Indian Cowboy Leans
MLB Research
Kansas City vs. St. Louis
St. Louis wins 5-0 over the Royals as they defeated Davies and Wellermeyer pitches a sound game and bounces back well. Hochevar only lasted 3 innings in his last start and he is struggling this season. He looks it to get it together on the road against a solid Cards team. What's dissappointing is that Hochevar dominated the minors with a 5-0 and a 0.9era and he is struggling in the majors currently. Lohse struggled in his last outing but that was only b/c he was not pitching with appropriate rest. I expect him to bounce-back today but don't want to go against KC off a loss, Hochevar looking to finally get it back on track and I have a feeling he will have a better start today, nor do I want to lay the RL due to the juice being so high.
Texas vs. Houston
Texas pulled through 6-5 yesterday but that's a bit scary considering they were up 5-0 late. Feldman has pitched 3 straight quality peformances including givign up 3 runs in 18 innings but despite his team winning those 3 starts, he only picked up 1 "w" in the process. Moehler has put together 3 straight quality starts as well, but his games have a tendency of tipping over and even the Rangers/Astros game yesterday closed at 11 despite it starting out as a low scoring contest. Both of these pitchers have struggled against the other team as in 5 starts Feldman has over a 5 era against Houston and Moehler has above a 4.5era against Texas - granted, Feldman is pitching lights out right now. Not a bad price on Texas with Feldman on the mound today, but just staying away.
Philadelphia vs. NYY Yankees
Well Happ got what he wanted. He went down to Chan Ho in the competition for the starting spot but since Chan Ho has over a 7 era, this brings ol' boy to have a shot at a starting position. What's standing away is the Yankees in New York. But, this kid has great stuff and I expect him to do well. In fact, there is good value on Happ today; the only thing is Pettitte comes off a non-quality start of sorts and you never know with these two teams how it will shape up - even the total. To be frank, this game can go either way and the total is high for a reason imo as I would not be surprised if it indeed goes over the 11 mark. But, too rich for my blood all the way around in this game.
Tampa Bay vs. Florida
After TB won 13-2, one has to think Florida shows up with some heart today. Niemann is 4-1-1 over his last 6 starts and he pitched great against Oakland giving up just 3 runs in 8 innings. He looks to continue to bring down his era which stands at 4.97. West makes his debut after the Marlins took a spanking yesterday and the young man had a 4-2 record with a 4.85 era in the minors. Although no total is out, a small lean on the over here as West was not dominating in the minors and I don't just expect him to come out and be dominating against the Rays - I expect him to get hit in the second part of the rotation through and I also expect the Marlins to bounce-back while Niemann has a let down start.
Baltimore vs. Washington
We were right in the fact that the low line for Washington being favored was an indicator that they were likely to get a quality start from their pitcher who was struggling. Consequently the game went under despite going into extras. Nevertheless, the Os still had the edge with the better overall offense and pulled out the win. Baltimore is 0-6 in Uehara's last 6 starts, but sadly enough, Uehara has had 5 quality starts in that stretch. The O's simply can't score enough runs for him to pick up the win. The Nats are giving Detwiler another start after a strong performance against the Pirates - the question remains will the kid take advantage of the opportunity. A small lean on the Under here.