Saturday 05/23/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Jimmy Boyd

MLB | May 23
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics +130

Bonus Play
1 Unit on Oakland A's +130
The A's are showing excellent value in the home underdog role today. The D-backs may send the better pitcher to the hill today, but that doesn't scare me off the A's here as Arizona is only giving its starters 3.8 runs of support on the road this season. Plus, Oakland is 13-2 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons. On top of that, plays against road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season - NL, poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, are 50-21 since 1997. Oakland gives Edgar Gonzalez his first start of 2009 against his former club and I expect he'll be out to stick it to them after they wanted to give him a minor league assignment in the offseason. Plus, he'll have plenty of help if he gets in trouble as the A's have one of the best bullpens in baseball with a 2.73 ERA at home. Zona is just 8-14 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Bet the A's.

 

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Pure Lock

MLB | May 23
New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox -175

Free MLB Play

 

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Jeff Alexander

MLB | May 23
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Milwaukee Brewers -105

Bonus Play for May 23, 2009
1 Unit on Milwaukee Brewers -105
The Brewers have lost 2 of 3 since winning 7 in a row, but they definitely have the edge tonight with Minnesota fresh meat Anthony Swarzak making his MLB debut. The Brewers are 12-4 in their last 16 road games, 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss, and 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Bet the Brew Crew.

 

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R&R Totals

MLB | May 23
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees Total 11 ov-125

Free MLB Over-Under

 

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Mikey Sports

MLB | May 23
Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds -105

Free MLB Play

 

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Mike Rose

Denver Nuggets -3.5

The Lakers are in trouble after losing home court advantage in Game 2 because the Nuggets haven't lost a home game SU dating back to February 23rd. LA is just 3-7 ATS in its L/10 road games and 2-3 ATS on the road in the 2009 NBA Playoffs. Lakers superstar G Kobe Bryant did all he could for his squad in Game 2 scoring 32 points to go along with five rebounds and three assists. However, LA couldn't find their best player with the game on the line as he was covered like a blanket by Nuggets F Carmelo Anthony. Bryant will need a lot of help if the Lakers want to move on to the NBA Finals for a second straight season. One hope for Lakers bettors is the squad's 6-2 mark in their L/8 games played on a Saturday.

The Nuggets were able to get a key defensive stop in the final moments of Game 2 and pulled off the victory with a huge jump ball win by G Chauncey Billups. Entering Thursday's game, the Lakers were 7-0 SU in this postseason when scoring over 100 points, the Nuggets broke that streak and managed to outscore LA on its home floor. Anthony was again the key player for Denver scoring 34 points to go with nine rebounds and four assists. Melo was guarded by the smaller Bryant and dominated by grabbing five offensive rebounds in the contest. The Nuggets remained undefeated in the postseason ATS in Game 2 as they are now a perfect 12-0 in that category.

Denver is 29-17-1 ATS on its home floor this season and 6-1 ATS at home when following a narrow victory of 0-4 points. The Nuggets have been extremely impressive in these playoffs and I expect to see that continue in Game 3 against the desperate Lakers. Look for the Nuggets to run out early on The Lake Show with Billups and Anthony once again taking the lead in scoring. It may be close in the end, but the Nuggets will hang on for their 13th straight ATS victory

 

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Mr MJ
LA Dodgers ML -124

 

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EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION

Game: Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers

(966) Detroit Tigers -$140

(Listing Galaraga and Marquis)

Detroit just keeps winning and cashing in free winners for us
and I am right back on them today. The Tigers are the hottest
team in MLB with seven straight wins and I look for that to
continue. Both of these starting pitchers have struggled recently,
but look for the hot bats of the Tigers to get it done once again
here. Lay the juice with Detroit once again.

2009 Free Selections Record 77-62 (55.4%)

 

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MTi Sports

Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels

The Angels are 11-0 when John Lackey starts as a dog from 105 to 130 inclusive vs a team that has hit more grounders than fly balls season-to-date. Take the Halos over the Dodgers.

 

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Charlie Scott Bonus Play

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets
Play: Los Angeles Lakers +3.5

I expect to get a focused Laker team getting points tonight, coming off a Thursday nights loss to Denver in LA. What's nice about my Playoff betting strategy is that to make money, we just need the Lakers to cover one game out of two road games this Holiday weekend to make money ! Bet 1/2 a Unit on the Lakers in tonight's game, if they cover we're done betting them, if for some reason the Lakers don't cover tonight, Play the Lakers for 1 Unit

 

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Totals4U
Saturday's free selection: San Francisco/Seattle under 7 1/2

 

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Sports Gambling Hotline

LA Lakers at DENVER

We finally dropped a Bonus Play, but are still a blistering 7-1 with our Bonus Plays the last 8 days!

We have been using the UNDER as our cash-cow thus far in this Lakers-Nuggets series, and until we actually see these teams combine to play an OVER, we will stick to our guns, and play another game to land UNDER the posted total.

Thus far the first 2 games in this series have landed BELOW the posted price, which makes it 8 of the last 9 series meetings landing UNDER the posted price.

Los Angeles is on a 27-11 UNDER run their last 38 games overall, while the usually high-scoring Nuggets have now played UNDER the total in 6 of their last 10 postseason contests.

Sure, Thursday's game came quite close to eclipsing the total, but in the end the UNDER held out by just a smidge.

More of the same on Saturday night.

Play on the LOW.

