Saturday 09/22/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

[bmd1803]

Mid-Major Report

-- Temple went into Maryland and picked up an unexpected win after dropping their first two games of the season at home to FCS Villanova and Buffalo. ... Tulsa suffered a home loss against Arkansas State, as the Sun Belt picked up a big win. The 'under' has connected in each of the past two games for the Golden Hurricane. ... Memphis took apart Georgia State, 59-22, picking up their second win, cover and 'over' result in as many outings at the Liberty Bowl. ... Houston is averaging 47.7 PPG through three games, but they needed much more in their 63-49 loss in Lubbock against the Red Raiders. The Cougars slipped to 1-2 ATS.

-- Alabama-Birmingham picked up a nice win as 3 1/2-point underdogs at home against Tulane, 31-24. The Blazers need to tighten up on defense if they're to have further success, as they're allowing 35.5 PPG through two games against FBS foes. ... Middle Tennessee won't be applying for SEC admission anytime soon. They were blasted by Georgia by a 49-7 count, slipping to 0-2 SU/ATS in two games against SEC opponents. ... Western Kentucky suffered a loss to FCS Maine last week, 31-28. They bounced back with a 20-17 cover at Louisville, earning their second cover in two tries against Power 5 teams this season.

-- Northern Illinois picked up a 24-16 win against Central Michigan, failing to cover for the second time in three tries while the 'under' connected for the third time in as many outings. ... Akron made history with their win at Northwestern, earning their first win against a Big Ten opponent since 1894 when the institution was called Buchtel College. The Zips have fired out to a 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS start. ... Bowling Green topped FCS Eastern Kentucky in a surprising 42-35 shootout, failing to cover for a second straight game. ... Ohio failed to cover at Virginia, as the Bobcats slipped to 0-2 ATS on the season.

-- Hawaii made the cross-country trek to Army and the travel apparently caught up to them, as the Black Knights beat them 28-21 for a push at most shops. The Warriors also failed to hit the 'over' for the first time in four tries. ... New Mexico-New Mexico State was a high-scoring battle, with the Lobos posting a 42-25 win. The Lobos dropped the Aggies to 0-4 ATS, while the 'over' has connected in each of their past three outings

 

[bmd1803]

Early bettors like huge 'dog Texas A&M's odds at Alabama in college football Week 3
Patrick Everson

Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has helped Alabama go 3-0 SU and ATS this season, as a favorite of 22.5 points or more in all three games. Can the Crimson Tide cover 26.5 at home against Texas A&M?

Week 4 of the college football season begs the question: Can oddsmakers put up a number that Alabama can’t cover? We check in on the opening lines and early movement for a foursome of games, with insights from Derek Wilkinson, sportsbook supervisor at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.

No. 22 Texas A&M Aggies at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-27)

Alabama faced monster pointspreads the first three weeks of the season and delivered each time. In Week 3, the Crimson Tide (3-0 SU and ATS) went to Mississippi as a 22.5-point favorite and left with a have-no-mercy 62-7 victory.

Texas A&M already played one of college football’s best in Week 2, posting a big rally against Clemson before falling just short 28-26 as a 12-point home underdog. The Aggies (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS) followed with a 48-10 rout of lightweight Louisiana-Monroe as a 12-point chalk.

“I think Bookmakers look at it as the public keeps betting Alabama, and Alabama keeps covering,” Wilkinson said. “I wouldn’t be surprised to see some of the wiseguys come in and bet A&M, with all those points. The line has already dropped a half-point.”

No. 7 Stanford Cardinal at No. 19 Oregon Ducks (+1)

Stanford is out of the gate 3-0 SU (2-1 ATS), including a Week 2 win over Southern California, but this game marks its first road trip of the season. In Week 3, the Cardinal took a step down in competition, dispatching UC Davis 30-10 as a 31-point home chalk.

Oregon is also 3-0, but failed to cover all three times against far inferior competition. The Ducks beat San Jose State 35-22 in Week 3, falling miles short as a 42.5-point home favorite. Oregon has yet to play a road game this year.

“I’m kind of surprised the number is that low. Some offshores are Stanford -2/-2.5,” Wilkinson said. “I think it’s because the public likes to bet Oregon. But in my opinion, that line is gonna go up. I’d think sharp bettors would take Stanford -1. I know the game is at Oregon, but Stanford is clearly the better team.”

No. 17 Texas Christian Horned Frogs at Texas Longhorns (+3)

Texas Christian gave Ohio State a strong challenge last weekend, leading well into the third quarter of a quasi-neutral-site game at AT&T Stadium. But the Horned Frogs (2-1 SU and ATS) couldn’t hang on, falling 40-28 as a 12.5-point pup.

Texas bounced back from its season-opening upset loss to Maryland with a pair of wins, including a solid nonconference victory in Week 3. The Longhorns rumbled over Southern California 37-14 laying 3 points at home.

“It’s at Texas, an instate rivalry, so I think TCU -3 seems like a really good line. It feels about right,” Wilkinson said. “I’m not sure how they’re gonna bet that game.”

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+8)

Notre Dame isn’t winning by much, with all three games decided by one score, but it won all three nonetheless. The Fighting Irish (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) went off as 14-point home faves against Vanderbilt and held on for a 22-17 victory last weekend.

Wake Forest got a couple wins against lesser lights to start the season, but couldn’t quite keep up with Boston College in Week 3. The Demon Deacons (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS) led on a couple of occasions, including 24-21 early in the third quarter, but ultimately bowed out 41-34 as 6.5-point home pups in a game played Thursday due to Hurricane Florence.

“I think that line might drop closer to 7, maybe even 6.5,” Wilkinson said, noting that Notre Dame’s three relatively close wins could make 8 points a little too much to swallow.

 

[bmd1803]

