Jim Feist
A couple of weak pitching staffs take the mound as the temperature heats up in the northeast! Kansas City Kyle Davies comes over from the Braves and he's 4-8 with a 5.76 ERA. His control is terrible, walking 44 in 86 innings. You can't walk this deep and red-hot NY lineup. The Yankees are tops in the AL in runs and home runs. NY's middle relief is poor and they have to go with Phillip Hughes, making his first start in several months after leg injuries. Look for plenty of offense in the Bronx! Play the Royals/Yankees over the total.
A couple of weak pitching staffs take the mound as the temperature heats up in the northeast! Kansas City Kyle Davies comes over from the Braves and he's 4-8 with a 5.76 ERA. His control is terrible, walking 44 in 86 innings. You can't walk this deep and red-hot NY lineup. The Yankees are tops in the AL in runs and home runs. NY's middle relief is poor and they have to go with Phillip Hughes, making his first start in several months after leg injuries. Look for plenty of offense in the Bronx! Play the Royals/Yankees over the total.
Sports Gambling Hotline
NY Mets (+105) at CUBS
Late day today at Wrigley and we will back the Mets to continue their recent nice road play with the win over the Cubbies once again.
New York has won their last 3, and 5 of their last 7, and starter John Maine has been the "stopper" on the road for Willie Randolph's cluc, as Maine is 7-1 on the road this season with a 2.59 ERA.
Ted Lilly has been having an outstanding campaign, but our feeling is this career journeyman has been overachieving, and he did get touched up in his last start against the Phillies, as Philadelphia hung the loss on him as Lillly lasted only 5 innings and allowed 4 runs to score.
The Mets have won 4 of the 5 season series meetings this year, and are 3-1 their last 4 at Wrigley Field.
Play on the Metropolitans today.
3♦ METS
NY Mets (+105) at CUBS
Late day today at Wrigley and we will back the Mets to continue their recent nice road play with the win over the Cubbies once again.
New York has won their last 3, and 5 of their last 7, and starter John Maine has been the "stopper" on the road for Willie Randolph's cluc, as Maine is 7-1 on the road this season with a 2.59 ERA.
Ted Lilly has been having an outstanding campaign, but our feeling is this career journeyman has been overachieving, and he did get touched up in his last start against the Phillies, as Philadelphia hung the loss on him as Lillly lasted only 5 innings and allowed 4 runs to score.
The Mets have won 4 of the 5 season series meetings this year, and are 3-1 their last 4 at Wrigley Field.
Play on the Metropolitans today.
3♦ METS
Dave Cokin
Take "(958) PIT Pirates"
I have no idea why the Pirates went after Matt Morris, but the veteran righty is probably delighted to be out of San Francisco. Morris had referred to Barry Bonds as the worst teammate he'd ever had, which certainly punched his ticket out of town. In any event, Morris loves to pitch at PNC where he sports a spotless 6-0 ledger with a terrific ERA. I think he's going to be fired up to pitch well in his debut for the Bucs and I'm willing to take my chances against overachieving Bobby Livingston. The Pirates are the choice.
Take "(958) PIT Pirates"
I have no idea why the Pirates went after Matt Morris, but the veteran righty is probably delighted to be out of San Francisco. Morris had referred to Barry Bonds as the worst teammate he'd ever had, which certainly punched his ticket out of town. In any event, Morris loves to pitch at PNC where he sports a spotless 6-0 ledger with a terrific ERA. I think he's going to be fired up to pitch well in his debut for the Bucs and I'm willing to take my chances against overachieving Bobby Livingston. The Pirates are the choice.
