Joe Gavazzi
W.T.F. (Wrong Team Favored) Game of the Week
West Virginia (+2) at Texas 3:30 PM ET
The dog is now 12-2 ATS in Texas games. That means its Wrong Team Favored time favoring West Virginia. Statistically speaking, West Virginia is our YPPL dog and qualifies under a near 70% ATS statistical situation. As predicted by this bureau, the Longhorns struggled as Prime Time chalk at Ok State last week. It cost them the top spot in the League, a position for which they are now in a 3 way tie with Oklahoma (whom they have defeated) and this West Virginia team, who will later face Oklahoma. In short, BIG GAME! In last week’s loss at Ok State, the Horns allowed 321 PY. Bad news against WVU HC Greer! Greer had a horrendous game at Iowa State in mid-October passing for just 100 yards. With Heisman voters on the line, however, he responded with a 396 PY performance against Baylor last Friday night in a 58-14 West Virginia victory. That matchup bodes well for the Mounties along with the stat advantage and a 28-14 revenge motive. It is clear that W.T.F. (Wrong Team is Favored)
W.T.F. (Wrong Team Favored) Game of the Week
West Virginia (+2) at Texas 3:30 PM ET
The dog is now 12-2 ATS in Texas games. That means its Wrong Team Favored time favoring West Virginia. Statistically speaking, West Virginia is our YPPL dog and qualifies under a near 70% ATS statistical situation. As predicted by this bureau, the Longhorns struggled as Prime Time chalk at Ok State last week. It cost them the top spot in the League, a position for which they are now in a 3 way tie with Oklahoma (whom they have defeated) and this West Virginia team, who will later face Oklahoma. In short, BIG GAME! In last week’s loss at Ok State, the Horns allowed 321 PY. Bad news against WVU HC Greer! Greer had a horrendous game at Iowa State in mid-October passing for just 100 yards. With Heisman voters on the line, however, he responded with a 396 PY performance against Baylor last Friday night in a 58-14 West Virginia victory. That matchup bodes well for the Mounties along with the stat advantage and a 28-14 revenge motive. It is clear that W.T.F. (Wrong Team is Favored)
Rufus Peabody?
Plz dont tell me these guys are self proclaimed 'touts'/'experts'. Betting against bama is foolish, taking air force at any point this yr is puzzling, Tx most overrated team in country.
With the picks listed I would hope not. 3 favorite plays are complete opposite. Guess I'll be an 'Expert' once these scores are final....
Bulls Pix: *Army -7, *Alabama -13.5, *West Virginia +2, *Maryland +2.5
Plz dont tell me these guys are self proclaimed 'touts'/'experts'. Betting against bama is foolish, taking air force at any point this yr is puzzling, Tx most overrated team in country.
With the picks listed I would hope not. 3 favorite plays are complete opposite. Guess I'll be an 'Expert' once these scores are final....
Bulls Pix: *Army -7, *Alabama -13.5, *West Virginia +2, *Maryland +2.5
Newsletter Records and Picks:
Megalocks posted in the newsletter thread
1st Release (6-1-2) Ohio
Gridiron Gold Sheet
NCAA Best Bets (23-22-1) Liberty, NW, Miss State, Stanford, Cal
NFL Best Bets (19-12-1) Miami, Houston-Denver UNDER, NO-LA Rams OVER, NE-GB OVER
Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (5-4) Iowa
4* (4-5) WVU
3* (4-4-1) LSU
Upset pick (3-6) NW
Betcha Didn't Know (4-14) ULM, LSU
Awesome Angle (3-6) LSU
Incredible Stat (3-5-1) Oregon
Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (7-1) Pitt
4* (5-3) Houston
3* (4-4) Tenn
Pointwise NCAA
1* (6-10-1) Okla, Bama
2* (4-5) Wazzu
3* (3-6) Fresno
4* (10-6-2) Air Force, Mich
5* (10-8) Notre Dame, Arizona
