SCOTT SPREITZER
SUNDAY NIGHT WINNER
SEAHAWKS V. CHARGERS!
(289) SEA Seahawks vs (290) SDG Chargers
Game Starts at August 12 2007 17:00 EST
Take (290) SDG Chargers
I'm laying the points with the Chargers on Sunday night. It's not often I will lay this many in the NFL, but the QB rotations, among a few other intangibles fall in favor of San Diego. First of all, Matt Hasselbeck was cleared to play, but will only be in this one for one or two series, giving way to Seneca Wallace. While Wallace is a veteran who understands this system, the Seahawks will be at a huge disadvantage once he leaves. Defensively, Seattle will be testing new looks and schemes on defense which will make life a little tougher when it comes to stopping SDG. The Chargers will go with Philip Rivers and the starters (sans L. Tomlinson) for the entire first quarter. Following Rivers will be the capable Billy Volek, who will play for at least two quarters, along with the second string. A half of football is quite a long time for second-stringers to play in a week-one, preseason affair. Second-year pro Charlie Whitehurst will finish the fourth. It's a team that seems to be bent on winning out of the blocks for Norv Turner. And I expect the Charger passing game to perform well against a new, revamped Seahawk secondary. We'll lay it with the Chargers on Sunday night.
MLB
MLB MOUND MISMATCH GAME OF THE WEEK!
(953) SDG Padres vs (954) CIN Reds
Game Starts at August 12 2007 10:15 EST
Take (953) SD Padres
I'm laying the price with the Padres on Sunday afternoon. Jake Peavy continues to roll and has received very little resistance both against the Reds overall, and in this park. The righthander is 4-0 in seven starts against Cinci with a 1.99 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. He's 2-0 in three starts at Great American where he's allowed just six earned runs and 22 base runners in 18 2/3 IP. That's a strong, 2.89 ERA & 1.18 WHIP. By the way, he's also been outstanding in day action. That's not the case for Bronson Arroyo who has been lit up on a consistent basis when pitching under the sun. Arroyo is 1-4 in five day starts, getting slammed for a 5.17 ERA and a horrible, .325 BAA. Look for the Pads to handle the righty, giving Peavy more than enough support. The Padres are my 4* Hammer.
SUNDAY NIGHT MLB BAILOUT BEATDOWN!
(979) TAM Devil Rays vs (980) TEX Rangers
Game Starts at August 12 2007 17:35 EST
Take (980) TEX Rangers
I'm laying the price with the Rangers on Sunday night. Tampa Bay righty Jason Hammel has made seven appearances this season, two of which were starts. In those two trips to the bump, the 24-year old has been popped for seven earned runs and 16 base runners, lasting just seven full innings. That's a pathetic, 9.00 ERA & 2.29 WHIP. In his seven overall appearances, Hammel has allowed a hefty, .359 BAA. That's good news for us when you consider Texas clocks righties in home night games for 5.6 RPG. That should be more than enough for Texas lefty Kason Gabbard. The youngster is now a perfect 5-0 in home starts, including his lone home outing thus far with the Rangers. We'll back Texas on Sunday night, our Bailout Beatdown.
Larry Ness
Las Vegas Insider-MLB (62% winners since May 21!)
My Las Vegas Insider is on the Det Tigers at 1:05 ET. Detroit's 5-2 win on Saturday was just its fifth in 19 games but combined with Cleveland's 11-2 loss to the Yankees, it moved the Tigers within one-half game of the AL Central-leading Indians. The Tigers are lucky to be in this position and I look for them to easily take care of the A's in this one. The A's have typically been one of MLB's best second-half teams but that hasn't been the case in '07, as Oakland is just 12-17 since the break. It doesn't help the A's that rookie Dallas Braden will take the mound, as he is still looking for his first win in nearly four months. He hasn't won in 11 appearances (eight starts), since he was victorious in his major league debut on April 24 against Baltimore. His ERA is 5.71 in those eight starts, although the left-hander has pitched better in the five starts since rejoining Oakland's rotation on July 16 (0-3 with a 4.28 ERA). That being said, Detroit is 22-12 (plus-$965) vs left-handed starters this year, averaging 5.9 RPG. Detroit will go with Nate Roberston, who's been a disappointment at 6-9 with a 5.03 ERA in 20 starts (team is 7-13). However, Robertson has allowed just three ERs in each of his last two starts and in his last outing, had nine Ks with no walks.
