Saturday 07/21/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

[bmd1803]

Preview: Red Sox at Tigers
Gracenote
Jul 21, 2018

The Boston Red Sox averaged seven runs in their final 13 contests before the All-Star Game and found another way to win in their first after the break with a 1-0 triumph Friday, increasing their lead in the American League East. The major league-best Red Sox go after their 14th win in 15 contests when they visit the struggling Detroit Tigers on Saturday night in the second of a three-game set.

Boston made an RBI double from red-hot Steve Pearce in the first inning hold up as four pitchers combined on a five-hitter and Xander Bogaerts extended his hitting streak to seven games (10-for-29, 10 RBIs) with a single. Left-hander Brian Johnson gets the ball for the Red Sox, who lead the New York Yankees by 5 1/2 games in the AL East, in the middle contest of the series and will face snakebit right-hander Mike Fiers. The Tigers had five hits and went 1-for-8 with runners in scoring position Friday to get shut out for the 13th time this season - most in the majors - and drop to 5-21 in their last 26 games. Center fielder Leonys Martin (hamstring) went 1-for-3 in his return from the disabled list for Detroit and Nicholas Castellanos has hit safely in seven of his last eight starts for the Tigers.

TV: 6:10 p.m. ET, NESN (Boston), FS Detroit

PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox LH Brian Johnson (1-2, 4.20 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Mike Fiers (6-6, 3.70)

Johnson has made three straight starts and did not make it through five innings in any of them, all of which ended with a no-decision. The 27-year-old Florida native permitted five runs on 13 hits and seven walks in those three outings, following 21 straight relief appearances. Johnson earned his only win of the campaign in his first appearance, limiting Miami to one run and six hits over a season-high six innings on April 2.

Fiers strung together four quality starts before the All-Star break, yielding six runs over 27 innings combined, but managed just a 1-2 record. The 33-year-old Floridian, who is 4-2 with a 3.00 ERA in nine starts at home, walked only three batters in his past four outings while giving up a pair of homers to push his total to 18 against in as many appearances. J.D. Martinez is 7-for-14 with two homers versus Fiers, who is 1-0 with a 2.76 ERA in three outings (two starts) against Boston.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Tigers placed RHP Michael Fulmer (left oblique) on the 10-day disabled list and recalled RHP Victor Alcantara.

2. Boston UTIL Brock Holt left Friday’s game with a left knee contusion and is day-to-day while 3B Rafael Devers (shoulder) is expected to be activated Saturday.

3. Pearce is 13-for-30 with six RBIs in his first 11 games with the Red Sox after being acquired from Toronto.

PREDICTION: Tigers 6, Red Sox 4

 

[bmd1803]

W/L Trends
Boston

Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Red Sox are 54-18 in their last 72 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 45-16 in their last 61 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 Saturday games.
Red Sox are 37-14 in their last 51 games on grass.
Red Sox are 39-15 in their last 54 overall.
Red Sox are 58-23 in their last 81 vs. a team with a losing record.
Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 37-15 in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Red Sox are 48-20 in their last 68 games following a win.
Red Sox are 36-16 in their last 52 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 35-16 in their last 51 road games.
Red Sox are 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 road starts.
Red Sox are 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Red Sox are 9-0 in Johnsons last 9 starts.
Red Sox are 8-0 in Johnsons last 8 starts on grass.

Detroit

Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Tigers are 13-28 in their last 41 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 17-37 in their last 54 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 11-27 in their last 38 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 7-20 in their last 27 games following a loss.
Tigers are 5-16 in their last 21 games on grass.
Tigers are 2-7 in their last 9 home games.
Tigers are 3-11 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Tigers are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Tigers are 5-21 in their last 26 overall.
Tigers are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
Tigers are 4-0 in Fiers' last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 4-0 in Fiers' last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 7-1 in Fiers' last 8 home starts.
Tigers are 4-1 in Fiers' last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 4-1 in Fiers' last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 7-3 in Fiers' last 10 starts.

OU Trends
Boston

Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 8-2-1 in Red Sox last 11 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 8-3-1 in Red Sox last 12 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-0-1 in Johnsons last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0-1 in Johnsons last 5 road starts.
Under is 5-2-1 in Johnsons last 8 starts on grass.
Under is 5-2-1 in Johnsons last 8 starts overall.

Detroit

Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 home games.
Under is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 10-2 in Tigers last 12 vs. American League East.
Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 17-6 in Tigers last 23 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 19-7 in Tigers last 26 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 8-3-1 in Tigers last 12 on grass.
Under is 13-5-1 in Tigers last 19 overall.
Under is 23-10 in Tigers last 33 games following a loss.
Under is 3-0-1 in Fiers' last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 4-0 in Fiers' last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Fiers' last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 2-0-2 in Fiers' last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-1 in Fiers' last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-1 in Fiers' last 4 starts overall.
Under is 4-0-2 in Fiers' last 6 home starts.
Under is 6-1-2 in Fiers' last 9 starts on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Fiers' last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Fiers' last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Red Sox are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Stu Scheurwater

Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Scheurwater behind home plate.
Over is 3-1-1 in Scheurwaters last 5 Saturday games behind home plate.
Road team is 5-2 in Scheurwaters last 7 Saturday games behind home plate.
Home team is 5-2 in Scheurwaters last 7 games behind home plate vs. Boston.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Marlins at Rays
Gracenote
Jul 21, 2018

Derek Dietrich looks to punish the team that drafted him for the second straight night as his Miami Marlins attempt to clinch the Citrus Series on Saturday when they visit the Tampa Bay Rays. Dietrich, who was picked in the second round in 2010 by the Rays before being traded to Miami for Yunel Escobar, homered twice and knocked in four runs Friday before the Marlins held on for a 6-5 victory - their third in four ties in the six-game season series.

Miami owns six wins in its last eight games overall and can clinch a third straight series victory against a team that started the set with a winning record Saturday, while it tries to even the all-time Sunshine State matchup with the Rays at 56-56. Rookie Pablo Lopez makes his fourth career start when he takes the mound for the Marlins in the second game of the series while reliever Ryne Stanek will pitch the first inning or two for Tampa Bay. The Rays rallied to score four in the bottom of the ninth inning Friday, but left the tying run at second base for their fourth loss in the last five contests. Kevin Kiermaier (left foot discomfort) left Friday’s game and Matt Duffy (back) was scratched from the lineup, but both are considered day-to-day moving forward, while teammate Adeiny Hechavarria takes a seven-game hit streak into the weekend.

TV: 6:10 p.m. ET, FS Florida (Miami), FS Sun (Tampa Bay)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Marlins RH Pablo Lopez (1-1, 6.35 ERA) vs. Rays RH Ryne Stanek (1-2, 2.08)

Lopez struggled in his last two starts after a strong major league debut on June 30 against the New York Mets when he allowed two runs over six innings. The 22-year-old Venezuelan native gave up 10 runs on 11 hits and five walks across 11 innings combined in his last two outings with nine strikeouts. Lopez, acquired from Seattle in the David Phelps deal, was 2-3 with a 1.44 ERA in 12 starts at Triple-A and Double-A combined this year.

