PoliticoPundit 2010 MLB Angles Thread #1

[barman]

BM, your Ray series play was all over the place for odds yesterday. I have 3 outs, 1 does not offer series bets, another had the rays at -130 and the third had them at +105. I know what Fishead woulda done but since I have a nickle max play at both I just went for the +105.

ayuh....I postulated over a week ago that Cats could be a decent Fade in upcoming (at that time) three Home Series - this in spite of their having had an excellent Home record at the AS Break

So far so good as I grabbed all three Game wins by CHW and the Series Win by LAA......Let's see if the Rays can finish off the crunching...after which Detroit heads Away for three at CHW and four at NYY.....

Likely would be pretty tough to get any value betting against them in any of those seven or either of those Series.

 

[barman]

Better get me that HotBosox opinion....utterly monsooning here in Clearwater now...I came in about 4pm for lunch under light drizzle....Only made $110 so far outside....If you don't set me straight, I might jack up my Jays' exposure to $16 or $18

Sincerely

BigTimer

 

[ScottL]

TUESDAY = PHI -105 / METS +145 / CIN -125 /
CIN -1.5 +160 / ATL -145 / CHI +185 / CLE -135 /
BOS -115 / BOS -1.5 +190 / OAK +120

+2.2 Units Yesterday / Thread To Date = +21.6 Units

For tonight only I'm going full Units on both bets in Games in which ML+RL are listed.

Trends:

PHI 19-4 Home; 34-13 with Kendrick at Night / LAD 1-10 last 11 Away vs Non-Div;
LAD scored 3 Runs or less 14 of last 18.

COL 4-13 Game #1 Rd Srs; 3-21 at NY METS / METS 42-22 Home off Road.

STL 1-16 Road off Road Win and allowed 3 Runs or less.

ATL 10-1 Game #2 Road Series after allowing 6+ Runs.

CUBS 10-1 vs SF off Loss to SF since 8/01.

BALT 2-24 first two Games of Road Trip.
BOS 8-0 vs Jays with Dice starting; 48-20 off LLW; JAYS 1-5 BOS w/Romero; 4-20 Game #1 Hm Srs off Hm Win.

OAK 7-1 AL Road vs team who beat them previous day by combined 43-21 Score.

Also Note: Yesterday's ATL trend has been corrected and is actually 31-7 now.

[Neglected posting last night] MIL is now 2-9 since 6/1/09 with yesterday's result when playing the first game of a new series after Brooming in their previous series [not in play today].

 

[barman]

cool...tiny sample stat involving DiceK when he was actually something.....(heh)

Meanwhile, I myself should have noted that STL is a great Fade tonight in Road After RoadWin....but I'm already involved via my Series wager on CIN

========
ADDING

TRIBE -135 vs Bird $8....for not only the crappy Bal Game 1 Away, but my concurring with Showalter shine coming off now that they've finished that six game Home honeymoon

 

[ScottL]

^^^

What was the return on OAK after Friday night down 0-1 vs TEX? As you know I played the SAT+SUN games separately.

 

[barman]

all good...But remember that at the moment, I have a VERY Modestly Endowed Unit...so playing CIN straight tonight would be kind of like DoublingDown

While the posted amounts are designed to be indicators that should be adjusted to the true size of each Reader's unit, they are for the moment pretty much what I'm exposing since I reupped with my friendly CR Out to the tune of a big $100 same day I popped you that $120.

 

[ScottL]

We have Readers?

 

[ScottL]

Taking early fire. Dodgers scored during, "Our flag was still there!"

 

[soonerdawg1]

i like to loiter

 

[Willie99]

uh oh, me and the odd couple on different paths tonight

"if you see a fork in the road, take it"

 

[ScottL]

Hope you have Road Teams Willie. They lead 5-0-2 as I type......

 

[barman]

We have Readers?

This thread currently averaging about 6.7 Views per Post...which places it slightly ahead of "Barman, What Would You Have Done?"

 

[barman]

Exciting Thread Summary for the Bar n Grill (thru Aug 9)

57-36 (+152.50)
Avg Wager Size 7.70
"Units Won" - +19.81

===============
Avg Price Risk per selection +106

12 Winning Days
6 Losing Days

 

[punter]

I had a nice day mixing you guys plays plus my plays. I had a great week last week. 2 bookies will be dropping by with cash. The only reason that Republicans are not prospering in this business atmosphere is because they lack the mental gear and the drive.

 

[punter]

I also won the wiskey drinking contest last night.

 

[barman]

Aug 10 summary

Both Rays & Reds Series plays from Monday included in this grade

3-5 (-27.28)
--------------

 

[barman]

WEDNESDAY, Aug 11

Straights for $7 each

REDLEG +122 vs Redbird
BREW -130 vs Snake
RAY/CAT Over 7.5 (-105)

Straights for $5 each

METROPOLITAN -1.5 (+175) vs Rock
TRIBE -1.5 (+140) vs Bird
HOSE -1.5 (+120) vs Twin

 

[ScottL]

One Play This Afternoon = OVER 7.5 EVEN det vs tbay


A great escape last night and after it looked $cary early the night turns and we earn 1.7 Units to make it +23.3 Units for the Thread. Back 6:15.....

 

[ScottL]

I had a nice day mixing you guys plays plus my plays. I had a great week last week. 2 bookies will be dropping by with cash. The only reason that Republicans are not prospering in this business atmosphere is because they lack the mental gear and the drive.

Usually when someone types LMAO they aren't. Not in this case as I couldn't stop laughing when I read it because the last sentence came out of the blue and didn't relate to the first two. But Punter save the rants for the other threads as we only want to forecast the games in here. The truth is this is the only thread in this room that means a fucking thing. Plus it's an oasis from all the BS we can't do a thing about. [R] [D] and can all collect on a winning ticket.

 

[barman]

urk...another steady rain drizzle has me imprisoned inside for at least a couple hours....Good to have Rays/Tigers live