PoliticoPundit 2010 MLB Angles Thread #1

[ScottL]

Barman you shouldn't bet Chisox today unless you hate money. From post #14 ....OAK has now won their last 15 Home Series before a Road Trip.... The A's have also won 14 of 16 at Home if their next game is Away. I'm on OAK again today.

Also, and I'm passing this one due to negatives on both Sides but Arizona is now 27-58 [21-45 in 2010] in all Games after Game #1 of a Series, IOW when facing yesterday's opponent. So beware of that Angle.

Anti-WASH Angle still in effect today. Also riding the SEA Fisticuff Angle again today.

Despite a rash of recent injuries my numbers say DET in Game #1 today. DET is 25-5 at Home if they scored 3 Runs or less at Home in their most recent Game. And TOR is 14-36 off a Road Win by 1 Run.

 

[Willie99]

I'm fading Hughes

KC +250
KC +1.5 +120
KC +2.5 -130

this is known as the "shit happens" angle

 

[ScottL]

Note: Different anti-WASH Angle Today than Saturday

Forgot to post that WASH = 7-40 in ALL GAMES of their third consecutive Road Series.

 

[barman]

ScottL: Barman you shouldn't bet Chisox today unless you hate money.

Bar: A's further hampered by having scored 10 yesterday. That's quite a spew and they're 4-10, 6-16 past two and three years After Scoring 10+

====
SL: Anti-WASH Angle still in effect today.

Bar: Milwaukee is unfortunately too BelowAvg for me to lay chalk with them for third straight day...bol

====
SL: Also riding the SEA Fisticuff Angle again today.

Bar: Taking a possible peek at that one later....Gotta run short lawn/garden shift, then home to go out for dinner celebrating SheBar's ***th Birthday.

====
SL: Despite a rash of recent injuries my numbers say DET in Game #1 today. DET is 25-5 at Home if they scored 3 Runs or less at Home in their most recent Game. And TOR is 14-36 off a Road Win by 1 Run.

Bar: Solid....Will likely add that one to overall Angles List

 

[barman]

ADDING

Very conservative

2TeamParlay

CAT (Gm1) +1.5 (-165) vs Jay
SEAMEN +1.5 (-140) vs Sox

Lay 6
Pays 10.52

 

[ScottL]

Bar: A's further hampered by having scored 10 yesterday. That's quite a spew and they're 4-10, 6-16 past two and three years After Scoring 10+

I have that 8-15 since 2008 and 2 straight Wins so I'm not respecting it today.


Bar: Milwaukee is unfortunately too BelowAvg for me to lay chalk with them for third straight day...bol

Yeah I have two Winners so far in that Series. Maybe I shouldn't press, but ONWARD!


SL: Also riding the SEA Fisticuff Angle again today.

Bar: Taking a possible peek at that one later....Gotta run short lawn/garden shift, then home to go out for dinner celebrating SheBar's ***th Birthday.

Bet you chicken out on that one because you're a Fuckin' Pacifi .... er, sorry. Nes said to use Pinko instead! Tell the Shebar Happy Birthday! Had no idea she was over 100 years old, WOW!

 

[barman]

I'm a COMMIE, brother

Insecure Military Personnel have Officially Declared me an Enemy CommieBatant

 

[barman]

July 25 summary

NOW I remember how this all works

2-4 (-24.00)
--------------

 

[barman]

MONDAY, July 26

Five straight shots, each for $7

REDLEG (even) at Brew --- Fading Milw's four game win streak, their longest of season built upon exploitation of lowly Nats

TRIBE +1.5 (even) vs Bomber --- Simply playing against the inflated price of Yanks on the road vs a non-winning team

CAT +163 at Ray -- Hate to invest vs hometown boys, but Angle #10 is in play (Rays first game Home off road are 9-8 past 17 times....) but Tigers are perhaps good enough to grab at this price vs this Angle

HOSE -1.5 (+160) vs Seamen -- Chisox likely the most dominant home team in MLB and they're coming off back to back losses (Angle 12b...Chisox 10-1 off two consecutive losses). Here's hoping we get an extra bit of price bump due to FelixH being Seattle starter.

HALO -101 vs Sox -- No particular angle save for Boston's general disarray on the road vs teams with winning records (more on that later)

BOL to us all for a profitable Monday

 

[ScottL]

Hotter than Barman's grow room so far in this thread.

HOU +125 / CIN +105 / FLA +120 / OVER 9 -105 nyy-cle / MIN -105 / SEA +115

Cubs played late into the night and blew their "Lou's Leaving" momentum in a winnable game, and are 4-16 in the first 2 Games of a Road Trip. And 1-6 last 7 Silva Starts.