John Ryan
Arizona D-Backs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) - Aug 4, 2007 10:10 PM EDT
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Dodgers - Arizona has been hot � hot only in the win column and quite frankly that is what counts. But, I do believe they have had this winning streak among numerous mirrors and bit of smoke if you know what I mean. They are batting just 221 with a 292 OBP over their past 7 games and only 247 for the season. Although the bullpen sports a 4-0 record over their past 7 games they have also been lucky while sporting a 5.40 ERA. LAD batting 280 at home and 276 on the season. LAD bullpen has been great at home and even better in divisional games sporting a 2.88 ERA and 1.209 WHIP. The offense does not strike out much and the bullpen gets a high amount of strike outs � a very good combination and recipe that will serve them well down the stretch. Hernandez has had some real problems in his last 3 starts sporting a 7.72 ERA and 1.96 WHIP. Derek Lowe had been struggling , but regained his top level form in his last start. In that start against Houston he gave up just 1 ER. ARIZONA is 65-101 (-53.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. Arizona is 1-9 when installed as an underdog of +150 or more. Arizona has been red hot, but let's not forget that August has been the Dodgers month. They sport a 22-8 mark in August games with Little at the Helm.
Take the Dodgers.
Arizona D-Backs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) - Aug 4, 2007 10:10 PM EDT
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Dodgers - Arizona has been hot � hot only in the win column and quite frankly that is what counts. But, I do believe they have had this winning streak among numerous mirrors and bit of smoke if you know what I mean. They are batting just 221 with a 292 OBP over their past 7 games and only 247 for the season. Although the bullpen sports a 4-0 record over their past 7 games they have also been lucky while sporting a 5.40 ERA. LAD batting 280 at home and 276 on the season. LAD bullpen has been great at home and even better in divisional games sporting a 2.88 ERA and 1.209 WHIP. The offense does not strike out much and the bullpen gets a high amount of strike outs � a very good combination and recipe that will serve them well down the stretch. Hernandez has had some real problems in his last 3 starts sporting a 7.72 ERA and 1.96 WHIP. Derek Lowe had been struggling , but regained his top level form in his last start. In that start against Houston he gave up just 1 ER. ARIZONA is 65-101 (-53.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. Arizona is 1-9 when installed as an underdog of +150 or more. Arizona has been red hot, but let's not forget that August has been the Dodgers month. They sport a 22-8 mark in August games with Little at the Helm.
Take the Dodgers.
SCOTT SPREITZER ( Take it for what it is. TKO GOM first preseason game)
NFL PRESEASON TKO GAME OF THE MONTH!
(261) NO Saints vs (262) PIT Steelers
Game Starts at August 05 2007 17:00 EST
Take (262) PIT Steelers
I'm laying the short number with the Steelers on Sunday. New Orleans has already gone on record that this game will basically be nothing more than an audition for several players trying to make the roster. We already saw last season that HC Sean Payton doesn't put a lot of credence into winning preseason games. After winning in week one, the Saints lost the remainder of their preseason tilts by an average score of 22-10. Meanwhile, not only is Pittsburgh looking to get back to the postseason after missing out last year, but they have a new HC looking to develop team-confidence out of the gate. Look for the Steelers, in several great preseason situations, to come away with a decent-sized, Hall of Fame covering victory on Sunday. The Steelers are our TKO GOM.
NFL PRESEASON TKO GAME OF THE MONTH!
(261) NO Saints vs (262) PIT Steelers
Game Starts at August 05 2007 17:00 EST
Take (262) PIT Steelers
I'm laying the short number with the Steelers on Sunday. New Orleans has already gone on record that this game will basically be nothing more than an audition for several players trying to make the roster. We already saw last season that HC Sean Payton doesn't put a lot of credence into winning preseason games. After winning in week one, the Saints lost the remainder of their preseason tilts by an average score of 22-10. Meanwhile, not only is Pittsburgh looking to get back to the postseason after missing out last year, but they have a new HC looking to develop team-confidence out of the gate. Look for the Steelers, in several great preseason situations, to come away with a decent-sized, Hall of Fame covering victory on Sunday. The Steelers are our TKO GOM.
Michael Cannon
15 Dime
PADRES (With Misch and Hensley as listed pitchers)
Let’s stick with the Padres tonight over the Giants.
I had the Padres last night as a 20 Dime winner and I see no reason not to side with them again tonight.
Clay Hensley will start for San Diego and he’s making his first start since May 2, but he’s had three successful appearances out of the bullpen and I believe he’ll be able to get the job done tonight.
San Francisco will counter with Patrick Misch, who is making his first career start. The right-hander was tagged for three runs and three hits in two innings of a 12-1 loss to the Cubs on July 18 in his most recent appearance. He was optioned to Triple-A the next day.