Las Vegas Insider
Detroit Tigers
15* Pitching Mismatch of the Week (5-1 this week and now 88-31 TY!)
My 15* play is on the SD Padres at 1:15 ET. San Diego's had a great one-two punch this year, as Chris Young leads the majors in home ERA (0.73) and Jake Peavy leads in road ERA (0.89). You read that right! In nine road starts this season, Peavy is 6-0 (team is 7-2) while allowing just 33 hits and a mere six ERs in 61 innings (opponents have hit just .156)! He leads the NL with 159 strikeouts and has not given up a run in 19 consecutive innings since allowing one in the first inning of a 9-4 win at Houston on July 27. In winning his last three starts (two on the road and one at home), Peavy has yielded just 10 hits, five walks and one ER while striking out 23 (0.45 ERA). He's dominated no division this season more than the NL Central, with a 5-0 record and 0.90 ERA in six starts. The only start he didn't win came against Cincinnati on May 16, overcoming a two-run first inning to hold the Reds scoreless over the next six before the Padres won it in the ninth, 3-2. However, San Diego has won all seven starts Peavy has made against the Reds in his career, as he's gone 4-0 with a 1.99 ERA. The Reds' Bronson Arroyo has pitched better as of late but after back-to-back 14-win seasons, his 5-12, 4.51 mark in '07 makes him no match for Peavy. The Reds almost NEVER win with him on the road (2-11) but are 6-5 in his home starts. However, a closer look shows that his road ERA (4.39) is actually lower than his home ERA (4.66).
Pitching Mismatch of the Week
15* San Diego Padres
BEN BURNS
Personal Favorite
Texas Rangers
Blue Chip Total
Over Philly/Braves
Game of the Month
Cleveland Indians
SUNDAY NIGHT WINNER
SEAHAWKS V. CHARGERS!
(289) SEA Seahawks vs (290) SDG Chargers
Game Starts at August 12 2007 17:00 EST
Take (290) SDG Chargers
I'm laying the points with the Chargers on Sunday night. It's not often I will lay this many in the NFL, but the QB rotations, among a few other intangibles fall in favor of San Diego. First of all, Matt Hasselbeck was cleared to play, but will only be in this one for one or two series, giving way to Seneca Wallace. While Wallace is a veteran who understands this system, the Seahawks will be at a huge disadvantage once he leaves. Defensively, Seattle will be testing new looks and schemes on defense which will make life a little tougher when it comes to stopping SDG. The Chargers will go with Philip Rivers and the starters (sans L. Tomlinson) for the entire first quarter. Following Rivers will be the capable Billy Volek, who will play for at least two quarters, along with the second string. A half of football is quite a long time for second-stringers to play in a week-one, preseason affair. Second-year pro Charlie Whitehurst will finish the fourth. It's a team that seems to be bent on winning out of the blocks for Norv Turner. And I expect the Charger passing game to perform well against a new, revamped Seahawk secondary. We'll lay it with the Chargers on Sunday night.
MLB
MLB MOUND MISMATCH GAME OF THE WEEK!
(953) SDG Padres vs (954) CIN Reds
Game Starts at August 12 2007 10:15 EST
Take (953) SD Padres
I'm laying the price with the Padres on Sunday afternoon. Jake Peavy continues to roll and has received very little resistance both against the Reds overall, and in this park. The righthander is 4-0 in seven starts against Cinci with a 1.99 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. He's 2-0 in three starts at Great American where he's allowed just six earned runs and 22 base runners in 18 2/3 IP. That's a strong, 2.89 ERA & 1.18 WHIP. By the way, he's also been outstanding in day action. That's not the case for Bronson Arroyo who has been lit up on a consistent basis when pitching under the sun. Arroyo is 1-4 in five day starts, getting slammed for a 5.17 ERA and a horrible, .325 BAA. Look for the Pads to handle the righty, giving Peavy more than enough support. The Padres are my 4* Hammer.
