SSI,
They have a chance to survice.
HOH- Kasar (BB6)
Howie/Janelle 100% safe (BB6)
James 98% safe (bb6). James is only 98% safe becuase the bb6 does not trust him, believing he will flip at some point. He has to know this, and therefore, will be forced to flip at some point (self fullfilling prophecy). The trick is BB6 would need to take him out before he flips (at 11, 9, or 7).
95% safe, the BB6 Floaters, Jase/Marcellas/Ericka. The core BB6 knows they are just buying time, but this works to bb6 alliance benefit as well. They see the streght in competitions of the bb6, so they just tag along and vote however the bb6 tells them. They hope the bb6 gets taken down by 1 or 2 players to improve their own position, and if not they could still flip at 9. The problem is theit strenght comes in working as a group of 3, not as individuals. I doubt they can do that.
Kasar will probably nominate one of the pairs in tandem:
Diane/Nakomis: 40% They were in the minority voting to save Alison. Nakomis is probable a little more feared in being able to rally a group and would be the BB6 choice to go, with the bb6 floaters supporting the ouster.
Will/Boogie: 50% While they voted with the majority, b6 knows they are stonger as a pair then individually. If Kasar has realized (sure someone told him) how much Will wants him gone, then they could go up with Will getting the ouster as he has a greater ability to "confuse" people than Mike does to strategize. Howie would be sad to see his man love leave, but did tell him on the live feeds that he was going this week. bb6 floaters would like to keep them in the game, as this alliance is most likely to try to break up the core BB6.
George/Danielle: 10% Ok, they are not a real alliance, although Danielle promised to pledged to never nominate George. James wants George out as he is someone everyopne wants to carry to the end. MArcellas may ask for Danielle as he spared her last week to support Janelle. Not much strategicly in it for Kasar and the BB6, exvept no one trusts Danielle and it is an easy call. Neither one is likely to win veto and no one would likely take them off (if they did, Will/Boogie would go up). If any other player who is put up wins or is given veto, look for one of these 2 to go up as a "safe" player. That could be Danielle's role all season.
Do not expect much backstabbing this week or strategy as everyone is aligning to stay in until 9 are left and the real game begins.
Sad to see you go Ali, but it was your own fualt with your big mouth.
Note: Danielle/Ali were actually correct in that the best play for all the non BB6 was for Jase to not agree, and then they had the numbers to vote out Janelle. However, no one offered Jase a compelling reason to do this; plus he would have feared the retaliation.
Prediction: Will/Boogie nominated. Will goes home.
They have a chance to survice.
HOH- Kasar (BB6)
Howie/Janelle 100% safe (BB6)
James 98% safe (bb6). James is only 98% safe becuase the bb6 does not trust him, believing he will flip at some point. He has to know this, and therefore, will be forced to flip at some point (self fullfilling prophecy). The trick is BB6 would need to take him out before he flips (at 11, 9, or 7).
95% safe, the BB6 Floaters, Jase/Marcellas/Ericka. The core BB6 knows they are just buying time, but this works to bb6 alliance benefit as well. They see the streght in competitions of the bb6, so they just tag along and vote however the bb6 tells them. They hope the bb6 gets taken down by 1 or 2 players to improve their own position, and if not they could still flip at 9. The problem is theit strenght comes in working as a group of 3, not as individuals. I doubt they can do that.
Kasar will probably nominate one of the pairs in tandem:
Diane/Nakomis: 40% They were in the minority voting to save Alison. Nakomis is probable a little more feared in being able to rally a group and would be the BB6 choice to go, with the bb6 floaters supporting the ouster.
Will/Boogie: 50% While they voted with the majority, b6 knows they are stonger as a pair then individually. If Kasar has realized (sure someone told him) how much Will wants him gone, then they could go up with Will getting the ouster as he has a greater ability to "confuse" people than Mike does to strategize. Howie would be sad to see his man love leave, but did tell him on the live feeds that he was going this week. bb6 floaters would like to keep them in the game, as this alliance is most likely to try to break up the core BB6.