NCAAF
Long Sheet


Saturday, September 22

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AKRON (2 - 0) at IOWA ST (0 - 2) - 9/22/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC STATE (2 - 0) at MARSHALL (2 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
NC STATE is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (2 - 1) at MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 3) - 9/22/2018, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN ST (1 - 1) at INDIANA (3 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (3 - 0) at MARYLAND (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 1-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W KENTUCKY (0 - 3) at BALL ST (1 - 2) - 9/22/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 0-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON COLLEGE (3 - 0) at PURDUE (0 - 3) - 9/22/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CONNECTICUT (1 - 2) at SYRACUSE (3 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA INTERNATIONAL (2 - 1) at MIAMI (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PITTSBURGH (2 - 1) at N CAROLINA (0 - 2) - 9/22/2018, 12:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ILLINOIS (1 - 2) at FLORIDA ST (1 - 2) - 9/22/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 98-72 ATS (+18.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
FLORIDA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI OHIO (0 - 3) at BOWLING GREEN (1 - 2) - 9/22/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULANE (1 - 2) at OHIO ST (3 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 95-125 ATS (-42.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
OHIO ST is 186-140 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 186-140 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 156-121 ATS (+22.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against American Athletic conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 168-126 ATS (+29.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEMSON (3 - 0) at GEORGIA TECH (1 - 2) - 9/22/2018, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO U (1 - 1) at CINCINNATI (3 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E CAROLINA (1 - 1) at S FLORIDA (3 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
E CAROLINA is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NOTRE DAME (3 - 0) at WAKE FOREST (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEVADA (2 - 1) at TOLEDO (1 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TOLEDO is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISVILLE (2 - 1) at VIRGINIA (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W MICHIGAN (1 - 2) at GEORGIA ST (1 - 2) - 9/22/2018, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (3 - 0) at RUTGERS (1 - 2) - 9/22/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (1 - 2) at OREGON ST (1 - 2) - 9/22/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 58-91 ATS (-42.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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STANFORD (3 - 0) at OREGON (3 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 45-22 ATS (+20.8 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
STANFORD is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
STANFORD is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
OREGON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA (2 - 1) at TENNESSEE (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 0) at KENTUCKY (3 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEBRASKA (0 - 2) at MICHIGAN (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS ST (2 - 1) at W VIRGINIA (2 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 121-89 ATS (+23.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 151-118 ATS (+21.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENT ST (1 - 2) at OLE MISS (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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RICE (1 - 2) at SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 2-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS (1 - 2) at AUBURN (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS TECH (2 - 1) at OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 124-87 ATS (+28.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NAVY (2 - 1) at SMU (0 - 3) - 9/22/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 168-126 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 168-126 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 81-42 ATS (+34.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 81-42 ATS (+34.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 152-113 ATS (+27.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 107-72 ATS (+27.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
SMU is 95-127 ATS (-44.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
SMU is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COASTAL CAROLINA (2 - 1) at LA LAFAYETTE (1 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UNLV (2 - 1) at ARKANSAS ST (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 88-124 ATS (-48.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TCU (2 - 1) at TEXAS (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARMY (2 - 1) at OKLAHOMA (3 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ARMY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LOUISIANA TECH (2 - 0) at LSU (3 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS (2 - 1) at BAYLOR (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 127-163 ATS (-52.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 127-163 ATS (-52.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 78-114 ATS (-47.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 47-81 ATS (-42.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 47-81 ATS (-42.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 89-120 ATS (-43.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 119-154 ATS (-50.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 98-130 ATS (-45.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 55-82 ATS (-35.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S CAROLINA (1 - 1) at VANDERBILT (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S ALABAMA (1 - 2) at MEMPHIS (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (1 - 1) at UTAH ST (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 4) at UTEP (0 - 3) - 9/22/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 91-126 ATS (-47.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
UTEP is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) in September games since 1992.
UTEP is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
UTEP is 39-62 ATS (-29.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 1-1 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS ST (1 - 2) at UTSA (0 - 3) - 9/22/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTSA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTSA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTSA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
UTSA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTSA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UTSA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
UTSA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
UTSA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTSA is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
UTSA is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROY (2 - 1) at LA MONROE (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 0) at OLD DOMINION (0 - 3) - 9/22/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLD DOMINION is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTH TEXAS (3 - 0) at LIBERTY (1 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
LIBERTY is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LIBERTY is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA (3 - 0) at MISSOURI (3 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
GEORGIA is 68-42 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS A&M (2 - 1) at ALABAMA (3 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 64-93 ATS (-38.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (2 - 1) at IOWA (3 - 0) - 9/22/2018, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA ST (2 - 1) at WASHINGTON (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E MICHIGAN (2 - 1) at SAN DIEGO ST (2 - 1) - 9/22/2018, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[bmd1803]

NCAAF

Week 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report


Saturday, September 22

Georgia @ Missouri
Georgia
Georgia is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Georgia is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road

Missouri
Missouri is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Missouri is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Kent State @ Mississippi
Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Kent State's last 24 games on the road
Kent State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

Mississippi
Mississippi is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Mississippi is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Akron @ Iowa State
Akron
Akron is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Akron's last 10 games on the road

Iowa State
Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games

Boston College @ Purdue
Boston College
Boston College is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Boston College is 11-1-1 ATS in its last 13 games

Purdue
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games

Notre Dame @ Wake Forest
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Notre Dame's last 7 games

Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Wake Forest is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

Minnesota @ Maryland
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Maryland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Maryland's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games

Nebraska @ Michigan
Nebraska
Nebraska is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nebraska's last 8 games on the road

Michigan
Michigan is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games at home

Buffalo @ Rutgers
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Buffalo's last 12 games on the road
Rutgers

Rutgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Rutgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo

Navy @ Southern Methodist
Navy
Navy is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist

Southern Methodist
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games when playing Navy

Nevada @ Toledo
Nevada
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Nevada's last 19 games on the road
Nevada is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Toledo
Toledo is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
Toledo is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

Ohio @ Cincinnati
Ohio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games on the road
Ohio is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games

Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games

Pittsburgh @ North Carolina
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing North Carolina

North Carolina
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

Louisville @ Virginia
Louisville
Louisville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Louisville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road

Virginia
Virginia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Virginia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Western Michigan @ Georgia State
Western Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 6 games on the road
Western Michigan is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

Georgia State
Georgia State is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Georgia State is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games at home

Western Kentucky @ Ball State
Western Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

Ball State
Ball State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Ball State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home

Illinois State @ Colorado State
Illinois State
Illinois State is 2-20 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Illinois State is 2-20 SU in its last 22 games

Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 6 games
Colorado State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

Maine @ Central Michigan
Maine
Maine is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Maine is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Central Michigan
Central Michigan is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Michigan's last 9 games

Miami-OH @ Bowling Green
Miami-OH
Miami-OH is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
Miami-OH is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green

Bowling Green
Bowling Green is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami-OH
Bowling Green is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-OH

Texas A&M @ Alabama
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas A&M's last 14 games on the road

Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas A&M

Kansas @ Baylor
Kansas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas's last 7 games when playing Baylor
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baylor

Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas

Kansas State @ West Virginia
Kansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State's last 5 games when playing West Virginia
Kansas State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing West Virginia

West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 5 games when playing Kansas State
West Virginia is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home

Clemson @ Georgia Tech
Clemson
Clemson is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Clemson is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games

Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Georgia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Clemson

North Carolina Central @ Duke
North Carolina Central
North Carolina Central is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
North Carolina Central is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

Duke
Duke is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina Central
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina Central

Northern Illinois @ Florida State
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Florida State
Florida State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Florida State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Florida International @ Miami-FL
Florida International
Florida International is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida International's last 8 games

Miami-FL
Miami-FL is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Miami-FL is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games

Virginia Tech @ Old Dominion
Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Old Dominion
Old Dominion is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 6 games

Charlotte @ Massachusetts
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Massachusetts's last 5 games
Massachusetts is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Tulane @ Ohio State
Tulane
Tulane is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tulane is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Gardner-Webb @ Appalachian State
Gardner-Webb
Gardner-Webb is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Gardner-Webb is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Appalachian State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

South Carolina @ Vanderbilt
South Carolina
South Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing at home against South Carolina
Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Arizona @ Oregon State
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 14 games on the road

Oregon State
Oregon State is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona
Oregon State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona

Connecticut @ Syracuse
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Syracuse
Connecticut is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Syracuse

Syracuse
Syracuse is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Syracuse is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games

