SB action thus far

[Willie99]

according to SportsinSights

25,335 bets

Patriot action

43% ATS, 50% ATS money
36% ML, 41% ML money
39% over, 46% over money

I'm only posting this because I can't recall the last time more people bet against the Patriots, seriously. I think it must happen occasionally, but it's very rare and I don't remember the last time I noticed this

Also more people are on the under, another oddity on really big games. Don't most casual gamblers play the over?


Be interesting to see how this stuff swings as we approach game day, I'll post updates

 

[HacheMan]

Thanks Willie

 

[TheComputerGroup]

We still have 11 days to go until.the SB......that's a long way to go & things will change....most of the public doesn't bet the SB until the weekend of the game.

 

[Greenbacks]

Good info Willie

 

[cloverleaf]

Willie, I've done some stupid things betting the SB in my life but this year ain't one of them.

I'll go with the best QB in SB history against a backup QB for the other team.

Who's wearing white jerseys for the game? Damn, CNotes provides some interesting information!

 

[Greenbacks]

 

[HamGlaze]

If the Eagles have a lead and they play to win, they have a chance. If they play not to lose and try to just hang on a lead, they will lose.

 

[Haystacks]

Their plan has to be to kill Brady. Blitz every down and try to win that way. Most other plans have failed

 

[razorbackpicks]

Can nick foles play his two best games back to back? That will be the answer to whether philly covers or not

 

[Betallsports]

Their plan has to be to kill Brady. Blitz every down and try to win that way. Most other plans have failed

Don't think you can blitz every down against the Pats. They will just dump those short throws and get ya.

The pass rush will come from Philly's Great front 4, similar to what the Jags had. I think that if the Jags had 3 sacks against Brady, Philly will have 4, maybe 5 sacks

Like said before, if the Eagles play to Win ... they have a very good chance in beating the Pats

 

[skins85]

the money is gonna keep coming in on the eagles i think. the most recent game is what people remember and they dominated minnesota. i think the pats win but dont cover. likely win by 3 but just my thoughts. the patriots defense always seem to make adjustments to figure out a way to stop an opposing offense. foles looked incredible last week and if that eagles team shows up in the super bowl they likely win, but its also only the first time that they have played that way. they were pretty awful against oakland, dallas (meaningless game) and atlanta.

 

[VIEJODINOSAUR]

Just hope the refs don’t blow the whistle on a fumble returned to the house....

 

[Willie99]

Updated Patriots action (bet % / money %)

ATS 41% / 51%
ML 34% / 35%
OV 53% / 38%

FWIW

 

[1osubucks]

willie how much longer do you think bill and tom will be around? going to be a hard act to follow..

 

[valium]

willie how much longer do you think bill and tom will be around? going to be a hard act to follow..

Boy, you got that right. i can't imagine what it will be like for the coach that replaces Belichick. What do you say at your first press conference? As tough an act to follow as there as ever been. Maybe the coach that replaced Vince Lombardi?

 

[Willie99]

willie how much longer do you think bill and tom will be around? going to be a hard act to follow..

I think Brady has plans to stick around as long as he could, just like he says. I say this because the Patriots traded Jimmy G. Obviously, if he wasn't planning on playing next year and probably after that, they don't make that trade. So I'm going with he's playing next year, and probably will stay as long as he's playing well.

I think Belichick will coach as long as he's enjoying it, and he doesn't appear to be slowing down. It's obviously his passion in life.

They could both retire any day. And when they do, it's going to suck being "human" again. This run has been off the charts, doesn't come around very often and can't possibly be sustained after they leave. I just hope the team remains competitive and has some very good years, I hope they don't totally suck for a decade or something. But there will be transitional pains.

You just can't teach whatever they have, it's something inside of them.

 

[HamGlaze]

Now I did see Jags take a few chances and convert on a fourth down or possibly two..

second half kiled killed them since they decided against winning and made the decision against losing and got conservative.

Have to keep the peddle on into the fourth quarter.


Everyone knows this. Why do NFL teams think they can hold on to a 2 or3 TD lead against the Patriots. Never fails.

 

[Haystacks]

When jac sat on the ball at the end of the half with 55 seconds left and 2 time outs cost them the game. Maybe the stupidest thing I ever saw. The had them reeling and should have reasserted themselves. It took the kill mode out of them.

 

[thekeyman]

If the Eagles have a lead and they play to win, they have a chance. If they play not to lose and try to just hang on a lead, they will lose.

The Eagles always play to win,never take their foot off the pedal,they play hard til the end and Peterson believes in his players and that's why he does take chances more than anybody and is usually successful

 

[powerz]

This game is going to be a Book makers dream...

51% of the Spread money on the eagles
69% of the ML money on the eagles
51% of the Total money on the Over

The books will clean up is the NE wins by 4 - they dont care about the side or the TTL the VIG will take care of that for them.....