George/Danielle: 10% Ok, they are not a real alliance, although Danielle promised to pledged to never nominate George. James wants George out as he is someone everyopne wants to carry to the end. MArcellas may ask for Danielle as he spared her last week to support Janelle. Not much strategicly in it for Kasar and the BB6, exvept no one trusts Danielle and it is an easy call. Neither one is likely to win veto and no one would likely take them off (if they did, Will/Boogie would go up). If any other player who is put up wins or is given veto, look for one of these 2 to go up as a "safe" player. That could be Danielle's role all season.
Do not expect much backstabbing this week or strategy as everyone is aligning to stay in until 9 are left and the real game begins.
Sad to see you go Ali, but it was your own fualt with your big mouth.
Note: Danielle/Ali were actually correct in that the best play for all the non BB6 was for Jase to not agree, and then they had the numbers to vote out Janelle. However, no one offered Jase a compelling reason to do this; plus he would have feared the retaliation.
Prediction: Will/Boogie nominated. Will goes home.
great writeup man, really enjoyed reading that......... keep us posted this weekend...
what day are nominations??? ( i mean, when will you know?)
im a big dr. wil fan, if he goes, then ill go with Jase, after that its Janelle..
i feel its almost a given that wil and boogie go up....... they seem to not need the money ----- and are just playing this for amusement... wil being the leader of the 2, makes him first choice out... mike then will have a chance to lay low and stay a few more weeks... then again maybe there will be a new development or dr. wil can win the veto..
keep us posted..
kaysar winning that was huge, if nakomis had won..... janelle and kaysar go up..
the first non bb6 er to win,,,,,, will most assuredly put up 2 bb6 ers..
what day are nominations??? ( i mean, when will you know?)
im a big dr. wil fan, if he goes, then ill go with Jase, after that its Janelle..
i feel its almost a given that wil and boogie go up....... they seem to not need the money ----- and are just playing this for amusement... wil being the leader of the 2, makes him first choice out... mike then will have a chance to lay low and stay a few more weeks... then again maybe there will be a new development or dr. wil can win the veto..
keep us posted..
kaysar winning that was huge, if nakomis had won..... janelle and kaysar go up..
the first non bb6 er to win,,,,,, will most assuredly put up 2 bb6 ers..
kasar has put 2 people up for eviction if you want to know who click link below
http://www.jokersupdates.com/
All i will say is assassian is a good BB capper
http://www.jokersupdates.com/
All i will say is assassian is a good BB capper
Sundy show is nominations (and sometimes food)
Tuesday is Veto COmpetition
Thursday is live vote and next HOH
thanks for the link.
If you are ever bored one night you can go to youtue.com as soe people post 2-5 minute vidoes from the live feeds. Pretty entertaining (I do not buy the live feeds).
Tuesday is Veto COmpetition
Thursday is live vote and next HOH
thanks for the link.
If you are ever bored one night you can go to youtue.com as soe people post 2-5 minute vidoes from the live feeds. Pretty entertaining (I do not buy the live feeds).
And this weeks power of veto winner is
Click link below if you want to know this wont air till Tuesday
http://www.jokersupdates.com/
Click link below if you want to know this wont air till Tuesday
http://www.jokersupdates.com/
True Wrigley. I do not remember them running so far behind last year (or other years).
I will not comment on them until wednesday for those who don't want to know, or on the veto winner. Does not look like much drama until the next HOH (other than the 2 trying to get votes).
I watch some of the funny shait going on on youtube.
I will not comment on them until wednesday for those who don't want to know, or on the veto winner. Does not look like much drama until the next HOH (other than the 2 trying to get votes).
I watch some of the funny shait going on on youtube.
I have not read any online stuff from the live feeds or watched anything on youtube since last thursday.
I actually just finished watching Tuesady's show (rented Rent last night)
What we learned and other strategy:
Erica and Kasar are getting closer. This makes her less likely to screw him over.
Erica wins the veto, but it did not look like anyone else other than the nomiees was really trying.
Neither Nakomis nor Diane did much campainging, since they are friends. Diane hoping others fear Nakomis strategy and Nakomis hoping other fear (dislike) Diane's emotion.