Stanek opened 12 games this season for the Rays, permitting three runs on nine hits and seven walks across 18 2/3 innings with 24 strikeouts. The 26-year-old Kansas native, who was picked 29th by the Rays in the 2013 draft, gave up one run over two innings in his last start Saturday at Minnesota and owns a 2.89 ERA in July after pitching 15 2/3 scoreless innings during June. Stanek gave up one run in two innings of relief against Miami early this month.

WALK-OFFS

1. Tampa Bay OF Mallex Smith ripped a three-run triple in the ninth inning Friday and is 7-for-10 with five runs in his last three games.

2. Miami 2B Starlin Castro is 10-for-18 with a pair of walks and three runs scored against the Rays this season.

3. The Rays recalled C Adam Moore and designated OF Johnny Field for assignment before Friday’s contest.

PREDICTION: Rays 7, Marlins 4

 

[bmd1803]

W/L Trends
Miami

Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games on astroturf.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Marlins are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League East.
Marlins are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games.
Marlins are 17-36 in their last 53 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Marlins are 11-24 in their last 35 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Marlins are 19-42 in their last 61 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Tampa Bay

Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games.
Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rays are 17-5 in their last 22 games on astroturf.
Rays are 17-5 in their last 22 home games.
Rays are 17-5 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Rays are 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 games following a loss.
Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Rays are 46-20 in their last 66 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Rays are 36-17 in their last 53 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Rays are 5-11 in their last 16 vs. National League East.
Rays are 5-11 in their last 16 interleague games.
Rays are 3-9 in their last 12 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rays are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague home games.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rays are 4-1 in Staneks last 5 home starts.
Rays are 4-1 in Staneks last 5 starts on astroturf.
Rays are 1-6 in Staneks last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

OU Trends
Miami

Over is 8-0 in Marlins last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 10-2 in Marlins last 12 road games.
Under is 5-1-2 in Marlins last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Marlins last 5 Saturday games.
Over is 6-2 in Marlins last 8 interleague road games.
Over is 13-5 in Marlins last 18 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 20-8-2 in Marlins last 30 games following a win.
Over is 7-3 in Marlins last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Tampa Bay

Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Rays last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 16-5-1 in Rays last 22 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 6-2-1 in Rays last 9 on astroturf.
Under is 3-1-1 in Rays last 5 Saturday games.
Under is 6-2-1 in Rays last 9 home games.
Under is 8-3 in Rays last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 10-4 in Rays last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 23-11-1 in Rays last 35 games following a loss.
Under is 4-0-1 in Staneks last 5 starts on astroturf.
Under is 4-0-1 in Staneks last 5 home starts.
Under is 4-1-1 in Staneks last 6 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.
Under is 4-1 in Staneks last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1-1 in Staneks last 6 starts overall.
Under is 4-1 in Staneks last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Head to Head

Marlins are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Umpire Trends - Jeff Nelson

Under is 5-0 in Nelsons last 5 Saturday games behind home plate.
Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games with Nelson behind home plate.
Over is 5-0 in Nelsons last 5 games behind home plate vs. Miami.
Home team is 8-1 in Nelsons last 9 games behind home plate vs. Tampa Bay.
Under is 4-1 in Nelsons last 5 interleague games behind home plate.
Over is 8-2 in Nelsons last 10 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Miami.
Under is 11-3 in Nelsons last 14 games behind home plate.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games with Nelson behind home plate.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Braves at Nationals
Gracenote
Jul 21, 2018

Maybe the Atlanta Braves have found an answer to their season-long issue of effectiveness at the leadoff spot, and they head into Saturday’s middle contest of a three-game series at the Washington Nationals looking to capture the series and regain the top spot in National League East. Rookie left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. got his first career start in the leadoff spot Friday, and all the 20-year-old did was finish 3-for-4 with a homer, two stolen bases and three runs scored in an 8-5 victory.

One concern for Atlanta entering the middle game of the series is the health of All-Star second baseman Ozzie Albies, who doubled, stole a base and scored a run before leaving after two innings with right hamstring tightness. But Atlanta emphatically snapped a 3-8 skid by jumping on Washington pitching, finishing with 12 hits (seven for extra bases) while handing the Nationals their sixth loss in the past nine games. Third baseman Anthony Rendon finished 1-for-4 to extend his hitting streak to nine games and has collected at least one base hit in 26 of his past 30 games. The two youngest players in the majors homered in the series opener, Acuna belting his eighth longball in the top of the eighth before 19-year-old Juan Soto answered for the Nationals with a two-run shot in the bottom of the eighth.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, FS South (Atlanta), MASN2 (Washington)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves LH Sean Newcomb (8-5, 3.51 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (6-6, 3.72)
Newcomb stumbled into the All-Star break with three subpar starts to begin July, losing all three outings while posting a 9.75 ERA with 12 walks and four homers allowed in 12 innings. The 25-year-old had pitched himself into consideration for the NL All-Star team with a dominant May and June, during which he went 7-1 with a 2.07 ERA. Newcomb, who gave up three runs on four hits in 5 2/3 innings in last Saturday's loss to Arizona, is 1-1 with a 5.56 ERA in two starts against Washington this season.
Gonzalez showed signs of shaking off an awful June with three good starts in July leading into the All-Star break, posting a 3.94 ERA after going 0-3 with an 8.44 ERA and six homers allowed in five outings last month. The 32-year-old gave up two runs on six hits in six innings in a July 11 loss at Pittsburgh and has not won a game since beating Baltimore on May 28 – a streak of eight consecutive starts. The first start of that stretch was a no-decision June 2 at Atlanta in which Gonzalez gave up three runs on five hits with nine strikeouts and no walks in seven innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Washington 1B Ryan Zimmerman (right oblique strain) was activated from the disabled list but did not start; he grounded out as a pinch-hitter, while 1B Matt Adams finished 1-for-4 with his 16th homer.

2. The Braves finished with a season-high four stolen bases Friday.

3. Atlanta RF Nick Markakis finished 1-for-4 to extend his hitting streak to nine games.

PREDICTION: Braves 6, Nationals 3

 

[bmd1803]

W/L Trends
Atlanta

Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. National League East.
Braves are 9-4 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Braves are 9-4 in their last 13 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 4-0 in Newcombs last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Braves are 4-0 in Newcombs last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Braves are 6-2 in Newcombs last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Braves are 4-10 in Newcombs last 14 starts during game 2 of a series.
Braves are 2-5 in Newcombs last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 4-10 in Newcombs last 14 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 2-6 in Newcombs last 8 Saturday starts.
Braves are 1-4 in Newcombs last 5 road starts.
Braves are 0-5 in Newcombs last 5 starts.
Braves are 0-5 in Newcombs last 5 starts on grass.