Texas Christian @ Texas
Texas Christian
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Christian's last 5 games on the road
Texas Christian is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas

Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Texas Christian
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Texas's last 23 games

McNeese State @ Brigham Young
McNeese State
McNeese State is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
McNeese State is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games

Brigham Young
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brigham Young's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brigham Young's last 8 games at home

North Texas @ Liberty
North Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games on the road
North Texas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Liberty
Liberty is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Liberty is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games

Arkansas @ Auburn
Arkansas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Auburn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games when playing Auburn
Auburn
Auburn is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games when playing at home against Arkansas

Florida @ Tennessee
Florida
Florida is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Tennessee
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee

Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games when playing Florida
Tennessee is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home

Mississippi State @ Kentucky
Mississippi State
Mississippi State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Kentucky
Mississippi State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games when playing at home against Mississippi State
Kentucky is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Louisiana Tech @ Louisiana State
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisiana State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Army @ Oklahoma
Army
Army is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Army's last 17 games on the road

Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Oklahoma is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State
Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

North Carolina State @ Marshall
North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 6 games on the road

Marshall
Marshall is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
Marshall is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games

Rice @ Southern Miss
Rice
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rice's last 5 games when playing Southern Miss
Rice is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Southern Miss

Southern Miss
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 5 games when playing Rice
Southern Miss is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Texas State @ Texas-San Antonio
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas State's last 10 games on the road
Texas State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas-San Antonio's last 10 games
Texas-San Antonio is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

Nevada-Las Vegas @ Arkansas State
Nevada-Las Vegas
Nevada-Las Vegas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games

Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Arkansas State is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games

Coastal Carolina @ Louisiana-Lafayette
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Coastal Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Troy @ Louisiana-Monroe
Troy
Troy is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Troy
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Troy

Michigan State @ Indiana
Michigan State
Michigan State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
Michigan State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana

Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan State

New Mexico State @ Texas El Paso
New Mexico State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas El Paso

Texas El Paso
Texas El Paso is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against New Mexico State
Texas El Paso is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Mexico State

Stanford @ Oregon
Stanford
Stanford is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Stanford's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oregon

Oregon
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon's last 6 games when playing at home against Stanford

South Alabama @ Memphis
South Alabama
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Alabama's last 5 games
South Alabama is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Memphis
Memphis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Texas Southern @ Houston
Texas Southern
Texas Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

Houston
Houston is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 11 games at home

East Carolina @ South Florida
East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games when playing South Florida

South Florida
South Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
South Florida is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home

Wisconsin @ Iowa
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wisconsin is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games

Iowa
Iowa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Air Force @ Utah State
Air Force
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 6 games on the road
Air Force is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

Utah State
Utah State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Utah State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

Arizona State @ Washington
Arizona State
Arizona State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Arizona State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington

Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Arizona State

Eastern Michigan @ San Diego State
Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

San Diego State
San Diego State is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
San Diego State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games

Duquesne @ Hawaii
Duquesne
Duquesne is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Duquesne is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Hawaii
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hawaii's last 7 games at home

 

[bmd1803]

NCAAF


Week 4


Saturday’s best 13 games
Since 2015, Michigan State is 1-9 vs spread as road favorites; they’re 4-14 in last 18 games when laying less than 10 points. Spartans won four of last five games vs Indiana (4-1 vs spread), with all four wins by 8+ points- they lost 24-21 in OT in last visit here two years ago. Last 5+ years, Indiana is 6-7 as home underdogs; they’re 6-13 vs spread in last 19 games when getting a single-digit spread. MSU had last week off after a 16-13 loss at Arizona State. Hoosiers are 3-0, with 705 rushing yards in those games.

Purdue lost its first three games by total of 8 points, allowing 722 passing yards in last two tilts. Purdue is -4 in turnovers; since 2015, they’re 2-11 vs spread as a home underdog. Boilers put up 472-476-614 total yards in their games this year, but they haven’t won yet. Boston College might be most improved team in country; they’re 3-0 this year, mostly vs stiffs- they beat Wake 41-34 LW, but Wake’s backup QB played- Deacons ran for 298 yards vs BC. Eagles are 3-7 in last 10 games when laying single digit spread.

Louisville got crushed by Alabama, then was outgained by 136 yards in 20-17 win over WKU last week; Cardinals won their last three games with Virginia, by 15-7-7 points, with average total of 61 in those games. Teams split last two meetings played here. Since 2010, Cardinals are 13-3 as road underdogs, 4-2 since Petrino came back to Louisville; they’re 6-6 in last 12 games when getting a single digit spread. Virginia is 2-3 as home favorites under Mendenhall; they’re 6-11-1 in last 18 games when laying less than 10 points.

Home side won four of last five Arizona-Oregon State games; Cavaliers lost last two visits here, 42-17/42-17. Wildcats are 0-2 vs I-A teams; they gave up 463 yards in 62-31 win over I-AA team LW, same team Beavers beat 48-25 week before. Since 2015, Arizona is 2-4 as road favorites; they’re 2-10 in last ten games as a single digit favorite. OSU is 6-3 vs spread in last nine games as home underdogs; they’re 4-9 in last 13 games as a single digit dog. Beavers allowed 114 points in pair of losses to I-A teams; they lost 77-31 at Ohio State, 37-35 at Nevada.

Stanford beat Oregon 49-7/52-27 last two years, beating Oregon 52-27 in last visit here, losing previous visit 45-16. Under Shaw, Cardinal is 17-12 vs spread as road favorites- they’re 9-6-1 in last 16 games as single digit faves, 13-9 in last 22 as a Pac-12 favorite. Since 2010, ducks are 1-3 as home underdogs; they’re 1-5-1 in last seven games as single digit dogs, 2-8 in last 10 games as Pac-12 dogs. Stanford held San Diego St/USC to combined 13 points in decisive wins already. Oregon scored 51.7 ppg in winning its first three games, all against stiffs.

Florida won 12 of last 13 games with Tennessee, covering its last three games when favored at Neyland Stadium, but they lost 38-28 (+4) in last visit here, in ’16. Since 2016, Florida covered one of its seven road games; they’re 8-4 in last dozen games when a single digit favorite. Since 2008, Vols are 5-13 as home underdogs; they’re 7-14-1 in last 22 games as double digit dogs. Gators gave up 303 RY in 27-16 loss to Kentucky two weeks ago. Tennessee got crushed by West Virginia, then beat up on couple of stiffs last two weeks- they blanked UTEP 24-0 LW.

Underdogs covered last four Kansas State-West Virginia games; Wildcats covered last three visits here, losing last one 17-16, winning other two SU. K-State is 24-9 vs spread in last 33 games as road underdogs, 7-1 last 2+ years- they’re 9-3 in last 12 games as double digit dogs. Under Holgorsen, WVU is 14-21 as home favorites (9-9 since ’15); they’re 9-6 in last 15 games as double digit favorites. K-State gave up 384 rushing yards in loss to Miss State couple weeks ago; they trailed I-AA team 24-16 in 4th quarter in their opener.

