Saturday Service Plays 09/15/18

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NCAA American Football
Texas Tech - Houston : Under 70
Oregon - San Jose State : Under 70
Ole Miss - Alabama : Under 71
 

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Anyone have Megalocks plays this week?

this was in the Newsletters forum:

MEGALOCKS week #3. 1st pick released here each week, record so far 1-0-1.

Vanderbilt at Notre Dame – College Football Predictions

Vanderbilt at Notre Dame – College Football Predictions
The Game
The Irish are off to a 2-0 start and welcome the feisty Commodores to South Bend on Saturday afternoon. Notre Dame’s defense has been rock solid so far but the offense has been a little underwhelming. Vanderbilt crushed MTSU and Nevada in their first two games but this is a WHOLE different ball game.
Let’s dig in to the analysis.
The Details
Notre Dame -14.5 Vanderbilt (51.5)
MEGALOCKS LINE – Notre Dame -11
“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Notre Dame 33 Vanderbilt 18.5

The Match-Up
Notre Dame offense vs Ball St defense
The Irish have done enough on offense to start the campaign with a couple of wins but they are ranked #94 in offense and #104 in rushing. Yes, they played Michigan in week one, but they also got the Ball St Cardinals at home in week two (117 yards rushing). Brandon Wimbush is a threat to take it to the house on every play when he is running the ball but he has struggled so far MATRICULATING down the field in the passing game. We all remember the big (jump ball) TD he threw against Michigan but that is his only TD pass of the season (4 INT). The offensive line still needs to find it’s way after losing a pair of 1st round NFL draft picks. Vandy has held down a pair of really good passing teams so far and allowed just 17 points in two games. They have also bagged 9 sacks and 6 turnovers. Last season the Commodores got PLOWED in conference play vs the run and the key to this game is the ability of Notre Dame to get the ground game (finally) going despite having no proven weapons in the RB group.
Vanderbilt vs Notre Dame defense
The Commodores scored 76 points in their first two games but they face one of the best defenses in college football on Saturday. We like the experience and savvy of QB Kyle Shurmur who has not thrown an INT yet this season (4 TDs) and a committee of running backs that is good enough to keep the Irish defense honest. Notre Dame has not had much to worry about in terms of defending the entire field so far this season and they will need to be aware of Vanderbilt’s ability to take some deep shots. The Irish secondary is solid but they will have to be on their toes. The Commodores’ top-3 RBs all average over 5 yards per carry so far but Notre Dame is allowing just 2.84 yards per carry. Vanderbilt will need to avoid turnovers and get something done on the ground to have a shot of winning straight up. Not impossible, but unlikely.
Trends, Intangibles and More!
Vanderbilt opens SEC play next week (South Carolina) whilst Notre Dame visits Wake Forest…..Vanderbilt HC Derek Mason has a .500 ATS mark as a road dog.
Summary
The Irish have scored 24 points in each of their first two games and have struggled to run the ball and win the time of possession battle (#111). Vanderbilt is a smart team that will not kill themselves with mistakes. Catching a couple of TDs or more seems like a decent move in a game that should be relatively low scoring. Notre Dame covers this game if they get the ground attack ripping through the Vandy defense. It’s hard to see that happening based on watching the first two games but that’s why they play the games, yo.
Conclusion
Official play: Vanderbilt +14.5 -110 (play down to +14)

 

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Arthur Ralph Sports


Super Pick - Houston U -1.5


Gold Keys

Baylor -6
Auburn -10
Nebraska -10
Miami Canes -10
Washington -4.5
Boise St / Okla St Over 63.5
 

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Vegasinsidertips us

Texas Tech - Houston : Under 70
Oregon - San Jose State : Under 70
Ole Miss - Alabama : Under 71
 

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Trace Adams

For Saturday, 2000♦ Double-Your-Wager winner isthe Miami-Florida Hurricanes over the Toledo Rockets. At 7:00 am eastern time, the 'Canes are -12 points in Vegas and offshore.


It took a little while last year for Miami to beat back Toledo, as the Hurricanes were on a three week layoff due to a hurricane, but the U who led just 38-30 early in the 4th quarter last season were able to tack on a pair of late scores to take it 52-30 both straight up and against the spread in their second game of the season.


Now Toledo looks for revenge in this "home-and-home", but I don't see the Rockets gaining revenge, or even being within the point spread. Yes, they did post a 66-3 win over VMI on September 3rd, but playing off a bye-week, the Rockets enter with just a 1-5 spread mark.


After starting slow in Arlington against LSU in their 33-17 loss, Miami regained some of their swagger with a 77-0 pasting of Savannah State last weekend.


Toledo is in the rare role of home underdog, a role they have not been in since 2014. They happen to be just 1-4 against the spread in that role their last 5 home dog tries.


Granted, Miami having failed their last 5 road/neutral site games against the spread gives me a little pause for concern, but after that loss to LSU, Mark Richt's team needs to not only rack up wins, but rack up wins convincingly.


I do not expect the 'Canes to take their foot off the gas pedal in this one.


Lay it with Miami-Florida at the Glass Bowl early Saturday afternoon.
 

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