Washington

Nationals are 10-21 in their last 31 overall.
Nationals are 4-10 in their last 14 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Nationals are 3-13 in their last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 1-9 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Nationals are 5-0 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Nationals are 5-0 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts with 9 or more days of rest.
Nationals are 6-1 in Gonzalezs last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 6-1 in Gonzalezs last 7 home starts.
Nationals are 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Nationals are 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Nationals are 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 Saturday starts.
Nationals are 21-7 in Gonzalezs last 28 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 6-2 in Gonzalezs last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 7-3 in Gonzalezs last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.
Nationals are 1-4 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 1-5 in Gonzalezs last 6 starts.

OU Trends
Atlanta

Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 7-2-1 in Braves last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 16-5 in Braves last 21 road games.
Under is 6-2 in Braves last 8 vs. National League East.
Over is 9-3 in Braves last 12 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 11-4-1 in Braves last 16 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Braves last 7 games following a win.
Over is 5-0 in Newcombs last 5 road starts.
Over is 8-1-1 in Newcombs last 10 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1-1 in Newcombs last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Newcombs last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Newcombs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 4-1 in Newcombs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Newcombs last 5 starts overall.
Over is 4-1 in Newcombs last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-2-1 in Newcombs last 9 starts vs. National League East.
Under is 14-6 in Newcombs last 20 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Washington

Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 22-6 in Nationals last 28 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 7-2 in Nationals last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 20-7 in Nationals last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 40-15-3 in Nationals last 58 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 10-4 in Nationals last 14 Saturday games.
Over is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 vs. National League East.
Under is 17-7 in Nationals last 24 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 44-21-4 in Nationals last 69 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Gonzalezs last 7 starts vs. National League East.
Under is 13-3 in Gonzalezs last 16 starts on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts overall.
Under is 13-4-1 in Gonzalezs last 18 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 6-2 in Gonzalezs last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Gonzalezs last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Head to Head

Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings.
Braves are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
Nationals are 6-13 in Gonzalezs last 19 starts vs. Braves.
Braves are 10-29 in the last 39 meetings in Washington.

Umpire Trends - CB Bucknor

Under is 11-1 in Bucknors last 12 games behind home plate vs. Washington.
Under is 6-1-1 in Bucknors last 8 Saturday games behind home plate.
Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 Saturday games with Bucknor behind home plate.
Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Bucknor behind home plate.
Under is 16-4-1 in Bucknors last 21 games behind home plate vs. Atlanta.
Under is 3-1-1 in Bucknors last 5 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Atlanta.
Under is 5-2 in Bucknors last 7 games behind home plate.
Road team is 5-2 in Bucknors last 7 games behind home plate.
Braves are 1-6 in their last 7 games with Bucknor behind home plate.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Padres at Phillies
Gracenote
Jul 21, 2018

The Philadelphia Phillies finished the first half of the season as the National League's best home team, and that success at Citizens Bank Park has played a critical role in allowing them to position themselves atop their division. The Phillies seek a sixth consecutive home victory Saturday when they continue a three-game set with the San Diego Padres.

Philadelphia won for the seventh time in eight contests at Citizens Bank Park and improved to 31-16 at the venue following Friday's 11-5 triumph over the Padres, rallying from a four-run first-inning deficit to maintain its one-half game edge over Atlanta in the NL East. Carlos Santana did the bulk of the damage with a three-run homer during the Phillies' six-run second inning as the first four hitters in the lineup accounted for five runs and nine RBIs. San Diego fell to 1-7 during its 10-game run against each of the division leaders in the NL, dropping three of four to the Los Angeles Dodgers before getting swept by the Chicago Cubs leading into the All-Star break. Freddy Galvis tallied three hits in his first game against the team that traded him in the offseason, including a pair of run-scoring singles.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, FS San Diego, NBC 10 (Philadelphia)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Padres RH Luis Perdomo (1-4, 7.55 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Vince Velasquez (5-8, 4.39)

Perdomo fell to 0-4 with an 11.29 ERA in four home starts following last Saturday's loss to the Cubs, surrendering five runs on seven hits - including a pair of homers - over 4 1/3 innings. The 25-year-old has been mostly on point in three road turns, however, going 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA while not yielding a home run in 12 2/3 frames. Perdomo is allowing opponents to bat .351 against him overall as he enters his first career start versus Philadelphia.

Since giving up 10 runs on nine hits across 3 2/3 innings in a loss to Milwaukee on June 8, Velasquez has permitted a total of nine runs and 13 hits over his last five starts combined. The 2010 second-round pick turned in his best outing over that stretch in a no-decision versus the New York Mets on July 11, giving up only two hits in six scoreless frames. Velasquez has faced San Diego only once, yielding three hits while striking out a career-high 16 to record his only career shutout in 2016.

WALK-OFFS

1. Phillies OF Odubel Herrera went 2-for-4 with two RBIs in the opener and is batting .354 with 11 RBIs in 18 career games versus San Diego.

2. Padres CF Manuel Margot left in the eighth Friday after suffering an apparent left wrist injury. His status for Saturday is unknown.

3. Philadelphia is 62-31 against San Diego since 2004 - the club's best winning percentage (.667) versus any opponent over that span.

PREDICTION: Phillies 5, Padres 2

 

[bmd1803]

W/L Trends
San Diego

Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 4-12 in their last 16 road games.
Padres are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Padres are 6-22 in their last 28 overall.
Padres are 6-22 in their last 28 games on grass.
Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Padres are 3-14 in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.
Padres are 2-10 in their last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Padres are 3-7 in Perdomos last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Padres are 5-16 in Perdomos last 21 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Padres are 5-16 in Perdomos last 21 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 5-16 in Perdomos last 21 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 1-4 in Perdomos last 5 road starts.
Padres are 1-4 in Perdomos last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Padres are 1-4 in Perdomos last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 0-5 in Perdomos last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Padres are 0-5 in Perdomos last 5 starts.
Padres are 0-5 in Perdomos last 5 starts on grass.
Padres are 0-5 in Perdomos last 5 Saturday starts.

Philadelphia

Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Phillies are 25-9 in their last 34 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 games following a win.
Phillies are 36-16 in their last 52 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 11-5 in their last 16 overall.
Phillies are 11-5 in their last 16 games on grass.
Phillies are 35-17 in their last 52 home games.
Phillies are 6-2 in Velasquezs last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Phillies are 5-11 in Velasquezs last 16 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 7-16 in Velasquezs last 23 home starts.
Phillies are 3-7 in Velasquezs last 10 starts vs. National League West.
Phillies are 2-5 in Velasquezs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Phillies are 2-7 in Velasquezs last 9 starts.
Phillies are 2-7 in Velasquezs last 9 starts on grass.
Phillies are 3-11 in Velasquezs last 14 starts during game 2 of a series.