The Giants have become a side show for the Barry Bonds homerun chase and it seems like they don’t even mind playing that role. The Padres, on the other hand, have a division title to play for and I expect them to win these kinds of games at home.
Take San Diego as they grab the home win.
5 Dime –
ANGELS (With Escobar as listed pitcher)
Take the Angels for the road win over the A’s.
I know Los Angeles hasn’t had much success against Oakland this year, but I like them to turn it around with a win today behind Kelvim Escobar.
The right-hander has pitched well but hasn’t had any run support over his last two starts. Still, he’s 5-2 over his last 10 starts so it’s not like he forgot how to win.
Escobar is 3-0 with a 4.54 ERA in six career starts at Oakland.
The A’s will counter with Joe Blanton and he’s been getting hammered lately. The right-hander is 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA over his last five starts while allowing the opposition to hit .361. Blanton has also found it tough to get results against the Angels, going 1-6 with a 3.93 ERA in 12 career games against them.
Take the Angels as they grab the road win.
WHITE SOX (With Vazquez and Bonderman as listed pitchers)
Take the White Sox as the road dog for the win.
The Tigers are in a free-fall right now and it’s a perfect opportunity to cash in against them with the White Sox.
Detroit has lost nine of 11 and has scored just nine runs over its last three games. They will start Jeremy Bonderman tonight and he’s been getting hit hard over his last few starts.
The right-hander has given up 16 runs in his last two outings, spanning just 9 1-3 innings.
The White Sox have won seven of 11 overall and two straight on the road.
Javier Vazquez will start and he’s been money for the Sox recently, despite losing his first start since June 11 his last time out. Prior to that, the right-hander was 5-0 with a 2.60 ERA in his previous seven starts.
Take the White Sox as they grab the road win.
<table style="table-layout: fixed;" border="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" class="smalltext" width="100%">
</td></tr></tbody></table>
15 Dime
PADRES (With Misch and Hensley as listed pitchers)
Let’s stick with the Padres tonight over the Giants.
I had the Padres last night as a 20 Dime winner and I see no reason not to side with them again tonight.
Clay Hensley will start for San Diego and he’s making his first start since May 2, but he’s had three successful appearances out of the bullpen and I believe he’ll be able to get the job done tonight.
San Francisco will counter with Patrick Misch, who is making his first career start. The right-hander was tagged for three runs and three hits in two innings of a 12-1 loss to the Cubs on July 18 in his most recent appearance. He was optioned to Triple-A the next day.
The Giants have become a side show for the Barry Bonds homerun chase and it seems like they don’t even mind playing that role. The Padres, on the other hand, have a division title to play for and I expect them to win these kinds of games at home.
Take San Diego as they grab the home win.
5 Dime –
ANGELS (With Escobar as listed pitcher)
Take the Angels for the road win over the A’s.
I know Los Angeles hasn’t had much success against Oakland this year, but I like them to turn it around with a win today behind Kelvim Escobar.
The right-hander has pitched well but hasn’t had any run support over his last two starts. Still, he’s 5-2 over his last 10 starts so it’s not like he forgot how to win.
Escobar is 3-0 with a 4.54 ERA in six career starts at Oakland.
The A’s will counter with Joe Blanton and he’s been getting hammered lately. The right-hander is 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA over his last five starts while allowing the opposition to hit .361. Blanton has also found it tough to get results against the Angels, going 1-6 with a 3.93 ERA in 12 career games against them.
Take the Angels as they grab the road win.
WHITE SOX (With Vazquez and Bonderman as listed pitchers)
Take the White Sox as the road dog for the win.
The Tigers are in a free-fall right now and it’s a perfect opportunity to cash in against them with the White Sox.
Detroit has lost nine of 11 and has scored just nine runs over its last three games. They will start Jeremy Bonderman tonight and he’s been getting hit hard over his last few starts.
The right-hander has given up 16 runs in his last two outings, spanning just 9 1-3 innings.
The White Sox have won seven of 11 overall and two straight on the road.
