Saturday 07/21/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

[bmd1803]

Jack Brayman


I'm on a 32-17 run with my comp plays after hitting the Los Angeles Dodgers last night in Milwaukee. Tonight my Bonus Play is on the Philadelphia Phillies Run Line, the same play I delivered on Friday as my 100 Dimer.


There were some surprises in the first half of the season, and one of them was the Philadelphia Phillies. Nobody expected the Phils to do what they did, and now I think it comes down to them or the Atlanta Braves in the National League East.


The Braves showed us last night they're not afraid of the Washington Nationals, as they're in D.C. for a weekend set and won the series-opener 8-5. That means the Phils couldn't extend their lead in the division and need to stay on their toes in this series against the San Diego Padres..


Though pitchers are automatically listed when making Run Line wagers, I am insisting you DO NOT worry about who the scheduled starters are. In the event of a scratch, you MUST re-wager the game with the new pitcher(s) who are scheduled. This play will stand no matter who pitches for either team.


That's because it isn't necessary and would be idiotic to lose a value because of one pitcher, in the event he can't go. So watch your bet closely, and be sure your action remains good.


The Phils' pitching staff as a whole is the team's strength, not the offense. So it won't matter who goes for Philadelphia, which boasts the league's ninth-best home ERA (3.63) and 11th best ERA overall (3.85).


Philadelphia pitchers have also allowed the sixth fewest home runs in its own ball park, letting just 50 leave the yard at CBP. They kept San Diego hitters inside the park last night.


The Phils lost their last two in the first half, and it was clear they wanted to build some momentum over the weekend while hosting one of the league's worst teams. San Diego is mired in a six-game skid and just 20-29 on the road this season. The Friars have lost nine of 11, and couldn't have asked for a worse spot to open the second half of the season, against a buzzsaw in the Phillies.


Play the Phils on the Run Line tonight.


2* PHILLIES RUN LINE

 

[bmd1803]

Jeff Benton


Your Saturday freebie is the Over in the White Sox-Mariners game.


Very surprised this total is not a full run higher then the 8 1/2 as I type my analysis.


Chicago starter Dylan Covey didn't exactly go to the All-Star Break in "fine form", as each of his last 3 starts all played Over the total, and his ERA in those 3 starts is over 14!


For the season, Covey's ERA is 5.69 with that ERA moving up to 7.90 when he makes the start on the highway.


Felix Rodriguez is just a shell of his former dominant self, as his ERA stands at 5.13 for the season. The Over is 2-1-1 in Rodriguez' last 4 starts.


The White Sox have played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the total, and after a series opening Under last night, look for the bats to light up the night tonight with Covey and Hernandez on the hill.


4* WHITE SOX-SEATTLE OVER

 

[bmd1803]

Brad Wilton


Saturday's Bonus Play winner is the Mets and Yankees Over the total at Yankee Stadium.


Last night's Over placed the Metropolitans at a modest 4-3 Over the total for their last 7 games, while it put the Yankees at 5-1-2 Over in their last 8 games played.


It will be Matz and Gray, and all I need to say is Sonny Gray pitching at home has been anything but pleasurable for Yankee fans.


Gray owns an 8.25 ERA in the Bronx, with 6 of his 8 home starts this season playing Over the total!


Steven Matz is making his second start this season against the Yanks, as he allowed 3 runs in his 6 innings of work in his first go'round against them in early June.


Gray is a ticking time-bomb at home, and after getting 7 runs last night, look for the Mets to score some more this afternoon.


Mets-Yankees Over.


3* N.Y. METS-N.Y.YANKEES OVER

 

[bmd1803]

Eric Schroeder


The New York Mets got it going early yesterday in this subway series, opening a 3-0 lead over the New York Yankees in the first inning. The Mets shellshocked the pinstripes, and it's the type of approach I expect today.


I'm listing both scheduled starters, with Steven Matz over Sonny Gray. The Mets are 2-2 against the Yanks this season, and right now I don't trust the boys from Bronx's offense, as it's struggling with runners in scoring position.


Matz, one of baseball’s best pitchers since the beginning of May, will be able to neutralize the Yankees long enough for the Mets to get out in the lead. The left-hander posted a 2.91 ERA over his final 13 first-half starts and I suspect will keep rolling at Yankee Stadium.


The run support will come against Gray, who I know is coming off six scoreless innings of three-hit ball, while striking out eight to defeat the Orioles in Baltimore. But prior to that, Gray was hammered for 11 runs over 4 1/3 innings in his previous two starts.


Play the boys from Queens over the guys from 161st Street.


The Mets with the value.


5* METS (Matz over Gray)