Season win totals out in Reno, here they are..

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Major League Baseball win totals released


By DAVID PAYNE PURDUM


david-payne.gif




The first set of Major League Baseball win totals hit the market Tuesday night, roughly eight weeks before Opening Day.

For the sixth straight year, Steve Mikkelson, sportsbook manager at that Atlantis casino in Reno, Nev., is first up with MLB season win totals. After some heavy prep and reading, Mikkelson, a lifelong, diehard baseball fan, posted projected win totals on all 30 MLB teams at approximately 5:30 p.m. PT.

"I always feel like baseball gets short-changed at sportsbooks," Mikkelson told Covers.com in a phone interview Tuesday night. "So, being a huge baseball fan, I like getting them up and being first."

The Philadelphia Phillies are set at 95.5 wins, the highest total of any team. The Houston Astros were listed at 62.5, the lowest of any team.

“My real win total on the Astros would have been like 57.5,” Mikkelson said. “But I can’t post that, so I had to go with 62.5. I would bet, when all the numbers come out, I believe that number will be closer to 66 than 62.”

In the American League, Mikkelson favors Prince Fielder and the Detroit Tigers with 94.5 wins in the AL Central; the Texas Rangers (94.5) in the AL West, and the New York Yankees (93.5) in the AL East.

In the National League, the defending champion St. Louis Cardinals (87.5) are the favorites in the NL Central. The San Francisco Giants at 87.5 are the favorites in the NL West, and, of course, the Phillies in the NL East.

The Toronto Blue Jays, at 81 wins, are the only team that Mikkelson didn’t tack on a half-game to their total.

“The reason for that is I really think they’re going to be .500,” said Mikkelson. “I looked at 80.5 and said, ‘I’d bet the over, and at 81.5, I’d bet the under.’”

The Atlanta Braves also forced Mikkelson some grief.

“Everything I read from everyone expects the Braves to be a lot worse this year. A lot of folks said they’re in the 80 to 82 range,” said Mikkelson, who set the Braves win total at 86.5. “But I like the Braves and think they have a solid team.”

The Washington Nationals saw the biggest increase in projected wins, according to Mikkelson.

“I underestimated them last year, but they played a lot better,” said Mikkelson. “Last year, I think I had the Nationals right at 70 wins; this year, I’ve got them at 80.5”

In addition to the season win totals, Mikkelson released season prop bets including:

--Total number of no-hitters 2.5
--Highest batting average .348
--Highest win total for team – 98
--Highest loss total for team – 101.5

Limits are $500. Teams must play a minimum of 160 regular season games for action.

2012 Major League Baseball Season Win Totals

(Odds courtesy Atlantis Casino sportsbook, Reno, Nev.)

Arizona Diamondbacks 84.5
Atlanta Braves 86.5
Baltimore Orioles 70.5
Boston Red Sox 87.5
Chicago Cubs 73.5
Chicago White Sox 76.5
Cincinnati Reds 86.5 (-120o)
Cleveland Indians 75.5
Colorado Rockies 82.5
Detroit Tigers 94.5
Houston Astros 62.5
Kansas City Royals 78.5
Los Angeles Angels 89.5
Los Angeles Dodgers 81.5
Miami Marlins 82.5
Milwaukee Brewers 82.5
Minnesota Twins 74.5 (-120u)
New York Mets 74.5 (-120u)
New York Yankees 93.5 (-120u)
Oakland Athletics 72.5
Philadelphia Phillies 95.5
Pittsburgh Pirates 73.5 (-120u)
San Diego Padres 70.5
San Francisco Giants 87.5
Seattle Mariners 72.5
St. Louis Cardinals 87.5 (-120u)
Tampa Bay Rays 87.5
Texas Rangers 94.5
Toronto Blue Jays 81
Washington Nationals 80.5
 

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would take the Twins UNDER 74' (-1.20). I wonder if that number will hold? Thanks for posting these.
 

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uArizona Diamondbacks 84.5
oAtlanta Braves 86.5
uBaltimore Orioles 70.5
oBoston Red Sox 87.5
oChicago Cubs 73.5
oChicago White Sox 76.5
uCincinnati Reds 86.5 (-120o)
uCleveland Indians 75.5
uColorado Rockies 82.5
uDetroit Tigers 94.5
uHouston Astros 62.5
oKansas City Royals 78.5
uLos Angeles Angels 89.5
oLos Angeles Dodgers 81.5
uMiami Marlins 82.5
uMilwaukee Brewers 82.5
uMinnesota Twins 74.5 (-120u)
uNew York Mets 74.5 (-120u)
uNew York Yankees 93.5 (-120u)
oOakland Athletics 72.5
uPhiladelphia Phillies 95.5
oPittsburgh Pirates 73.5 (-120u)
oSan Diego Padres 70.5
oSan Francisco Giants 87.5
uSeattle Mariners 72.5
oSt. Louis Cardinals 87.5 (-120u)
oTampa Bay Rays 87.5
uTexas Rangers 94.5
uToronto Blue Jays 81
oWashington Nationals 80.5
 

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Kinda wierd the angels o/u is 89.5 and the rangers are 94.5 yet the angels have better odds than the rangers to win the al pennant and the world series....I don't get it
 

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Agree on TB Over, Philly Under, LAA Over.
Also like Ariz Over and possibly Oak Under.
 

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Tigers won 95 last year with verlander going 25-4 and they were 28-16 in one run games- I don't like both of those stats to repeat--

Tigers UNDER 94.5
 
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NL east is packed with above average teams... Braves=very solid, Marlins=solid, Nats=slightly above avg, Mets=shitty but not dogshit..


I love it brother.. one of the best win totals I've ever seen.
 

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NL east is packed with above average teams... Braves=very solid, Marlins=solid, Nats=slightly above avg, Mets=shitty but not dogshit..


I love it brother.. one of the best win totals I've ever seen.


The one thing with this Nats team and they have been bad the last two years...they always play the Phillies tough. The Phils are only 20-16 the last two years against the Nats. The Nats should be much improved this year. However, the Mets are going to suck this year. But you are right, the NL East overall should be better. This and the fact that Howard and Utley are major question marks I see around 92 wins and a dog fight to win the NL East. They are still my pick to win the East but they will not run away with it like last year.
 

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The Atlantis is my favorite spot for baseball, and probably the second best sportsbook in Reno. -104 lines on baseball is a nice out to have.

Mikkelson, has never had a losing season to date in Baseball win totals.
 
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I think baseball win totals are a positive investment. One of the better ones you find in sports investing.
 

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Kinda wierd the angels o/u is 89.5 and the rangers are 94.5 yet the angels have better odds than the rangers to win the al pennant and the world series....I don't get it

Agreed,
I noticed the same thing with the Nats and Marlins... ive seen the Nats and Marlins with identical win totals of 84.5 but the Marlins as high as 5-1 to win the NL and the Nats as low as 25-1.
 

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I love baseball over/unders...if I can get some of these #'s ill hammer em
Unders:
Bos 87'
Tex 94'
Phi 95'
Atl 86'
Mets 74'
StL 87'
Mil 82'
Hou 62'
SF 87'
Col 82'

Overs:
Cle 75'
Ana 89'
Mia 82'
Was 80'
Pit 73'
 

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