OU Trends
San Diego

Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games following a loss.
Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Padres last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 14-5-1 in Padres last 20 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 11-4-1 in Padres last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 20-8-1 in Padres last 29 road games.
Under is 10-4 in Padres last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 23-10-1 in Padres last 34 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 9-4-1 in Padres last 14 Saturday games.
Over is 4-0 in Perdomos last 4 Saturday starts.
Under is 4-0 in Perdomos last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Perdomos last 6 road starts.
Over is 4-1 in Perdomos last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
Over is 3-1-1 in Perdomos last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 3-1-1 in Perdomos last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Over is 20-8-1 in Perdomos last 29 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Perdomos last 14 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Philadelphia

Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 Saturday games.
Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 vs. National League West.
Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games following a win.
Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-2 in Phillies last 11 home games.
Under is 13-4-1 in Phillies last 18 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 3-1-1 in Phillies last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 15-5-1 in Phillies last 21 overall.
Under is 6-2 in Phillies last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 15-5-1 in Phillies last 21 on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-3-1 in Phillies last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 34-16-1 in Phillies last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 46-22-11 in Phillies last 79 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Velasquezs last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Velasquezs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1 in Velasquezs last 6 starts with 9 or more days of rest.
Under is 4-1 in Velasquezs last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head to Head

Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia.
Padres are 19-41 in the last 60 meetings.
Padres are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings in Philadelphia.

Umpire Trends - Jeff Kellogg

Over is 5-0 in Kelloggs last 5 games behind home plate.
Over is 11-1 in Kelloggs last 12 games behind home plate vs. Philadelphia.
Home team is 6-1 in Kelloggs last 7 games behind home plate vs. Philadelphia.
Over is 4-1 in Kelloggs last 5 games behind home plate vs. San Diego.
Home team is 10-4 in Kelloggs last 14 games behind home plate.
Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Kellogg behind home plate.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Dodgers at Brewers
Gracenote
Jul 21, 2018

Manny Machado delivered just what the Los Angeles Dodgers hoped for after acquiring him during the All-Star break, but it was a pair of the team's surprise standouts that made a bigger impact in his debut. The Dodgers set their sights on a sixth victory in seven tries Saturday, when they visit the struggling Milwaukee Brewers for the middle contest of their three-game series.

Machado collected two singles and two walks in five plate appearances during his first game with Los Angeles since being obtained from Baltimore on Wednesday for five prospects. Max Muncy reached base three times and hit a critical RBI double in the seventh inning to pad the Dodgers' lead, while Enrique Hernandez belted a three-run homer in the ninth after Milwaukee had pulled within a run one frame earlier. The Brewers went 1-7 on an eight-game road trip leading into the break and could not snap out of their funk in the opener despite getting three hits from Christian Yelich and fellow All-Star Jesus Aguilar's 25th home run, tying him for first in the NL. Milwaukee hasn't received much help from its pitching staff during its seven-game slide, allowing at least five runs in all but one of the defeats.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, SportsNet LA (Los Angeles), FS Wisconsin (Milwaukee)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (3-4, 2.74 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Chase Anderson (6-7, 3.78)

Kershaw hasn't lost since late April in part due to a couple of stints on the disabled list but enters the second half of the season with a losing record for the first time since his rookie campaign in 2008. The seven-time All-Star settled for a no-decision Sunday versus the Los Angeles Angels after permitting three runs over 6 2/3 innings. Ryan Braun is 10-for-33 with a homer against Kershaw, who is 4-0 with a 1.39 ERA in six career starts at Miller Park.

Anderson gave up back-to-back solo homers in the opening frame and very little in the 4 1/3 innings thereafter but still was saddled with the loss at Pittsburgh last Saturday. The 30-year-old Texan has surrendered 19 home runs - tied for the sixth-highest total in the majors - but allowed two runs or fewer in each of his last five outings. Matt Kemp (7-for-20, two homers) is among seven Dodgers with at least one home run against Anderson, who is 1-1 with a 5.44 ERA in nine career starts versus the Dodgers.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Dodgers have yielded four runs or fewer in 15 of their last 16 contests and no more than five in any of the games over that span.

2. Milwaukee MGR Craig Counsell told reporters Braun (back strain) could come off the disabled list as early as Saturday.

3. The Dodgers optioned OF Andrew Toles to Triple-A Oklahoma City on Friday to make room on the roster for Machado.

PREDICTION: Dodgers 6, Brewers 2

 

[bmd1803]

W/L Trends
LA Dodgers

Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 21-6 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Dodgers are 18-6 in their last 24 road games.
Dodgers are 83-34 in their last 117 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Dodgers are 82-34 in their last 116 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Dodgers are 98-43 in their last 141 games following a win.
Dodgers are 38-17 in their last 55 overall.
Dodgers are 38-17 in their last 55 games on grass.
Dodgers are 35-17 in their last 52 vs. National League Central.
Dodgers are 6-1 in Kershaws last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
Dodgers are 43-13 in Kershaws last 56 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Dodgers are 61-19 in Kershaws last 80 starts.
Dodgers are 41-13 in Kershaws last 54 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 60-19 in Kershaws last 79 starts on grass.
Dodgers are 20-7 in Kershaws last 27 starts during game 2 of a series.
Dodgers are 40-14 in Kershaws last 54 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Dodgers are 17-6 in Kershaws last 23 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 24-9 in Kershaws last 33 Saturday starts.
Dodgers are 37-14 in Kershaws last 51 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Dodgers are 43-19 in Kershaws last 62 road starts.
Dodgers are 36-16 in Kershaws last 52 starts with 5 days of rest.

Milwaukee

Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. National League West.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
Brewers are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Brewers are 36-16 in their last 52 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 36-17 in their last 53 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a loss.
Brewers are 0-7 in their last 7 overall.
Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 Saturday games.
Brewers are 0-7 in their last 7 games on grass.
Brewers are 8-1 in Andersons last 9 starts during game 2 of a series.
Brewers are 6-2 in Andersons last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 7-3 in Andersons last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

OU Trends
LA Dodgers

Over is 7-0 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League Central.
Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2 in Dodgers last 8 road games.
Under is 8-3 in Dodgers last 11 overall.
Under is 8-3 in Dodgers last 11 on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 games following a win.
Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 12-5 in Dodgers last 17 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-1 in Kershaws last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 20-5-2 in Kershaws last 27 Saturday starts.
Over is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts overall.
Under is 6-2 in Kershaws last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 23-8-2 in Kershaws last 33 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 37-16-2 in Kershaws last 55 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 33-16-3 in Kershaws last 52 starts during game 2 of a series.