Average total in last six Texas Tech-Oklahoma State games is 88.8; OSU won last nine series games, taking last three played here by 1-10-38 points. Tech covered twice inlets six visits to Stillwater; they’re 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games as road underdogs. Under Kingsbury, Tech is 9-6 as a double digit dogs. Since ’08, Cowboys are 34-19-2 as home favorites; they’re 9-12-2 in last 23 games as double digit favorites. Tech beat Houston 63-49 at home LW; TY was 704-635. OSU hammered Boise State 44-21 LW, but did give up 380 PY to the Broncos.

Navy beat SMU last three years, by 3-44-41 points; LY’s 43-40 win was SMU’s only cover in the three games. Navy is 7-3 vs spread in last ten games as road favorites (0-1 in ’18); they’re 5-7 in last 12 games when laying single digit spread. Since 2014, Mustangs are 5-12 vs spread as home underdogs; they’re 3-7 in last ten games as single digit dog. Navy lost its only road game this year 59-41 at Hawai’i; they nipped Memphis 22-21 in AAC opener. SMU is 0-3, giving up an average of 43.7 ppg, outgained by average of 179.7 yards/game.

TCU treated Texas like a piñata the last four years, beating Longhorns by average score of 38-9, winning last two visits here, 31-9/48-10. Horned Frogs covered five of last seven games as road favorites; they’re 4-2 in last six tries as single digit favorites, 4-7 in last 11 games where spread was 3 or less. Texas is 4-0-1 in last five games as home underdogs, 7-10-1 in last 18 games where spread was 3 or less. TCU lost tough 40-28 game to Ohio State LW; yardage was 526-511. Texas hammered USC 37-14 LW; their one loss was 34-29 at Maryland- Longhorns were -3 in TO’s.

South Carolina won its last nine games with Vanderbilt, winning last three visits here, by 3-14-4 points; underdogs are 5-1 vs spread in Gamecocks’ last six trips to Nashville. This is first time in four years Carolina is road favorite; they covered 10 of last 12 games where spread was 3 points or less. Under Mason, Vandy is 9-6 as home underdogs; they’re 5-3 in last eight games where spread was 3 or less. SC’s game LW was PPD by hurricane; they lost 41-17 to Georgia week before, giving up 271 rushing yards. Vandy hammered MTSU/Nevada before losing 22-17 LW at Notre Dame- they outgained Irish by 40 yards, but were -3 in turnovers.

Georgia won its last four games with Missouri (1-3 vs spread); they won last three visits here, by 1-34-21 points. Under Smart, Dawgs are 6-2 as road favorites- they’re 7-6 in last 13 games as a double digit favorite. Mizzou is 6-10 in last 16 games as home underdogs (2-1 under Odom); since 2012, they’re 3-10 vs spread as double digit underdogs. Georgia hammered its first three opponents, winning 41-17 at South Carolina, running ball for 266 yds/game vs I-A foes. Mizzou is 3-0, scoring 40 points in last two games; they gave up 572 PY in 40-37 win at Purdue LW.

Wisconsin was stunned at home by 22-point underdog BYU LW; since ’12, Badgers are 13-5 vs spread coming off a SU loss. Under Chryst, Wisconsin is 10-2 as road favorites; they’re 7-3 in last ten games as single digit favorites. Road team won four of last five Wisconsin-Iowa games; Badgers won last four visits here, by 1-19-8-12 points. Since ’08, Iowa is 7-3-1 as home dogs, but 4-8 in last dozen games as single digit dogs. Hawkeyes allowed total of 10 points, 399 TY in wins over Northern Illinois (33-7), Iowa State (13-3) to start their season.

 

[bmd1803]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 4


Saturday, September 22

Akron @ Iowa State

Game 311-312
September 22, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Akron
84.725
Iowa State
93.584
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 9
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 18 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(+18 1/2); Over

NC State @ Marshall

Game 313-314
September 22, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC State
91.223
Marshall
88.041
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 3
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 6
57
Dunkel Pick:
Marshall
(+6); Under

Charlotte @ Massachusetts

Game 315-316
September 22, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
58.494
Massachusetts
63.935
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Massachusetts
by 5 1/2
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Massachusetts
by 9 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+9 1/2); Over

Michigan State @ Indiana

Game 317-318
September 22, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
91.072
Indiana
89.851
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 1
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 4 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+4 1/2); Under

Minnesota @ Maryland

Game 319-320
September 22, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
92.872
Maryland
76.034
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 17
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Maryland
by 3
47
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+3); Under

Western Kentucky @ Ball State

Game 321-322
September 22, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
67.691
Ball State
72.155
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ball State
by 4 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ball State
by 2 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Ball State
(-2 1/2); Over

Boston College @ Purdue

Game 323-324
September 22, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston College
99.478
Purdue
89.836
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston College
by 9 1/2
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston College
by 6 1/2
68
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(-6 1/2); Over

Connecticut @ Syracuse

Game 325-326
September 22, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
61.121
Syracuse
97.111
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 36
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Syracuse
by 27 1/2
76 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(-27 1/2); Under

FIU @ Miami-FL

Game 327-328
September 22, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
FIU
79.643
Miami-FL
103.061
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 23 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 26 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
(+26 1/2); Over

Pittsburgh @ North Carolina

Game 329-330
September 22, 2018 @ 12:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
83.796
North Carolina
82.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 4 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(+4 1/2); Under

Northern Illinois @ Florida

Game 331-332
September 22, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
75.393
Florida
87.161
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 12
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 9 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-9 1/2); Under

Miami of Ohio @ Bowling Green

Game 333-334
September 22, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami of Ohio
71.010
Bowling Green
62.320
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami of Ohio
by 9
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami of Ohio
by 4 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami of Ohio
(-4 1/2); Over

Tulane @ Ohio State

Game 335-336
September 22, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulane
77.254
Ohio State
117.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 40
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 35
66 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-35); Over

Clemson @ Georgia Tech

Game 337-338
September 22, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Clemson
107.297
Georgia Tech
86.841
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 20 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 16 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-16 1/2); Under

Ohio @ Cincinnati

Game 339-340
September 22, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio
76.945
Cincinnati
82.183
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 5
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 8 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(+8 1/2); Over

East Carolina @ South Florida

Game 341-342
September 22, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Carolina
72.586
South Florida
96.360
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
by 24
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Florida
by 22
69
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
(-22); Over

Notre Dame @ Wake Forest

Game 343-344
September 22, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
98.785
Wake Forest
88.395
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 10 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 7 1/2
61
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-7 1/2); Under

Nevada @ Toledo

Game 345-346
September 22, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nevada
70.392
Toledo
89.815
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 19 1/2
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 10
69 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-10); Over

Louisville @ Virginia

Game 347-348
September 22, 2018 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisville
82.338
Virginia
90.343
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 8
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 5
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia
(-5); Under

Western Michigan @ Georgia State

Game 349-350
September 22, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Michigan
76.339
Georgia State
67.650
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 8 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 7
63
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(-7); Over

Buffalo @ Rutgers

Game 351-352
September 22, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
81.912
Rutgers
69.022
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 13
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 5 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-5 1/2); Over

Arizona @ Oregon State

Game 353-354
September 22, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
82.719
Oregon State
73.897
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 9
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 6
75 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-6); Under

