Brandon Lang
diehard here it is
Brandon Lang
THURSDAY
15 DIME
West Virginia - (If your man has 17 1/2 when you go to put this in you buy the half and only lay -17. Don't ever, I repeat, don't you EVER get beat by the hook. Only lay 17.
5 DIME
Reds - Specify Pitchers - Wells vs Harang - (I handicapped this game with an overnight line of -130. This morning it came out at -180/-190. I would never play a favorite of that price and haven't all year. If I did I would lay -1 1/2 runs.)
Rockies - Specify Pitchers - Francis vs Durbin
Angels -1 1/2 runs - Specify Pitchers - Lackey vs Leicester
Free Pick - Padres and Air Force - (For analysis see Daily video)
Note:
Ok, lets get after it again tonight.
Once again we are building towards a great weekend. That is what this business is about. Building.
Winning days build winning weeks build winning months build winning years.
I have won 2 days in a row and 5 of the last 6.
I have won 3 straight weeks.
I have won 6 of the last 8 weeks.
I have won 5 of 8 months this year.
People, just go all in, sit back and relax and watch me do what I have always done since I started doing this for a living, win longterm.
It really is that simple. When you approach this business with a longterm gameplan, you understand what it takes to win longterm.
When you understand how to navigate a 7 day week, work your way thru it, never hitting the panic button no matter how bad it looks, trusting your money management, you can win over a long extended period of time.
No secret here. I don't chase when I am down, if it is a bad week, I pay my man, tell him don't spend it all in one place because I will be back to get it in 7 days.
Simple as that. No matter what happens, I never compromise my discipline for anything on this planet because I know what I do is successfull.
Folks, trust me when I tell you this is going to be a great year. Seriously, I can feel these things. Been at this way too long not to know.
Get on board longterm. Join my team longterm. Become part of the B.Lang family. You will be glad you did.
In the meantime, let's make it a 3rd straight winning day and 6 of the last 7. Rolling baby, rolling. Let's keep the roll going tonight.
WEST VIRGINIA
Ok, I know they played a very sluggish first half at Marshall. Very sluggish.
However, this is primetime on Thursday night against a Maryland team that has no offense.
I mean, when you start having to punt 10 times against the Florida Internationals of the world, you are in trouble before the game starts.
Bottom line is Maryland has no offense and they are going to have to keep up in this game to cover this number.
Personally, I don't trust them in this spot and in my opinion, West Virginia is without question the right side of this game.
I mean, so they were sluggish against Marshall, but they still put up 48 points and over 500 yards total offense.
You add that with the 62 points and 542 yards at home to Western Michigan and this is a go with team or you don't go with them at all.
My point is, they are so explosive, you can't go against them regardless of the number when they are playing a team like Maryland who struggled as they did against Florida Atlantic.
You finally throw in the fact that West Virginia under Rodriquez is 9-2-1 ATS last 12 on the road and it is here you find value and the reason why they have that 9-2-1 ATS mark.
I am laying this number and calling for a 3 touchdown winner and just like last year, we may have to sweat a backdoor but nothing you can do about that.
Right side is West Virginia and I am on them here.
REDS - (As I mentioned at the top, this was a play at -130 which is the value I was talking about in the following analysis. I would never lay -180/-190. Havent all year. I would lay -1 1/2 runs before I laid a big number like I saw today.)
If Kip Wells beat Harang tonight, so be it. I personally don't see that happening.
Harang bounced back from his horrific start against the Mets, a game I used him and a game he gave u 6 runs in 6 innings of a blowout loss.
He came back his next start and went 7 solid innings of 2 run ball in a no decision against the Brewers.
He comes in here at 14-4 on the year with a respectable 3.64 ERA including a 7-3 mark at home.
Wells is not only 3-9 on the highway this year but 5-16 overall and 0-4 his last 5 versus the Reds.
Great price and great spot for Harang and I will gladly lay it and call for the Reds to roll.
Make Harang 15-4 after tonight.
ROCKIES
You beat the guy who was 6-0 at home like the Rockies did last night and truthfully, I like their chances to beat Durbin tonight.
Over his last 2 starts, Durbin has given up 9 runs in 4 innings going 0-2. Not exactly confidence building numbers now is it.
Francis has had a nice year at 15-7 including a strong 8-3 road mark with a 3.77 ERA. Pretty solid there folks.
Over his last 3 starts Francis is 2-1 allowing 5 runs in 23 innings. He will be solid again tonight.
Phillies, just like last year, are falling fast because they have no bullpen and they have no manager. What can I say, Charlie Manuel is horrible.
I am backing the Rockies tonight.
ANGELS -1 1/2 RUNS
They are beating this Orioles pitching staff as if they were little leaguers.
Angels are in the go zone here folks and the Orioles and this horrible pitching staff isn't about to slow them down.
After shredding the Orioles 10-5 in game one of the series, they hammered them 18-6 last night for a 28-11 run.
Tonight they send Lackey to the hill, who in his last road start, he shutout the Mariners with a complete game win.
Angels get their 7th straight road win tonight and they get the sweep of the Orioles along with it.
Angels roll large.
PADRES FREE PICK
Listen, pretty simple pick here.
Maddux has won 2 in a row, it should be 3 in a row and he has beaten the Dodgers 4 in a row.
He has allowed no more than 2 runs against them his last 4 and in his last 3 starts he has allowed just 1, 2 and 1 run.
He is on fire and I will gladly make them a free pick winner.