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Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Saturday, February 25, 2017

2/25 06:00 PM CB (713) MONTANA VS (714) MONTANA STATE. PLay (714) MONTANA STATE.
 
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Roz Wins

Roz's Saturday, February 25, 2017, Free Pick

2/25 03:00 PM CB (625) NEVADA VS (626) UNLV. Play (625) NEVADA
 

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Thank you. I believe this is Bondi's daily free pick. Has anyone seen his Underdog lock of the year?
Harry Bondi

DALLAS -1 over New Orleans

Difficult scheduling spot for the Pelicans, who lost last night against Houston and travel to Oklahoma City tomorrow. The Mavs have struggled this year, but have played well on their home floor, going 17-11 ATS. Dallas has also won 45 of the last 68 meetings between these two franchises, including a 21-11 ATS mark at home in this series. Let’s follow those trends at a near pick’em price and call for the Mavs to get the easy win at home.
 
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NHL

Saturday’s games

Ducks won seven of last ten games with Los Angeles; they won three of last four games in Staples Center. Under is 3-0-1 in last four series games. Anaheim lost five of its last seven road games; they’re 0-3 in game following their last three wins. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven tilts. Kings lost six of last eight games, including their last three at home. Under is 2-0-1 in their last three games.

Home side won last five Ranger-Devil games; New York lost 3-2/5-2 in its last two games in the Garden State (over is 3-0-1 in last four). Rangers won eight of last ten games overall, three of last four on road. Four of their last five games stayed under. New Jersey lost three of last four games overall; they lost four of last six home games. Under is 3-1-3 in their last seven games.

Islanders won six of last seven games with Columbus; they won three of last four visits to Ohio. Four of last five series games went over. New York won its last three games overall but split its last six road games. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Blue Jackets is 4-5 in its last nine games overall, 3-4 in last seven at home. Five of their last seven games stayed under.

Home side won six of last eight Washington.-Nashville games; Capitals lost three of last four games in Music City. Over is 5-0-1 in last six series games. Washington won eight of last ten games but split last four on road. Under is 3-0-1 int heir last four games. Predators are 4-5 in last nine games; they’re 0-4 in game following their last four wins. Last eight Nashville games went over the total.

Canadiens won their last ten games with the Maple Leafs, four of which came in Toronto. Three of last four series games stayed under the total. Montreal lost eight of last ten games but won two of last three on road- their last four games stayed under. Toronto is 3-5 in its last eight games overall; they lost four of last six home games. Four of their last six games went over.

Penguins won four of last five games with Philly; this is an outdoor game. Flyers lost 4-3/6-2 in last two visits to Steel City. Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Flyers lost six of last eight games, three of last four on road. Under is 6-1-2 in their last nine games. Pittsburgh split its last eight games; they’re 3-2 in their last five home games, even though this isn’t in their arena. Six of last nine Penguin games stayed under.

Sabres won their last two games with Colorado after losing previous eight series games. Buffalo lost its last four visits to Denver, outscored 18-8. Under is 2-0-1 in last three series games. Sabres won three of last four games, winning 3-2/3-1 in last two road games- their last three road games all stayed under. Avalanche lost their last three home games and eight of last nine games overall. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

Road team won last ten San Jose-Vancouver games; Sharks won last six visits to Vancouver. Over is 2-0-2 in last four series games. San Jose lost six of its last eight games but won last two on road. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Canucks lost three of their last four games, both overall and at home. Over is 5-3-1 in last nine Vancouver games.
 
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College basketball knowledge

Saturday’s games

Florida State crushed Clemson 109-61 at home Feb 5; Seminoles were 17-30 on arc, led by 26 at the half. FSU is 4-3 in last seven series games; they won last three games in Littlejohn, by 5-15-4 points- they lost by 9 to Clemson LY in a different arena. Florida State lost five of its last six road games; they’re 0-3 as a road favorite, with only road wins by 2 at Virginia, 18 at Miami. Clemson lost lost five of last six games, is 2-4 at home, 0-2 as a home underdog. ACC road teams are 12-7-1 vs number in games where spread was 2 or less points.

UConn is 7-2 since they lost 69-49 at SMU Jan 19; game was 36-15 at the half. Mustangs are 7-2 in last nine series games, but they lost by 8-6 points in last two visits to the Nutmeg State. Huskies won last six home games; they covered last three games as an underdog. SMU won its last ten games, covering eight of last nine; Mustangs are 6-0-1 as an ACC road favorite- their only AAC road loss in eight games was by hoop in Cincinnati. AAC road favorites of 6 or less points are 8-6 against the spread.