Stanford @ Oregon

Game 355-356
September 22, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stanford
102.596
Oregon
89.323
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 13
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Stanford
(-2); Over

Florida @ Tennessee

Game 357-358
September 22, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
89.733
Tennessee
78.736
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 11
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 4 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-4 1/2); Under

Mississippi St @ Kentucky

Game 359-360
September 22, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi St
103.557
Kentucky
91.039
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 12 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 9 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi St
(-9 1/2); Over

Nebraska @ Michigan

Game 361-362
September 22, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nebraska
75.839
Michigan
104.324
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 28 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 19
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan
(-19); Under

Kansas State @ West Virginia

Game 363-364
September 22, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
91.562
West Virginia
93.170
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 1 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 16 1/2
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(+16 1/2); Over

Kent State @ Mississippi

Game 365-366
September 22, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
58.365
Mississippi
96.242
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi
by 38
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi
by 28 1/2
77 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi
(-28 1/2); Under

Rice @ Southern Miss

Game 367-368
September 22, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rice
62.309
Southern Miss
73.747
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 11 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Miss
by 14 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Rice
(+14 1/2); Under

Arkansas @ Auburn

Game 369-370
September 22, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas
67.917
Auburn
107.092
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 39
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 30
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Auburn
(-30); Over

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State

Game 371-372
September 22, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
93.609
Oklahoma State
109.603
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 16
82
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 13
77 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma State
(-13); Over

Navy @ SMU

Game 373-374
September 22, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Navy
84.802
SMU
71.180
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 13 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Navy
by 6
65
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(-6); Under

Coastal Carolina @ LA-Lafayette

Game 375-376
September 22, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Coastal Carolina
74.162
LA-Lafayette
65.298
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 9
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 4
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Coastal Carolina
(+4); Under

TCU @ Texas

Game 379-380
September 22, 2018 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TCU
97.870
Texas
102.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 5
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 3 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+3 1/2); Under

Army @ Oklahoma

Game 381-382
September 22, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Army
87.143
Oklahoma
114.406
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 27
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 32
63
Dunkel Pick:
Army
(+32); Over

Louisiana Tech @ LSU

Game 383-384
September 22, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana Tech
82.674
LSU
101.023
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 18 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 21
48
Dunkel Pick:
Louisiana Tech
(+21); Under

Kansas @ Baylor

Game 385-386
September 22, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas
83.196
Baylor
83.803
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 1
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 8 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas
(+8 1/2); Over

South Carolina @ Vanderbilt

Game 387-388
September 22, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
93.661
Vanderbilt
88.716
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Carolina
by 5
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Carolina
by 2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(-2); Under

South Alabama @ Memphis

Game 389-390
September 22, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Alabama
64.915
Memphis
98.107
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 33
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 28
67
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-28); Over

Air Force @ Utah State

Game 391-392
September 22, 2018 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Air Force
79.286
Utah State
93.362
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah State
by 14
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah State
by 10 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah State
(-10 1/2); Over

New Mexico St @ UTEP

Game 393-394
September 22, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico St
59.292
UTEP
51.630
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Mexico St
by 7 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Mexico St
by 3 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico St
(-3 1/2); Under

Texas State @ TX-San Antonio

Game 395-396
September 22, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas State
59.910
TX-San Antonio
62.430
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TX-San Antonio
by 2 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TX-San Antonio
by 7 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(+7 1/2); Over

Troy @ LA-Monroe

Game 397-398
September 22, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
78.249
LA-Monroe
75.189
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 3
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 6
64
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Monroe
(+6); Under

Virginia Tech @ Old Dominion

Game 399-400
September 22, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
103.031
Old Dominion
55.852
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 47
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 27 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-27 1/2); Over

North Texas @ Liberty

Game 401-402
September 22, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Texas
85.208
Liberty
70.150
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Texas
by 15
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Texas
by 12 1/2
70 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Texas
(-12 1/2); Under

Georgia @ Missouri

Game 403-404
September 22, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia
115.341
Missouri
96.342
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 19
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 14
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(-14); Over

Texas A&M @ Alabama

Game 405-406
September 22, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas A&M
97.510
Alabama
128.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 31
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 27
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-27); Under

Wisconsin @ Iowa

Game 407-408
September 22, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wisconsin
102.200
Iowa
97.241
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 5
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 3
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(-3); Over

Arizona State @ Washington

Game 409-410
September 22, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona State
85.955
Washington
110.960
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 25
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 17
50
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-17); Under

Eastern Michigan @ San Diego St

Game 411-412
September 22, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Michigan
76.428
San Diego St
94.492
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 18
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 10 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-10 1/2); Over

Illinois State @ Colorado State

Game 413-414
September 22, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois State
77.870
Colorado State
69.581
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois State
by 8 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado State
by 6 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois State
(+6 1/2); Under

Maine @ Central Michigan

Game 415-416
September 22, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maine
64.020
Central Michigan
74.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 10
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 7 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Central Michigan
(-7 1/2); Under

NC Central @ Duke

Game 417-418
September 22, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC Central
46.366
Duke
102.502
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 66
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 47 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(-47 1/2); Over

Gardner-Webb @ Appalachian St

Game 419-420
September 22, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Gardner-Webb
47.411
Appalachian St
87.361
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 40
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 44 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
Gardner-Webb
(+44 1/2); Under

McNeese St @ Brigham Young

Game 421-422
September 22, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
McNeese St
70.346
Brigham Young
86.317
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 16
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 19
39 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
McNeese St
(+19); Over

Texas Southern @ Houston

Game 423-424
September 22, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Southern
40.314
Houston
82.622
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 42 1/2
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 49 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Southern
(+49 1/2); Over

Duquesne @ Hawaii

Game 425-426
September 22, 2018 @ 12:00 am

Dunkel Rating:
Duquesne
44.392
Hawaii
84.805
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hawaii
by 40 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hawaii
by 37
67
Dunkel Pick:
Hawaii
(-37); Under

 

[bmd1803]

Tech Trends - Week 4

By Bruce Marshall


SATURDAY, SEPT. 22

Matchup Skinny Edge

AKRON at IOWA STATE...Bowden 2-8 last 10 as DD dog vs. vs. spread against non-MAC. ISU 9-3-1 vs. spread at Ames since 2016.
Iowa State, based on team trends.

NC STATE at MARSHALL...Herd spread marks better lately on road than at home, where Doc is just 5-8 vs. line since 2016. Herd 6-0 as dog LY but only one of those at home. Pack 1-5 as home chalk since LY but NCS 6-2 as road chalk since 2015.
Slight to NC State, based on team trends.

CHARLOTTE at UMASS...Charlotte 2-6 vs. line last 8 away since late 2016. Mass 1-4 as chalk LY but did cover vs. Duquesne in opener. Minutemen 3-6 as single-digit chalk back to 2015.
Slight to Charlotte, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at INDIANA...Dantonio just 1-9 as visiting chalk since 2015. Home team has covered last three in series.
Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.