Milwaukee

Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 Saturday games.
Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games.
Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 overall.
Over is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 on grass.
Under is 17-7 in Brewers last 24 vs. National League West.
Over is 7-3 in Brewers last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 49-23-2 in Brewers last 74 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 57-28-1 in Brewers last 86 games following a loss.
Under is 4-0 in Andersons last 4 starts vs. National League West.
Under is 6-1 in Andersons last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Andersons last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 8-2-1 in Andersons last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-2 in Andersons last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 20-6 in Andersons last 26 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 20-8-2 in Andersons last 30 starts on grass.
Under is 20-8-2 in Andersons last 30 starts overall.
Under is 7-3-1 in Andersons last 11 Saturday starts.
Under is 7-3-1 in Andersons last 11 home starts.
Under is 9-4-2 in Andersons last 15 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0-1 in Kershaws last 5 road starts vs. Brewers.
Under is 5-0-1 in Kershaws last 6 starts vs. Brewers.
Dodgers are 5-1 in Kershaws last 6 road starts vs. Brewers.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Dodgers are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Milwaukee.
Dodgers are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Bill Welke

Over is 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 road with Welke behind home plate.
Home team is 8-1 in Welkes last 9 games behind home plate.
Over is 11-2-3 in Welkes last 16 games behind home plate vs. Milwaukee.
Home team is 5-1 in Welkes last 6 games behind home plate vs. Milwaukee.
Under is 4-1 in Welkes last 5 games behind home plate.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games with Welke behind home plate.
Over is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts with Welke behind home plate.
Home team is 4-1 in Welkes last 5 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
Over is 4-1-1 in Welkes last 6 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
Over is 13-4-1 in Welkes last 18 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
Over is 44-18-4 in Welkes last 66 Saturday games behind home plate.
Home team is 40-19 in Welkes last 59 Saturday games behind home plate.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Pirates at Reds
Gracenote
Jul 21, 2018

Starling Marte and the Pittsburgh Pirates are on a roll, and the club looks to extend its season-best winning streak to seven games when they visit the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday. Marte went 2-for-6 with a grand slam during Friday's 12-1 triumph as he stretched his hitting streak to 13 contests.

Marte is batting .389 with five homers and 14 RBIs during his hot streak, raising his average 21 points to .286. Sean Rodriguez homered and drove in four runs while Corey Dickerson added a solo blast to help Pittsburgh win for the ninth time in 10 games. Reds All-Star first baseman Joey Votto wasn't in the starting lineup for the opener and proclaimed, "I could use a little bit of a breather," to reporters prior to the game but ultimately entered the contest in the ninth inning. Friday's loss was the second in a row for Cincinnati following a stretch during which it won 18 of 25 games.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, AT&T SportsNet-Pittsburgh, FS Ohio (Cincinnati)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Pirates RH Nick Kingham (4-4, 4.26 ERA) vs. Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (4-2, 5.32)

Kingham has won his last two starts, allowing four runs and nine hits over 12 1/3 innings during the stretch. The 26-year-old has dropped three straight road turns after winning his first such outing in Milwaukee on May 4 and has posted a subpar 6.41 ERA in games away from home. Kingham has a fine strikeout-to-walk ratio of 51-to-12 but has served up 10 homers in 50 2/3 frames.

DeSclafani has been roughed up in three starts this month, serving up six homers in just 15 2/3 innings while going 1-1 with a 6.89 ERA. The 28-year-old is 2-1 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in five home outings this season. DeSclafani is 2-2 with a 3.38 ERA in seven career starts against the Pirates, including a victory on June 17 in which he allowed two runs and three hits over 5 2/3 frames.

WALK-OFFS

1. Pirates 2B Josh Harrison (hamstring) was held out of the series opener and will test the leg Saturday before it is determined whether or not he can return to the lineup.

2. Cincinnati recalled Phillip Ervin from Triple-A Louisville to fill the roster spot of fellow OF Scott Schebler (shoulder), who was placed on the 10-day DL on Thursday.

3. Pittsburgh activated Rodriguez (quadriceps) from the 10-day disabled list prior to the game and optioned RHP Tanner Anderson to Triple-A Indianapolis.

PREDICTION: Reds 5, Pirates 4

 

[bmd1803]

W/L Trends
Pittsburgh

Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a win.
Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Pirates are 3-7 in their last 10 Saturday games.
Pirates are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Pirates are 2-5 in Kinghams last 7 starts.
Pirates are 2-5 in Kinghams last 7 starts on grass.

Cincinnati

Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Reds are 11-4 in their last 15 home games.
Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 11-25 in their last 36 Saturday games.
Reds are 24-56 in their last 80 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 24-59 in their last 83 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 5-1 in DeSclafanis last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 4-1 in DeSclafanis last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Reds are 6-2 in DeSclafanis last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 5-2 in DeSclafanis last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Reds are 2-5 in DeSclafanis last 7 home starts.
Reds are 2-10 in DeSclafanis last 12 starts during game 2 of a series.

OU Trends
Pittsburgh

Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 road games.
Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 22-6-2 in Pirates last 30 Saturday games.
Under is 12-5 in Pirates last 17 vs. National League Central.
Under is 39-18-1 in Pirates last 58 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 4-0 in Kinghams last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Cincinnati

Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 Saturday games.
Over is 4-0-1 in Reds last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 7-1-1 in Reds last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Reds last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 12-3-2 in Reds last 17 games following a loss.
Over is 15-4-2 in Reds last 21 home games.
Over is 15-4-2 in Reds last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 16-5-1 in Reds last 22 vs. National League Central.
Over is 18-6-3 in Reds last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 12-4 in Reds last 16 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 65-31-8 in Reds last 104 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 35-17-5 in Reds last 57 overall.
Over is 35-17-5 in Reds last 57 on grass.
Over is 4-0 in DeSclafanis last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 6-0 in DeSclafanis last 6 starts on grass.
Over is 4-0 in DeSclafanis last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 6-0 in DeSclafanis last 6 starts overall.
Over is 4-0 in DeSclafanis last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Over is 6-1 in DeSclafanis last 7 home starts.
Over is 9-2-2 in DeSclafanis last 13 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 9-3-2 in DeSclafanis last 14 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in DeSclafanis last 7 Saturday starts.
Over is 5-2-1 in DeSclafanis last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head to Head

Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Cincinnati.
Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.
Pirates are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Cincinnati.

Umpire Trends - Greg Gibson

Over is 7-1 in Gibsons last 8 games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.
Home team is 5-1 in Gibsons last 6 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.
Road team is 4-1 in Gibsons last 5 Saturday games behind home plate.
Over is 4-1-1 in Gibsons last 6 games behind home plate.
Over is 13-5-1 in Gibsons last 19 games behind home plate vs. Cincinnati.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games with Gibson behind home plate.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Gibson behind home plate.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Cardinals at Cubs (2nd)
Gracenote
Jul 20, 2018

A day after one of their ugliest losses in nearly a decade, the Chicago Cubs get a chance to put it behind them - in fact, they get two chances. The first-place Cubs look to bounce back from an 18-5 drubbing when they host the St. Louis Cardinals for a day-night doubleheader Saturday.