Javier Vazquez will start and he’s been money for the Sox recently, despite losing his first start since June 11 his last time out. Prior to that, the right-hander was 5-0 with a 2.60 ERA in his previous seven starts.
Take the White Sox as they grab the road win.
</td></tr></tbody></table>
John Ryan
10* NL Game of the Year
Game: Houston Astros at Florida Marlins Aug 4 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: Florida Marlins
Reason: Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Florida - This is a play that ranks among the top-25 strongest graded plays ever produced by my Ai Simulator. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 45-18 and has made 27.7 units since 2001. Play on home teams with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings. The grading is the final result of the AiS. The slight differences in the probabilities of ATS and SU wins are only shown as just 1 example of the many modules involved in the neural net. Differing probabilities do not make one play stronger than another. Remember always that the reason we are making this play is due to the AiS grading. The supplemental info, angles, and systems serve only to reinforce the grading. Jason Jennings is coming off his worst start of his career and one of the worst in MLB history. At home he went 0.7 innings and yielded 11 ER on 8 hits with 2 HR and 3 BB with NO Ks. Not something you get over in a few days. Mitre has had some problems of his own, but he is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.750. JENNINGS is 9-25 (-15.5 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JENNINGS is 0-8 (-8.6 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Houston is batting just 242 with a 310 OBP over the past 7 games and the bullpen - well they are stinking it up quite a bit of late. The Houston bullpen sports a 5.85 ERA and a 1.577 WHIP over their past 7 games. They also have not been good all season with a 5.02 ERA. Florida bats heating up too hitting 287 over their past 7 games.
<!-- / message --><!-- controls -->
10* NL Game of the Year
Game: Houston Astros at Florida Marlins Aug 4 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: Florida Marlins
Reason: Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Florida - This is a play that ranks among the top-25 strongest graded plays ever produced by my Ai Simulator. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 45-18 and has made 27.7 units since 2001. Play on home teams with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings. The grading is the final result of the AiS. The slight differences in the probabilities of ATS and SU wins are only shown as just 1 example of the many modules involved in the neural net. Differing probabilities do not make one play stronger than another. Remember always that the reason we are making this play is due to the AiS grading. The supplemental info, angles, and systems serve only to reinforce the grading. Jason Jennings is coming off his worst start of his career and one of the worst in MLB history. At home he went 0.7 innings and yielded 11 ER on 8 hits with 2 HR and 3 BB with NO Ks. Not something you get over in a few days. Mitre has had some problems of his own, but he is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.750. JENNINGS is 9-25 (-15.5 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JENNINGS is 0-8 (-8.6 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Houston is batting just 242 with a 310 OBP over the past 7 games and the bullpen - well they are stinking it up quite a bit of late. The Houston bullpen sports a 5.85 ERA and a 1.577 WHIP over their past 7 games. They also have not been good all season with a 5.02 ERA. Florida bats heating up too hitting 287 over their past 7 games.
<!-- / message --><!-- controls -->
LARRY COOK / INFO PLAYS
3* on Florida -150
(Listing Jennings and Mitre)
Sergio Mitre has been the most consistent starter all year for the Marlins. Mitre has just a 3.47 ERA in over 111 innings of work. Jason Jennings is one of the worst starters in the league for the Astros, expecially recently. Jennings is 1-2 with a 16.20 ERA in his last 3 starts for Houston. He is 2-7 on the season with a 6.03 ERA. The Astros are 6-14 in their last 20 games as an underdog. The Astros are 1-6 in Jennings' last 7 starts. The Marlins are 10-3 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Bet Florida today.
3* on Florida -150
(Listing Jennings and Mitre)
Sergio Mitre has been the most consistent starter all year for the Marlins. Mitre has just a 3.47 ERA in over 111 innings of work. Jason Jennings is one of the worst starters in the league for the Astros, expecially recently. Jennings is 1-2 with a 16.20 ERA in his last 3 starts for Houston. He is 2-7 on the season with a 6.03 ERA. The Astros are 6-14 in their last 20 games as an underdog. The Astros are 1-6 in Jennings' last 7 starts. The Marlins are 10-3 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Bet Florida today.
