JACK JONES
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Milwaukee Brewers -119
The Milwaukee Brewers pulled off a gutsy 7-6 victory over Pittsburgh in 15 innings last night. Trailing 6-4 in the bottom of the 15th, they scored 3 runs to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. That’s exactly the type of win that can give them a ton of confidence moving forward as they try to chase down the Cubs in the NL Central.
The Pirates have gone just 2-9 in their last 11 games overall and cannot be trusted down the stretch as they have fallen out of contention. While Jameson Taillon is a solid starter at 9-9 with a 3.58 ERA in 25 starts this season, he and the Pirates are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers tonight.
Jhoulys Chacin has posted similar numbers to Taillon. Chacin is 13-4 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.166 WHIP in 27 starts this season. He is also 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last three starts. He has owned the Pirates in three starts against them in 2018, giving up just 3 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings for a 1.53 ERA. He has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts against Pittsburgh.
The Pirates are 22-48 in their last 70 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 8-1 in Chacin’s last nine home starts. Milwaukee is 71-27 in its last 98 home meetings with Pittsburgh. Bet the Brewers Saturday.
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Milwaukee Brewers -119
The Milwaukee Brewers pulled off a gutsy 7-6 victory over Pittsburgh in 15 innings last night. Trailing 6-4 in the bottom of the 15th, they scored 3 runs to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. That’s exactly the type of win that can give them a ton of confidence moving forward as they try to chase down the Cubs in the NL Central.
The Pirates have gone just 2-9 in their last 11 games overall and cannot be trusted down the stretch as they have fallen out of contention. While Jameson Taillon is a solid starter at 9-9 with a 3.58 ERA in 25 starts this season, he and the Pirates are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers tonight.
Jhoulys Chacin has posted similar numbers to Taillon. Chacin is 13-4 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.166 WHIP in 27 starts this season. He is also 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last three starts. He has owned the Pirates in three starts against them in 2018, giving up just 3 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings for a 1.53 ERA. He has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts against Pittsburgh.
The Pirates are 22-48 in their last 70 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 8-1 in Chacin’s last nine home starts. Milwaukee is 71-27 in its last 98 home meetings with Pittsburgh. Bet the Brewers Saturday.
ROSS BENJAMIN
Game# 291-292
Play On: New Mexico State +4.0
On paper Wyoming would seem to be the stronger side. But this just in, games aren’t won on paper. Wyoming was a remarkable +24 in turnover margin last season, and yet they somehow managed to lose 5 games. My professional experience has shown me that teams who were beneficiaries of such a huge plus turnover differential season, very seldom come close to matching that prosperity the following year.
It also must be noted, Wyoming has lost 10 straight non-conference road games. Their last win in that role came way back in 2011 when they squeaked by with a 28-27 victory at Bowling Green. By the way, the Cowboys have lost their first road game in each of the last 6 and 15 of their previous 16 seasons.
I believe New Mexico State’s defense will take another giant step in the right direction similar to what we saw last season. That unit will more than do its part in providing the Aggies an ample opportunity to pull off a mild upset. However, momma didn’t raise no fool, and I’ll gladly take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on New Mexico State plus the points for my Saturday 8/25 free pick of the day.
Game# 291-292
Play On: New Mexico State +4.0
On paper Wyoming would seem to be the stronger side. But this just in, games aren’t won on paper. Wyoming was a remarkable +24 in turnover margin last season, and yet they somehow managed to lose 5 games. My professional experience has shown me that teams who were beneficiaries of such a huge plus turnover differential season, very seldom come close to matching that prosperity the following year.
It also must be noted, Wyoming has lost 10 straight non-conference road games. Their last win in that role came way back in 2011 when they squeaked by with a 28-27 victory at Bowling Green. By the way, the Cowboys have lost their first road game in each of the last 6 and 15 of their previous 16 seasons.
I believe New Mexico State’s defense will take another giant step in the right direction similar to what we saw last season. That unit will more than do its part in providing the Aggies an ample opportunity to pull off a mild upset. However, momma didn’t raise no fool, and I’ll gladly take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on New Mexico State plus the points for my Saturday 8/25 free pick of the day.