Pointwise NFL
3* (2-6) GB
4* (4-11-1) Pitt, Dallas
5* (5-11) KC, NO
PowerPlays
NCAA 4.5* (18-9) Ohio, Navy, Tulane, Clemson, Utah State
NCAA 4* (19-20) Syracuse, Florida, UAB, Wazzu
NFL 4* (5-2-1) Chicago
PowerSweep NCAA
4* (8-1) Florida
3* (9-8) Mich St, Oregon
2* (10-7-1) TAMU, La Laf
Underdog Play of the Week (4-5) Colorado
Tech Play of the Week (3-2-1) —
Revenge Play of the Week (2-6) Iowa
Situational Play of the Week (4-3) ULM
Series Play of the Week (4-2) BC
PowerSweep NFL
4* (3-5) Carolina
3* (5-2-1) Wash
2* (1-6-1) Houston
NFL System play (5-5) Atl Under
4* Pro Angle (0-2) —
Powers Picks NCAA
3* (11-6) Mich St, FL, La Tech
2* (16-12) Ohio, NW
Powers Picks NFL
3* (3-4) Seattle
2* (13-2-1) Minn, Ptt
Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (3-1)
NCAA Best Bets (14-15) Purdue, Mizz, ECU, Miss St
NFL Super Best Bets (1-0)
NFL Best Bets (7-8) Atl, LAC
Red Sheet
89* (10-8) Iowa St, Utah
88* (13-22-1) Clemson, Bama,Kentucky, Texans
Winning Points
NCAA 4* (8-1) Ga Southern
NCAA 3* (3-6) Iowa St
NFL 4* (4-4) Seattle
NFL 3* (4-4) Houston
Killer Sports
MTI 5* (0-1)
MTI 4.5* (6-2) Jets, Chiefs-Browns UNDER
MTI 4* (2-5)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (1-4)
SBB 4* (5-5-1)
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
3* (3-5) Pitt/Balt Under
2* (9-7) TB/Car over, KC/Cle Under
Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (15-19-1)
NIU, Air Force, La Tech, So Carolina
NFL Key Releases (10-11-3) Pitt, Houston, NO
Tech Play (7-2) Kansas St
Wise Guys Contest:
Leader is Mike Muzyka (13-3) Steelers, Vikings
Megalocks posted in the newsletter thread
1st Release (6-1-2) Ohio
Gridiron Gold Sheet
NCAA Best Bets (23-22-1) Liberty, NW, Miss State, Stanford, Cal
NFL Best Bets (19-12-1) Miami, Houston-Denver UNDER, NO-LA Rams OVER, NE-GB OVER
Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (5-4) Iowa
4* (4-5) WVU
3* (4-4-1) LSU
Upset pick (3-6) NW
Betcha Didn't Know (4-14) ULM, LSU
Awesome Angle (3-6) LSU
Incredible Stat (3-5-1) Oregon
Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (7-1) Pitt
4* (5-3) Houston
3* (4-4) Tenn
Pointwise NCAA
1* (6-10-1) Okla, Bama
2* (4-5) Wazzu
3* (3-6) Fresno
4* (10-6-2) Air Force, Mich
5* (10-8) Notre Dame, Arizona
Pointwise NFL
3* (2-6) GB
4* (4-11-1) Pitt, Dallas
5* (5-11) KC, NO
PowerPlays
NCAA 4.5* (18-9) Ohio, Navy, Tulane, Clemson, Utah State
NCAA 4* (19-20) Syracuse, Florida, UAB, Wazzu
NFL 4* (5-2-1) Chicago
PowerSweep NCAA
4* (8-1) Florida
3* (9-8) Mich St, Oregon
2* (10-7-1) TAMU, La Laf
Underdog Play of the Week (4-5) Colorado
Tech Play of the Week (3-2-1) —
Revenge Play of the Week (2-6) Iowa
Situational Play of the Week (4-3) ULM
Series Play of the Week (4-2) BC
PowerSweep NFL
4* (3-5) Carolina
3* (5-2-1) Wash
2* (1-6-1) Houston
NFL System play (5-5) Atl Under
4* Pro Angle (0-2) —
Powers Picks NCAA
3* (11-6) Mich St, FL, La Tech
2* (16-12) Ohio, NW
Powers Picks NFL
3* (3-4) Seattle
2* (13-2-1) Minn, Ptt
Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (3-1)
NCAA Best Bets (14-15) Purdue, Mizz, ECU, Miss St
NFL Super Best Bets (1-0)
NFL Best Bets (7-8) Atl, LAC
Red Sheet
89* (10-8) Iowa St, Utah
88* (13-22-1) Clemson, Bama,Kentucky, Texans
Winning Points
NCAA 4* (8-1) Ga Southern
NCAA 3* (3-6) Iowa St
NFL 4* (4-4) Seattle
NFL 3* (4-4) Houston
Killer Sports
MTI 5* (0-1)
MTI 4.5* (6-2) Jets, Chiefs-Browns UNDER
MTI 4* (2-5)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (1-4)
SBB 4* (5-5-1)
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
3* (3-5) Pitt/Balt Under
2* (9-7) TB/Car over, KC/Cle Under
Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (15-19-1)
NIU, Air Force, La Tech, So Carolina