BB6 alliance really still did not understand Kasar's deal with Chilltown. Are they all safe (yes supposedly) or just Kasar (bad strategy by Kasar in not at least explaining it after the deal was struck)
Kasar did not consult the bb6 alliance (core or core + floaters) before making the deal with Chilltown (Will/Boogie). This places some suspicion for later in the game when BB6 may need to turn on itself
Chilltoen tried to get the other floaters to "commit" they they are going after BB6 - WOW, good strategy, that way they don't go after you!!! Also gets them to say things he can use against them later, if needed.
Erica was non-commital with the floaters, realizing she is pretty safe, but will need to trun on BB6 or reak-up the core alliance and form a new one (Erica, Kasar, Janelle, Marcellas?) later.
The hottub session was hillarious. Will calls Kasar down and says that he should send someone else (not Diane or Nakomis). Kasar plays right into Will's hand as no one will nominate anyone else until Will nomimates himself (again, brilliant). By Kasar not getting Erica to use the veto and having Kasarput up Will, it looks like Will Kasar ahve a deal, Pisses off the BB6 against Kasar, and puts him in a better light with the rest of the floaters.
Kasar strategic error was more in not consulting his alliance than in eliminating floaters. However, he should have taken out Will just becuase Will is the one most likely to get the floaters unified against the BB6. Also, as James pointed out, who the fuck can trust will anyway. If he wins HHO, ya know a BB6 is going up (however, if chilltown is against another floater one on one, he will likely lose on purpose so they will fell the rath of the BB6).
Kasar had a second chance to take out Will, and still did not take it. I do not understand why they let Erica have a choice, if she is an adjunct BB6er then make her do what you want, do not let her control the veto.
Can the BB6 go 3-3 on HOH?
If they do, will they finally nominate Chilltown?
Will Julie Chen explode into a million microchips and processors?
Tune in Thursday
I actually just finished watching Tuesady's show (rented Rent last night)
What we learned and other strategy:
Erica and Kasar are getting closer. This makes her less likely to screw him over.
Erica wins the veto, but it did not look like anyone else other than the nomiees was really trying.
Neither Nakomis nor Diane did much campainging, since they are friends. Diane hoping others fear Nakomis strategy and Nakomis hoping other fear (dislike) Diane's emotion.
BB6 alliance really still did not understand Kasar's deal with Chilltown. Are they all safe (yes supposedly) or just Kasar (bad strategy by Kasar in not at least explaining it after the deal was struck)
Kasar did not consult the bb6 alliance (core or core + floaters) before making the deal with Chilltown (Will/Boogie). This places some suspicion for later in the game when BB6 may need to turn on itself
Chilltoen tried to get the other floaters to "commit" they they are going after BB6 - WOW, good strategy, that way they don't go after you!!! Also gets them to say things he can use against them later, if needed.
Erica was non-commital with the floaters, realizing she is pretty safe, but will need to trun on BB6 or reak-up the core alliance and form a new one (Erica, Kasar, Janelle, Marcellas?) later.
The hottub session was hillarious. Will calls Kasar down and says that he should send someone else (not Diane or Nakomis). Kasar plays right into Will's hand as no one will nominate anyone else until Will nomimates himself (again, brilliant). By Kasar not getting Erica to use the veto and having Kasarput up Will, it looks like Will Kasar ahve a deal, Pisses off the BB6 against Kasar, and puts him in a better light with the rest of the floaters.
Kasar strategic error was more in not consulting his alliance than in eliminating floaters. However, he should have taken out Will just becuase Will is the one most likely to get the floaters unified against the BB6. Also, as James pointed out, who the fuck can trust will anyway. If he wins HHO, ya know a BB6 is going up (however, if chilltown is against another floater one on one, he will likely lose on purpose so they will fell the rath of the BB6).
Kasar had a second chance to take out Will, and still did not take it. I do not understand why they let Erica have a choice, if she is an adjunct BB6er then make her do what you want, do not let her control the veto.
Can the BB6 go 3-3 on HOH?
If they do, will they finally nominate Chilltown?
Will Julie Chen explode into a million microchips and processors?