MINNESOTA at MARYLAND...Road dog has won outright last two years in this series. Fleck however just 1-3-1 vs. spread away LY.
Slight to Minnesota, based on recent series trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at BALL STATE...Sanford in process of burying WKU, just 6-10 vs. spread since his arrival LY, 3-6 vs. line away.
Ball State, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at PURDUE...Brohm 6-2 as dog since LY. BC, however, now 6-1 last 7 vs. spread as visitor, and has covered 12 straight reg-season games.
Boston College, based on recent trends.

UCONN at SYRACUSE...Edsall only 5-10 vs. line in his return to UConn. Cuse was only 1-4 as chalk in 2017 but has started 3-0 vs. line TY.
Slight to Syracuse, based on UConn negatives.

FIU at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Butch on 8-3 spread uptick sicne mid 2017 and is now 7-4 as dog with Golden Panthers. Canes only 4-8 vs. line last 12 on board and Richt 2-4 laying DD vs. FBS foes since LY.
FIU, based on team trends.

PITT at NORTH CAROLINA... Narduzzi is 8-3 vs. spread last 11 as visitor, and road team has covered 3 straight in series. Fedora only 2-6 vs. spread last 8 at Chapel Hill.
Pitt, based on team and series trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at FLORIDA STATE...Noles 0-3 vs. line for Taggart. NIU 10-4 as visiting dog since 2015. Huskies also 5-1 vs. line last six in reg season vs. non-MAC.
NIU, based on team trends.

MIAMI-OHIO at BOWLING GREEN...RedHawks just 2-5 vs. line last seven away from Yager Stadium. But Jinks only 7-19-1 vs. spread for Falcs since 2016 and just 1-11 vs. points at Doyt-Perry Stadium!
Miami-Ohio, based on BGSU negatives.

TULANE at OHIO STATE...Fritz 5-2 vs. line last 7 as dog for Greenies and on 11-5 spread run since late 2016. As DD dog since 2016, however, Fritz only 5-5. Urban returns here for Bucks, now 5-1 vs. line last six as Big Horseshoe chalk vs. non-Big Ten.
Slight to Ohio State, based on team trends.

CLEMSON at GEORGIA TECH...GT last beat Clemson SU in 2014. Paul Johnson 5-1 vs. line last six at home vs. FCS-level foes. Also 13-6-1 as dog since 2014. Dabo just 7-9 as visiting chalk since 2015.
Slight to Georgia Tech, based on team trends.

OHIO at CINCINNATI...Fickell has started 3-0 TY but if chalk here note was 0-4 in role in 2017. Cincy 3-11 vs. line last 14 at Nippert. Solich 9-3 vs. spread last 12 as visitor and 10-4 last 14 as dog.
Ohio, especially if dog, based on team trends.

EAST CAROLINA at SOUTH FLORIDA... USF 3-0-1 vs. line last four in series. ECU 1-9-1 away vs. line for Montgomery since 2016.
USF, based on team trends.

NOTRE DAME at WAKE FOREST... Irish 5-8 last 13 as visiting chalk (though 3-2 in role LY). Deacs were 10-2-1 as dog past two seasons though failed to cover in role vs. BC.
Wake Forest, based on team trends.

NEVADA at TOLEDO...Rockets only 5-5 as Glass Bowl chalk vs. FCS teams since 2016. UT 1-4 vs. line non-MAC LY though cover was at Reno. Pack only 4-8 as road dog since 2016 (2-5 under Jay Norvell).
Slight to Toledo, based on team trends.

LOUISVILLE at VIRGINIA...Petrino on 5-15 spread skid since late 2016. Cavs 3-0 vs. line TY.
Virginia, based on team trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at GEORGIA STATE...GSU just 2-4 vs. line at home since moving into the old Turner Field. Panthers on 2-5-1 spread skid since late LY. WMU just 5-8-1 vs. line for Lester since LY.
Slight to Western Michigan, based on team trends.

BUFFALO at RUTGERS...UB on 11-3-2 spread run for Leipold. Bulls 4-2-1 vs. line away since LY after 1-5 mark away in 2015.
Buffalo, based on team trends.

ARIZONA at OREGON STATE...Sumlin on 25-43-4 spread skid since late in 2013 (0-2 with Arizona). Cats 1-6-1 last 8 vs. line since late 2017. Beavs were 6-3 as home dog past two seasons.
Slight to Oregon State, based on team trends.

STANFORD at OREGON...ree has buried Ducks past two years by combined 101-34. Ducks only 8-14-1 vs. line since 2015 at Autzen. Shaw was 1-3 as road chalk LY but was 4-0 in role in 2016.
Slight to Stanford, based on team trends.

FLORIDA at TENNESSEE...UT had lost 11 in a row vs. Fla before winning in 2016. Last three Gator wins in series have been by 1 point (twice) or on last play of game (as a year ago). Vols 4-10 vs. line last 14 at Knoxville.
Florida, based on team trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at KENTUCKY...Note Dan Mullen’s MSU was 8-1 SU vs. UK the past nine seasons. Stoops just 2-9 vs. line last 11 at Lexington. Joe Moorhead 3-0 SU and vs. line with MSU.
Miss State, based on team and series trends.

NEBRASKA at MICHIGAN...Harbaugh just 2-6 last seven as Ann Arbor chalk, also 2-5 last 7 as Big Ten home chalk. Frost 7-3 vs. spread as visitor while at UCF.
Nebraska, based on team trends.

KANSAS STATE at WEST VIRGINIA...Snyder has been tough on Holgorsen, as KSU 5-1 vs. line against Mounties since WVU joined Big 12 (though WVU has won SU close last two years). Snyder 7-1 as away dog past two years, 28-13 overall as dog since 2011.
Kansas State, based on team and series trends.

KENT STATE at OLE MISS...Golden Flashes covered first two for Lewis after 4-10 spread mark previous 14 entering 2018. Rebs have covered 5 of last 7 in game immediately following Bama.
Slight to Ole Miss, based on team trends.

RICE at SOUTHERN MISS...Owls have covered last two and 4 of last 5 vs. USM, which is just 5-8 vs. line at home since 2016.
Rice, based on team trends.

ARKANSAS at AUBURN...Malzahn on 18-34-2 spread run. Though Gus has destroyed his home-state Hogs the past two years (combined score 108-23) and has covered vs. Porkers 4 of last 5 years.
Auburn, based on series trends.

TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA STATE...Kingsbury has covered 3 of last 4 vs. Gundy, and these teams have gone at least 72 points in their last seven meetings. Red Raiders 9-4 last 13 as visiting dog. OSU just 10-13-1 as DD chalk since 2014.
Texas Tech, based on team and series trends.

NAVY at SMU...Sonny Dykes 1-3 SU and vs. spread since taking over at SMU. Niumatalolo 7-3 as visiting chalk since 2015 and has beaten Mustangs SU last three years (2-1 vs. line).
Navy, based on team trends.

COASTAL CAROLINA at ULL... ULL no covers last six vs. non-Belt BCS opposition (0-1 for Napier). Coastal was 3-1-1 as road dog LY before losing opener at Gamecocks.
Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on team trends.