The National League Central rivals have split the first two of the five-game series, as the Cubs rallied to take the opener and St. Louis had its revenge in Friday’s rout. Matt Carpenter continued his hot streak, going 5-for-5 with three homers, two doubles, and seven RBIs, as the Cardinals improved to 2-1 under interim manager Mike Shildt. The lopsided defeat was just the Cubs’ second loss at home since June 20 and their fourth in 17 games overall. The only silver lining for the Cubs is they were able to preserve their bullpen somewhat for Saturday’s doubleheader by using three position players - Tommy La Stella, Victor Caratini, and Ian Happ - to combine for 3 1/3 innings of relief.

TV: 7:15 p.m. ET, Fox


PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH John Gant (3-3, 3.49 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Mike Montgomery (3-3, 3.91)

Gant has been a valuable swingman for the Cardinals, bouncing between the bullpen and the rotation. The 25-year-old made his last start July 6, allowing two runs over six innings in a no-decision at San Francisco, and he threw four scoreless frames in relief July 15 against Cincinnati. Gant has faced the Cubs only once, in 2016, and allowed three runs (two earned) over 4 1/3 innings in a loss.

Montgomery has become a mainstay in the rotation since Yu Darvish went to the disabled list, and he is 3-2 with a 3.20 ERA in nine starts. The 29-year-old has not been as effective of late, allowing three or more runs in each of his last four starts with just one victory. Montgomery is 1-1 with a 1.15 ERA in nine appearances against the Cardinals, but this will be his first start against them.


WALK-OFFS

1. Carpenter has homered in four consecutive games - the longest streak of his career - and has six homers against the Cubs this season.

2. St. Louis CF Tommy Pham went 3-for-5 with three RBIs Friday and is 11-for-29 with eight RBIs and 11 runs against Chicago in 2018.

3. Cubs C Willson Contreras hit his ninth career home run against the Cardinals on Friday, tied for the third-most by a catcher in Cubs history (Gabby Hartnett, 39; Michael Barrett, 12).


PREDICTION: Cubs 5, Cardinals 4

 

[bmd1803]

W/L Trends
St. Louis

Cardinals are 4-10 in their last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cardinals are 1-5 in Gants last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 1-7 in Gants last 8 starts.
Cardinals are 1-7 in Gants last 8 starts on grass.
Cardinals are 0-4 in Gants last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Chi. Cubs

Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 second games of a double-header.
Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 Saturday games.
Cubs are 10-2 in their last 12 home games.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cubs are 27-10 in their last 38 during game 4 of a series.
Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. National League Central.
Cubs are 2-5 in Montgomerys last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
Cubs are 2-5 in Montgomerys last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

OU Trends
St. Louis

Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 overall.
Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 on grass.
Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. National League Central.
Over is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
Under is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 during game 4 of a series.
Over is 8-3 in Cardinals last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 5-2-1 in Gants last 8 starts on grass.
Under is 5-2-1 in Gants last 8 starts overall.

Chi. Cubs

Over is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 on grass.
Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 Saturday games.
Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games.
Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. National League Central.
Over is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 second games of a double-header.
Under is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 during game 4 of a series.
Over is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 9-4 in Cubs last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-1 in Montgomerys last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 4-1 in Montgomerys last 5 home starts.

Head to Head

Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Chicago.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Cardinals are 3-11 in the last 14 meetings in Chicago.

Umpire Trends - Will Little

Under is 8-1-1 in Littles last 10 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
Under is 7-1-1 in Littles last 9 Saturday games behind home plate.
Under is 7-1 in Littles last 8 games behind home plate.
Over is 4-1 in Littles last 5 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
Home team is 7-2 in Littles last 9 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
Home team is 18-6 in Littles last 24 Saturday games behind home plate.
Road team is 5-2 in Littles last 7 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 games with Little behind home plate.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Astros at Angels
Gracenote
Jul 21, 2018

The American League West-leading Houston Astros aim for their fourth straight road win when they visit the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday for the middle contest of their three-game series. Houston, which owns a five-game division lead over Seattle, scored three early runs in the opener and rode a stellar pitching performance by Dallas Keuchel to a 3-1 victory.

Josh Reddick scored a run and drove in another as he recorded his second two-hit effort in three games while Keuchel carried a no-hitter into the seventh inning en route to winning his fourth consecutive start and fifth straight decision for the Astros, who have captured 10 of their last 14 contests. Ian Kinsler notched one of the two hits recorded by Los Angeles, which has dropped three of its last four games. Kinsler, who singled and scored in the eighth inning, is riding a five-game hitting streak during which he has gone 7-for-20. Justin Upton notched the Angels' other single on Friday and has hit safely in seven of his last nine contests.

TV: 7:15 p.m. ET, FOX

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Justin Verlander (9-5, 2.29 ERA) vs. Angels RH Nick Tropeano (3-4, 4.83)

Verlander is hoping to benefit from the All-Star break as he uncharacteristically went 0-3 with a 4.10 ERA over his final six starts before the pause in the season. The 35-year-old Virginian did reach double digits in strikeouts three times during the slump, registering 12 in a loss to Detroit on Sunday to vault past Bob Feller and Warren Spahn to claim 26th place on the all-time list with 2,588. Verlander, who is 20 strikeouts away from passing Tom Glavine for 25th, is 10-8 with a 3.12 ERA in 21 career starts versus the Angels - including a 2-0 record with a shutout and a 1.13 ERA in two turns this year.

Tropeano is expected to be activated from the disabled list, where he has been since June 15 due to shoulder inflammation, to make his first start in more than a month. The 27-year-old New Yorker last took the mound for the Angels on June 10, when he yielded five runs on four hits and three walks over 4 1/3 innings in a loss at Minnesota. Tropeano fell to 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in three career turns against Houston on April 25 as he gave up four runs over 5 1/3 frames while starting opposite Verlander.

WALK-OFFS

1. Contrary to the team's beliefs prior to the All-Star break, Astros SS Carlos Correa (back) will not be activated from the DL during the team's current road trip.

2. Los Angeles OF Mike Trout is 0-for-6 over his last two contests following a seven-game hitting streak.

3. Houston recalled J.D. Davis from Triple-A Fresno on Friday to fill the roster spot created when fellow 3B Tyler White was optioned to the Grizzlies four days earlier.

PREDICTION: Astros 9, Angels 1

 

[bmd1803]

W/L Trends
Houston

Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 Saturday games.
Astros are 38-14 in their last 52 vs. American League West.
Astros are 61-24 in their last 85 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Astros are 38-15 in their last 53 games on grass.
Astros are 37-15 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Astros are 51-23 in their last 74 during game 2 of a series.
Astros are 44-20 in their last 64 overall.
Astros are 35-16 in their last 51 road games.
Astros are 37-17 in their last 54 games following a win.
Astros are 78-38 in their last 116 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 53-26 in their last 79 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. American League West.
Astros are 4-1 in Verlanders last 5 road starts.
Astros are 7-2 in Verlanders last 9 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 6-2 in Verlanders last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Astros are 9-3 in Verlanders last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 7-3 in Verlanders last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Astros are 21-9 in Verlanders last 30 starts on grass.
Astros are 21-10 in Verlanders last 31 starts.

