Ok wannabe(and actual) SHARPIES........

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" Thanks for tip Bricktop "
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I look at a line like Balto - 3 and I think what a great deal, take Balto for all the tea in China.

This thought immediatly warrants taking Cincy for a mortgage payment.
 

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Sorry Fish, I just noticied this thread after I wasted 10 minutes writing :ohno: mine.
 

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Iceman said:
Mods,
will you combine this thread into the one Fishhead has? I really want to talk this thru and feel it would be more beneficial if it is all in the same thread.


:103631605
 

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Now I just noticed that my thread starts out saying Baltimore is -3. Man i need to go back to bed. It should read Ciny -3 (-115).

Sorry I will get it going.
 

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lines at MB moving closer togather

+105 balt +3/-107 -3 cincy.

10 min ago 13k was up for grabs at +108 on Balt. That was a steal........sell it back 10 min latter for -107.

My guess is FH is cashing in.
 

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boatboatboat said:
lines at MB moving closer togather

+105 balt +3/-107 -3 cincy.

10 min ago 13k was up for grabs at +108 on Balt. That was a steal........sell it back 10 min latter for -107.

My guess is FH is cashing in.

Going down currently....

By the way...........

SIA is at +3.5 with BALTIMORE at the present time.
 

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Anyways my thoughts on the sides are that because Cincy is a HUGE public team and that Baltimore is not, that this line can only go up as a TV games are heavily influenced by the public. That Matchbook -3 -109 (-111) is too be grabbed right now. Now it can be difficult for books to come off the 3 but in this situation I say 3.5 is in the future but like I said earlier I like the total (42 if you can still find, greek moved off theres) as the number that moves the most.
 

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FH SIA has balt +3 -110 now, is that was you are seeing?
 

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I fear if you load up on cincy at -3, that when the line moves to balt =3.5 (and I think it will move), that you may struggle to find any action at that +3.5 number for under -115. That would make it hard to sell off, and lock in a $.
 

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One point that contridicts my above statement concenring the side is that Wagerline and Caribsports have more action on Baltimore, which is a little unusual to see the dog have more action and now with Matchbook going that direction maybe grabbing +3.5 or +3 (with + juice) can get you a nice little scalp or hit a side with the 3.5. Close call, will have to pay closer attention to throught day. May dump my 2.5 sooner than I thought.
 

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patswin said:
FH SIA has balt +3 -110 now, is that was you are seeing?

you REALLY need to look into matchbook.

You can get Balt +3 at +105 (minus 2% commish if you cash= +103.

Huge diff between +103 and -110.

In a hobby where the goal is to win 60% of the time, a 13% spread in payouts is the diff between making a few bucks, or slowly going broke.
 

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