CIN is 17-6 in Game #1 of a Series after scoring 0-4 Runs and 8-2 Away with Arroyo. MIL is 1-8 in their next Game after sweeping a Series.

FLA is 24-8 on the Road off 'LW' last 2 Games. SF is 3-10 Home off a Road Win since 2008.

In the last 6 Series between MIN-KC MIN is 12-0 in the first 2 Games.

Mariners manager Don Wakamatsu tweeted today, "Hey Scott Landau I love your Fisticuffs Of Fury Angle! I'm wearing my Ninja garb tonight. Fuck that clown Ozzie!"

 

[barman]

July 26 summary

2-2 (+4.20)

yep...he said it...

HALO selection graded N/A with the pitching change to Dan Haren

 

[barman]

TUESDAY, July 27

Stayin' Straight at $8 each

ASTRO -101 vs Bear - Cubs after any Win....blehhhh

REDLEG +143 at Brew - Can Brews continue to beat growing chalk vs first place Cincy?

RAY -125 (overnight) vs Cat -- TB, though not precisely in Angle #1, is getting hot again and the Tigers are now 16-30 on the road

GIANT +102 vs Fish.....Marlins 6-12 After past 18 Away Wins and just 3-4 in JJ's seven road starts this season...Let's see if we can grab a pinch of home plus $$

METROPOLITAN +133 vs Redbird - Mighty Nals are just 2-10 in past dozen playing Away After an AwayWin...and just 4-6 overall in Wainwright's ten road starts

-------
$5 each

JAY teamtotal Over 5 (even) vs Bird
LITTLE RANGERS teamtotal Over 4.5 (-110) vs Athletic
SEAMEN teamtotal Undah 3 (+105) at Hose

Best to us all for a profitable Tuesday

 

[ScottL]

METROPOLITAN +133 vs Redbird - Mighty Nals are just 2-10 in past dozen playing Away After an AwayWin...and just 4-6 overall in Wainwright's ten road starts

You can make that 2-10 = 1-13 if you count only after Away Wins in which they allowed 0-3 Runs. However the Mets are on a 13 Game skid when Santana doesn't start.

 

[ScottL]

[FONT=WST_Fren]WASH -130 / METS +135 / HOU +100 /[/FONT]
[FONT=WST_Fren] LAD +100 / OAK +220 / LAA -150[/FONT]

[FONT=WST_Fren]I'm too tired to type a bunch of stats today. [/FONT]

[FONT=WST_Fren]Stayed off the Twins. Feels like a Sucker Bet. Considered COL -210. Should be -410.[/FONT]

 

[barman]

[FONT=WST_Fren]WASH -130 / METS +135 / HOU +100 /[/FONT]
[FONT=WST_Fren] LAD +100 / OAK +220 / LAA -150[/FONT]

[FONT=WST_Fren]I'm too tired to type a bunch of stats today. [/FONT]

[FONT=WST_Fren]Stayed off the Twins. Feels like a Sucker Bet. Considered COL -210. Should be -410.[/FONT]

when you get back to full strength, post a record CK

:howdy:

If we can find my ol' Texas mate PUNTER and BASEHEAD were to wander in from off the grid, this here PPundit thread might take flight

 

[barman]

Overnite Bites for

WEDNESDAY, July 28

Straights for $7

RAY -1.5 (-110) vs Cat
HOSE -1.5 (+135) vs Seamen

==========

2TeamParlay fading the "Surely they won't lose TWO in a row to THOSE Guys teams"

BUC +200 at Rock
TRIBE +142 vs Bomber

Lay 4
Pays 25.04

 

[barman]

July 27 summary

7-1 (+50.99)
--------------

 

[ScottL]

13-9, +6.5 Units based on 1 Unit per Play. All Plays are ACTION lines adjusted if SP is pulled. All Plays are to Win 1 Unit if Favored and to Risk 1 Unit if Poodles.

Afternoon:

HOU +130

KC +125

LAA -105

Astros are 11-0 on Wednesdays but this is mostly a gut play because Norris' ERA is 3X lower in the afternoon than at night and Wells is off a Shutout and should come back to Earth.

Minny is now 14-0 Gm 1+2 of a Series vs KC but 0-3 in Game #3 this year. MIN is 1-9 in all Game #3s when leading a Series 2-0 and both Wins were by 2+ Runs. KC is 15-7 in Game #3 off a Loss and in only 1 of their last 17 Home Series has a Sweep occurred.

LAA is 27-7 at Home if they are on a 2+ Game Home Losing Streak.

 

[barman]

urk...I overlooked the LAA Angle (2+ losses) and just got in for lunch break

best to ya on that one....let's keep the flow going

 

[barman]

ADDING

LITTLE RANGERS teamtotal Over 4.5 (-118) $5