SUNDAY NIGHT MLB BAILOUT BEATDOWN!
(979) TAM Devil Rays vs (980) TEX Rangers
Game Starts at August 12 2007 17:35 EST
Take (980) TEX Rangers
I'm laying the price with the Rangers on Sunday night. Tampa Bay righty Jason Hammel has made seven appearances this season, two of which were starts. In those two trips to the bump, the 24-year old has been popped for seven earned runs and 16 base runners, lasting just seven full innings. That's a pathetic, 9.00 ERA & 2.29 WHIP. In his seven overall appearances, Hammel has allowed a hefty, .359 BAA. That's good news for us when you consider Texas clocks righties in home night games for 5.6 RPG. That should be more than enough for Texas lefty Kason Gabbard. The youngster is now a perfect 5-0 in home starts, including his lone home outing thus far with the Rangers. We'll back Texas on Sunday night, our Bailout Beatdown.
Larry Ness
Las Vegas Insider-MLB (62% winners since May 21!)
My Las Vegas Insider is on the Det Tigers at 1:05 ET. Detroit's 5-2 win on Saturday was just its fifth in 19 games but combined with Cleveland's 11-2 loss to the Yankees, it moved the Tigers within one-half game of the AL Central-leading Indians. The Tigers are lucky to be in this position and I look for them to easily take care of the A's in this one. The A's have typically been one of MLB's best second-half teams but that hasn't been the case in '07, as Oakland is just 12-17 since the break. It doesn't help the A's that rookie Dallas Braden will take the mound, as he is still looking for his first win in nearly four months. He hasn't won in 11 appearances (eight starts), since he was victorious in his major league debut on April 24 against Baltimore. His ERA is 5.71 in those eight starts, although the left-hander has pitched better in the five starts since rejoining Oakland's rotation on July 16 (0-3 with a 4.28 ERA). That being said, Detroit is 22-12 (plus-$965) vs left-handed starters this year, averaging 5.9 RPG. Detroit will go with Nate Roberston, who's been a disappointment at 6-9 with a 5.03 ERA in 20 starts (team is 7-13). However, Robertson has allowed just three ERs in each of his last two starts and in his last outing, had nine Ks with no walks.
Las Vegas Insider
Detroit Tigers
15* Pitching Mismatch of the Week (5-1 this week and now 88-31 TY!)
My 15* play is on the SD Padres at 1:15 ET. San Diego's had a great one-two punch this year, as Chris Young leads the majors in home ERA (0.73) and Jake Peavy leads in road ERA (0.89). You read that right! In nine road starts this season, Peavy is 6-0 (team is 7-2) while allowing just 33 hits and a mere six ERs in 61 innings (opponents have hit just .156)! He leads the NL with 159 strikeouts and has not given up a run in 19 consecutive innings since allowing one in the first inning of a 9-4 win at Houston on July 27. In winning his last three starts (two on the road and one at home), Peavy has yielded just 10 hits, five walks and one ER while striking out 23 (0.45 ERA). He's dominated no division this season more than the NL Central, with a 5-0 record and 0.90 ERA in six starts. The only start he didn't win came against Cincinnati on May 16, overcoming a two-run first inning to hold the Reds scoreless over the next six before the Padres won it in the ninth, 3-2. However, San Diego has won all seven starts Peavy has made against the Reds in his career, as he's gone 4-0 with a 1.99 ERA. The Reds' Bronson Arroyo has pitched better as of late but after back-to-back 14-win seasons, his 5-12, 4.51 mark in '07 makes him no match for Peavy. The Reds almost NEVER win with him on the road (2-11) but are 6-5 in his home starts. However, a closer look shows that his road ERA (4.39) is actually lower than his home ERA (4.66).
Pitching Mismatch of the Week
15* San Diego Padres
BEN BURNS
Personal Favorite
Texas Rangers
Blue Chip Total
Over Philly/Braves
Game of the Month
Cleveland Indians