VCU won its last nine games, last four by 10+ points; they’re 5-2 on A-14 road, with two wins in last second- they’re an A-14 underdog for first time this season. Rhode Island won six of its last eight games, but the two losses were their last two home games. URI is 4-3 in A-14 home tilts, 3-4 vs spread as a home favorite. VCU grabs 34.5% of its own missed shots, best in A-14. URI is #12 in A-14 on defensive boards. VCU is 4-0 vs URI in A-14 games, winning by 6-5 points in last two visits here. A-14 home favorites of 3 or less points are 4-9 vs spread this season.

Florida was 10-26 on arc in 88-66 home win over Kentucky Feb 4, Gators’ first win in last six games with Kentucky. Florida lost 67-50/80-61 in last two visits here. Gators won last eight games, are 6-1 on SEC road, with only loss by 4 at South Carolina- they’re 0-4 vs spread as an underdog in all games this season. Kentucky is 5-0 since losing in Gainesville; they’re 4-3 as an SEC home favorite- Wildcats are 2-6 against spread in their last eight games overall. SEC home favorites of 4 or less points are 6-17 vs spread this season.

Duke beat Miami 70-58 at home Jan 21; ‘canes led by 11 at half, were outscored 24-4 in first 10:00 of second half. Miami is 4-3 in its last seven games with Duke, winning two of last three series games in this gym. Blue Devils had 7-game win streak snapped at Syracuse in last game; Duke is 3-4 on ACC road, 1-3 as a road favorite- their road wins are by 2-10-10 points. Miami won seven of last nine games; they’re 6-2 at home, losing to Notre Dame/FSU. ACC road favorites of 3 or less points are 7-4-1 against the spread this season.

Baylor is 3-4 in its last seven games, losing two of last three on road; Bears are 4-3 on Big X road, 2-1 as a road underdog, with losses by 21-6-5 points. Iowa State won/covered its last four games, scoring 80+ points in all four; Cyclones are 5-2 at home- favorites covered six of those seven games. Baylor beat Iowa State 65-63 at home Jan 4, after trailing by 6 with 5:33 left; Bears won last five series games, winning by 1-5 points in last two visits to Ames. Big X favorites of 3 or less points are 3-8 against the spread this season.

Oregon won its last four games (3-0-1 vs spread); they’re 5-2 on Pac-12 road, 4-1-1 as a road favorite- they were down 10 with 4:10 left at Cal in last game, won by 3. Stanford won its last three home games; they’re 5-3 at home, 2-1 as a home underdog- their home losses were by 5-39-7 points. Oregon was 11-25 on arc, beat Stanford 69-52 at home Jan 21 in game that was 40-22 at half. Ducks lost two of last three visits to Stanford- they lost 76-72 here LY. Pac-12 road favorites of 7+ points are 9-7-1 vs spread this season.

Michigan won four of its last five games; they’re 6-2 at home in Big 14, losing to Maryland by 7, Ohio State by 4. Wolverines are 3-2 as a Big 14 underdog. Purdue won its last six games; they are 5-2 on Big 14 road, 2-5 as a road favorite, with wins by 1-11-6-5-4 points on foreign soil. Purdue won three of last four games with Michigan; Boilermakers lost last three games in Crisler Arena, by 15-9-5 points.- they beat Michigan 76-59 in Big 14 tourney LY. Home favorites of 3 or less points are 14-11 against the spread this season.

Cal-Davis is 6-0 at home in Big West, 4-1 as a home favorite; five of their six home wins were by 9+ points. Long Beach State is 3-4 on Big West road, 0-3 as a road dog, with losses by 15-7-10-5 points. Davis lost 78-69 in OT at Long Beach nine days ago after leading by 7 with 8:24 left in game where teams combined to go just 31-58 on foul line. 49ers are 21-3 in last 24 series games, winning last three by 12-9-9 points- they’re 10-1 in last 11 visits here, but got swept by Aggies two years ago. Big West home favorites of 4 or less points are 5-8 vs spread.

Louisiana Tech won its last six games; they’re 5-1 on C-USA road, 2-2 as a road favorite- their only road loss was by 10 at Middle Tennessee. Rice won six of its last seven games, is just 4-4 at home (5-2 on road) in C-USA. Tech never trailed in 74-64 home win over Rice Jan 19; Tech led by 24 with 8:16 left. Bulldogs are 7-0 vs Rice in C-USA play, winning both visits here, by 22-12 points. Tech forces most turnovers in league; Owls turn ball over 19.8% of time, worst in C-USA. C-USA home teams are 9-5-1 vs number in games where spread was 2 or less points.