LA Angels

Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss.
Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Angels are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. American League West.
Angels are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Angels are 7-19 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Angels are 7-21 in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Angels are 7-3 in Tropeanos last 10 starts vs. American League West.
Angels are 7-3 in Tropeanos last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Angels are 2-5 in Tropeanos last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Angels are 1-4 in Tropeanos last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Angels are 1-4 in Tropeanos last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

OU Trends
Houston

Under is 6-0-1 in Astros last 7 road games.
Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 Saturday games.
Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 games following a win.
Over is 11-5 in Astros last 16 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 13-6 in Astros last 19 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 19-9-2 in Astros last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1-1 in Verlanders last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Verlanders last 8 starts on grass.
Over is 6-2-1 in Verlanders last 9 starts overall.
Under is 9-4 in Verlanders last 13 starts vs. American League West.

LA Angels

Under is 12-4-1 in Angels last 17 overall.
Under is 12-4-1 in Angels last 17 on grass.
Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 13-5-3 in Angels last 21 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 Saturday games.
Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 home games.
Under is 5-2-1 in Angels last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Tropeanos last 4 starts on grass.
Over is 4-0-1 in Tropeanos last 5 starts overall.
Over is 5-0 in Tropeanos last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Tropeanos last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Tropeanos last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-2 in Tropeanos last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 6-2 in Tropeanos last 8 home starts.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. Angels.
Under is 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. Angels.
Astros are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
Astros are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Gabe Morales

Over is 5-0-1 in Morales' last 6 Saturday games behind home plate.
Over is 5-0 in Morales' last 5 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
Home team is 5-1 in Morales' last 6 games behind home plate vs. Houston.
Over is 4-1 in Morales' last 5 games behind home plate.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Twins at Royals
Gracenote
Jul 21, 2018

The Minnesota Twins stumbled in their first game following the All-Star break but aren’t ready to give up on their faint playoff hopes. The Twins look to snap a seven-game road losing streak on Saturday when they continue their three-game series against the host Kansas City Royals, who posted their third victory in the past 16 games with Friday’s 6-5 win.

Kansas City owns the second-worst record in the majors at 28-68 but held on for the win Friday behind Danny Duffy’s seven strong innings to go along with Lucas Duda’s homer and three RBIs. Minnesota won nine of 11 games entering the break but was 3-for-13 with runners in scoring position in the opener and lost despite two hits from Joe Mauer, who is batting .329 with 16 RBIs in his last 17 contests. Mitch Garver ended a 0-for-15 skid with an RBI triple in the eighth inning, but it wasn’t enough for a Twins' team that is battling to stay in contention with the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline fast approaching. “Nobody has given up,” Mauer told reporters. “I’ve seen a turnaround happen. We’ve been playing good baseball, and we’ll keep fighting.”

TV: 7:15 p.m. ET, FS North (Minnesota), FS Kansas City

PITCHING MATCHUP: Twins RH Lance Lynn (7-7, 5.22 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jake Junis (5-10, 5.13)

Lynn won his second consecutive start on July 11, allowing four runs (three earned) on five hits over five innings against Kansas City. The 31-year-old native of Indiana has yielded the third-most walks in the American League (55), including eight over his last three outings. Duda is 1-for-17 with six strikeouts against Lynn, who is 2-1 with a 5.09 ERA in six career starts against the Royals, including 2-0 with a 4.09 mark in two outings this season.

Junis has been out most of the month with lower back inflammation but will be activated from the disabled list Saturday to make his first start since July 2. The 25-year-old struggled in his last five starts before landing on the DL, posting a 9.33 ERA with 12 home runs allowed over 27 innings. Junis faced the Twins on May 28 and allowed three runs on six hits with four walks over six frames in the 8-5 setback - the first of seven consecutive losing starts.

WALK-OFFS

1. Minnesota is a major league-worst 7-17 at Kauffman Stadium since 2016.

2. Twins 1B/DH Logan Morrison (hip) is expected to be activated from the DL prior to Sunday’s series finale.

3. The Royals placed INF Adalberto Mondesi on the family medical emergency leave list prior to the opener and recalled INF Ramon Torres from Triple-A Omaha.

PREDICTION: Twins 7, Royals 4

 

[bmd1803]

W/L Trends
Minnesota

Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 9-3 in their last 12 overall.
Twins are 9-3 in their last 12 games on grass.
Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 7-19 in their last 26 road games.
Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Twins are 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Twins are 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 5-2 in Lynns last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 5-2 in Lynns last 7 starts vs. American League Central.
Twins are 2-5 in Lynns last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Kansas City

Royals are 17-38 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Royals are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. American League Central.
Royals are 15-36 in their last 51 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 15-38 in their last 53 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 15-39 in their last 54 games following a win.
Royals are 14-37 in their last 51 home games.
Royals are 3-8 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 8-22 in their last 30 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 15-43 in their last 58 overall.
Royals are 15-43 in their last 58 games on grass.
Royals are 3-9 in their last 12 during game 2 of a series.
Royals are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Royals are 15-46 in their last 61 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Royals are 14-47 in their last 61 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games.
Royals are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Royals are 8-2 in Junis' last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.
Royals are 1-4 in Junis' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Royals are 1-4 in Junis' last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
Royals are 1-4 in Junis' last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 0-4 in Junis' last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Royals are 0-5 in Junis' last 5 home starts.
Royals are 0-7 in Junis' last 7 starts.
Royals are 0-7 in Junis' last 7 starts on grass.

OU Trends
Minnesota

Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 on grass.
Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 Saturday games.
Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-0 in Twins last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 24-8-2 in Twins last 34 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 road games.
Over is 8-1 in Lynns last 9 road starts.
Over is 8-1 in Lynns last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Lynns last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Kansas City

Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games.
Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 overall.
Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 on grass.
Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 vs. American League Central.
Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 22-8-1 in Royals last 31 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 18-7-1 in Royals last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-2 in Royals last 7 games following a win.
Under is 5-0 in Junis' last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Junis' last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-1 in Junis' last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Junis' last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Junis' last 5 Saturday starts.
Under is 6-2-1 in Junis' last 9 starts vs. American League Central.

Head to Head

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City.
Over is 18-7-2 in the last 27 meetings.
Twins are 17-36 in the last 53 meetings in Kansas City.