Tune in Thursday
Crystal Ball for tonights HOH (part 1)
No spoilers, just what SHOULD happen
BB6 ers win HOH (what up Kasssaaaar, not eligible)
Janelle - She should go after Chilltown
Howie - too in love with Will still, split the floater Alliance, Boogiee and survivor of Diane Nakomis
James - Cannot trust Jase and Chicken Goerge is too much of a wild card
BB6 closenit floaters (2b contnued)
No spoilers, just what SHOULD happen
BB6 ers win HOH (what up Kasssaaaar, not eligible)
Janelle - She should go after Chilltown
Howie - too in love with Will still, split the floater Alliance, Boogiee and survivor of Diane Nakomis
James - Cannot trust Jase and Chicken Goerge is too much of a wild card
BB6 closenit floaters (2b contnued)
Crystal Ball Part II
BB6 close nit floaters:
Marcellas - Wold have to nominate Danielle, but probaly cave on the second nomination and go for Boogie (could be Nakomis if she survives as she has at least a partial deal with the restof the BB6 that he was not included on)
Ericka - wow, tough call. She has been stradling big time, and said on Tuesday she has to time her break from the BB6 very carefully. BB6 would pressure to to nominate Chilltoewn (will/boogie), but it would be to her advantage to nominate other floaters (George/Danielle/Nakomis-Dianne survivor/Jase). I do not think she has the balls to nomiate BB6, and if she does it would be James (maybe against Danielle or Diane-Nakomis survivir). She will look for the opportunity to catch a floater in a big lie to support nominating them and not chilltown (why get rid of a threat, let someone else do it). In the end,she has no backbone and nominates Chiiltown, doing BB6 dirty work.
Part III in a little while
BB6 close nit floaters:
Marcellas - Wold have to nominate Danielle, but probaly cave on the second nomination and go for Boogie (could be Nakomis if she survives as she has at least a partial deal with the restof the BB6 that he was not included on)
Ericka - wow, tough call. She has been stradling big time, and said on Tuesday she has to time her break from the BB6 very carefully. BB6 would pressure to to nominate Chilltoewn (will/boogie), but it would be to her advantage to nominate other floaters (George/Danielle/Nakomis-Dianne survivor/Jase). I do not think she has the balls to nomiate BB6, and if she does it would be James (maybe against Danielle or Diane-Nakomis survivir). She will look for the opportunity to catch a floater in a big lie to support nominating them and not chilltown (why get rid of a threat, let someone else do it). In the end,she has no backbone and nominates Chiiltown, doing BB6 dirty work.
Part III in a little while
Crystal Ball Part III
Chilltown
Will - Yeah, I know he promised Kasar, ut he can't be trusted. Should put up Janelle and Kasar as they are the biggest threats in the BB6. Could put up James and Howie (just to mess woth Howie). I look for him to cut as many deals as possible for safety, but ultimately to nomiate 2 BB6. Jannelle/Kasar.
Boogie - Not as smart as Will, but knows the target is smaller on him. James and Janelle as the nominees, but I doubt weither he or Will will actually try to win the HOH.
Remaining Floaters:
Jase - Playing the "James" stategy, both sides against the middle. It only works (see Jun) if there are 2 firm hatred alliances and you don't get cuaght in to big a lie or win HOH. Doubt he tries to win as he feels safe. If he wins, he goes after BB6. He should know Janelle trusts him, but not james, so nomiates James and Kasar.
Danielle - She has a quasi deal with Janelle, but knows she is not part of BB6. Does not eant to win HOH as her target is small for everyone but Marcellas. Nominates Marcellas. Second nominee is tougher, either James or a floater. she should nominate Erica with Marcellas
George - What a waste having him on the show instead of Lisa. He is clueless, and likely has a neervoius breakdown and nominates himself. Has a deal with Danielle, so decides to go after BB6 expecting they have bigger worries than him. James and Howie nominated.
Diane (if survives): Has to be BB6 as she has no real allies and little advantage in nominating floaters or chilltown (earns no credit with BB6 and just increases her target). Looks at the pair and nominates Kasar and to piss him off Erica.
