Indian Cowboy
Reg season thru 9/14: 4-4, -2.6 units
3-Unit Play. Take #108. Tennessee -31.5 vs UTEP (Saturday @ 12:00p.m. est).
We view this as one of those morale-boosting games for a program that hasn't been prominent since Vince Young left. Look, Tennessee will want to demolish UTEP in this spot to keep the players believing in the cause and to keep them happy before a big showdown with Florida. The Volunteers put up 59 last week against ETSU, and UTEP might be worse, as they've lost 14 straight games, which is the longest losing streak in the FBS. They also gave up 52 to UNLV of all teams, so Tennessee should have their way offensively. Not to mention, they likely won't give up 24 points like UNLV did, so it's the perfect recipe for a Volunteer blowout win.
3-Unit Play. Take #131. Under 44.5 Rutgers vs Kansas (Saturday @ 12:00p.m. est).
Rutgers is a bad team. Kansas may be just as bad. So, the general rule of thumb when two bad teams play is that it's likely to be a bad game. Look, Rutgers gave up 52 points to Ohio State, but that was always going to happen. Kansas snapped a 46-game road losing streak by beating Central Michigan 31-7. Both teams are defensive minded (if you can believe it), so in this spot, with a freshman QB at the helm for Rutgers and a Kansas team that is feeling rejuvenated on both sides of the ball, especially on defense, we can expect a lower scoring game. Look, Kansas will want to win back-to-back games for the first time since 2011. They'll go all out and that means turning in another massive defensive performance. Rutgers doesn't have the firepower to cover the 70% of the total on their own, so we like the under in this spot.
7-Unit Play. Take #154. Auburn -9.5 vs LSU (Saturday @ 3:30p.m. est).
Let's talk about LSU first. They are a very young team and the fact that they beat Miami should be taken with a grain of salt because the Hurricanes are completely overrated and the step up in competition to Auburn will show full well in this spot. Look, Auburn lost to this LSU team last year 27-23 when they gave up 10 unanswered fourth-quarter points. The revenge angle is real in college football and we expect Auburn to extract that revenge by laying a beat down on the Tigers in front of their home crowd. We saw what Auburn was capable of on defense as they held Washington - a high scoring team - to just 16 points. Auburn will have a game plan in place that will attack LSU's weakness thanks to the master game-planner, Gus Malzahn. This game will go a long way in determining who will get into the SEC title game, but we believe that Auburn is the right play in this spot.
5-Unit Play. Take #168. Florida -19.5 vs Colorado State (Saturday @ 4:00p.m. est).
Florida lost to Kentucky last week for the first time in 31 years. How embarrassed do you think the Gator players are feeling right now? The Gators are a program rich with history, so we expect them to bounce back in a big way and trounced Colorado State. Look, Colorado State is the perfect opponent for the Gators to take their frustrations out on. The Rams are getting 2 million to come play in the swamp and have given up 550 yards rushing in two games. If the Gators can't exploit that (which we expect them to do) then they have more problems, then they lead on. Colorado State managed to beat Arkansas last week at home after winning the fourth quarter 17-0. Florida knows they can't take them lightly, but they also know if they play their game and execute, the Rams shouldn't even be on the same field as them.
Reg season thru 9/14: 4-4, -2.6 units
3-Unit Play. Take #108. Tennessee -31.5 vs UTEP (Saturday @ 12:00p.m. est).
We view this as one of those morale-boosting games for a program that hasn't been prominent since Vince Young left. Look, Tennessee will want to demolish UTEP in this spot to keep the players believing in the cause and to keep them happy before a big showdown with Florida. The Volunteers put up 59 last week against ETSU, and UTEP might be worse, as they've lost 14 straight games, which is the longest losing streak in the FBS. They also gave up 52 to UNLV of all teams, so Tennessee should have their way offensively. Not to mention, they likely won't give up 24 points like UNLV did, so it's the perfect recipe for a Volunteer blowout win.
3-Unit Play. Take #131. Under 44.5 Rutgers vs Kansas (Saturday @ 12:00p.m. est).
Rutgers is a bad team. Kansas may be just as bad. So, the general rule of thumb when two bad teams play is that it's likely to be a bad game. Look, Rutgers gave up 52 points to Ohio State, but that was always going to happen. Kansas snapped a 46-game road losing streak by beating Central Michigan 31-7. Both teams are defensive minded (if you can believe it), so in this spot, with a freshman QB at the helm for Rutgers and a Kansas team that is feeling rejuvenated on both sides of the ball, especially on defense, we can expect a lower scoring game. Look, Kansas will want to win back-to-back games for the first time since 2011. They'll go all out and that means turning in another massive defensive performance. Rutgers doesn't have the firepower to cover the 70% of the total on their own, so we like the under in this spot.
7-Unit Play. Take #154. Auburn -9.5 vs LSU (Saturday @ 3:30p.m. est).
Let's talk about LSU first. They are a very young team and the fact that they beat Miami should be taken with a grain of salt because the Hurricanes are completely overrated and the step up in competition to Auburn will show full well in this spot. Look, Auburn lost to this LSU team last year 27-23 when they gave up 10 unanswered fourth-quarter points. The revenge angle is real in college football and we expect Auburn to extract that revenge by laying a beat down on the Tigers in front of their home crowd. We saw what Auburn was capable of on defense as they held Washington - a high scoring team - to just 16 points. Auburn will have a game plan in place that will attack LSU's weakness thanks to the master game-planner, Gus Malzahn. This game will go a long way in determining who will get into the SEC title game, but we believe that Auburn is the right play in this spot.
5-Unit Play. Take #168. Florida -19.5 vs Colorado State (Saturday @ 4:00p.m. est).
Florida lost to Kentucky last week for the first time in 31 years. How embarrassed do you think the Gator players are feeling right now? The Gators are a program rich with history, so we expect them to bounce back in a big way and trounced Colorado State. Look, Colorado State is the perfect opponent for the Gators to take their frustrations out on. The Rams are getting 2 million to come play in the swamp and have given up 550 yards rushing in two games. If the Gators can't exploit that (which we expect them to do) then they have more problems, then they lead on. Colorado State managed to beat Arkansas last week at home after winning the fourth quarter 17-0. Florida knows they can't take them lightly, but they also know if they play their game and execute, the Rams shouldn't even be on the same field as them.