Umpire Trends - Jim Reynolds

Under is 5-0 in Reynolds' last 5 games behind home plate vs. Kansas City.
Under is 7-1-3 in Reynolds' last 11 games behind home plate.
Under is 4-1 in Reynolds' last 5 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Minnesota.
Road team is 13-4 in Reynolds' last 17 games behind home plate.
Home team is 12-4 in Reynolds' last 16 games behind home plate vs. Minnesota.
Over is 5-2 in Reynolds' last 7 Saturday games behind home plate.
Over is 5-2 in Reynolds' last 7 games behind home plate vs. Minnesota.
Royals are 9-4 in their last 13 games with Reynolds behind home plate.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Indians at Rangers
Gracenote
Jul 21, 2018

Bartolo Colon attempts to become the winningest Latin American pitcher in baseball history when the Texas Rangers host the Cleveland Indians on Saturday for the middle contest of their three-game series. The 45-year-old right-hander is tied with Nicaragua's Dennis Martinez with 245 career victories as he looks to help the Rangers bounce back from Friday's 9-8, 11-inning loss.

Colon is making his third attempt at setting the mark after suffering losses in back-to-back starts against Detroit and Boston. Rangers All-Star Shin-Soo Choo went 2-for-6 with a walk to extend his streak of reaching base to 52 consecutive games, seven shy of Will Clark's franchise-record streak that began in 1995 and concluded in 1996. Indians All-Star Jose Ramirez established a new career best with his 30th homer - also the most in the majors - while Jason Kipnis hit a two-run shot as part of three-RBI effort. Edwin Encarnacion went 3-for-5 with three runs scored and delivered the game-winning single in the 11th inning as Cleveland boosted its lead over Minnesota in the American League Central to 8 1/2 games.

TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, SportsTime Ohio (Cleveland), FS Southwest (Texas)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (11-5, 4.12 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Bartolo Colon (5-7, 4.64)

Carrasco has won three straight decisions and five of his last six. The 31-year-old has posted a stellar 1.02 WHIP in eight road starts while going 4-3 with a 3.33 ERA and limiting batters to a .222 average. Carrasco is 2-3 with a porous 6.64 ERA in nine career appearances (seven starts) against Texas and has struggled with Elvis Andrus (6-for-16, one homer, eight RBIs).

Colon allowed three earned runs in both of his consecutive losses - he pitched eight innings against Detroit and six versus Boston. The veteran has given up three earned runs or fewer in five straight outings and 12 of his 17 turns this season. Colon is 7-5 with a 4.07 ERA in 14 career starts against the Indians, the franchise for which he pitched from 1997-2002.

WALK-OFFS

1. Rangers OF Joey Gallo went deep twice in the opener - including a game-tying, 472-foot blast in the ninth - for his second multi-homer performance of the campaign.

2. Cleveland added LHP Brad Hand and RHP Adam Cimber to the active roster after acquiring them from San Diego on Thursday, purchased the contract of OF Melky Cabrera and recalled 3B Yandy Diaz from Triple-A Columbus, optioned OF Greg Allen, RHP Adam Plutko and LHP Tyler Olson to the same affiliate and transferred OF Lonnie Chisenhall (calf) to the 60-day disabled list.

3. Texas placed Nomar Mazara (thumb) on the 10-day DL and recalled fellow OF Willie Calhoun from Triple-A Round Rock.

PREDICTION: Indians 7, Rangers 3

 

[bmd1803]

W/L Trends
Cleveland

Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Indians are 60-20 in their last 80 vs. a team with a losing record.
Indians are 11-5 in their last 16 games following a win.
Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 1-6 in their last 7 Saturday games.
Indians are 21-7 in Carrascos last 28 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Indians are 17-6 in Carrascos last 23 starts with 5 days of rest.
Indians are 5-2 in Carrascos last 7 starts vs. American League West.
Indians are 5-2 in Carrascos last 7 Saturday starts.
Indians are 20-8 in Carrascos last 28 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Indians are 15-6 in Carrascos last 21 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 35-16 in Carrascos last 51 starts.
Indians are 35-16 in Carrascos last 51 starts on grass.
Indians are 13-6 in Carrascos last 19 starts during game 2 of a series.
Indians are 2-5 in Carrascos last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 1-5 in Carrascos last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 1-5 in Carrascos last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Texas

Rangers are 20-43 in their last 63 vs. a team with a winning record.
Rangers are 19-42 in their last 61 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rangers are 18-40 in their last 58 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Rangers are 17-39 in their last 56 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rangers are 12-30 in their last 42 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Rangers are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 games on grass.
Rangers are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rangers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
Rangers are 4-1 in Colons last 5 home starts.
Rangers are 1-4 in Colons last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Rangers are 1-5 in Colons last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rangers are 1-6 in Colons last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Rangers are 0-4 in Colons last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Rangers are 0-5 in Colons last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

OU Trends
Cleveland

Over is 3-0-2 in Indians last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Indians last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 3-0-2 in Indians last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-2 in Indians last 5 games following a win.
Over is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 6-1-1 in Indians last 8 overall.
Over is 6-1-1 in Indians last 8 on grass.
Over is 6-1-1 in Indians last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-1-1 in Indians last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 road games.
Over is 4-1-1 in Indians last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Indians last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Under is 8-3 in Indians last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 18-7-1 in Indians last 26 vs. American League West.
Under is 35-17-5 in Indians last 57 Saturday games.
Over is 6-0 in Carrascos last 6 Saturday starts.
Over is 5-0 in Carrascos last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Carrascos last 7 starts vs. American League West.
Over is 6-1 in Carrascos last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Carrascos last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-2-1 in Carrascos last 9 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 8-3-1 in Carrascos last 12 starts on grass.
Over is 8-3-1 in Carrascos last 12 starts overall.
Over is 5-2-1 in Carrascos last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 24-11-1 in Carrascos last 36 road starts.

Texas

Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 8-2 in Rangers last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-2-1 in Rangers last 10 Saturday games.
Under is 9-3 in Rangers last 12 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Rangers last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-2-1 in Rangers last 8 vs. American League Central.
Under is 5-2 in Rangers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-3 in Rangers last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 39-19-5 in Rangers last 63 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Colons last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-1-1 in Colons last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Colons last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Colons last 5 starts overall.
Under is 4-1-1 in Colons last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
Under is 3-1-1 in Colons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 6-2-1 in Colons last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-1 in Colons last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head to Head

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Indians are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Texas.
Indians are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Jim Wolf

Over is 6-0 in Wolfs last 6 games behind home plate.
Over is 4-1-1 in Wolfs last 6 Saturday games behind home plate.
Road team is 4-1 in Wolfs last 5 games behind home plate.
Over is 4-1 in Wolfs last 5 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Texas.
Road team is 6-2 in Wolfs last 8 Saturday games behind home plate.
Over is 13-5-2 in Wolfs last 20 games behind home plate vs. Texas.
Home team is 5-2 in Wolfs last 7 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.
Over is 5-2 in Wolfs last 7 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.
Road team is 11-5 in Wolfs last 16 games behind home plate vs. Texas.
Indians are 2-6 in their last 8 games with Wolf behind home plate.