as a "bully" recording a 10-3 spread record last 13 laying double digits. Ball State defense gave up 521 yds. on the ground in last week's 34-31 OT win at Navy. The Cornhuskers, who rushed for 413 yards in season-opener against Nevada, will do similar damage. Also Ball State lost two of there starters last week injured out for the season. Ball State against Big 12 conference opponents 0-5 ATS since 1992.




50 Units Virginia +3.5 Over Georgia Tech

When Virginia team played as a Home team - Playing on grass surface - vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 9-2 ATS in this spot. When Virginia team played as a Home team - Last 5 years - During Week 1 to 4 8-2 ATS in this spot. When Virginia team played as Home team as a Underdog - Last 5 years - Playing on Saturday 11-1 ATS in this spot. When Virginia team played as a Home team - Last 4 years - Playing on grass surface 20-5 ATS in this spot.



50 Units Notre Dame Plus the points Over Michigan State

Michigan State when playing against a team with a losing record 0-4 ATS the past 3 years. Michigan State as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14 points 0-2 ATS in this spot since 1992. When Michigan State team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite - Playing on Saturday - With 6 day off - Coming off a win on artificial 3-8 ATS in this spot. When Michigan State team played as a Road team - Total is between 41.5 to 44 - Playing on Saturday 0-4 ATS in this spot. When Notre Dame team played as Home team as a Underdog - Playing on Saturday - During Week 1 to 4 5-0 ATS in this spot. When Notre Dame team played as Home team as a Underdog - Playing on grass surface - During the month of September 5-1 ATS in this spot. When Notre Dame team played as Home team as a Underdog - Vs Non Conference Opponent - During Week 1 to 4 5-0 ATS in this spot.



50 Units Georgia/Alabama Under the total

GEORGIA in September games 7-22 O/U in this spot since 1992. ALABAMA in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 1-5 O/U in the past 3 years in this spot. When Georgia played as Home or Away Team- in the month of September 4-20 O/U in this spot. When Georgia played as Road Team- in the month of September 0-10 O/U in this spot. When Alabama team played as Home team as a Favorite - Playing on Saturday - With 6 day off - Coming off a win on grass 5-13 O/U in this spot. When Georgia team played as a Road team - Vs Division Opponent - During the month of September 0-10 O/U in this spot. When Georgia team played as a Road team - Vs Division Opponent - During Week 1 to 4 0-7 O/U in this spot.


50 Units Georgia Tech/Virginia Under the total

VIRGINIA against conference opponents 3-13 O/U in this spot past 3 years. Virginia as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points 1-5 O/U in this spot since 1992. When Georgia Tech team played as a Road team - Last 5 years - Coming off a Loss over Atlantic Coast opponent 2-9 O/U in this spot. When Virginia team played as Home team as a Underdog - Playing on Saturday - Playing on grass surface - Scored 21 points or more FOR in their last game 3-12 O/U in this spot. When Virginia team played as a Home team - Playing on grass surface - Scored 22 - 28 POINTS FOR in their last game 2-8 O/U in this spot. When Georgia Tech team played as a Road team - Playing on grass surface - Last 5 years 8-20 O/U in this spot. When Georgia Tech team played as a Road team - With 6 day off - Last 5 years 3-13 O/U

 

[patriots12]

Northcoast

TV play of the day
Wash Huskies