UNLV at ARKANSAS STATE...Sanchez 12-4 as road dog for UNLV since 2015. Rebs also 10-4 last 14 overall as dog and Sanchez 6-1 vs. points as non-MW visitor. Red Wolves 3-11 vs. spread last 13 vs. non-Belt.
UNLV, based on team trends.

TCU at TEXAS...Frogs have owned Horns lately, won and covered big the last four (total score 153-33!). Tom Herman teams are 10-1 last 11 as dog. Patterson 6-2 last 8 vs. points as visitor.
Slight to TCU, based on recent series trends.

ARMY at OKLAHOMA...Army just 1-4 vs. line last five as visitor and 1-3 last 4 as DD dog. Though 8-6-2 last 14 as visitor vs. line overall. Lincoln Riley 4-1 vs. line reg season non-Big 12 (3-1 laying DD in those).
Slight to Oklahoma, based on team trends.

LA TECH at LSU... Skip 12-5 as dog since 2014, Orgeron no covers last 4 vs. non-SEC at Baton Rouge.
La Tech, based on team trends.

KANSAS at BAYLOR...KU 3-2-1 vs. line last six on big 12 road. Though have been beaten like a drum by Bears who have covered last six in series. Matt Rhule 0-3 as home chalk with Bears.
Slight to Kansas, based on team trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at VANDERBILT...Cocks have won last 9 SU vs. Vandy and covered last 3, though had some trouble vs. line in previous meetings (2-4 preceding six). Muschamp yet to be visiting chalk with Gamecocks, but has covered 7 straight away from Williams-Brice.
South Carolina, based on team and recent series trends.

SOUTH ALABAMA at MEMPHIS...Tigers now 5-1 vs. line last six as host after GSU romp. Tigers 7-2 laying DD since 2017.
Memphis, based on team trends.

AIR FORCE at UTAH STATE...Force now 14-6 as dog since 2014, 8-2 last ten as visiting dog. Falcs have won and covered last 3 in series. Utags 6-2 as Logan chalk since 2016.
Slight to Air Force, based on team and series trends.

NEW MEXICO STATE at UTEP...Home team 3-0-1 vs. line last four meetings. NMSU no covers last 7 in reg season.
Slight to UTEP, based on series home trends.

TEXAS STATE at UTSA...UTSA no covers last 7 or 10 of last 11 since early 2017.
Slight to Texas State, based on UTSA negatives.

TROY at ULM...Troy is 12-3 vs. spread away from home since late 2015. ULM only 2-3 as home dog for Matt Viator since 2016.
Troy, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at ODU... Monarchs no covers first 3, now on 3-10 spread skid since early 2017.. Also just 2-6 last 8 as Norfolk dog. Fuente has now covered 7 of last 8 in reg season vs. non-ACC foes.
Virginia Tech, based on team trends.

NORTH TEXAS at LIBERTY...Seth Littrell 5-3 last 8 as chalk, 5-1 last 6 vs. line reg season vs. BCS non-CUSA foes.
Slight to North Texas, based on team trends.

GEORGIA at MISSOURI... Mizzou has covered last 3 in series and is 9-2 vs. points last ten in reg season. Kirby Smart however is 6-2 as visiting chalk since taking over Bulldogs and has covered 7 straight vs. FBS.
Slight to Georgia, based on team trends.

TEXAS A&M at ALABAMA...Jimbo lost opener vs. Bama LY when still at FSU. Jimbo 5-4 last 9 as dog. But he’s 3-0 vs. line with Ags. Saban 4-1-1 vs. spread last six at Tuscaloosa.
Slight to Alabama, based on team trends.

WISCONSIN at IOWA...Badgers no covers first 3 TY. Ferentz 4-1 last 5 as Iowa City dog.
Slight to Iowa, based on team trends.

ARIZONA STATE at WASHINGTON... Sun Devils have actually covered last three years in series. Huskies just 8-9 last 17 on board though have covered 5 of last 8 in Seattle. U-Dub 4-1 vs. line as Pac-12 host LY.
Slight to Arizona State, based on series trends.

EASTERN MICHIGAN at SAN DIEGO STATE...EMU 16-3-1 last 20 as dog, 12-2 last 14 as road dog. SDS 2-7 last 9 as home chalk.
Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.

 

[bmd1803]

NO BOSA FOR BUCKEYES

How much of an impact can the absence of one defensive player have on the opposing team's offensive fortunes? Bettors will find that out for themselves this weekend, as the Tulane Green Wave take on a host Ohio State Buckeyes team that will be without defensive end and top NFL draft prospect Nick Bosa. The junior superstar is dealing with a lower abdomen injury that knocked him out in the third quarter of last weekend's 40-28 victory over TCU. Bosa is having an incredible season to date, having racked up four sacks, six tackles for loss and a fumble recovery for a touchdown.

The line has moved 1.5 points in the Buckeyes' favor, from -34 to -35.5, while the total has dipped to 65. That leaves Tulane with an implied team total of ~15 points; the Green Wave have surpassed that number in seven of their past nine road games, going 5-4 ATS in that span.

 

[bmd1803]

MARTINEZ A GAME-TIME DECISION - AGAIN

Nebraska continues to troll the world with its quarterback situation. After announcing Adrian Martinez as the starter last week against Troy before replacing him with Andrew Bunch just prior to kickoff, Huskers head coach Scott Frost says Martinez remains a game-time decision for this weekend's encounter with Michigan. Frost said Martinez was close to returning from a knee injury against the Trojans but wasn't 100 percent ready. Frost and Nebraska are reeling after dropping their first two games of the season, both at home.

The Huskers are in tough this week, sitting at +18.5 against the host Wolverines; the total sits at 49. That said, Nebraska has gone 8-3 ATS in its last 11 road games and could make things interesting if Martinez plays Saturday.

 

[bmd1803]

STOREY'S THE ONE

It might not be entirely accurate to suggest that Ty Storey has "won" the Arkansas Razorbacks' starting quarterback job – but he'll be under center for Saturday's marquee showdown at Auburn. Storey was named the No. 1 QB by Razorbacks head coach Chad Morris, ending a duel that saw neither Storey nor Cole Kelley run away with the role. The two combined for six touchdowns and six interceptions over Arkansas' first thee games, with Storey (56.7 percent) posting a slightly better completion rate than Kelley (55.4). Arkansas is averaging 233.7 passing yards per game, good for 70th nationally.

The Razorbacks' QB struggles, combined with the Tigers looking for a rebound at home following last week's stunning loss to LSU, make Auburn a strong pick at -29.5. And with Arkansas' team total presently sitting at around 13 points, it's worth noting that Auburn has held road foes to 13 or fewer points in eight of their past 14 home games.

 

[bmd1803]

LOUISVILLE PASSING ON PASS

So much for being the next Lamar Jackson. Sophomore quarterback Juwon Pass has been benched by Louisville head coach Bobby Petrino for this weekend's game against Virginia. Pass will watch from the sidelines this weekend after opening the season with a 50 percent completion rate, two touchdown passes and four interceptions in parts of three games with the Cardinals. Pass he has been dealing with a turf toe injury that has limited him in the running game, resulting in him totaling just seven rushing yards on 15 attempts. Cunningham is 16-for-25 for 163 yards and a score to date.