NFL Key Releases (10-11-3) Pitt, Houston, NO
Tech Play (7-2) Kansas St
Wise Guys Contest:
Leader is Mike Muzyka (13-3) Steelers, Vikings
CFB - Game 323 - Iowa (+2.5) - CFB False Favorite GOY
Edges - Hawkeyes: 8-1 SUATS away against foes coming off a loss; and 9-3 ATS in this series when coming off a loss, including 3-0 SUATS with revenge; and favored last 8 straight games in this series … Boilermakers: 1-6-1 SUATS home with win percentage of .300 or more when allowing more than 22 PPG on the season if facing a foe with a better record … We cement the call with this from our powerful database: Iowa head coach Kirk Ferentz is 41-23-3 ATS in his career win conference games when coming off a loss, including 17-6-3 ATS when his team is allowing less than 18.5 PPG on the season. He is 8-0-1 ATS as a dog in these same games with a winning record. Ferentz is also 11-1 ATS with personal revenge in games in which his team is off a loss and allowing 21.5 or fewer points per game. With the Hawkeyes off a 6-point loss at Penn State last week and playing with revenge from a 24-15 loss as 6.5-point favorites last year,
CFB - Game 361 - Air Force (+6.5)
Edges - Falcons: the underdog is 5-1 ATS in its games this season … Cadets: 2-11 SU and 4-9 ATS as a host in this series; and favored only two times in this series since 1981 (lost both games SU) … We cement the call this this from our well-oiled database: Mission road dogs (teams who has a losing record last year but a winning record each of the previous three seasons) with revenge who win 4 or more games last season are 12-0 ATS when facing greater than .700 non-conference foes. With Army already blow eligible and Air Force still in need of two wins to become bold eligible, and the Falcons looking to avenge a 21-0 loss in this series last year - only the 2nd time since 1975 that they suffered a shut loss loss against a fellow military foe - we recommend a strong 3* play on Air Force. Thank you and good luck as always.
CFB - Game 376 - Southern Miss (+2.5)
Edges - Golden Eagles: 17-3 SU and 16-4 ATS with at least one win on the season in conference games when coming off a SU favorite loss; and 3-0 ATS last three games as a home dog … Thundering Herd: 0-5 ATS as road favorites when coming off a SU underdog win … We seal the deal with these two jaw-dropping awesome angles from our all-knowing database: 1) College football conference home dogs off a SU road favorite road loss (Southern Miss) are 13-0 ATS when facing a foe with at least one loss coming off a win if the home dog lost as a favorite of more than 1-point in its loss; and 2) .500 or greater conference road favorites of 6 or less points coming off a SU underdog win (Marshall) are 0-14 ATS if they allow 22.5 or more PPG and are facing a .600 or less opponent.
CFB - Game 420 - LSU (+14.5)
Edges - Tigers: 6-0-1 ATS as home dogs with an .800 or greater win percentage; and 5-0 ATS with conference revenge; and LSU's FBS opponents combined record is 42-17 this season … Crimson Tide: 8 wins this season against foes with combined 29-36 record; and each of Alabama's opponent's Yard Per Point average this season currently ranks #90 or worse in the nation … We cement the call with this from our Perfect System Club as it tells us to: PLAY AGAINST any defending college national champion as a road favorite off back-to-back wins, the last an ATS win of more than 3 points, versus and opponent that allows 19.1 or less points per game. That's because these teams are 0-18 ATS in this role since 1980. With the Tigers 57-7 SU in their last 64 home games, with only ONE LOSS by more than 10 points.