3? UNDER

 

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GameHunter

2009 Record: 167-152, +48.9549 Sabos
Friday: 6-3, +6.425 units


KANSAS CITY +156 (1.5 UNITS)

HOUSTON +115 (1.75 UNITS)

COLORADO + 139 (1.75 UNITS)

TORONTO +143 (1.75 UNITS)

CLEVELAND -107 (1.5 UNITS)

OAKLAND +147 (1.5 UNITS)

LA DODGERS -124 (1.75 UNITS)

WHITE SOX -129 (1.5 UNITS)


Still looking at 3 more games that don't have lines yet posted.

 

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LEE KOSTROSKI

Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals
PICK: Kansas City Royals

Kyle Lohse has been very streaky throughout his career and he is currently on a very poor run of results. In his last three outings Lohse has allowed 17 runs in just over 14 innings and the Cardinals have taken three consecutive losses with him on the mound. His overall numbers look respectable and the Cardinals will still be given solid favoritism at home but it is very tough to trust Lohse given the way he has pitched in recent games. The Cardinals bullpen has very average numbers on the season and has been prone to allowing home runs as well and there will not be a reliable option to turn to if Lohse falters again.

Luke Hochevar had dominant minor league numbers before getting the call this season but his first start back in the big leagues was a disaster. He pitched well in his most recent start despite not lasting deep into the game and Hochevar has plenty of experience making 22 starts for the Royals last season. His numbers look atrocious in a very small sample but Hochevar is capable of providing a solid start and he is supported by one of the top statistical bullpens in the American League.

The Royals had great success in interleague play last season and Kansas City entered this series having won seven of the last ten meetings in this series at Busch Stadium. Despite much bigger names in the lineup for the Cardinals, the Royals have a higher team batting average and OPS. St. Louis is hitting just .210 as a team in the past ten games and the Cardinals have scored just 20 runs over the past nine games entering this series. St. Louis swept Chicago in the last series but hit just .205 in the three games, catching breaks against a cold Cubs lineup. St. Louis owns the better overall record but the Royals have been the superior team in recent weeks and the National League has not held up well in recent years of interleague play.

 

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Jake Timlin

Part of my 2-0 paid sweep last night I like the Tigers once again today as they remain the hottest team in the league. You see going for the Tigers is the fact they have now won their last seven games and 15 of 20 at home this season. Numbers that drowned out the fact that Detroit is going with Galarraga who has struggled most of the year. Meanwhile, for the Rockies losers of 7 of their last 10 games they turn to Marquis who over his last three starts has struggled going 1-2 with an ERA of over 7 runs per game. Flat out, even with the Rockies have a bit of an edge on the mound it won’t be good enough to overcome the fact that Detroit is just to good right now and at home. With a that take the Tigers as they make it eight straight wins.

PICK: Detroit Tigers

 

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Scott Delaney

Nice little 4-0 spurt with the comp plays and tonight we're going to play the New York Yankees against the defending champs.

The Phils might have wnet homer happy on the Bombers last night, but it could be the other way around, as young southpaw J.A. Happ is making his first start of the season. It was supposed to take place last week, his starting debut, but he was need the night prior in extra-inning relief.

Today he gets the Bombers.

New York is now 9-1 in his last 10 games, and it'll be able to get back to its winning ways with Andy Pettitte taking the mound, as New York is 7-2 in Pettitte’s last nine starts overall. He's 2-0 at home on the year, and has a 3.38 ERA in six career regular-season starts against the Phillies, with New York going 4-2 (2-0 at home) in those outings.

PLAY: N.Y. YANKEES

 

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Matt Rivers

For Saturday, take the coin back with the Mets.

Sure beating Josh Beckett and the Red Sox at Fenway is as daunting of a task as there may be out there, and not having Carlos Delgado and probably Jose Reyes will not help matters, but the price is still too much to pass up on this potential barking dog. We saw the Mets win on Friday, and yes this will be harder without Johan on the hill, but they can repeat that feat today and that is enough for me to give it a go.

Jerry Manual's squad has struggled over the past week after looking great in the previous few weeks, but the New Yorkers still are very formidable with a couple of studs in David Wright and Carlos Beltran. Throw in a capable enough Mike Pelfrey starting along with the improved bullpen anchored by K-Rod in the end and I can't help but to take my chances on these visitors.

I'm not going to say that we win this game half the time or it is the steal of all steals as Pedroia, Ellsbury, Bay, Lowell and the Sox could win the World Series, but it is a simple 9-inning baseball game in which a capable enough New York squad could easily prevail. After all it's not like David Ortiz is any good anymore.

Any time I can get a team that I consider to be very good at a price such as this, then I can't help but back that dog, period.

Complimentary Play: New York Mets

 

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VEGAS EXPERTS

LA Lakers at Denver Nuggets

First two games of this series as well as six of the last seven head to head battles between the teams here in Denver have gone Under the total, but we look for a reversal of fortunes tonight. Road teams that are off a loss by 3pts or less and have scored 100+ points in four straight games and the total is 200 or higher are 44-13 to the Over since 1996. Ironically enough, Denver is 11-1 Over off a road win by three points or less.

Play on: Over

 

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JR O'Donnell

MLB | May 23
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees Total 11 ov-115

THE BALLS WILL BE LAUNCHED OUT OF THE NEW PARK HERE SATURDAY........ 10-9 FINAL HERE IN NEW YORK....... PLAY THE OVER AND GRAB A NICE WINNER TONIGHT FROM JR

 

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Priority Sports Info
St. Louis Cards -160