The Cavaliers opened at -3.5, but the Cardinals' QB problems have played a role in that line being bet up to -5. But Virginia is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a home favorite, while Louisville is a red-hot 15-2 ATS in its past 17 as a true road 'dog.

 

[bmd1803]

BRYCE IS BACK

The Stanford Cardinal will have their sensational running back in the lineup for Saturday's road showdown with Oregon. Bryce Love sat out last week's win over UC Davis with an undisclosed injury but is fit to return against the Pac-12-rival Ducks. Head coach David Shaw said Love took some hard hits in the Cardinal's Week 2 win over USC and was held out of last week's game as a precaution. Stanford couldn't do much of anything on the ground in Love's absence, settling for 137 rushing yards on 33 carries. Love has 40 totes for 165 yards and a touchdown on the season.

The line for this game has quickly swung from Stanford +1.5 in some spots all the way to Stanford -2, with the total at 57. That puts the Cardinal's team total at around 30 points; they've scored 30+ points in eight of the last 15 games Love has played dating back to the start of last season.

 

[bmd1803]

REINFORCEMENTS FOR IOWA

A pair of Iowa Hawkeyes offensive players are set to make their return for this weekend's home encounter with Wisconsin. Running back Ivory Kelly-Martin and wide receiver Ihmir Smith-Marsette both missed last week's victory over Northern Iowa but are expected to be back in the lineup Saturday. The returns of Kelly-Martin and Smith-Marsette will provide some much-needed depth for a Hawkeyes team that has averaged 28 points through its first three games but has scored more than 20 points in just one of its previous five games vs. the Badgers.

Iowa is listed at +3 against Wisconsin, a slight bump from a +3.5-opening line; the total sits at 43.5. Iowa is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 games as a home underdog and should be buoyed by the returns of Kelly-Martin and Smith-Marsette.

 

[bmd1803]

RED ZONE RED ALERT

Two teams in desperate need of a red-zone makeover will face off at Doak Campbell Stadium this Saturday as Florida State hosts Northern Illinois. The visiting Huskies have been somewhat ineffective inside their opponents' 20-yard line, having made eight trips and recording just four touchdowns – all through the air – and two field goals. But the Seminoles have been even worse in the red zone this season, managing just four TDs and a field goal on their nine trips inside the 20. That 55.6-percent scoring success rate is second-worst among Division I teams, ahead of only Western Kentucky (50 percent).

The Seminoles are 10-point favorites as they look to return to the .500 mark – but bettors should be wary about that total of 45. With both teams struggling mightily in the red zone, the under looks like the more appealing option here.

 

[bmd1803]

HIGDON RETURNS FOR MICHIGAN

The Michigan Wolverines will have their top running back in the lineup for Saturday's showdown with visiting Nebraska. Running backs coach Jay Harbaugh says Karan Higdon will be available this weekend after missing last weekend's win over Southern Methodist with an undisclosed injury. And the Wolverines are also expected to have No. 2 running back Chris Evans in the fold; he's also dealing with an undisclosed ailment. Michigan enters the weekend averaging a robust 5.2 yards per carry, with Higdon and Evans combining for 400 rushing yards and four TDs through three games.

The Wolverines are favored by 17.5 points against the Huskers; they're 6-0 SU and 3-2-1 ATS when Higdon rushes for at least 100 yards, with five of those victories coming by 20 or more points.

 

[bmd1803]

ROGERS READY TO GO

The Texas A&M Aggies have a tall task ahead of them in Alabama this weekend, but at least they'll have one of their top wide receivers back. Sophomore wideout Kendrick Rogers sat out last week's victory over Louisiana-Monroe with a foot injury, but head coach Jimbo Fisher says he expects Rogers to be available Saturday. Rogers has already featured prominently against a marquee opponent this season, hauling in seven catches for 120 yards and a pair of scores in the Aggies' heart-wrenching 28-26 loss to the Clemson Tigers back on Sept. 8.

Rogers' return could give the Aggies the boost they need to challenge their team total, which comes in at around 17.5 points as of Thursday. But bettors beware: Texas A&M, presently a 26-point underdog with a total of 61, has been outscored 92-14 in its previous two visits to Tuscaloosa.

 

[bmd1803]

WILL AHNMON BE AVAILABLE?

The Miami Hurricanes are holding their breath about the availability of Ahmmon Richards. The talented wide receiver hasn't yet returned to practice since suffering a knee injury in the Hurricanes' season-opening 33-17 loss to LSU, and he's still considered day-to-day. Richards is, however, listed as a starter on Miami's Week 4 depth chart, a sign that he might be ready to return. Richards has battled injuries since putting up 934 receiving yards and three touchdowns as a freshman in 2016; he had just one catch for nine yards against the Tigers before departing.

Richards' return to full health could mean a boon for a Miami team that hasn't had any problem scoring without him, racking up 126 points in wins over Savannah State and Toledo. Yet, with a team total of ~41 points against visiting Florida International (Miami is -26.5 with an O/U of 56.5), Richards' presence certainly makes the over a much stronger option.

 

[bmd1803]

KENNY WALKER
NCAA-F | Sep 22, 2018
Texas A&M vs. Alabama
Texas A&M+26½ -105

 

[bmd1803]

JACK JONES

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Clemson -15

I think the fact that Clemson is 0-3 ATS thus far this season is keeping this number against Georgia Tech lower than it should be in Week 4. They beat Furman 48-7 but failed to cover as 50-point favorites, they beat Texas A&M on the road 28-26 but failed to cover as 12-point favorites, and they beat Georgia Southern 38-7 and barely failed to cover as 31.5-point favorites.

But that Georgia Southern game was a bigger blowout than the final score even. The Tigers outgained them by 455 yards and should have won by more. And the fact that they played Georgia Southern will be a huge help here because they are playing a triple-option offense for a second consecutive week.

Clemson has certainly had an answer for Georgia Tech’s triple-option offense in recent years, too. Over the past three years, the Tigers have held the Yellow Jackets to just 121 rushing yards per game and 2.9 per carry in their three meetings. Georgia Tech has only managed 17 combined points in its last two meetings with Clemson.

This is a Georgia Tech team that simply isn’t any good. They lost 38-49 as a 3-point favorite at South Florida in Week 2. Then they trailed 6-24 at Pitt last week as this game was decided early before they tacked on a couple of scores late in a 19-24 loss. The big blow was losing RB KirVonte Benson to a season-ending injury in that USF defeat. He rushed for 1,053 yards last year and was their best playmaker outside their QB. No other RB topped 280 yards rushing last year.

Clemson boasts a potent offense that is putting up 38.0 points and 513 yards per game this season. They will do enough offensively to put Georgia Tech away, and I expect their defense to continue the three-year trend of coordinator Will Venables shutting down the triple-option. Look for the Tigers to be focused for their ACC opener and win big in this one. Bet Clemson Saturday.

 

[bmd1803]

BLACK WIDOW
NCAA-F | Sep 22, 2018
Western Michigan vs. Georgia State
Western Michigan-6½ -110