Colorado State won/covered five in row, eight of last nine games; they’re 5-2 at home, losing by 13 to New Mexico, 3 to Boise State. San Diego State won five of last seven games; they’re 3-4 on MW road, 1-2 as a road underdog. Colorado State won 78-77 at San Diego State Jan 28; Rams were 10-18 on arc in game they trailed by 13 with 16:16 left to play. Aztecs won four of last five series games; they’re 2-3 in last five visits to Fort Collins. Mountain West home favorites of 3 or less points are 8-13 vs spread this season.

Gonzaga is only 4-3 in its last seven games with BYU, which won 73-70/69-68 in last two visits to Spokane. Zags beat BYU in last three WCC tourneys. Gonzaga won by 10 at BYU in first meeting this year; they were 24-34 on line, Cougars 21-26. Young BYU team is 4-4 in its last eight games, losing four of last six road games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine games overall. Gonzaga is 6-2 as a home favorite, closest WCC home win was by 21 points. WCC home favorites of 15+ points are 8-6 against the spread this season.

Arizona made 9-20 on arc in 96-85 win at UCLA Jan 21; Bruins were just 10-31 on arc. Wildcats won four of last five series games, winning last two in Tucson by 10-12 points. Arizona won its last four games, is 8-0 at home in Pac-12, 1-5-2 vs spread as a home favorite- they’re 2-6-1 vs spread in last nine games overall. UCLA won its last six games, is 6-2 on road- they‘re a dog for just second time all season. Bruins (+9) won 97-92 at Kentucky back on Dec 3. Pac-12 home favorites of 3 or less points are 3-7 vs spread this season.
 
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NBA knowledge

Saturday’s games

Charlotte lost its last five games, is 2-6 vs spread in its last eight road games. Four of last five Hornet games stayed under total. Sacramento won/covered five of its last six home games; they’re 6-2 in last eight games overall. Kings’ last four games stayed under the total. Road team won four of last six Hornet-King games; teams split last four games played here. Five of last six series games went over.

Atlanta lost three of last four games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Last three Hawk games stayed under total. Orlando lost six of last seven games; they’re 2-9 vs spread in last 11 home games. Six of their last nine games stayed under the total. Hawks won six of last nine games with Orlando; they won three of last four visits to Magic Kingdom. Six of last nine series games stayed under.

Philly won four of its last five games; they lost six of last eight road games, but covered last three. Five of their last six games went over. Knicks lost six of last seven games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Over is 8-3 in their last eleven games. 76ers lost five of last six games with New York; they lost last four visits to Manhattan (2-2 vs spread). Three of last four series games went over.

Indiana lost six of its last seven games; they’re 3-1-1 vs spread in last five road games. Last three Pacer games stayed under the total. Miami won 15 of its last 17 games; they’re 7-2 vs spread in their last nine home games. Six of their last nine games went over. Home side won last eight Indiana-Miami games; Pacers lost last four visits to South Beach (1-3 vs spread). Four of last five series games stayed under.

New Orleans is 4-7 in its last 11 games overall; they won three of last four road games. Six of their last eight games stayed under the total. Mavericks lost their last three games; they’re 7-2 vs spread in their last nine home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Home side won seven of last nine New Orleans-Dallas games; five of last seven series games stayed under. Pelicans lost four of last five visits to Dallas (2-3 vs spread).

Chicago won/covered its last three games but lost last three on road; they won at OT game last night. Four of their last six games stayed under. Cleveland won/covered its last four games; they won six in row at home, covering last five. Over is 12-4 in their last 16 games. Bulls won five of last six games with Cleveland; they won two of last three visits to Ohio. Five of last seven series games stayed under.

Minnesota won three of its last four games; they covered four of last six on road. Wolves’ last three games stayed under the total. Houston won five of its last six games; they’re 4-7 vs spread in their last 11 home games. Four of their last six games went over. Rockets won eight of last nine games with Minnesota but Wolves covered five of last six. Nine of last ten series games went over. Minnesota lost its last four games in Houston but covered three of them.

Brooklyn lost its last 15 games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Five of their last six games went over. Warriors. won five of their last six games; they’re 7-1 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last five games went over. Golden State won seven of last nine games with Brooklyn but Nets covered four of last seven. Four of last six series games stayed under. Nets lost last four visits to Oakland (2-2 vs spread).
 

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