Nakomis (if survives): Would feel compelled to protect BB6 (except Marcellas who has commited to Diane) if they help vote out Diane. She is crafty, so she could do a George/Danielle or George/Boogie. My guess is Marcellas and James to cuase some friction i the extended BB6 alliance.
Welcome any thoughts or comments.
Chilltown
Will - Yeah, I know he promised Kasar, ut he can't be trusted. Should put up Janelle and Kasar as they are the biggest threats in the BB6. Could put up James and Howie (just to mess woth Howie). I look for him to cut as many deals as possible for safety, but ultimately to nomiate 2 BB6. Jannelle/Kasar.
Boogie - Not as smart as Will, but knows the target is smaller on him. James and Janelle as the nominees, but I doubt weither he or Will will actually try to win the HOH.
Remaining Floaters:
Jase - Playing the "James" stategy, both sides against the middle. It only works (see Jun) if there are 2 firm hatred alliances and you don't get cuaght in to big a lie or win HOH. Doubt he tries to win as he feels safe. If he wins, he goes after BB6. He should know Janelle trusts him, but not james, so nomiates James and Kasar.
Danielle - She has a quasi deal with Janelle, but knows she is not part of BB6. Does not eant to win HOH as her target is small for everyone but Marcellas. Nominates Marcellas. Second nominee is tougher, either James or a floater. she should nominate Erica with Marcellas
George - What a waste having him on the show instead of Lisa. He is clueless, and likely has a neervoius breakdown and nominates himself. Has a deal with Danielle, so decides to go after BB6 expecting they have bigger worries than him. James and Howie nominated.
Diane (if survives): Has to be BB6 as she has no real allies and little advantage in nominating floaters or chilltown (earns no credit with BB6 and just increases her target). Looks at the pair and nominates Kasar and to piss him off Erica.
Nakomis (if survives): Would feel compelled to protect BB6 (except Marcellas who has commited to Diane) if they help vote out Diane. She is crafty, so she could do a George/Danielle or George/Boogie. My guess is Marcellas and James to cuase some friction i the extended BB6 alliance.
Welcome any thoughts or comments.
I'd like to know what makes you guys think Kasar is such a genius? The guy was double crossed in season 6, lied to right to his face, then he get's lucky, comes back and is gone the next week he comes back.
Now he makes a deal with two enemies who want him out of the house. He's a fucking moron, just because someone talks slow and mathotical and thinks (seems to be) about everything he says does not make them a smart person. Kasar had a huge opportunity to get Nick or Diane or both on the side of his team but he failed to see that opportunity right in front of his face. Now, of all thing's, his own team is pissed because of his decision and in fear that he is out for him self....Kasar will be gone withing 2 weeks, fucking idiot...
Now he makes a deal with two enemies who want him out of the house. He's a fucking moron, just because someone talks slow and mathotical and thinks (seems to be) about everything he says does not make them a smart person. Kasar had a huge opportunity to get Nick or Diane or both on the side of his team but he failed to see that opportunity right in front of his face. Now, of all thing's, his own team is pissed because of his decision and in fear that he is out for him self....Kasar will be gone withing 2 weeks, fucking idiot...
I never said Kasar was a genius. I agree, he blew strategy last time.
This time strategic errors were:
* Did not consut his alliance before deciding who HE wanted to put up
* Did not conuslt his alliance before making the deal with Chilltown
* Did not communicate the deal well to his group after the fact
* Made a deal with Chilltown. No way they keep up their end of the deal. Basically gave them a free 1 week pass.
* When he realized what a stupid move he made, resisted efforts to have Erica veto D/N and put up Will or Boogie.
He is not that smart a player.
This time strategic errors were:
* Did not consut his alliance before deciding who HE wanted to put up
* Did not conuslt his alliance before making the deal with Chilltown
* Did not communicate the deal well to his group after the fact
* Made a deal with Chilltown. No way they keep up their end of the deal. Basically gave them a free 1 week pass.
* When he realized what a stupid move he made, resisted efforts to have Erica veto D/N and put up Will or Boogie.
He is not that smart a player.
